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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 3–4 Leverkusen

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2026/2027

Home 3.00 fair 2.02
Draw 3.80 fair 4.74
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 3.41
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 3.42
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.41

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Leverkusen
23 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
2.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
4 Corners 3
11 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (37 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.44
Expected goals 2.08 – 1.58
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawLeverkusen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.8% 1–1 8.5% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:6
Leverkusen before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:5
Mainz all matches all matches Leverkusen

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.25
4.00 Total goals 3.75
2.24 xG created 2.48
1.58 xG allowed 0.94
18.25 Shots 22.50
6.25 Shots on target 6.25
12.50 Shots faced 9.00
6.00 Corners 9.25
4.25 Corners against 3.25
13.00 Fouls 13.00
2.25 Yellow cards 1.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
75% Over 3.5 goals 75%
50% Over 4.5 goals 25%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 75%
25% Draws 0%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Leverkusen all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:3
Leverkusen before this match, away
0.50points / match
2.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:5
Mainz at home away Leverkusen

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 2.50
2.00 Total goals 4.50
1.68 xG created 2.26
1.39 xG allowed 1.19
19.50 Shots 25.50
4.50 Shots on target 4.50
10.50 Shots faced 9.50
7.50 Corners 8.50
3.50 Corners against 3.00
9.50 Fouls 13.50
0.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Leverkusen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 M'gladbach – Mainz 3–4 (1–2) 3.003.702.20 1.53 2.50
12.09.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 1.954.003.40 1.50 2.63
06.09.26 Hamburg – Mainz 0–5 (0–2) 2.883.502.40 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Mainz – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.67 2.20
16.05.26 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–2) 1.914.333.40 1.44 2.75
10.05.26 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
03.05.26 St Pauli – Mainz 1–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.60 2.10 1.73
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75
19.04.26 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.90 1.95
12.04.26 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 1.88 1.98

Leverkusen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 1.954.203.25 1.36 3.20
12.09.26 Augsburg – Leverkusen 2–2 (0–1) 4.104.101.80 1.40 3.00
05.09.26 Leverkusen – Union Berlin 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.25 1.44 2.75
29.08.26 Elversberg – Leverkusen 3–2 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
16.05.26 Leverkusen – Hamburg 1–1 (0–0) 1.256.759.50 1.29 3.75
09.05.26 Stuttgart – Leverkusen 3–1 (2–1) 2.154.002.80 1.33 3.40
02.05.26 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 4–1 (2–0) 2.104.202.88 1.36 3.20
25.04.26 FC Koln – Leverkusen 1–2 (0–1) 3.804.001.85 1.53 2.50
18.04.26 Leverkusen – Augsburg 1–2 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.44 2.75
11.04.26 Dortmund – Leverkusen 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.803.60 1.53 2.50

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 1.954.003.40 1.50 2.63
29.08.26 Mainz – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75
12.04.26 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 1.88 1.98
22.03.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.30
20.02.26 Mainz – Hamburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Mainz – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10

Leverkusen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Augsburg – Leverkusen 2–2 (0–1) 4.104.101.80 1.40 3.00
29.08.26 Elversberg – Leverkusen 3–2 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
09.05.26 Stuttgart – Leverkusen 3–1 (2–1) 2.154.002.80 1.33 3.40
25.04.26 FC Koln – Leverkusen 1–2 (0–1) 3.804.001.85 1.53 2.50
11.04.26 Dortmund – Leverkusen 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.803.60 1.53 2.50
21.03.26 Heidenheim – Leverkusen 3–3 (0–2) 5.254.501.57 1.53 2.50
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
04.03.26 Hamburg – Leverkusen 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Union Berlin – Leverkusen 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 1.95 1.90
07.02.26 M'gladbach – Leverkusen 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.752.00 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsLeverkusen wins
10matches
3.40goals / match
70%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.67 2.20
18.10.25D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (1–3) 2.803.402.45 1.80 2.00
17.05.25D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
14.01.25D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
23.02.24D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.57 2.38
30.09.23D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–1) 5.754.501.53 1.53 2.50
19.02.23D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
27.08.22D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–3) 2.753.752.37 1.61 2.30
18.02.22D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.72 2.10
25.09.21D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.724.004.50 1.61 2.30

Germany Bundesliga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 11 4 +7 13 WWWWD
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14 2 +12 10 WDWW
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12 3 +9 10 WWWD
4 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 10 10 0 8 LWDWD
5 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11 6 +5 7 WWDL
6 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10 5 +5 7 LWDW
7 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10 6 +4 7 DWLW
8 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7 WWLD
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9 5 +4 6 WLWL
10 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9 10 -1 5 DLWD
11 Schalke 04 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5 LDWD
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4 DLLW
13 FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4 WLDL
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7 10 -3 3 LLWL
15 Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3 LWLL
16 Hamburg 4 1 0 3 2 13 -11 3 LLLW
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4 17 -13 1 DLLL
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 6 16 -10 0 LLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to 2. Bundesliga

DFB-Pokal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7 WWD
2 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 12 1 +11 6 WW
3 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 9 1 +8 6 WW
4 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 8 0 +8 6 WW
5 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6 WW
6 Werder Bremen 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6 WW
7 Augsburg 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4 WD
8 FC Koln 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4 WD
9 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3 WL
10 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3 LW
11 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3 WL
12 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3 LW
13 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 2 6 -4 3 LW
14 Schalke 04 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 DD
15 Union Berlin 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1 DL
16 Mainz 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 DL
17 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 3 6 -3 1 LD
18 M'gladbach 2 0 0 2 6 8 -2 0 LL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Mainz 2 2 0 0 9 3 +6 6 WW
2 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6 WW
3 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 6 4 +2 4 DW
4 Elversberg 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4 WD
5 Freiburg 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4 WD
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4 DW
7 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 6 4 +2 3 WL
8 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3 LW
9 Werder Bremen 3 0 2 1 4 7 -3 2 LDD
10 Leverkusen 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1 LD
11 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1 DL
12 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0 LL
13 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0 LL
14 RB Leipzig 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0 LL
15 Stuttgart 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0 LL
16 Hamburg 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0 LL
17 M'gladbach 2 0 0 2 0 8 -8 0 LL
18 Union Berlin 2 0 0 2 0 11 -11 0 LL

Mainz   Leverkusen

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Werder Bremen 5 1 4 2.0 2.0 2 2 1 10 10 8 OOUOO
2 5 Augsburg 4 0 4 2.8 1.5 2 1 1 11 6 7 OOOO
3 10 Ein Frankfurt 4 0 4 2.2 2.5 1 2 1 9 10 5 OOOO
4 14 Hoffenheim 4 0 4 1.8 2.5 1 0 3 7 10 3 OOOO
5 17 Union Berlin 4 0 4 1.0 4.2 0 1 3 4 17 1 OOOO
6 18 M'gladbach 4 0 4 1.5 4.0 0 0 4 6 16 0 OOOO
7 1 Dortmund 5 2 3 2.2 0.8 4 1 0 11 4 13 UOOUO
8 2 Bayern Munich 4 1 3 3.5 0.5 3 1 0 14 2 10 OUOO
9 3 Freiburg 4 1 3 3.0 0.8 3 1 0 12 3 10 OUOO
10 6 Leverkusen 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 2 1 1 10 5 7 OOOU
11 7 Mainz 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 2 1 1 10 6 7 UOOO
12 8 Elversberg 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7 OOOU
13 9 RB Leipzig 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 0 2 9 5 6 OOOU
14 13 FC Koln 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4 OOUO
15 15 Stuttgart 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3 OOOU
16 16 Hamburg 4 1 3 0.5 3.2 1 0 3 2 13 3 UOOO
17 11 Schalke 04 4 2 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5 OUOU
18 12 Paderborn 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4 UUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Dortmund 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7 UOO
2 2 Bayern Munich 2 0 2 6.0 0.5 2 0 0 12 1 6 OO
3 3 Freiburg 2 0 2 4.5 0.5 2 0 0 9 1 6 OO
4 4 Werder Bremen 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6 OO
5 5 Augsburg 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4 OO
6 8 Elversberg 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3 OO
7 9 RB Leipzig 2 0 2 4.0 0.0 2 0 0 8 0 6 OO
8 10 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 1 1 3 6 1 OO
9 14 Hoffenheim 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3 OO
10 16 Hamburg 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 1 2 6 3 OO
11 17 Union Berlin 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1 OO
12 18 M'gladbach 2 0 2 3.0 4.0 0 0 2 6 8 0 OO
13 6 Leverkusen 2 1 1 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6 OU
14 7 Mainz 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1 UO
15 12 Paderborn 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3 UO
16 13 FC Koln 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4 OU
17 15 Stuttgart 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3 OU
18 11 Schalke 04 2 2 0 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 0 2 UU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 2 1 4 7 2 OUO
2 5 Augsburg 2 0 2 3.0 2.0 1 0 1 6 4 3 OO
3 6 Leverkusen 2 0 2 2.0 2.5 0 1 1 4 5 1 OO
4 7 Mainz 2 0 2 4.5 1.5 2 0 0 9 3 6 OO
5 10 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 2 3.0 2.0 1 1 0 6 4 4 OO
6 11 Schalke 04 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3 OO
7 13 FC Koln 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0 OO
8 14 Hoffenheim 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0 OO
9 15 Stuttgart 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0 OO
10 17 Union Berlin 2 0 2 0.0 5.5 0 0 2 0 11 0 OO
11 18 M'gladbach 2 0 2 0.0 4.0 0 0 2 0 8 0 OO
12 1 Dortmund 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6 OU
13 2 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4 UO
14 3 Freiburg 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4 UO
15 8 Elversberg 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4 OU
16 9 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0 OU
17 12 Paderborn 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1 UO
18 16 Hamburg 2 1 1 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0 UO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10