Hamburg 0–1 Leverkusen – Germany Bundesliga, 4 Mar 2026

Match facts

Hamburg Leverkusen

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 7

12 Fouls 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).

Result Leverkusen to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.63

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.57

Home / Draw / Away

36% 24% 40%

HamburgDrawLeverkusen

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hamburg before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.13scored / match

1.48conceded / match

6 8 9

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 26:34

Leverkusen before this match, all matches

1.74points / match

1.91scored / match

1.26conceded / match

12 4 7

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 44:29

Hamburg all matches all matches Leverkusen

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.91

1.48 Goals conceded 1.26

2.61 Total goals 3.17

12.91 Shots 13.70

4.74 Shots on target 4.57

13.87 Shots faced 11.78

3.87 Corners 5.13

5.17 Corners against 4.52

12.30 Fouls 8.78

2.43 Yellow cards 2.17

0.43 1st-half goals scored 1.17

0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

26% Wins 52%

35% Draws 17%

39% Losses 30%

83% Over 0.5 goals 100%

74% Over 1.5 goals 87%

52% Over 2.5 goals 57%

30% Over 3.5 goals 39%

22% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

57% Both teams scored 57%

26% Clean sheets 26%

35% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 48%

43% Draws 26%

35% Losses 26%

70% Over 0.5 goals 87%

30% Over 1.5 goals 61%

9% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg all matches

1

4

L

1

D

1

2

L

D

2

D

2

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

Leverkusen all matches

2

W

3

1

W

1

4

L

1

L

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

4

W

1

L

1

D

Hamburg before this match, at home

1.58points / match

1.58scored / match

1.25conceded / match

5 4 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:15

Leverkusen before this match, away

1.55points / match

1.73scored / match

1.64conceded / match

5 2 4

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:18

Hamburg at home away Leverkusen

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.73

1.25 Goals conceded 1.64

2.83 Total goals 3.36

13.92 Shots 11.73

5.25 Shots on target 3.55

12.33 Shots faced 14.09

3.83 Corners 4.18

5.67 Corners against 5.55

12.00 Fouls 8.73

2.33 Yellow cards 2.36

0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.27

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 1.09

How often Full Time

42% Wins 45%

33% Draws 18%

25% Losses 36%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

83% Over 1.5 goals 82%

58% Over 2.5 goals 64%

33% Over 3.5 goals 45%

17% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 18%

67% Both teams scored 64%

17% Clean sheets 0%

25% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 45%

42% Draws 18%

25% Losses 36%

83% Over 0.5 goals 100%

42% Over 1.5 goals 82%

8% Over 2.5 goals 45%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg at home

4

W

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

D

3

2

W

1

2

L

Leverkusen away

2

1

W

4

3

W

3

L

3

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamburg all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Hamburg – RB Leipzig	1–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.57	2.38
20.02.26	Mainz – Hamburg	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Hamburg – Union Berlin	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Heidenheim – Hamburg	0–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.50	2.45	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Hamburg – Bayern Munich	2–2 (1–1)	8.00	6.50	1.29	1.33	3.40
23.01.26	St Pauli – Hamburg	0–0 (0–0)	2.88	2.90	2.75	2.63	1.50
17.01.26	Hamburg – M'gladbach	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.10
10.01.26	Freiburg – Hamburg	2–1 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.83	2.03
20.12.25	Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt	1–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.20
13.12.25	Hoffenheim – Hamburg	4–1 (2–0)	1.70	4.33	4.20	1.50	2.63

Leverkusen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Leverkusen – Mainz	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.67	2.20
21.02.26	Union Berlin – Leverkusen	1–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.95	1.90
14.02.26	Leverkusen – St Pauli	4–0 (2–0)	1.45	3.75	6.50	1.88	1.98
07.02.26	M'gladbach – Leverkusen	1–1 (1–1)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.62	2.30
31.01.26	Ein Frankfurt – Leverkusen	1–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.53	2.50
24.01.26	Leverkusen – Werder Bremen	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	4.20	5.25	1.50	2.63
17.01.26	Hoffenheim – Leverkusen	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.80	2.70	1.50	2.63
10.01.26	Leverkusen – Stuttgart	1–4 (0–4)	1.95	4.10	3.40	1.50	2.63
20.12.25	RB Leipzig – Leverkusen	1–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.80	3.20	1.53	2.50
13.12.25	Leverkusen – FC Koln	2–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.33	5.25	1.53	2.50

Hamburg at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Hamburg – RB Leipzig	1–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.57	2.38
14.02.26	Hamburg – Union Berlin	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Hamburg – Bayern Munich	2–2 (1–1)	8.00	6.50	1.29	1.33	3.40
17.01.26	Hamburg – M'gladbach	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt	1–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.20
07.12.25	Hamburg – Werder Bremen	3–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
30.11.25	Hamburg – Stuttgart	2–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.75	2.20	1.53	2.50
08.11.25	Hamburg – Dortmund	1–1 (0–0)	4.33	4.20	1.70	1.50	2.63
25.10.25	Hamburg – Wolfsburg	0–1 (0–1)	2.35	3.50	2.90	1.67	2.20
05.10.25	Hamburg – Mainz	4–0 (2–0)	2.80	3.50	2.40	1.73	2.10

Leverkusen away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Union Berlin – Leverkusen	1–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.95	1.90
07.02.26	M'gladbach – Leverkusen	1–1 (1–1)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.62	2.30
31.01.26	Ein Frankfurt – Leverkusen	1–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.53	2.50
17.01.26	Hoffenheim – Leverkusen	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.80	2.70	1.50	2.63
20.12.25	RB Leipzig – Leverkusen	1–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.80	3.20	1.53	2.50
06.12.25	Augsburg – Leverkusen	2–0 (2–0)	3.70	4.00	1.90	1.62	2.30
22.11.25	Wolfsburg – Leverkusen	1–3 (0–3)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.62	2.30
01.11.25	Bayern Munich – Leverkusen	3–0 (3–0)	1.22	7.00	9.50	1.25	4.00
18.10.25	Mainz – Leverkusen	3–4 (1–3)	2.80	3.40	2.45	1.80	2.00
27.09.25	St Pauli – Leverkusen	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.88	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	24	20	3	1	88	23	+65	63
2	Dortmund	24	15	7	2	51	25	+26	52
3	Hoffenheim	24	14	4	6	49	31	+18	46
4	Stuttgart	24	14	4	6	48	32	+16	46
5	RB Leipzig	24	13	5	6	46	33	+13	44
6	Leverkusen	23	12	4	7	44	29	+15	40
7	Ein Frankfurt	24	9	7	8	48	49	-1	34
8	Freiburg	24	9	6	9	34	39	-5	33
9	Augsburg	24	9	4	11	30	41	-11	31
10	Union Berlin	24	7	7	10	29	38	-9	28
11	Hamburg	23	6	8	9	26	34	-8	26
12	M'gladbach	24	6	7	11	27	39	-12	25
13	FC Koln	24	6	6	12	33	41	-8	24
14	Mainz	24	5	8	11	27	39	-12	23
15	St Pauli	24	6	5	13	23	40	-17	23
16	Werder Bremen	24	5	7	12	25	44	-19	22
17	Wolfsburg	24	5	5	14	33	53	-20	20
18	Heidenheim	24	3	5	16	22	53	-31	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	1	1	48	12	+36	31
2	Dortmund	12	9	2	1	28	11	+17	29
3	Stuttgart	12	9	2	1	21	12	+9	29
4	Hoffenheim	12	8	0	4	27	14	+13	24
5	Freiburg	11	7	3	1	21	12	+9	24
6	Leverkusen	12	7	2	3	25	11	+14	23
7	RB Leipzig	12	7	2	3	27	17	+10	23
8	Augsburg	13	6	3	4	17	19	-2	21
9	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	2	4	22	18	+4	20
10	Hamburg	12	5	4	3	19	15	+4	19
11	Union Berlin	12	4	5	3	17	17	0	17
12	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	14	21	-7	16
13	FC Koln	12	4	3	5	21	19	+2	15
14	St Pauli	11	4	3	4	13	18	-5	15
15	Mainz	12	3	4	5	13	14	-1	13
16	M'gladbach	12	3	4	5	14	21	-7	13
17	Heidenheim	12	2	4	6	13	27	-14	10
18	Wolfsburg	12	2	3	7	19	26	-7	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	2	0	40	11	+29	32
2	Dortmund	12	6	5	1	23	14	+9	23
3	Hoffenheim	12	6	4	2	22	17	+5	22
4	RB Leipzig	12	6	3	3	19	16	+3	21
5	Stuttgart	12	5	2	5	27	20	+7	17
6	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	19	18	+1	17
7	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	5	4	26	31	-5	14
8	M'gladbach	12	3	3	6	13	18	-5	12
9	Union Berlin	12	3	2	7	12	21	-9	11
10	Wolfsburg	12	3	2	7	14	27	-13	11
11	Augsburg	11	3	1	7	13	22	-9	10
12	Mainz	12	2	4	6	14	25	-11	10
13	FC Koln	12	2	3	7	12	22	-10	9
14	Freiburg	13	2	3	8	13	27	-14	9
15	St Pauli	13	2	2	9	10	22	-12	8
16	Hamburg	11	1	4	6	7	19	-12	7
17	Werder Bremen	12	1	3	8	11	23	-12	6
18	Heidenheim	12	1	1	10	9	26	-17	4

Hamburg Leverkusen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	24	0	24	3.7	1.0	20	3	1	88	23	63
2	4	Stuttgart	24	6	18	2.0	1.3	14	4	6	48	32	46
3	17	Wolfsburg	24	7	17	1.4	2.2	5	5	14	33	53	20
4	3	Hoffenheim	24	8	16	2.0	1.3	14	4	6	49	31	46
5	5	RB Leipzig	24	8	16	1.9	1.4	13	5	6	46	33	44
6	7	Ein Frankfurt	24	8	16	2.0	2.0	9	7	8	48	49	34
7	18	Heidenheim	24	8	16	0.9	2.2	3	5	16	22	53	14
8	8	Freiburg	24	9	15	1.4	1.6	9	6	9	34	39	33
9	2	Dortmund	24	10	14	2.1	1.0	15	7	2	51	25	52
10	9	Augsburg	24	10	14	1.2	1.7	9	4	11	30	41	31
11	13	FC Koln	24	10	14	1.4	1.7	6	6	12	33	41	24
12	15	St Pauli	24	10	14	1.0	1.7	6	5	13	23	40	23
13	6	Leverkusen	23	10	13	1.9	1.3	12	4	7	44	29	40
14	10	Union Berlin	24	11	13	1.2	1.6	7	7	10	29	38	28
15	12	M'gladbach	24	11	13	1.1	1.6	6	7	11	27	39	25
16	16	Werder Bremen	24	11	13	1.0	1.8	5	7	12	25	44	22
17	11	Hamburg	23	11	12	1.1	1.5	6	8	9	26	34	26
18	14	Mainz	24	12	12	1.1	1.6	5	8	11	27	39	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	12	0	12	4.0	1.0	10	1	1	48	12	31
2	3	Hoffenheim	12	3	9	2.2	1.2	8	0	4	27	14	24
3	5	RB Leipzig	12	3	9	2.2	1.4	7	2	3	27	17	23
4	17	Wolfsburg	12	3	9	1.6	2.2	2	3	7	19	26	9
5	18	Heidenheim	12	3	9	1.1	2.2	2	4	6	13	27	10
6	8	Freiburg	11	3	8	1.9	1.1	7	3	1	21	12	24
7	10	Union Berlin	12	4	8	1.4	1.4	4	5	3	17	17	17
8	13	FC Koln	12	4	8	1.8	1.6	4	3	5	21	19	15
9	15	St Pauli	11	3	8	1.2	1.6	4	3	4	13	18	15
10	2	Dortmund	12	5	7	2.3	0.9	9	2	1	28	11	29
11	7	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	7	1.8	1.5	6	2	4	22	18	20
12	11	Hamburg	12	5	7	1.6	1.2	5	4	3	19	15	19
13	12	M'gladbach	12	5	7	1.2	1.8	3	4	5	14	21	13
14	4	Stuttgart	12	6	6	1.8	1.0	9	2	1	21	12	29
15	6	Leverkusen	12	6	6	2.1	0.9	7	2	3	25	11	23
16	9	Augsburg	13	7	6	1.3	1.5	6	3	4	17	19	21
17	16	Werder Bremen	12	6	6	1.2	1.8	4	4	4	14	21	16
18	14	Mainz	12	9	3	1.1	1.2	3	4	5	13	14	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	12	0	12	3.3	0.9	10	2	0	40	11	32
2	4	Stuttgart	12	0	12	2.2	1.7	5	2	5	27	20	17
3	7	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	9	2.2	2.6	3	5	4	26	31	14
4	14	Mainz	12	3	9	1.2	2.1	2	4	6	14	25	10
5	9	Augsburg	11	3	8	1.2	2.0	3	1	7	13	22	10
6	17	Wolfsburg	12	4	8	1.2	2.2	3	2	7	14	27	11
7	2	Dortmund	12	5	7	1.9	1.2	6	5	1	23	14	23
8	3	Hoffenheim	12	5	7	1.8	1.4	6	4	2	22	17	22
9	5	RB Leipzig	12	5	7	1.6	1.3	6	3	3	19	16	21
10	6	Leverkusen	11	4	7	1.7	1.6	5	2	4	19	18	17
11	8	Freiburg	13	6	7	1.0	2.1	2	3	8	13	27	9
12	16	Werder Bremen	12	5	7	0.9	1.9	1	3	8	11	23	6
13	18	Heidenheim	12	5	7	0.8	2.2	1	1	10	9	26	4
14	12	M'gladbach	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	3	3	6	13	18	12
15	13	FC Koln	12	6	6	1.0	1.8	2	3	7	12	22	9
16	15	St Pauli	13	7	6	0.8	1.7	2	2	9	10	22	8
17	10	Union Berlin	12	7	5	1.0	1.8	3	2	7	12	21	11
18	11	Hamburg	11	6	5	0.6	1.7	1	4	6	7	19	7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.