RB Leipzig 2–1 St Pauli – Germany Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

Match facts

RB Leipzig St Pauli

13 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 5

5 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (289 league matches this season so far).

Result RB Leipzig to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.79

Expected goals 2.12 – 1.00

Home / Draw / Away

63% 20% 17%

RB LeipzigDrawSt Pauli

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.9% 2–0 9.9% 1–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches

1.94points / match

1.97scored / match

1.31conceded / match

19 5 8

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 63:42

St Pauli before this match, all matches

0.81points / match

0.84scored / match

1.72conceded / match

6 8 18

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 27:55

RB Leipzig all matches all matches St Pauli

Per match

1.97 Goals scored 0.84

1.31 Goals conceded 1.72

3.28 Total goals 2.56

15.94 Shots 10.34

6.03 Shots on target 3.41

12.34 Shots faced 12.19

5.47 Corners 4.66

4.41 Corners against 5.09

9.47 Fouls 9.75

1.53 Yellow cards 1.63

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.34

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

59% Wins 19%

16% Draws 25%

25% Losses 56%

97% Over 0.5 goals 91%

84% Over 1.5 goals 81%

69% Over 2.5 goals 53%

47% Over 3.5 goals 19%

19% Over 4.5 goals 9%

13% Over 5.5 goals 3%

59% Both teams scored 53%

34% Clean sheets 16%

9% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 19%

44% Draws 41%

16% Losses 41%

69% Over 0.5 goals 75%

44% Over 1.5 goals 25%

19% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches

2

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

5

W

2

1

W

1

W

3

1

W

3

1

W

1

4

L

St Pauli all matches

2

1

W

1

W

D

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

5

L

1

D

2

L

1

2

L

RB Leipzig before this match, at home

2.19points / match

2.38scored / match

1.19conceded / match

11 2 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 38:19

St Pauli before this match, away

0.56points / match

0.69scored / match

1.69conceded / match

2 3 11

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:27

RB Leipzig at home away St Pauli

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 0.69

1.19 Goals conceded 1.69

3.56 Total goals 2.38

17.56 Shots 10.00

7.44 Shots on target 2.50

11.44 Shots faced 12.69

6.06 Corners 3.56

4.44 Corners against 6.13

8.31 Fouls 9.75

1.31 Yellow cards 1.50

1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

69% Wins 13%

13% Draws 19%

19% Losses 69%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

94% Over 1.5 goals 81%

75% Over 2.5 goals 38%

56% Over 3.5 goals 19%

19% Over 4.5 goals 6%

13% Over 5.5 goals 0%

63% Both teams scored 44%

38% Clean sheets 19%

0% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 19%

38% Draws 31%

13% Losses 50%

69% Over 0.5 goals 88%

44% Over 1.5 goals 25%

19% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home

1

3

L

2

W

1

5

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

D

2

1

W

5

W

1

W

3

1

W

St Pauli away

1

D

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

4

L

1

W

2

L

1

D

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Leverkusen – RB Leipzig	4–1 (2–0)	2.10	4.20	2.88	1.36	3.20
24.04.26	RB Leipzig – Union Berlin	3–1 (2–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.50	2.63
18.04.26	Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig	1–3 (1–1)	3.40	4.00	2.00	1.44	2.75
11.04.26	RB Leipzig – M'gladbach	1–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.75	5.50	1.44	2.75
04.04.26	Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	4.00	1.91	1.50	2.63
20.03.26	RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim	5–0 (4–0)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.36	3.20
15.03.26	Stuttgart – RB Leipzig	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.90	2.70	1.36	3.20
07.03.26	RB Leipzig – Augsburg	2–1 (0–1)	1.42	5.00	6.50	1.44	2.75
01.03.26	Hamburg – RB Leipzig	1–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.57	2.38
21.02.26	RB Leipzig – Dortmund	2–2 (2–0)	2.15	3.80	3.10	1.44	2.75

St Pauli all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.26	St Pauli – Mainz	1–2 (0–2)	2.63	3.30	2.60	2.10	1.73
25.04.26	Heidenheim – St Pauli	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.91	1.91
17.04.26	St Pauli – FC Koln	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.30	2.45	2.03	1.83
11.04.26	St Pauli – Bayern Munich	0–5 (0–1)	8.00	5.00	1.36	1.53	2.50
05.04.26	Union Berlin – St Pauli	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.50	1.53
22.03.26	St Pauli – Freiburg	1–2 (1–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.30	1.62
13.03.26	M'gladbach – St Pauli	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
08.03.26	St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.60	2.00	1.85
28.02.26	Hoffenheim – St Pauli	0–1 (0–1)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.80	2.00
22.02.26	St Pauli – Werder Bremen	2–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.30	1.62

RB Leipzig at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.04.26	RB Leipzig – Union Berlin	3–1 (2–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.50	2.63
11.04.26	RB Leipzig – M'gladbach	1–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.75	5.50	1.44	2.75
20.03.26	RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim	5–0 (4–0)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.36	3.20
07.03.26	RB Leipzig – Augsburg	2–1 (0–1)	1.42	5.00	6.50	1.44	2.75
21.02.26	RB Leipzig – Dortmund	2–2 (2–0)	2.15	3.80	3.10	1.44	2.75
15.02.26	RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg	2–2 (0–0)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.40	3.00
31.01.26	RB Leipzig – Mainz	1–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.53	2.50
17.01.26	RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich	1–5 (1–0)	5.00	4.75	1.55	1.30	3.50
14.01.26	RB Leipzig – Freiburg	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.57	2.38
20.12.25	RB Leipzig – Leverkusen	1–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.80	3.20	1.53	2.50

St Pauli away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Heidenheim – St Pauli	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.91	1.91
05.04.26	Union Berlin – St Pauli	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.50	1.53
13.03.26	M'gladbach – St Pauli	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
28.02.26	Hoffenheim – St Pauli	0–1 (0–1)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Leverkusen – St Pauli	4–0 (2–0)	1.45	3.75	6.50	1.88	1.98
31.01.26	Augsburg – St Pauli	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.10	2.30	1.62
17.01.26	Dortmund – St Pauli	3–2 (1–0)	1.33	5.25	10.00	1.67	2.20
14.01.26	Wolfsburg – St Pauli	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.93	1.93
21.12.25	Mainz – St Pauli	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.10	2.10	1.73
06.12.25	FC Koln – St Pauli	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.91	1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

RB Leipzig winsDrawsSt Pauli wins

3matches

1.33goals / match

0%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.01.26D1	St Pauli – RB Leipzig	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.73
09.02.25D1	RB Leipzig – St Pauli	2–0 (2–0)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
22.09.24D1	St Pauli – RB Leipzig	0–0 (0–0)	5.75	3.90	1.62	1.67	2.20

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	32	26	5	1	116	35	+81	83
2	Dortmund	33	21	7	5	68	34	+34	70
3	RB Leipzig	32	19	5	8	63	42	+21	62
4	Leverkusen	32	17	7	8	66	43	+23	58
5	Stuttgart	32	17	7	8	66	46	+20	58
6	Hoffenheim	32	17	7	8	64	48	+16	58
7	Freiburg	32	12	8	12	45	53	-8	44
8	Ein Frankfurt	33	11	10	12	59	63	-4	43
9	Augsburg	32	11	7	14	42	56	-14	40
10	Mainz	32	9	10	13	41	50	-9	37
11	M'gladbach	32	8	11	13	37	50	-13	35
12	Hamburg	32	8	10	14	36	51	-15	34
13	Union Berlin	32	8	9	15	37	57	-20	33
14	FC Koln	32	7	11	14	47	55	-8	32
15	Werder Bremen	32	8	8	16	37	57	-20	32
16	Wolfsburg	32	6	8	18	42	67	-25	26
17	St Pauli	32	6	8	18	27	55	-28	26
18	Heidenheim	32	5	8	19	38	69	-31	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	16	13	2	1	63	18	+45	41
2	Dortmund	17	13	2	2	40	16	+24	41
3	Stuttgart	16	11	3	2	27	15	+12	36
4	RB Leipzig	16	11	2	3	38	19	+19	35
5	Leverkusen	16	9	3	4	37	18	+19	30
6	Hoffenheim	16	9	2	5	34	21	+13	29
7	Freiburg	16	8	5	3	29	21	+8	29
8	Ein Frankfurt	16	7	3	6	27	25	+2	24
9	Augsburg	16	6	5	5	22	27	-5	23
10	Hamburg	16	5	6	5	22	20	+2	21
11	M'gladbach	16	5	6	5	20	24	-4	21
12	FC Koln	16	5	4	7	29	27	+2	19
13	Union Berlin	16	4	7	5	22	26	-4	19
14	Werder Bremen	16	5	4	7	19	29	-10	19
15	Mainz	16	4	5	7	20	22	-2	17
16	Heidenheim	16	4	5	7	23	35	-12	17
17	St Pauli	16	4	5	7	16	28	-12	17
18	Wolfsburg	16	2	4	10	21	31	-10	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	16	13	3	0	53	17	+36	42
2	Dortmund	16	8	5	3	28	18	+10	29
3	Hoffenheim	16	8	5	3	30	27	+3	29
4	Leverkusen	16	8	4	4	29	25	+4	28
5	RB Leipzig	16	8	3	5	25	23	+2	27
6	Stuttgart	16	6	4	6	39	31	+8	22
7	Mainz	16	5	5	6	21	28	-7	20
8	Ein Frankfurt	17	4	7	6	32	38	-6	19
9	Augsburg	16	5	2	9	20	29	-9	17
10	Wolfsburg	16	4	4	8	21	36	-15	16
11	Freiburg	16	4	3	9	16	32	-16	15
12	M'gladbach	16	3	5	8	17	26	-9	14
13	Union Berlin	16	4	2	10	15	31	-16	14
14	FC Koln	16	2	7	7	18	28	-10	13
15	Werder Bremen	16	3	4	9	18	28	-10	13
16	Hamburg	16	3	4	9	14	31	-17	13
17	St Pauli	16	2	3	11	11	27	-16	9
18	Heidenheim	16	1	3	12	15	34	-19	6

RB Leipzig St Pauli

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	32	1	31	3.6	1.1	26	5	1	116	35	83
2	5	Stuttgart	32	9	23	2.1	1.4	17	7	8	66	46	58
3	6	Hoffenheim	32	9	23	2.0	1.5	17	7	8	64	48	58
4	3	RB Leipzig	32	10	22	2.0	1.3	19	5	8	63	42	62
5	8	Ein Frankfurt	33	11	22	1.8	1.9	11	10	12	59	63	43
6	18	Heidenheim	32	10	22	1.2	2.2	5	8	19	38	69	23
7	16	Wolfsburg	32	11	21	1.3	2.1	6	8	18	42	67	26
8	7	Freiburg	32	12	20	1.4	1.7	12	8	12	45	53	44
9	14	FC Koln	32	12	20	1.5	1.7	7	11	14	47	55	32
10	2	Dortmund	33	14	19	2.1	1.0	21	7	5	68	34	70
11	4	Leverkusen	32	13	19	2.1	1.3	17	7	8	66	43	58
12	9	Augsburg	32	13	19	1.3	1.8	11	7	14	42	56	40
13	13	Union Berlin	32	13	19	1.2	1.8	8	9	15	37	57	33
14	12	Hamburg	32	14	18	1.1	1.6	8	10	14	36	51	34
15	15	Werder Bremen	32	14	18	1.2	1.8	8	8	16	37	57	32
16	10	Mainz	32	15	17	1.3	1.6	9	10	13	41	50	37
17	17	St Pauli	32	15	17	0.8	1.7	6	8	18	27	55	26
18	11	M'gladbach	32	16	16	1.2	1.6	8	11	13	37	50	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	16	0	16	3.9	1.1	13	2	1	63	18	41
2	3	RB Leipzig	16	4	12	2.4	1.2	11	2	3	38	19	35
3	6	Hoffenheim	16	4	12	2.1	1.3	9	2	5	34	21	29
4	14	FC Koln	16	4	12	1.8	1.7	5	4	7	29	27	19
5	18	Heidenheim	16	4	12	1.4	2.2	4	5	7	23	35	17
6	7	Freiburg	16	5	11	1.8	1.3	8	5	3	29	21	29
7	13	Union Berlin	16	5	11	1.4	1.6	4	7	5	22	26	19
8	16	Wolfsburg	16	5	11	1.3	1.9	2	4	10	21	31	10
9	17	St Pauli	16	5	11	1.0	1.8	4	5	7	16	28	17
10	2	Dortmund	17	7	10	2.4	0.9	13	2	2	40	16	41
11	8	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	10	1.7	1.6	7	3	6	27	25	24
12	4	Leverkusen	16	7	9	2.3	1.1	9	3	4	37	18	30
13	15	Werder Bremen	16	7	9	1.2	1.8	5	4	7	19	29	19
14	9	Augsburg	16	8	8	1.4	1.7	6	5	5	22	27	23
15	11	M'gladbach	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	6	5	20	24	21
16	12	Hamburg	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	5	6	5	22	20	21
17	5	Stuttgart	16	9	7	1.7	0.9	11	3	2	27	15	36
18	10	Mainz	16	10	6	1.2	1.4	4	5	7	20	22	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Stuttgart	16	0	16	2.4	1.9	6	4	6	39	31	22
2	1	Bayern Munich	16	1	15	3.3	1.1	13	3	0	53	17	42
3	8	Ein Frankfurt	17	5	12	1.9	2.2	4	7	6	32	38	19
4	6	Hoffenheim	16	5	11	1.9	1.7	8	5	3	30	27	29
5	9	Augsburg	16	5	11	1.2	1.8	5	2	9	20	29	17
6	10	Mainz	16	5	11	1.3	1.8	5	5	6	21	28	20
7	3	RB Leipzig	16	6	10	1.6	1.4	8	3	5	25	23	27
8	4	Leverkusen	16	6	10	1.8	1.6	8	4	4	29	25	28
9	12	Hamburg	16	6	10	0.9	1.9	3	4	9	14	31	13
10	16	Wolfsburg	16	6	10	1.3	2.2	4	4	8	21	36	16
11	18	Heidenheim	16	6	10	0.9	2.1	1	3	12	15	34	6
12	2	Dortmund	16	7	9	1.8	1.1	8	5	3	28	18	29
13	7	Freiburg	16	7	9	1.0	2.0	4	3	9	16	32	15
14	15	Werder Bremen	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	3	4	9	18	28	13
15	11	M'gladbach	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	3	5	8	17	26	14
16	13	Union Berlin	16	8	8	0.9	1.9	4	2	10	15	31	14
17	14	FC Koln	16	8	8	1.1	1.8	2	7	7	18	28	13
18	17	St Pauli	16	10	6	0.7	1.7	2	3	11	11	27	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.