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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.00 fair 3.24
Draw 4.75 fair 4.70
Away ✓ 1.55 fair 2.09
Under 2.5 3.50 fair 3.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.30 fair 1.41

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Bayern Munich
17 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 12
5 Corners 9
7 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.43
Expected goals 1.62 – 2.05
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 8.7% 1–1 8.5% 2–2 7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 32:19
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.76points / match
3.88scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 66:13
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 3.88
1.19 Goals conceded 0.76
3.19 Total goals 4.65
16.63 Shots 19.47
5.81 Shots on target 8.65
12.75 Shots faced 8.59
5.94 Corners 5.82
4.50 Corners against 3.53
9.56 Fouls 9.00
1.50 Yellow cards 1.94
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.71
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

63% Wins 88%
13% Draws 12%
25% Losses 0%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 100%
56% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 76%
19% Over 4.5 goals 41%
19% Over 5.5 goals 18%
44% Both teams scored 53%
50% Clean sheets 47%
13% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 65%
38% Draws 35%
19% Losses 0%
69% Over 0.5 goals 94%
44% Over 1.5 goals 76%
31% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.63points / match
2.63scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 21:6
Bayern Munich before this match, away
2.75points / match
3.38scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 27:6
RB Leipzig at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

2.63 Goals scored 3.38
0.75 Goals conceded 0.75
3.38 Total goals 4.13
17.63 Shots 18.75
7.50 Shots on target 8.50
11.00 Shots faced 8.75
5.88 Corners 5.25
4.38 Corners against 3.75
9.25 Fouls 8.63
1.25 Yellow cards 2.38
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

88% Wins 88%
0% Draws 13%
13% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
63% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 75%
13% Over 4.5 goals 38%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 63%
38% Draws 38%
13% Losses 0%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 63%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (1–2) 2.103.803.20 1.53 2.50
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
28.11.25 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.702.30 1.44 2.75
23.11.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
01.11.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.44 2.75
25.10.25 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0–6 (0–4) 3.203.902.05 1.44 2.75
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
11.01.26 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 8–1 (2–1) 1.1111.0017.00 1.20 4.50
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
06.12.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 5.755.001.45 1.33 3.40
29.11.25 Bayern Munich – St Pauli 3–1 (1–1) 1.1010.0021.00 1.25 4.00
22.11.25 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 3–0 (3–0) 1.227.009.50 1.25 4.00
25.10.25 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–0) 10.006.501.22 1.29 3.75

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (1–2) 2.103.803.20 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
23.11.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
01.11.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.44 2.75
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
20.09.25 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 3–1 (3–1) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.25 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 2–3 (2–1) 2.004.203.20 1.33 3.40
03.05.25 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 3–3 (2–0) 4.504.331.62 1.33 3.20

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
06.12.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 5.755.001.45 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
25.10.25 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–0) 10.006.501.22 1.29 3.75
04.10.25 Ein Frankfurt – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 6.255.251.42 1.29 3.75
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
30.08.25 Augsburg – Bayern Munich 2–3 (0–2) 9.006.501.27 1.33 3.40
17.05.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 5.005.251.50 1.29 3.75
03.05.25 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 3–3 (2–0) 4.504.331.62 1.33 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
9matches
4.56goals / match
89%over 2.5
89%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.25D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 6–0 (3–0) 1.227.009.00 1.25 4.00
03.05.25D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 3–3 (2–0) 4.504.331.62 1.33 3.20
20.12.24D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 (3–1) 1.207.5011.00 1.29 3.75
24.02.24D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
30.09.23D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
20.05.23D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.36 3.20
20.01.23D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–1 (0–1) 3.604.331.85 1.50 2.63
05.02.22D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 3–2 (2–1) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.20
11.09.21D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 15 2 0 66 13 +53 47
2 Dortmund 18 11 6 1 35 17 +18 39
3 Hoffenheim 17 10 3 4 35 21 +14 33
4 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32 19 +13 32
5 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32 25 +7 32
6 Leverkusen 17 9 2 6 34 25 +9 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38 39 -1 27
8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27 29 -2 23
9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23 26 -3 23
10 FC Koln 18 5 5 8 27 30 -3 20
11 M'gladbach 18 5 5 8 23 29 -6 20
12 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 27 38 -11 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21 34 -13 18
14 Hamburg 17 4 5 8 17 27 -10 17
15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18 33 -15 15
16 Heidenheim 18 3 4 11 17 39 -22 13
17 Mainz 18 2 6 10 18 31 -13 12
18 St Pauli 17 3 3 11 16 31 -15 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 39 7 +32 25
2 Dortmund 9 7 2 0 19 6 +13 23
3 RB Leipzig 8 7 0 1 21 6 +15 21
4 Stuttgart 8 6 1 1 12 10 +2 19
5 Hoffenheim 9 6 0 3 21 12 +9 18
6 Leverkusen 9 5 1 3 19 10 +9 16
7 Freiburg 8 4 3 1 16 10 +6 15
8 Hamburg 9 4 3 2 13 9 +4 15
9 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
10 Union Berlin 9 3 4 2 15 13 +2 13
11 Werder Bremen 8 3 3 2 11 15 -4 12
12 FC Koln 9 3 2 4 17 15 +2 11
13 Augsburg 9 3 2 4 10 16 -6 11
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 3 5 16 21 -5 9
15 M'gladbach 9 2 3 4 12 17 -5 9
16 Heidenheim 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9
17 St Pauli 7 2 1 4 8 15 -7 7
18 Mainz 9 1 3 5 7 12 -5 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 7 1 0 27 6 +21 22
2 Dortmund 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
3 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 14 9 +5 15
4 Stuttgart 9 4 1 4 20 15 +5 13
5 Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 15 15 0 13
6 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 4 3 23 27 -4 13
7 M'gladbach 9 3 2 4 11 12 -1 11
8 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 11 13 -2 11
9 Union Berlin 8 3 1 4 8 13 -5 10
10 Wolfsburg 8 3 1 4 11 17 -6 10
11 FC Koln 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
12 Freiburg 9 2 2 5 11 19 -8 8
13 Mainz 9 1 3 5 11 19 -8 6
14 Werder Bremen 9 1 3 5 10 19 -9 6
15 St Pauli 10 1 2 7 8 16 -8 5
16 Augsburg 8 1 1 6 8 17 -9 4
17 Heidenheim 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
18 Hamburg 8 0 2 6 4 18 -14 2

RB Leipzig   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 17 0 17 3.9 0.8 15 2 0 66 13 47
2 5 Stuttgart 17 4 13 1.9 1.5 10 2 5 32 25 32
3 16 Heidenheim 18 5 13 0.9 2.2 3 4 11 17 39 13
4 7 Ein Frankfurt 18 6 12 2.1 2.2 7 6 5 38 39 27
5 12 Wolfsburg 18 6 12 1.5 2.1 5 4 9 27 38 19
6 3 Hoffenheim 17 6 11 2.1 1.2 10 3 4 35 21 33
7 6 Leverkusen 17 6 11 2.0 1.5 9 2 6 34 25 29
8 8 Freiburg 17 6 11 1.6 1.7 6 5 6 27 29 23
9 13 Werder Bremen 17 6 11 1.2 2.0 4 6 7 21 34 18
10 9 Union Berlin 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 5 6 23 26 23
11 10 FC Koln 18 8 10 1.5 1.7 5 5 8 27 30 20
12 11 M'gladbach 18 8 10 1.3 1.6 5 5 8 23 29 20
13 15 Augsburg 17 7 10 1.1 1.9 4 3 10 18 33 15
14 18 St Pauli 17 7 10 0.9 1.8 3 3 11 16 31 12
15 4 RB Leipzig 16 7 9 2.0 1.2 10 2 4 32 19 32
16 14 Hamburg 17 8 9 1.0 1.6 4 5 8 17 27 17
17 17 Mainz 18 9 9 1.0 1.7 2 6 10 18 31 12
18 2 Dortmund 18 10 8 1.9 0.9 11 6 1 35 17 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 4.3 0.8 8 1 0 39 7 25
2 3 Hoffenheim 9 2 7 2.3 1.3 6 0 3 21 12 18
3 9 Union Berlin 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 3 4 2 15 13 13
4 12 Wolfsburg 10 3 7 1.6 2.1 2 3 5 16 21 9
5 16 Heidenheim 9 2 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9
6 8 Freiburg 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 4 3 1 16 10 15
7 10 FC Koln 9 3 6 1.9 1.7 3 2 4 17 15 11
8 11 M'gladbach 9 3 6 1.3 1.9 2 3 4 12 17 9
9 18 St Pauli 7 1 6 1.1 2.1 2 1 4 8 15 7
10 4 RB Leipzig 8 3 5 2.6 0.8 7 0 1 21 6 21
11 6 Leverkusen 9 4 5 2.1 1.1 5 1 3 19 10 16
12 13 Werder Bremen 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 3 2 11 15 12
13 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 2.1 0.7 7 2 0 19 6 23
14 5 Stuttgart 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 6 1 1 12 10 19
15 7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 4 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
16 14 Hamburg 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 2 13 9 15
17 15 Augsburg 9 5 4 1.1 1.8 3 2 4 10 16 11
18 17 Mainz 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 5 7 12 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stuttgart 9 0 9 2.2 1.7 4 1 4 20 15 13
2 1 Bayern Munich 8 0 8 3.4 0.8 7 1 0 27 6 22
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 8 2.3 2.7 3 4 3 23 27 13
4 17 Mainz 9 2 7 1.2 2.1 1 3 5 11 19 6
5 6 Leverkusen 8 2 6 1.9 1.9 4 1 3 15 15 13
6 13 Werder Bremen 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 1 3 5 10 19 6
7 15 Augsburg 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 1 6 8 17 4
8 16 Heidenheim 9 3 6 0.8 2.2 1 1 7 7 20 4
9 8 Freiburg 9 4 5 1.2 2.1 2 2 5 11 19 8
10 12 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 3 1 4 11 17 10
11 14 Hamburg 8 3 5 0.5 2.2 0 2 6 4 18 2
12 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
13 3 Hoffenheim 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 1 14 9 15
14 4 RB Leipzig 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 2 3 11 13 11
15 10 FC Koln 9 5 4 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
16 11 M'gladbach 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 2 4 11 12 11
17 18 St Pauli 10 6 4 0.8 1.6 1 2 7 8 16 5
18 9 Union Berlin 8 5 3 1.0 1.6 3 1 4 8 13 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44