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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hamburg 3–2 Union Berlin

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.25
Draw 3.25 fair 4.05
Away 2.90 fair 3.23
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hamburg Union Berlin
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 3
12 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (189 league matches this season so far).
Result Hamburg to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
HamburgDrawUnion Berlin
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hamburg before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.05scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:29
Union Berlin before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.24scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:34
Hamburg all matches all matches Union Berlin

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.24
1.45 Goals conceded 1.62
2.50 Total goals 2.86
13.15 Shots 13.05
4.85 Shots on target 3.57
13.85 Shots faced 11.95
3.85 Corners 5.52
5.00 Corners against 4.10
12.50 Fouls 13.14
2.40 Yellow cards 2.19
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 29%
35% Draws 33%
40% Losses 38%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 76%
50% Over 2.5 goals 57%
30% Over 3.5 goals 38%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 62%
30% Clean sheets 19%
40% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 24%
45% Draws 38%
35% Losses 38%
65% Over 0.5 goals 67%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg all matches
Union Berlin all matches
Hamburg before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.50scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:11
Union Berlin before this match, away
1.10points / match
1.00scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:17
Hamburg at home away Union Berlin

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.10 Goals conceded 1.70
2.60 Total goals 2.70
14.70 Shots 13.70
5.60 Shots on target 3.40
12.30 Shots faced 12.60
3.60 Corners 5.70
5.60 Corners against 3.80
12.40 Fouls 12.70
2.20 Yellow cards 1.50
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

40% Wins 30%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
50% Over 2.5 goals 40%
30% Over 3.5 goals 30%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
60% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 20%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
40% Draws 30%
30% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg at home
Union Berlin away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Heidenheim – Hamburg 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.502.45 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Hamburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 8.006.501.29 1.33 3.40
23.01.26 St Pauli – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.75 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Hamburg – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Freiburg – Hamburg 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.83 2.03
20.12.25 Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Hoffenheim – Hamburg 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.20 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Hamburg – Werder Bremen 3–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Hamburg – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.50
22.11.25 Augsburg – Hamburg 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.502.90 1.73 2.10

Union Berlin all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.02.26 Union Berlin – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.91 1.91
31.01.26 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.91
18.01.26 Stuttgart – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
15.01.26 Augsburg – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
20.12.25 FC Koln – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.50 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.93 1.93

Hamburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Hamburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 8.006.501.29 1.33 3.40
17.01.26 Hamburg – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.67 2.20
07.12.25 Hamburg – Werder Bremen 3–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Hamburg – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.50
08.11.25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.50 2.63
25.10.25 Hamburg – Wolfsburg 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Hamburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
29.08.25 Hamburg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80

Union Berlin away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Stuttgart – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
15.01.26 Augsburg – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 FC Koln – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.50 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Werder Bremen – Union Berlin 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.20
04.10.25 Leverkusen – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
21.09.25 Ein Frankfurt – Union Berlin 3–4 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Dortmund – Union Berlin 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hamburg winsDrawsUnion Berlin wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25D1 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 21 17 3 1 79 19 +60 54 WWWLDW
2 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 47 20 +27 51 WWWWWW
3 Hoffenheim 21 13 3 5 44 28 +16 42 WWWWWL
4 RB Leipzig 21 12 3 6 40 28 +12 39 WLWDLW
5 Stuttgart 21 12 3 6 38 28 +10 39 WWDWWL
6 Leverkusen 20 11 3 6 39 27 +12 36 WLLWWD
7 Freiburg 21 8 6 7 32 33 -1 30 WLDWLW
8 Ein Frankfurt 21 7 7 7 41 46 -5 28 DLDLLD
9 Union Berlin 21 6 7 8 26 34 -8 25 DDDLLD
10 FC Koln 21 6 5 10 30 34 -4 23 DLWLWL
11 Hamburg 20 5 7 8 21 29 -8 22 DLDDDW
12 M'gladbach 21 5 7 9 25 34 -9 22 WLDLDD
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 24 39 -15 22 LDDWWL
14 Mainz 22 5 6 11 25 37 -12 21 WLWWWL
15 Wolfsburg 21 5 4 12 29 44 -15 19 LWDLLL
16 Werder Bremen 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19 LDLLDL
17 St Pauli 21 4 5 12 20 35 -15 17 LLDDLW
18 Heidenheim 21 3 4 14 19 47 -28 13 DLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Dortmund 11 9 2 0 26 8 +18 29 WWWWWW
2 Bayern Munich 11 9 1 1 45 10 +35 28 WWDWLW
3 Stuttgart 10 7 2 1 14 11 +3 23 WLDWDW
4 Hoffenheim 10 7 0 3 24 13 +11 21 WWWWWW
5 RB Leipzig 10 7 0 3 23 13 +10 21 WWLWLL
6 Freiburg 10 6 3 1 19 11 +8 21 WWDWWW
7 Leverkusen 10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19 WWLWLW
8 Hamburg 10 4 4 2 15 11 +4 16 DWWDDD
9 Augsburg 11 4 3 4 14 19 -5 15 WWDDDW
10 FC Koln 11 4 2 5 19 17 +2 14 DLLWWL
11 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14 WDWDLL
12 Union Berlin 11 3 5 3 16 17 -1 14 DLWDLD
13 Werder Bremen 10 3 4 3 12 18 -6 13 WDLDLD
14 Mainz 11 3 3 5 12 13 -1 12 DLDWWW
15 St Pauli 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12 LLWDDW
16 M'gladbach 11 2 4 5 13 21 -8 10 WDLWLD
17 Wolfsburg 11 2 3 6 17 23 -6 9 LWLWDL
18 Heidenheim 11 2 3 6 10 24 -14 9 LWLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 2 0 34 9 +25 26 DWWWWD
2 Dortmund 11 6 4 1 21 12 +9 22 DWDDWW
3 Hoffenheim 11 6 3 2 20 15 +5 21 DLDWWL
4 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 17 15 +2 18 LDLWDW
5 Leverkusen 10 5 2 3 19 17 +2 17 WLWLWD
6 Stuttgart 11 5 1 5 24 17 +7 16 DLWWWL
7 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 5 3 24 28 -4 14 WLDLDD
8 M'gladbach 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12 WWLLDD
9 Union Berlin 10 3 2 5 10 17 -7 11 WLWDDL
10 Wolfsburg 10 3 1 6 12 21 -9 10 LDWLLL
11 FC Koln 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9 LLDLDL
12 Freiburg 11 2 3 6 13 22 -9 9 LLWLDL
13 Mainz 11 2 3 6 13 24 -11 9 LDDLWL
14 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 10 20 -10 7 LLLLWL
15 Werder Bremen 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6 LLDLLL
16 Hamburg 10 1 3 6 6 18 -12 6 LLLLDW
17 St Pauli 11 1 2 8 9 18 -9 5 LDDLLL
18 Heidenheim 10 1 1 8 9 23 -14 4 LWLLDL

Hamburg   Union Berlin

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 21 0 21 3.8 0.9 17 3 1 79 19 54 OOOOOO
2 5 Stuttgart 21 6 15 1.8 1.3 12 3 6 38 28 39 OOUOUO
3 18 Heidenheim 21 6 15 0.9 2.2 3 4 14 19 47 13 OOUOOU
4 3 Hoffenheim 21 7 14 2.1 1.3 13 3 5 44 28 42 OUOUOO
5 8 Ein Frankfurt 21 7 14 2.0 2.2 7 7 7 41 46 28 OOOOOU
6 15 Wolfsburg 21 7 14 1.4 2.1 5 4 12 29 44 19 OOUOUO
7 4 RB Leipzig 21 8 13 1.9 1.3 12 3 6 40 28 39 UOOUOO
8 7 Freiburg 21 8 13 1.5 1.6 8 6 7 32 33 30 OUOOUU
9 13 Augsburg 21 8 13 1.1 1.9 6 4 11 24 39 22 OUOOOU
10 2 Dortmund 22 10 12 2.1 0.9 15 6 1 47 20 51 OOOOOO
11 6 Leverkusen 20 8 12 1.9 1.4 11 3 6 39 27 36 OOUUOU
12 9 Union Berlin 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 6 7 8 26 34 25 OUUOOU
13 10 FC Koln 21 9 12 1.4 1.6 6 5 10 30 34 23 OOOOUO
14 14 Mainz 22 10 12 1.1 1.7 5 6 11 25 37 21 OOOOUO
15 17 St Pauli 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 4 5 12 20 35 17 OOUUOO
16 12 M'gladbach 21 10 11 1.2 1.6 5 7 9 25 34 22 OOUOUU
17 16 Werder Bremen 21 10 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 10 22 39 19 OOUUUU
18 11 Hamburg 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 7 8 21 29 22 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 11 0 11 4.1 0.9 9 1 1 45 10 28 OOOOOO
2 3 Hoffenheim 10 2 8 2.4 1.3 7 0 3 24 13 21 OOOOUO
3 9 Union Berlin 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 3 5 3 16 17 14 OOOOOU
4 15 Wolfsburg 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 2 3 6 17 23 9 OOOOUO
5 18 Heidenheim 11 3 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 6 10 24 9 OOOOOU
6 4 RB Leipzig 10 3 7 2.3 1.3 7 0 3 23 13 21 UOOUOO
7 7 Freiburg 10 3 7 1.9 1.1 6 3 1 19 11 21 OOUOOU
8 10 FC Koln 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 4 2 5 19 17 14 UUOOUO
9 12 M'gladbach 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 4 5 13 21 10 OUOOOU
10 17 St Pauli 10 3 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12 OUOUUO
11 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 2.4 0.7 9 2 0 26 8 29 UUOOOO
12 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 6 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14 UUUOOO
13 13 Augsburg 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 4 3 4 14 19 15 UUUUOO
14 6 Leverkusen 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 1 3 20 10 19 UOOUOU
15 11 Hamburg 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 2 15 11 16 UOOUUO
16 16 Werder Bremen 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 4 3 12 18 13 OUOOUU
17 5 Stuttgart 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 7 2 1 14 11 23 OOUOUU
18 14 Mainz 11 8 3 1.1 1.2 3 3 5 12 13 12 UUUOOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Stuttgart 11 0 11 2.2 1.5 5 1 5 24 17 16 OOOOOO
2 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 3.4 0.9 8 2 0 34 9 26 OOOOOO
3 14 Mainz 11 2 9 1.2 2.2 2 3 6 13 24 9 OOOOOO
4 8 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 8 2.2 2.5 3 5 3 24 28 14 OOUOOU
5 6 Leverkusen 10 3 7 1.9 1.7 5 2 3 19 17 17 OUOUOU
6 13 Augsburg 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 1 7 10 20 7 OOUOOU
7 18 Heidenheim 10 3 7 0.9 2.3 1 1 8 9 23 4 OOOOUO
8 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 1.9 1.1 6 4 1 21 12 22 UOUOOO
9 3 Hoffenheim 11 5 6 1.8 1.4 6 3 2 20 15 21 UUUOUO
10 4 RB Leipzig 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 3 3 17 15 18 OUOOUO
11 7 Freiburg 11 5 6 1.2 2.0 2 3 6 13 22 9 OOOUOU
12 15 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 2.1 3 1 6 12 21 10 OUOOOU
13 16 Werder Bremen 11 5 6 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6 UOUOUU
14 10 FC Koln 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9 UOUUOO
15 11 Hamburg 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 1 3 6 6 18 6 OUOOUU
16 17 St Pauli 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 1 2 8 9 18 5 OUUOOO
17 9 Union Berlin 10 6 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 5 10 17 11 UOUUUO
18 12 M'gladbach 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 4 12 13 12 OUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47