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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 1.84
Draw 3.80 fair 4.61
Away 4.33 fair 4.18
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim Union Berlin
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 10
11 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (171 league matches this season so far).
Result Hoffenheim to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
2.11scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 40:22
Union Berlin before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.26scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 24:30
Hoffenheim all matches all matches Union Berlin

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 1.26
1.16 Goals conceded 1.58
3.26 Total goals 2.84
13.05 Shots 13.00
4.95 Shots on target 3.63
12.32 Shots faced 12.58
5.16 Corners 5.32
5.26 Corners against 4.26
14.84 Fouls 13.11
2.00 Yellow cards 2.11
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

63% Wins 32%
16% Draws 32%
21% Losses 37%
95% Over 0.5 goals 89%
84% Over 1.5 goals 74%
63% Over 2.5 goals 58%
47% Over 3.5 goals 37%
26% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 58%
26% Clean sheets 21%
16% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 26%
26% Draws 37%
26% Losses 37%
89% Over 0.5 goals 68%
53% Over 1.5 goals 32%
16% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
Union Berlin all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 21:12
Union Berlin before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.00scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:14
Hoffenheim at home away Union Berlin

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.00
1.33 Goals conceded 1.56
3.67 Total goals 2.56
14.89 Shots 13.44
5.67 Shots on target 3.44
12.11 Shots faced 13.00
5.67 Corners 5.22
4.22 Corners against 3.89
15.44 Fouls 12.11
1.67 Yellow cards 1.44
1.56 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 33%
0% Draws 22%
33% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
78% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 22%
33% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 44%
22% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 22%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 22%
33% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
Union Berlin away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.26 Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim 0–2 (0–1) 3.703.602.00 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 1–3 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.802.70 1.50 2.63
14.01.26 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 5–1 (4–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.803.40 1.50 2.63
13.12.25 Hoffenheim – Hamburg 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.20 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.334.50 1.53 2.50
21.11.25 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.70 1.67 2.20
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00

Union Berlin all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.91
18.01.26 Stuttgart – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
15.01.26 Augsburg – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
20.12.25 FC Koln – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.50 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.802.70 1.50 2.63
14.01.26 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 5–1 (4–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
13.12.25 Hoffenheim – Hamburg 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.20 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.334.50 1.53 2.50
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
30.08.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 5.005.251.50 1.29 3.75

Union Berlin away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Stuttgart – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
15.01.26 Augsburg – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 FC Koln – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.50 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Werder Bremen – Union Berlin 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.20
04.10.25 Leverkusen – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
21.09.25 Ein Frankfurt – Union Berlin 3–4 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Dortmund – Union Berlin 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Augsburg – Union Berlin 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.503.40 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsUnion Berlin wins
9matches
3.67goals / match
78%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25D1 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–4 (0–2) 2.603.402.70 1.88 1.98
08.02.25D1 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–4 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.84 2.06
21.09.24D1 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.70 1.73 2.10
17.02.24D1 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
23.09.23D1 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 0–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.40 1.80 2.00
20.05.23D1 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 4–2 (2–1) 2.503.402.80 2.00 1.90
21.01.23D1 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 3–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.97 1.93
15.01.22D1 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–1 (1–1) 2.873.502.40 1.72 2.10
22.08.21D1 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.603.60 1.72 2.10

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 19 16 2 1 72 16 +56 50
2 Dortmund 19 12 6 1 38 17 +21 42
3 Hoffenheim 19 12 3 4 40 22 +18 39
4 RB Leipzig 19 11 3 5 37 25 +12 36
5 Stuttgart 19 11 3 5 36 26 +10 36
6 Leverkusen 18 10 2 6 35 25 +10 32
7 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 31 32 -1 27
8 Ein Frankfurt 19 7 6 6 39 42 -3 27
9 Union Berlin 19 6 6 7 24 30 -6 24
10 FC Koln 20 6 5 9 29 32 -3 23
11 M'gladbach 19 5 5 9 23 32 -9 20
12 Wolfsburg 20 5 4 11 28 42 -14 19
13 Augsburg 19 5 4 10 22 36 -14 19
14 Hamburg 18 4 6 8 17 27 -10 18
15 Werder Bremen 19 4 6 9 21 37 -16 18
16 Mainz 19 3 6 10 21 32 -11 15
17 St Pauli 19 3 5 11 17 32 -15 14
18 Heidenheim 19 3 4 12 17 42 -25 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 1 1 40 9 +31 25
2 Dortmund 9 7 2 0 19 6 +13 23
3 RB Leipzig 9 7 0 2 22 11 +11 21
4 Stuttgart 9 6 2 1 13 11 +2 20
5 Leverkusen 10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19
6 Hoffenheim 9 6 0 3 21 12 +9 18
7 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 18 11 +7 18
8 Hamburg 9 4 3 2 13 9 +4 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 18 15 +3 14
10 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
11 Union Berlin 10 3 4 3 15 16 -1 13
12 Augsburg 10 3 3 4 12 18 -6 12
13 Werder Bremen 9 3 3 3 11 17 -6 12
14 Mainz 10 2 3 5 10 13 -3 9
15 Wolfsburg 10 2 3 5 16 21 -5 9
16 St Pauli 9 2 3 4 9 16 -7 9
17 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 12 20 -8 9
18 Heidenheim 10 2 3 5 10 22 -12 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 32 7 +25 25
2 Hoffenheim 10 6 3 1 19 10 +9 21
3 Dortmund 10 5 4 1 19 11 +8 19
4 Stuttgart 10 5 1 4 23 15 +8 16
5 RB Leipzig 10 4 3 3 15 14 +1 15
6 Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 15 15 0 13
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 4 3 23 27 -4 13
8 M'gladbach 9 3 2 4 11 12 -1 11
9 Union Berlin 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
10 Wolfsburg 10 3 1 6 12 21 -9 10
11 FC Koln 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
12 Freiburg 10 2 3 5 13 21 -8 9
13 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7
14 Mainz 9 1 3 5 11 19 -8 6
15 Werder Bremen 10 1 3 6 10 20 -10 6
16 St Pauli 10 1 2 7 8 16 -8 5
17 Heidenheim 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
18 Hamburg 9 0 3 6 4 18 -14 3

Hoffenheim   Union Berlin

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 19 0 19 3.8 0.8 16 2 1 72 16 50
2 5 Stuttgart 19 5 14 1.9 1.4 11 3 5 36 26 36
3 18 Heidenheim 19 5 14 0.9 2.2 3 4 12 17 42 13
4 7 Freiburg 19 6 13 1.6 1.7 7 6 6 31 32 27
5 8 Ein Frankfurt 19 6 13 2.1 2.2 7 6 6 39 42 27
6 12 Wolfsburg 20 7 13 1.4 2.1 5 4 11 28 42 19
7 3 Hoffenheim 19 7 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 4 40 22 39
8 13 Augsburg 19 7 12 1.2 1.9 5 4 10 22 36 19
9 4 RB Leipzig 19 8 11 1.9 1.3 11 3 5 37 25 36
10 6 Leverkusen 18 7 11 1.9 1.4 10 2 6 35 25 32
11 9 Union Berlin 19 8 11 1.3 1.6 6 6 7 24 30 24
12 10 FC Koln 20 9 11 1.4 1.6 6 5 9 29 32 23
13 11 M'gladbach 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 5 5 9 23 32 20
14 15 Werder Bremen 19 8 11 1.1 1.9 4 6 9 21 37 18
15 16 Mainz 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 3 6 10 21 32 15
16 17 St Pauli 19 9 10 0.9 1.7 3 5 11 17 32 14
17 2 Dortmund 19 10 9 2.0 0.9 12 6 1 38 17 42
18 14 Hamburg 18 9 9 0.9 1.5 4 6 8 17 27 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 4.0 0.9 8 1 1 40 9 25
2 9 Union Berlin 10 2 8 1.5 1.6 3 4 3 15 16 13
3 18 Heidenheim 10 2 8 1.0 2.2 2 3 5 10 22 9
4 3 Hoffenheim 9 2 7 2.3 1.3 6 0 3 21 12 18
5 7 Freiburg 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 3 1 18 11 18
6 11 M'gladbach 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 3 5 12 20 9
7 12 Wolfsburg 10 3 7 1.6 2.1 2 3 5 16 21 9
8 4 RB Leipzig 9 3 6 2.4 1.2 7 0 2 22 11 21
9 10 FC Koln 10 4 6 1.8 1.5 4 2 4 18 15 14
10 17 St Pauli 9 3 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 4 9 16 9
11 6 Leverkusen 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 1 3 20 10 19
12 8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 5 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
13 13 Augsburg 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 3 4 12 18 12
14 15 Werder Bremen 9 4 5 1.2 1.9 3 3 3 11 17 12
15 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 2.1 0.7 7 2 0 19 6 23
16 5 Stuttgart 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 6 2 1 13 11 20
17 14 Hamburg 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 2 13 9 15
18 16 Mainz 10 7 3 1.0 1.3 2 3 5 10 13 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stuttgart 10 0 10 2.3 1.5 5 1 4 23 15 16
2 1 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 3.6 0.8 8 1 0 32 7 25
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 8 2.3 2.7 3 4 3 23 27 13
4 13 Augsburg 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7
5 16 Mainz 9 2 7 1.2 2.1 1 3 5 11 19 6
6 6 Leverkusen 8 2 6 1.9 1.9 4 1 3 15 15 13
7 7 Freiburg 10 4 6 1.3 2.1 2 3 5 13 21 9
8 12 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 2.1 3 1 6 12 21 10
9 15 Werder Bremen 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 1 3 6 10 20 6
10 18 Heidenheim 9 3 6 0.8 2.2 1 1 7 7 20 4
11 2 Dortmund 10 5 5 1.9 1.1 5 4 1 19 11 19
12 3 Hoffenheim 10 5 5 1.9 1.0 6 3 1 19 10 21
13 4 RB Leipzig 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 4 3 3 15 14 15
14 10 FC Koln 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
15 14 Hamburg 9 4 5 0.4 2.0 0 3 6 4 18 3
16 11 M'gladbach 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 2 4 11 12 11
17 17 St Pauli 10 6 4 0.8 1.6 1 2 7 8 16 5
18 9 Union Berlin 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40