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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.95 fair 2.42
Draw 3.70 fair 4.16
Away ✓ 3.75 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 1.96 fair 2.41
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.76 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Mainz
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 1
8 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (208 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.65scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 38:31
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.61scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 37:24
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.61
1.35 Goals conceded 1.04
3.00 Total goals 2.65
11.35 Shots 11.13
4.57 Shots on target 4.39
14.26 Shots faced 13.87
4.35 Corners 4.87
5.04 Corners against 5.43
11.48 Fouls 12.43
1.96 Yellow cards 2.52
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

43% Wins 48%
35% Draws 22%
22% Losses 30%
78% Over 0.5 goals 91%
70% Over 1.5 goals 83%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
43% Over 3.5 goals 22%
26% Over 4.5 goals 13%
22% Over 5.5 goals 9%
52% Both teams scored 43%
48% Clean sheets 39%
22% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 48%
39% Draws 30%
26% Losses 22%
70% Over 0.5 goals 74%
57% Over 1.5 goals 48%
35% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Mainz all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.91scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:13
Mainz before this match, away
1.55points / match
1.91scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:14
RB Leipzig at home away Mainz

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.91
1.18 Goals conceded 1.27
3.09 Total goals 3.18
13.36 Shots 9.55
5.64 Shots on target 3.91
10.64 Shots faced 17.45
6.36 Corners 3.64
3.82 Corners against 7.09
11.09 Fouls 12.45
1.64 Yellow cards 2.64
0.82 1st-half goals scored 1.18
0.91 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

55% Wins 45%
36% Draws 18%
9% Losses 36%
82% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
64% Over 2.5 goals 64%
55% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 27%
18% Over 5.5 goals 18%
55% Both teams scored 45%
45% Clean sheets 36%
18% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 55%
36% Draws 18%
36% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
36% Over 2.5 goals 36%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.25 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–2 (1–2) 1.335.008.50 1.50 2.63
14.02.25 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.90 2.00
09.02.25 RB Leipzig – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–2) 3.703.901.90 1.49 2.45
18.01.25 Bochum – RB Leipzig 3–3 (0–3) 3.703.602.00 1.73 2.10
15.01.25 Stuttgart – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.903.40 1.44 2.75
12.01.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 4–2 (2–1) 1.754.004.20 1.53 2.50
20.12.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 (3–1) 1.207.5011.00 1.29 3.75
15.12.24 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.20 1.53 2.50

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
11.01.25 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10
21.12.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–3 (0–2) 1.834.003.90 1.67 2.20
14.12.24 Mainz – Bayern Munich 2–1 (1–0) 6.504.501.48 1.53 2.50

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.25 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–2 (1–2) 1.335.008.50 1.50 2.63
09.02.25 RB Leipzig – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–2) 3.703.901.90 1.49 2.45
12.01.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 4–2 (2–1) 1.754.004.20 1.53 2.50
15.12.24 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.20 1.53 2.50
30.11.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 1–5 (0–3) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
09.11.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.335.25 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
14.09.24 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.67 2.20

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–3 (0–2) 1.834.003.90 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.303.50 1.84 2.06
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00
03.11.24 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 St Pauli – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.302.90 1.88 2.02
20.09.24 Augsburg – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 2.383.502.90 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsMainz wins
7matches
2.14goals / match
29%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
30.03.24D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
04.11.23D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 2–0 (0–0) 5.754.201.60 1.62 2.30
01.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–3 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
08.10.22D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.30 1.72 2.10
08.01.22D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 4–1 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10
15.08.21D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–0 (1–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 4 1 72 20 +52 61
2 Leverkusen 23 14 8 1 51 27 +24 50
3 Ein Frankfurt 23 12 6 5 49 33 +16 42
4 Freiburg 23 12 3 8 34 36 -2 39
5 Mainz 23 11 5 7 37 24 +13 38
6 RB Leipzig 23 10 8 5 38 31 +7 38
7 Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 42 37 +5 36
8 Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 46 37 +9 34
9 M'gladbach 23 10 4 9 35 35 0 34
10 Dortmund 23 9 5 9 43 38 +5 32
11 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 27 35 -8 31
12 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 35 47 -12 30
13 Union Berlin 23 6 5 12 20 36 -16 23
14 Hoffenheim 23 5 7 11 30 46 -16 22
15 St Pauli 23 6 3 14 18 27 -9 21
16 Bochum 23 4 5 14 23 46 -23 17
17 Heidenheim 23 4 3 16 27 47 -20 15
18 Holstein Kiel 23 3 4 16 34 59 -25 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 41 9 +32 34
2 Leverkusen 12 8 3 1 29 15 +14 27
3 Freiburg 11 8 1 2 24 13 +11 25
4 Dortmund 12 7 3 2 31 15 +16 24
5 Ein Frankfurt 11 7 3 1 29 14 +15 24
6 RB Leipzig 11 6 4 1 21 13 +8 22
7 Mainz 12 6 3 3 16 10 +6 21
8 Stuttgart 13 6 2 5 27 20 +7 20
9 M'gladbach 12 6 2 4 22 16 +6 20
10 Augsburg 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
11 Union Berlin 11 4 3 4 10 12 -2 15
12 Wolfsburg 12 3 5 4 22 22 0 14
13 Werder Bremen 11 3 4 4 15 20 -5 13
14 Bochum 11 3 3 5 12 18 -6 12
15 Hoffenheim 12 3 3 6 19 27 -8 12
16 Holstein Kiel 12 3 1 8 16 29 -13 10
17 St Pauli 11 2 3 6 7 12 -5 9
18 Heidenheim 11 2 1 8 9 20 -11 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 8 3 1 31 11 +20 27
2 Leverkusen 11 6 5 0 22 12 +10 23
3 Wolfsburg 11 6 2 3 24 15 +9 20
4 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 3 4 20 19 +1 18
5 Mainz 11 5 2 4 21 14 +7 17
6 Werder Bremen 12 5 2 5 20 27 -7 17
7 RB Leipzig 12 4 4 4 17 18 -1 16
8 Stuttgart 11 4 4 3 15 17 -2 16
9 M'gladbach 11 4 2 5 13 19 -6 14
10 Freiburg 12 4 2 6 10 23 -13 14
11 Augsburg 12 3 4 5 13 23 -10 13
12 St Pauli 12 4 0 8 11 15 -4 12
13 Hoffenheim 11 2 4 5 11 19 -8 10
14 Heidenheim 12 2 2 8 18 27 -9 8
15 Dortmund 11 2 2 7 12 23 -11 8
16 Union Berlin 12 2 2 8 10 24 -14 8
17 Bochum 12 1 2 9 11 28 -17 5
18 Holstein Kiel 11 0 3 8 18 30 -12 3

RB Leipzig   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 24 6 18 3.0 0.8 19 4 1 72 20 61
2 18 Holstein Kiel 23 5 18 1.5 2.6 3 4 16 34 59 13
3 7 Stuttgart 24 7 17 1.8 1.5 10 6 8 42 37 36
4 10 Dortmund 23 7 16 1.9 1.7 9 5 9 43 38 32
5 12 Werder Bremen 23 7 16 1.5 2.0 8 6 9 35 47 30
6 2 Leverkusen 23 8 15 2.2 1.2 14 8 1 51 27 50
7 3 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 15 2.1 1.4 12 6 5 49 33 42
8 4 Freiburg 23 8 15 1.5 1.6 12 3 8 34 36 39
9 8 Wolfsburg 23 8 15 2.0 1.6 9 7 7 46 37 34
10 9 M'gladbach 23 9 14 1.5 1.5 10 4 9 35 35 34
11 14 Hoffenheim 23 9 14 1.3 2.0 5 7 11 30 46 22
12 6 RB Leipzig 23 10 13 1.7 1.3 10 8 5 38 31 38
13 11 Augsburg 23 10 13 1.2 1.5 8 7 8 27 35 31
14 17 Heidenheim 23 10 13 1.2 2.0 4 3 16 27 47 15
15 13 Union Berlin 23 12 11 0.9 1.6 6 5 12 20 36 23
16 5 Mainz 23 13 10 1.6 1.0 11 5 7 37 24 38
17 16 Bochum 23 13 10 1.0 2.0 4 5 14 23 46 17
18 15 St Pauli 23 16 7 0.8 1.2 6 3 14 18 27 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 12 2 10 3.4 0.8 11 1 0 41 9 34
2 7 Stuttgart 13 3 10 2.1 1.5 6 2 5 27 20 20
3 2 Leverkusen 12 3 9 2.4 1.2 8 3 1 29 15 27
4 4 Freiburg 11 2 9 2.2 1.2 8 1 2 24 13 25
5 10 Dortmund 12 3 9 2.6 1.2 7 3 2 31 15 24
6 8 Wolfsburg 12 4 8 1.8 1.8 3 5 4 22 22 14
7 14 Hoffenheim 12 4 8 1.6 2.2 3 3 6 19 27 12
8 3 Ein Frankfurt 11 4 7 2.6 1.3 7 3 1 29 14 24
9 6 RB Leipzig 11 4 7 1.9 1.2 6 4 1 21 13 22
10 9 M'gladbach 12 5 7 1.8 1.3 6 2 4 22 16 20
11 12 Werder Bremen 11 4 7 1.4 1.8 3 4 4 15 20 13
12 18 Holstein Kiel 12 5 7 1.3 2.4 3 1 8 16 29 10
13 11 Augsburg 11 5 6 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
14 17 Heidenheim 11 5 6 0.8 1.8 2 1 8 9 20 7
15 13 Union Berlin 11 6 5 0.9 1.1 4 3 4 10 12 15
16 16 Bochum 11 7 4 1.1 1.6 3 3 5 12 18 12
17 5 Mainz 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 3 3 16 10 21
18 15 St Pauli 11 8 3 0.6 1.1 2 3 6 7 12 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 11 0 11 1.6 2.7 0 3 8 18 30 3
2 12 Werder Bremen 12 3 9 1.7 2.2 5 2 5 20 27 17
3 1 Bayern Munich 12 4 8 2.6 0.9 8 3 1 31 11 27
4 3 Ein Frankfurt 12 4 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 4 20 19 18
5 5 Mainz 11 4 7 1.9 1.3 5 2 4 21 14 17
6 7 Stuttgart 11 4 7 1.4 1.5 4 4 3 15 17 16
7 8 Wolfsburg 11 4 7 2.2 1.4 6 2 3 24 15 20
8 9 M'gladbach 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 4 2 5 13 19 14
9 10 Dortmund 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 2 2 7 12 23 8
10 11 Augsburg 12 5 7 1.1 1.9 3 4 5 13 23 13
11 17 Heidenheim 12 5 7 1.5 2.2 2 2 8 18 27 8
12 2 Leverkusen 11 5 6 2.0 1.1 6 5 0 22 12 23
13 4 Freiburg 12 6 6 0.8 1.9 4 2 6 10 23 14
14 6 RB Leipzig 12 6 6 1.4 1.5 4 4 4 17 18 16
15 13 Union Berlin 12 6 6 0.8 2.0 2 2 8 10 24 8
16 14 Hoffenheim 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 2 4 5 11 19 10
17 16 Bochum 12 6 6 0.9 2.3 1 2 9 11 28 5
18 15 St Pauli 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 4 0 8 11 15 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40