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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 4–1 Montpellier

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 2.02
Draw 4.00 fair 3.87
Away 4.75 fair 4.06
Under 2.5 2.06 fair 1.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.84 fair 2.18

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Montpellier
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 4
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (206 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.52 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawMontpellier
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.4% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.32scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 29:24
Montpellier before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.09scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:27
Marseille all matches all matches Montpellier

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.09
1.09 Goals conceded 1.23
2.41 Total goals 2.32
13.73 Shots 14.05
4.27 Shots on target 5.41
11.18 Shots faced 15.27
5.77 Corners 4.09
4.50 Corners against 4.95
11.00 Fouls 12.82
1.68 Yellow cards 1.95
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

32% Wins 23%
41% Draws 36%
27% Losses 41%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
41% Over 2.5 goals 50%
23% Over 3.5 goals 23%
9% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 41%
27% Clean sheets 36%
32% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 36%
45% Draws 23%
18% Losses 41%
73% Over 0.5 goals 77%
45% Over 1.5 goals 14%
14% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Montpellier all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.09points / match
1.64scored / match
0.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:6
Montpellier before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.10scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:15
Marseille at home away Montpellier

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.10
0.55 Goals conceded 1.50
2.18 Total goals 2.60
14.09 Shots 10.70
5.00 Shots on target 5.30
9.82 Shots faced 16.60
5.64 Corners 3.20
4.55 Corners against 6.20
9.55 Fouls 11.90
1.18 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

55% Wins 30%
45% Draws 10%
0% Losses 60%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 80%
45% Over 2.5 goals 50%
9% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 30%
55% Clean sheets 20%
18% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 40%
36% Draws 10%
9% Losses 50%
73% Over 0.5 goals 90%
45% Over 1.5 goals 20%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Montpellier away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
04.02.24 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
27.01.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.602.75 1.70 2.10
12.01.24 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.08 1.73
20.12.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
17.12.23 Marseille – Clermont 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
10.12.23 Lorient – Marseille 2–4 (1–4) 4.753.601.80 1.97 1.93
06.12.23 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05
03.12.23 Marseille – Rennes 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.80 1.84 2.06

Montpellier all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 Montpellier – Metz 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.704.75 2.15 1.67
11.02.24 Montpellier – Lyon 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.402.38 2.06 1.84
03.02.24 Rennes – Montpellier 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.50 1.86 2.04
28.01.24 Montpellier – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 2.01 1.89
14.01.24 Brest – Montpellier 2–0 (0–0) 1.833.754.20 1.99 1.91
20.12.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
17.12.23 Metz – Montpellier 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.302.25 2.08 1.73
08.12.23 Montpellier – Lens 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.15 2.00 1.90
03.12.23 Monaco – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.50 2.50
29.11.23 Montpellier – Clermont 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.00 1.90

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
27.01.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.602.75 1.70 2.10
12.01.24 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.08 1.73
17.12.23 Marseille – Clermont 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
06.12.23 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05
03.12.23 Marseille – Rennes 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.80 1.84 2.06
04.11.23 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01
08.10.23 Marseille – Le Havre 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.756.00 1.70 2.10
17.09.23 Marseille – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.38
26.08.23 Marseille – Brest 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.00 1.73 2.10

Montpellier away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Rennes – Montpellier 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.50 1.86 2.04
14.01.24 Brest – Montpellier 2–0 (0–0) 1.833.754.20 1.99 1.91
17.12.23 Metz – Montpellier 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.302.25 2.08 1.73
03.12.23 Monaco – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.50 2.50
03.11.23 Paris SG – Montpellier 3–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.10
22.10.23 Nantes – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 2.883.502.40 1.75 2.05
01.10.23 Lorient – Montpellier 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.502.38 1.80 2.00
17.09.23 Strasbourg – Montpellier 2–2 (0–2) 2.303.602.90 1.85 2.05
03.09.23 Lille – Montpellier 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
19.08.23 Lyon – Montpellier 1–4 (0–2) 1.704.204.33 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsMontpellier wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.23F1 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
31.03.23F1 Marseille – Montpellier 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
02.01.23F1 Montpellier – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
10.04.22F1 Marseille – Montpellier 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.25 1.72 2.10
08.08.21F1 Montpellier – Marseille 2–3 (2–0) 3.203.402.20 1.90 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 16 6 1 54 19 +35 54
2 Brest 23 12 7 4 34 18 +16 43
3 Monaco 23 12 5 6 44 34 +10 41
4 Nice 23 11 7 5 22 15 +7 40
5 Lille 23 10 8 5 33 20 +13 38
6 Lens 23 10 6 7 30 24 +6 36
7 Rennes 23 9 8 6 35 27 +8 35
8 Reims 23 10 4 9 30 31 -1 34
9 Marseille 22 7 9 6 29 24 +5 30
10 Lyon 23 8 4 11 25 35 -10 28
11 Toulouse 23 6 8 9 25 31 -6 26
12 Nantes 23 7 4 12 23 34 -11 25
13 Strasbourg 23 6 7 10 23 35 -12 25
14 Le Havre 23 5 9 9 24 30 -6 24
15 Montpellier 22 5 8 9 24 27 -3 23
16 Lorient 23 5 7 11 31 44 -13 22
17 Metz 23 4 5 14 19 37 -18 17
18 Clermont 23 3 8 12 16 36 -20 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 8 3 1 31 12 +19 27
2 Lille 11 8 2 1 21 4 +17 26
3 Nice 12 7 4 1 14 5 +9 25
4 Marseille 11 6 5 0 18 6 +12 23
5 Brest 11 6 4 1 18 7 +11 22
6 Rennes 12 6 3 3 25 16 +9 21
7 Lens 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20
8 Monaco 11 6 1 4 18 11 +7 19
9 Reims 11 5 2 4 13 13 0 17
10 Strasbourg 12 4 3 5 14 17 -3 15
11 Lyon 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
12 Le Havre 11 4 2 5 13 12 +1 14
13 Montpellier 12 2 7 3 13 12 +1 13
14 Lorient 12 3 4 5 19 21 -2 13
15 Nantes 12 3 3 6 14 17 -3 12
16 Toulouse 11 2 5 4 14 14 0 11
17 Clermont 11 1 4 6 6 15 -9 7
18 Metz 11 1 3 7 9 14 -5 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 11 8 3 0 23 7 +16 27
2 Monaco 12 6 4 2 26 23 +3 22
3 Brest 12 6 3 3 16 11 +5 21
4 Reims 12 5 2 5 17 18 -1 17
5 Lens 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
6 Nice 11 4 3 4 8 10 -2 15
7 Toulouse 12 4 3 5 11 17 -6 15
8 Rennes 11 3 5 3 10 11 -1 14
9 Lyon 11 4 1 6 10 16 -6 13
10 Nantes 11 4 1 6 9 17 -8 13
11 Lille 12 2 6 4 12 16 -4 12
12 Metz 12 3 2 7 10 23 -13 11
13 Montpellier 10 3 1 6 11 15 -4 10
14 Le Havre 12 1 7 4 11 18 -7 10
15 Strasbourg 11 2 4 5 9 18 -9 10
16 Clermont 12 2 4 6 10 21 -11 10
17 Lorient 11 2 3 6 12 23 -11 9
18 Marseille 11 1 4 6 11 18 -7 7

Marseille   Montpellier

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 23 7 16 1.9 1.5 12 5 6 44 34 41
2 1 Paris SG 23 8 15 2.3 0.8 16 6 1 54 19 54
3 16 Lorient 23 8 15 1.3 1.9 5 7 11 31 44 22
4 8 Reims 23 10 13 1.3 1.3 10 4 9 30 31 34
5 13 Strasbourg 23 10 13 1.0 1.5 6 7 10 23 35 25
6 14 Le Havre 23 10 13 1.0 1.3 5 9 9 24 30 24
7 7 Rennes 23 11 12 1.5 1.2 9 8 6 35 27 35
8 10 Lyon 23 11 12 1.1 1.5 8 4 11 25 35 28
9 11 Toulouse 23 11 12 1.1 1.3 6 8 9 25 31 26
10 15 Montpellier 22 11 11 1.1 1.2 5 8 9 24 27 23
11 17 Metz 23 12 11 0.8 1.6 4 5 14 19 37 17
12 18 Clermont 23 12 11 0.7 1.6 3 8 12 16 36 17
13 12 Nantes 23 13 10 1.0 1.5 7 4 12 23 34 25
14 2 Brest 23 14 9 1.5 0.8 12 7 4 34 18 43
15 5 Lille 23 14 9 1.4 0.9 10 8 5 33 20 38
16 6 Lens 23 14 9 1.3 1.0 10 6 7 30 24 36
17 9 Marseille 22 13 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 6 29 24 30
18 4 Nice 23 19 4 1.0 0.7 11 7 5 22 15 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 12 2 10 2.6 1.0 8 3 1 31 12 27
2 7 Rennes 12 3 9 2.1 1.3 6 3 3 25 16 21
3 13 Strasbourg 12 4 8 1.2 1.4 4 3 5 14 17 15
4 16 Lorient 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 4 5 19 21 13
5 3 Monaco 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 4 18 11 19
6 10 Lyon 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 3 5 15 19 15
7 11 Toulouse 11 5 6 1.3 1.3 2 5 4 14 14 11
8 14 Le Havre 11 5 6 1.2 1.1 4 2 5 13 12 14
9 15 Montpellier 12 6 6 1.1 1.0 2 7 3 13 12 13
10 6 Lens 11 6 5 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20
11 8 Reims 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 5 2 4 13 13 17
12 9 Marseille 11 6 5 1.6 0.5 6 5 0 18 6 23
13 17 Metz 11 6 5 0.8 1.3 1 3 7 9 14 6
14 2 Brest 11 7 4 1.6 0.6 6 4 1 18 7 22
15 5 Lille 11 7 4 1.9 0.4 8 2 1 21 4 26
16 12 Nantes 12 8 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 6 14 17 12
17 18 Clermont 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 1 4 6 6 15 7
18 4 Nice 12 10 2 1.2 0.4 7 4 1 14 5 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 12 2 10 2.2 1.9 6 4 2 26 23 22
2 8 Reims 12 4 8 1.4 1.5 5 2 5 17 18 17
3 18 Clermont 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 2 4 6 10 21 10
4 14 Le Havre 12 5 7 0.9 1.5 1 7 4 11 18 10
5 16 Lorient 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 6 12 23 9
6 10 Lyon 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 4 1 6 10 16 13
7 11 Toulouse 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 4 3 5 11 17 15
8 12 Nantes 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 4 1 6 9 17 13
9 17 Metz 12 6 6 0.8 1.9 3 2 7 10 23 11
10 1 Paris SG 11 6 5 2.1 0.6 8 3 0 23 7 27
11 2 Brest 12 7 5 1.3 0.9 6 3 3 16 11 21
12 5 Lille 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 2 6 4 12 16 12
13 13 Strasbourg 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 2 4 5 9 18 10
14 15 Montpellier 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 6 11 15 10
15 6 Lens 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
16 9 Marseille 11 7 4 1.0 1.6 1 4 6 11 18 7
17 7 Rennes 11 8 3 0.9 1.0 3 5 3 10 11 14
18 4 Nice 11 9 2 0.7 0.9 4 3 4 8 10 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44