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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: K Dowle

Notts County 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.40
Draw 3.40 fair 3.92
Away 3.00 fair 3.05
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Notts County Burton
20 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 1
2.29 Expected goals (xG) 0.11
7 Corners 1
13 Fouls 22
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (26 league matches this season so far).
Result Notts County to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
Notts CountyDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Notts County before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Burton before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:2
Notts County all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
3.00 Total goals 2.50
1.54 xG created 0.83
1.35 xG allowed 0.81
11.00 Shots 11.50
3.00 Shots on target 4.00
12.50 Shots faced 9.00
3.00 Corners 2.50
6.50 Corners against 2.50
16.50 Fouls 16.50
2.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Notts County all matches
Burton all matches
Notts County before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
Burton before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:1
Notts County at home away Burton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 3.00
2.28 xG created 0.71
0.77 xG allowed 1.09
16.00 Shots 13.00
2.00 Shots on target 6.00
11.00 Shots faced 13.00
3.00 Corners 3.00
5.00 Corners against 5.00
15.00 Fouls 19.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Notts County at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Notts County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
15.08.26 Notts County – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.401.96 2.03 1.83
02.05.26E3 Notts County – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 1.624.334.20 1.67 2.15
25.04.26E3 Colchester – Notts County 0–1 (0–0) 2.853.502.20 1.93 1.93
18.04.26E3 Notts County – Barnet 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.253.00 2.00 1.80
11.04.26E3 Cambridge – Notts County 4–0 (3–0) 1.793.304.50 2.25 1.62
06.04.26E3 Notts County – Newport County 3–1 (2–0) 1.494.005.75 1.80 2.00
03.04.26E3 Salford – Notts County 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85
28.03.26E3 Harrogate – Notts County 0–2 (0–1) 3.903.501.86 1.90 1.90
24.03.26E3 Oldham – Notts County 3–0 (1–0) 2.653.102.57 2.00 1.80

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
25.04.26 Burton – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.80 2.00
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
11.04.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Burton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 2.823.302.32 2.20 1.65

Notts County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Notts County – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.401.96 2.03 1.83
02.05.26E3 Notts County – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 1.624.334.20 1.67 2.15
18.04.26E3 Notts County – Barnet 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.253.00 2.00 1.80
06.04.26E3 Notts County – Newport County 3–1 (2–0) 1.494.005.75 1.80 2.00
21.03.26E3 Notts County – Cheltenham 5–2 (2–2) 1.493.905.75 1.93 1.93
14.03.26E3 Notts County – Chesterfield 2–3 (2–2) 2.013.403.40 1.98 1.88
28.02.26E3 Notts County – Grimsby 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.30 2.00 1.80
21.02.26E3 Notts County – Tranmere 5–0 (1–0) 1.663.754.75 1.88 1.98
07.02.26E3 Notts County – Barrow 2–1 (1–1) 1.514.105.25 1.80 2.00
03.02.26E3 Notts County – Gillingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.254.00 2.05 1.75

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Port Vale – Burton 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.402.85 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Bradford 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
3 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
4 Luton 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
5 Cambridge 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
6 Oxford 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
7 Burton 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
8 Bromley 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
9 Stockport 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
10 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
11 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
12 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
13 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
14 Peterboro 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
15 Notts County 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
16 Wycombe 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
17 Leicester 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
18 Reading 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Stevenage 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
20 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 Barnsley 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
22 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
23 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
24 Wigan 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
2 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
3 Bradford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Cambridge 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Mansfield 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Peterboro 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
8 Luton 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 Oxford 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
10 Bromley 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Burton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
12 Notts County 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Wycombe 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
15 Doncaster 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
16 Reading 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 0
17 Leicester 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
18 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Stockport 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
22 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
24 Wigan 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
3 Luton 1 1 0 0 4 3 +1 3
4 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
5 Burton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Bradford 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Bromley 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Leicester 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
11 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
12 Notts County 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
13 Cambridge 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Plymouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
16 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Wycombe 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
19 Reading 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
20 Wigan 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
21 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

Notts County   Burton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Blackpool 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
2 4 Luton 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
3 6 Oxford 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
4 9 Stockport 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
5 11 Mansfield 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
6 14 Peterboro 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
7 3 Huddersfield 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
8 5 Cambridge 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
9 7 Burton 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
10 10 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
11 12 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
12 13 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
13 15 Notts County 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
14 17 Leicester 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
15 18 Reading 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
16 19 Stevenage 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
17 20 Doncaster 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
18 22 Plymouth 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
19 23 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
20 24 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
21 2 Bradford 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
22 8 Bromley 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
23 16 Wycombe 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
24 21 Barnsley 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Blackpool 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
2 3 Huddersfield 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
3 4 Luton 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
4 5 Cambridge 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
5 6 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
6 9 Stockport 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
7 10 Leyton Orient 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
8 11 Mansfield 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 14 Peterboro 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
10 17 Leicester 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
11 18 Reading 1 0 1 3.0 4.0 0 0 1 3 4 0
12 19 Stevenage 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 22 Plymouth 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
14 2 Bradford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
15 7 Burton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 8 Bromley 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 12 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
18 13 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 15 Notts County 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 16 Wycombe 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
21 20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
22 21 Barnsley 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
23 23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 24 Wigan 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Blackpool 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
2 4 Luton 1 0 1 4.0 3.0 1 0 0 4 3 3
3 6 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 7 Burton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
5 9 Stockport 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
6 11 Mansfield 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
7 12 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 13 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 14 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
10 15 Notts County 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
11 20 Doncaster 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
12 23 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
13 24 Wigan 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
14 2 Bradford 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
15 3 Huddersfield 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 5 Cambridge 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 8 Bromley 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 10 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
19 16 Wycombe 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 17 Leicester 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
21 18 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
22 19 Stevenage 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 21 Barnsley 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 22 Plymouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40