Reading 5–1 Carlisle – England League One, 28 Nov 2023

Match facts

Reading Carlisle

16 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 5

13 Fouls 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (222 league matches this season so far).

Result Reading to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.08

Home / Draw / Away

41% 28% 31%

ReadingDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 42%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 12% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches

0.82points / match

1.00scored / match

1.71conceded / match

4 2 11

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:29

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.83points / match

0.78scored / match

1.17conceded / match

3 6 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 14:21

Reading all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.78

1.71 Goals conceded 1.17

2.71 Total goals 1.94

12.82 Shots 11.56

4.71 Shots on target 3.44

13.29 Shots faced 13.22

5.53 Corners 5.61

6.47 Corners against 5.17

11.88 Fouls 10.22

2.24 Yellow cards 1.89

0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.22

0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

24% Wins 17%

12% Draws 33%

65% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

71% Over 1.5 goals 67%

59% Over 2.5 goals 17%

29% Over 3.5 goals 11%

18% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

59% Both teams scored 44%

18% Clean sheets 6%

29% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 6%

41% Draws 61%

29% Losses 33%

76% Over 0.5 goals 56%

41% Over 1.5 goals 17%

24% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches

1

4

L

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

4

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

3

L

2

1

W

Carlisle all matches

2

L

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

D

Reading before this match, at home

1.38points / match

1.13scored / match

1.00conceded / match

3 2 3

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:8

Carlisle before this match, away

0.63points / match

0.75scored / match

1.25conceded / match

1 2 5

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:10

Reading at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.75

1.00 Goals conceded 1.25

2.13 Total goals 2.00

15.13 Shots 10.63

5.63 Shots on target 2.88

10.75 Shots faced 15.25

5.75 Corners 4.13

5.38 Corners against 6.75

12.63 Fouls 12.13

2.50 Yellow cards 2.25

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%

25% Draws 25%

38% Losses 63%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

63% Over 1.5 goals 50%

38% Over 2.5 goals 25%

13% Over 3.5 goals 25%

13% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 38%

38% Clean sheets 0%

25% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%

25% Draws 75%

38% Losses 13%

88% Over 0.5 goals 50%

13% Over 1.5 goals 25%

13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home

1

D

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

D

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

Carlisle away

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

L

2

D

1

D

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23	Wycombe – Reading	1–2 (1–2)	1.83	3.60	4.20	1.83	2.03
11.11.23	Shrewsbury – Reading	3–2 (1–2)	2.35	3.40	3.00	2.05	1.75
07.11.23	Reading – Bristol Rvs	1–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.70	1.73	2.08
28.10.23	Reading – Portsmouth	2–3 (2–2)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.85	2.00
24.10.23	Reading – Fleetwood Town	1–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.93	1.93
21.10.23	Charlton – Reading	4–0 (0–0)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.70	2.10
07.10.23	Leyton Orient – Reading	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.60	3.10	2.00	1.85
03.10.23	Northampton – Reading	3–1 (2–0)	2.38	3.60	2.90	2.00	1.85
30.09.23	Reading – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.80	3.75	2.00	1.85
23.09.23	Blackpool – Reading	4–1 (3–0)	1.85	3.60	4.20	1.98	1.88

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23	Carlisle – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.88	1.98
11.11.23	Carlisle – Bristol Rvs	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.38	1.98	1.88
28.10.23	Cambridge – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
24.10.23	Carlisle – Burton	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.05	1.75
21.10.23	Portsmouth – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.85	2.00
14.10.23	Carlisle – Leyton Orient	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.80	2.08	1.73
07.10.23	Bolton – Carlisle	1–3 (1–1)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.85	2.00
03.10.23	Carlisle – Peterboro	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.60	1.95	1.85	2.00
30.09.23	Wycombe – Carlisle	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
23.09.23	Carlisle – Derby	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.93	1.93

Reading at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.11.23	Reading – Bristol Rvs	1–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.70	1.73	2.08
28.10.23	Reading – Portsmouth	2–3 (2–2)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.85	2.00
24.10.23	Reading – Fleetwood Town	1–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.93	1.93
30.09.23	Reading – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.80	3.75	2.00	1.85
16.09.23	Reading – Bolton	2–1 (0–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.83	2.03
19.08.23	Reading – Stevenage	2–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.25	2.80	2.10	1.70
15.08.23	Reading – Cheltenham	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.50	5.00	2.00	1.85
05.08.23	Reading – Peterboro	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.60	2.30	1.98	1.88
29.04.23E1	Reading – Wigan	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.25	2.80	2.10	1.73
19.04.23E1	Reading – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.30	1.62

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.10.23	Cambridge – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
21.10.23	Portsmouth – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.85	2.00
07.10.23	Bolton – Carlisle	1–3 (1–1)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.85	2.00
30.09.23	Wycombe – Carlisle	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
16.09.23	Lincoln – Carlisle	1–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.30	4.33	2.10	1.70
09.09.23	Stevenage – Carlisle	2–2 (1–1)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80
26.08.23	Port Vale – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.20	1.98	1.88
12.08.23	Oxford – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.90	1.95
08.05.23E3	Sutton – Carlisle	1–1 (1–0)	3.40	3.40	2.15	2.05	1.75
22.04.23E3	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.63	2.50	1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bolton	18	12	3	3	37	18	+19	39
2	Portsmouth	18	11	6	1	29	16	+13	39
3	Oxford	18	11	3	4	31	18	+13	36
4	Stevenage	20	10	6	4	29	19	+10	36
5	Peterboro	19	10	5	4	37	20	+17	35
6	Derby	18	10	3	5	31	16	+15	33
7	Barnsley	18	9	4	5	34	20	+14	31
8	Blackpool	20	8	6	6	33	25	+8	30
9	Wigan	19	9	3	7	30	23	+7	30
10	Lincoln	20	8	6	6	26	20	+6	30
11	Charlton	18	7	5	6	30	25	+5	26
12	Bristol Rvs	18	6	6	6	24	23	+1	24
13	Shrewsbury	20	7	3	10	12	27	-15	24
14	Northampton	18	7	2	9	21	23	-2	23
15	Wycombe	18	6	4	8	23	27	-4	22
16	Leyton Orient	19	5	7	7	18	24	-6	22
17	Burton	19	5	5	9	16	27	-11	20
18	Cambridge	19	5	5	9	14	25	-11	20
19	Port Vale	18	5	4	9	14	27	-13	19
20	Exeter	18	5	3	10	12	29	-17	18
21	Fleetwood Town	18	4	4	10	18	31	-13	16
22	Carlisle	18	3	6	9	14	21	-7	15
23	Reading	17	4	2	11	17	29	-12	14
24	Cheltenham	18	3	3	12	10	27	-17	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bolton	10	7	1	2	23	13	+10	22
2	Portsmouth	10	6	3	1	14	10	+4	21
3	Peterboro	9	6	2	1	22	7	+15	20
4	Blackpool	11	6	2	3	22	13	+9	20
5	Charlton	10	6	1	3	21	13	+8	19
6	Shrewsbury	10	6	1	3	10	9	+1	19
7	Oxford	9	5	3	1	15	7	+8	18
8	Wigan	9	6	0	3	16	10	+6	18
9	Derby	9	5	2	2	15	6	+9	17
10	Stevenage	10	4	5	1	13	9	+4	17
11	Lincoln	9	4	3	2	15	8	+7	15
12	Cambridge	10	4	3	3	9	11	-2	15
13	Northampton	9	4	2	3	13	10	+3	14
14	Barnsley	9	4	1	4	19	12	+7	13
15	Bristol Rvs	8	3	4	1	14	8	+6	13
16	Burton	9	3	3	3	10	11	-1	12
17	Reading	8	3	2	3	9	8	+1	11
18	Wycombe	9	3	2	4	10	12	-2	11
19	Leyton Orient	9	3	2	4	9	14	-5	11
20	Carlisle	10	2	4	4	8	11	-3	10
21	Port Vale	8	3	0	5	6	8	-2	9
22	Exeter	9	2	3	4	5	9	-4	9
23	Cheltenham	9	2	2	5	5	13	-8	8
24	Fleetwood Town	9	2	1	6	8	17	-9	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stevenage	10	6	1	3	16	10	+6	19
2	Portsmouth	8	5	3	0	15	6	+9	18
3	Barnsley	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
4	Oxford	9	6	0	3	16	11	+5	18
5	Bolton	8	5	2	1	14	5	+9	17
6	Derby	9	5	1	3	16	10	+6	16
7	Peterboro	10	4	3	3	15	13	+2	15
8	Lincoln	11	4	3	4	11	12	-1	15
9	Wigan	10	3	3	4	14	13	+1	12
10	Leyton Orient	10	2	5	3	9	10	-1	11
11	Wycombe	9	3	2	4	13	15	-2	11
12	Bristol Rvs	10	3	2	5	10	15	-5	11
13	Blackpool	9	2	4	3	11	12	-1	10
14	Port Vale	10	2	4	4	8	19	-11	10
15	Fleetwood Town	9	2	3	4	10	14	-4	9
16	Northampton	9	3	0	6	8	13	-5	9
17	Exeter	9	3	0	6	7	20	-13	9
18	Burton	10	2	2	6	6	16	-10	8
19	Charlton	8	1	4	3	9	12	-3	7
20	Carlisle	8	1	2	5	6	10	-4	5
21	Cambridge	9	1	2	6	5	14	-9	5
22	Shrewsbury	10	1	2	7	2	18	-16	5
23	Cheltenham	9	1	1	7	5	14	-9	4
24	Reading	9	1	0	8	8	21	-13	3

Reading Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Blackpool	20	8	12	1.6	1.2	8	6	6	33	25	30
2	11	Charlton	18	6	12	1.7	1.4	7	5	6	30	25	26
3	1	Bolton	18	7	11	2.1	1.0	12	3	3	37	18	39
4	3	Oxford	18	7	11	1.7	1.0	11	3	4	31	18	36
5	9	Wigan	19	8	11	1.6	1.2	9	3	7	30	23	30
6	15	Wycombe	18	7	11	1.3	1.5	6	4	8	23	27	22
7	4	Stevenage	20	10	10	1.4	0.9	10	6	4	29	19	36
8	5	Peterboro	19	9	10	1.9	1.1	10	5	4	37	20	35
9	6	Derby	18	8	10	1.7	0.9	10	3	5	31	16	33
10	7	Barnsley	18	8	10	1.9	1.1	9	4	5	34	20	31
11	14	Northampton	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	7	2	9	21	23	23
12	21	Fleetwood Town	18	8	10	1.0	1.7	4	4	10	18	31	16
13	23	Reading	17	7	10	1.0	1.7	4	2	11	17	29	14
14	2	Portsmouth	18	9	9	1.6	0.9	11	6	1	29	16	39
15	10	Lincoln	20	12	8	1.3	1.0	8	6	6	26	20	30
16	12	Bristol Rvs	18	10	8	1.3	1.3	6	6	6	24	23	24
17	17	Burton	19	11	8	0.8	1.4	5	5	9	16	27	20
18	16	Leyton Orient	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	5	7	7	18	24	22
19	18	Cambridge	19	12	7	0.7	1.3	5	5	9	14	25	20
20	19	Port Vale	18	11	7	0.8	1.5	5	4	9	14	27	19
21	20	Exeter	18	11	7	0.7	1.6	5	3	10	12	29	18
22	13	Shrewsbury	20	14	6	0.6	1.4	7	3	10	12	27	24
23	24	Cheltenham	18	12	6	0.6	1.5	3	3	12	10	27	12
24	22	Carlisle	18	15	3	0.8	1.2	3	6	9	14	21	15

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bolton	10	2	8	2.3	1.3	7	1	2	23	13	22
2	8	Blackpool	11	3	8	2.0	1.2	6	2	3	22	13	20
3	11	Charlton	10	2	8	2.1	1.3	6	1	3	21	13	19
4	3	Oxford	9	3	6	1.7	0.8	5	3	1	15	7	18
5	7	Barnsley	9	3	6	2.1	1.3	4	1	4	19	12	13
6	9	Wigan	9	3	6	1.8	1.1	6	0	3	16	10	18
7	2	Portsmouth	10	5	5	1.4	1.0	6	3	1	14	10	21
8	5	Peterboro	9	4	5	2.4	0.8	6	2	1	22	7	20
9	6	Derby	9	4	5	1.7	0.7	5	2	2	15	6	17
10	14	Northampton	9	4	5	1.4	1.1	4	2	3	13	10	14
11	21	Fleetwood Town	9	4	5	0.9	1.9	2	1	6	8	17	7
12	4	Stevenage	10	6	4	1.3	0.9	4	5	1	13	9	17
13	10	Lincoln	9	5	4	1.7	0.9	4	3	2	15	8	15
14	12	Bristol Rvs	8	4	4	1.8	1.0	3	4	1	14	8	13
15	15	Wycombe	9	5	4	1.1	1.3	3	2	4	10	12	11
16	16	Leyton Orient	9	5	4	1.0	1.6	3	2	4	9	14	11
17	17	Burton	9	5	4	1.1	1.2	3	3	3	10	11	12
18	13	Shrewsbury	10	7	3	1.0	0.9	6	1	3	10	9	19
19	18	Cambridge	10	7	3	0.9	1.1	4	3	3	9	11	15
20	23	Reading	8	5	3	1.1	1.0	3	2	3	9	8	11
21	19	Port Vale	8	6	2	0.8	1.0	3	0	5	6	8	9
22	20	Exeter	9	7	2	0.6	1.0	2	3	4	5	9	9
23	24	Cheltenham	9	7	2	0.6	1.4	2	2	5	5	13	8
24	22	Carlisle	10	9	1	0.8	1.1	2	4	4	8	11	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Wycombe	9	2	7	1.4	1.7	3	2	4	13	15	11
2	23	Reading	9	2	7	0.9	2.3	1	0	8	8	21	3
3	4	Stevenage	10	4	6	1.6	1.0	6	1	3	16	10	19
4	3	Oxford	9	4	5	1.8	1.2	6	0	3	16	11	18
5	5	Peterboro	10	5	5	1.5	1.3	4	3	3	15	13	15
6	6	Derby	9	4	5	1.8	1.1	5	1	3	16	10	16
7	9	Wigan	10	5	5	1.4	1.3	3	3	4	14	13	12
8	14	Northampton	9	4	5	0.9	1.4	3	0	6	8	13	9
9	19	Port Vale	10	5	5	0.8	1.9	2	4	4	8	19	10
10	20	Exeter	9	4	5	0.8	2.2	3	0	6	7	20	9
11	21	Fleetwood Town	9	4	5	1.1	1.6	2	3	4	10	14	9
12	2	Portsmouth	8	4	4	1.9	0.8	5	3	0	15	6	18
13	7	Barnsley	9	5	4	1.7	0.9	5	3	1	15	8	18
14	8	Blackpool	9	5	4	1.2	1.3	2	4	3	11	12	10
15	10	Lincoln	11	7	4	1.0	1.1	4	3	4	11	12	15
16	11	Charlton	8	4	4	1.1	1.5	1	4	3	9	12	7
17	12	Bristol Rvs	10	6	4	1.0	1.5	3	2	5	10	15	11
18	17	Burton	10	6	4	0.6	1.6	2	2	6	6	16	8
19	18	Cambridge	9	5	4	0.6	1.6	1	2	6	5	14	5
20	24	Cheltenham	9	5	4	0.6	1.6	1	1	7	5	14	4
21	1	Bolton	8	5	3	1.8	0.6	5	2	1	14	5	17
22	13	Shrewsbury	10	7	3	0.2	1.8	1	2	7	2	18	5
23	16	Leyton Orient	10	7	3	0.9	1.0	2	5	3	9	10	11
24	22	Carlisle	8	6	2	0.8	1.2	1	2	5	6	10	5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.