Accrington 2–1 Forest Green – England League One, 4 Mar 2023

Match facts

Accrington Forest Green

17 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 3

9 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (395 league matches this season so far).

Result Accrington to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.06

Home / Draw / Away

49% 25% 26%

AccringtonDrawForest Green

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

0.84scored / match

1.52conceded / match

7 10 14

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 26:47

Forest Green before this match, all matches

0.68points / match

0.76scored / match

1.88conceded / match

5 8 21

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 26:64

Accrington all matches all matches Forest Green

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 0.76

1.52 Goals conceded 1.88

2.35 Total goals 2.65

12.32 Shots 9.38

3.35 Shots on target 3.06

12.74 Shots faced 13.18

5.19 Corners 4.38

5.32 Corners against 6.26

11.55 Fouls 10.76

2.42 Yellow cards 2.24

0.16 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

23% Wins 15%

32% Draws 24%

45% Losses 62%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

68% Over 1.5 goals 82%

39% Over 2.5 goals 50%

23% Over 3.5 goals 24%

6% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

39% Both teams scored 56%

29% Clean sheets 6%

42% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 21%

42% Draws 29%

45% Losses 50%

61% Over 0.5 goals 79%

19% Over 1.5 goals 35%

6% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches

2

L

4

L

2

W

1

3

L

3

L

1

D

2

L

1

W

D

Forest Green all matches

1

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

2

L

1

D

1

L

4

L

1

D

Accrington before this match, at home

1.13points / match

1.13scored / match

1.53conceded / match

4 5 6

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:23

Forest Green before this match, away

0.59points / match

0.82scored / match

2.06conceded / match

1 7 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 14:35

Accrington at home away Forest Green

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.82

1.53 Goals conceded 2.06

2.67 Total goals 2.88

12.20 Shots 8.82

3.53 Shots on target 2.76

13.40 Shots faced 14.82

4.40 Corners 4.18

5.80 Corners against 6.47

10.53 Fouls 10.29

2.33 Yellow cards 2.12

0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

27% Wins 6%

33% Draws 41%

40% Losses 53%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 88%

40% Over 2.5 goals 47%

27% Over 3.5 goals 35%

13% Over 4.5 goals 18%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

40% Both teams scored 65%

27% Clean sheets 0%

40% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 18%

33% Draws 35%

47% Losses 47%

67% Over 0.5 goals 71%

13% Over 1.5 goals 35%

0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home

3

1

W

3

L

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

2

W

3

L

2

L

1

W

Forest Green away

1

D

2

L

1

D

4

L

1

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Burton – Accrington	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	4.00	4.00	1.90	1.95
18.02.23	Accrington – Shrewsbury	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.30	2.30	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Accrington – Wycombe	0–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.98	1.88
11.02.23	Cheltenham – Accrington	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.70
07.02.23	Port Vale – Accrington	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.75
04.02.23	Accrington – Lincoln	0–3 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.02	1.83
21.01.23	Barnsley – Accrington	3–1 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.90	1.95
14.01.23	Accrington – Bristol Rvs	2–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.38	1.90	1.95
02.01.23	Derby – Accrington	4–0 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
29.12.22	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.20	2.30	2.00	1.85

Forest Green all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Forest Green – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.20	1.70
18.02.23	Ipswich – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.62	2.25
14.02.23	Forest Green – Charlton	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.30	2.38	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Morecambe – Forest Green	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	2.05	1.75
04.02.23	Forest Green – Peterboro	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.80	1.83	1.75	2.05
28.01.23	Shrewsbury – Forest Green	2–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.40	4.50	2.10	1.70
24.01.23	Bolton – Forest Green	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.85	2.00
21.01.23	Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.98	1.88
14.01.23	Exeter – Forest Green	1–1 (0–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.90	1.95
01.01.23	Forest Green – Port Vale	1–3 (1–0)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.02	1.83

Accrington at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Accrington – Shrewsbury	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.30	2.30	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Accrington – Wycombe	0–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.98	1.88
04.02.23	Accrington – Lincoln	0–3 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.02	1.83
14.01.23	Accrington – Bristol Rvs	2–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.38	1.90	1.95
26.12.22	Accrington – Barnsley	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Accrington – Oxford	1–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.85	2.00
12.11.22	Accrington – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–1)	5.50	4.00	1.60	1.72	2.07
22.10.22	Accrington – Bolton	2–3 (1–0)	3.00	3.25	2.40	1.93	1.93
15.10.22	Accrington – Derby	0–3 (0–2)	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.90	1.95
01.10.22	Accrington – Morecambe	3–1 (0–0)	1.66	3.60	5.25	1.88	1.98

Forest Green away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Ipswich – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.62	2.25
11.02.23	Morecambe – Forest Green	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	2.05	1.75
28.01.23	Shrewsbury – Forest Green	2–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.40	4.50	2.10	1.70
24.01.23	Bolton – Forest Green	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.85	2.00
14.01.23	Exeter – Forest Green	1–1 (0–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.90	1.95
26.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons – Forest Green	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.33	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Derby – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.50	1.73	2.08
19.11.22	Oxford – Forest Green	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.72	2.07
29.10.22	Barnsley – Forest Green	2–0 (1–0)	1.61	4.00	5.50	1.98	1.88
25.10.22	Fleetwood Town – Forest Green	1–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Accrington winsDrawsForest Green wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.09.22E2	Forest Green – Accrington	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.40	2.90	1.85	2.00

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	32	21	8	3	59	22	+37	71
2	Plymouth	33	20	8	5	59	37	+22	68
3	Ipswich	33	17	12	4	61	31	+30	63
4	Bolton	36	18	9	9	51	28	+23	63
5	Derby	33	17	9	7	53	29	+24	60
6	Barnsley	31	18	5	8	49	28	+21	59
7	Wycombe	32	16	5	11	44	31	+13	53
8	Peterboro	32	16	3	13	53	40	+13	51
9	Shrewsbury	33	15	6	12	41	34	+7	51
10	Portsmouth	32	12	12	8	44	37	+7	48
11	Fleetwood Town	33	10	12	11	36	34	+2	42
12	Exeter	33	11	9	13	44	43	+1	42
13	Charlton	33	10	11	12	45	44	+1	41
14	Lincoln	32	8	17	7	31	33	-2	41
15	Bristol Rvs	33	11	8	14	47	55	-8	41
16	Port Vale	34	11	7	16	34	49	-15	40
17	Oxford	34	9	9	16	36	44	-8	36
18	Burton	32	9	8	15	40	58	-18	35
19	Cheltenham	33	9	6	18	25	46	-21	33
20	Morecambe	34	7	11	16	33	53	-20	32
21	Accrington	31	7	10	14	26	47	-21	31
22	Milton Keynes Dons	34	8	6	20	31	53	-22	30
23	Cambridge	33	8	5	20	26	54	-28	29
24	Forest Green	34	5	8	21	26	64	-38	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	16	14	1	1	32	12	+20	43
2	Sheffield Weds	17	12	4	1	40	13	+27	40
3	Bolton	18	12	4	2	28	9	+19	40
4	Derby	17	12	3	2	35	12	+23	39
5	Ipswich	16	9	6	1	33	12	+21	33
6	Peterboro	16	10	2	4	31	17	+14	32
7	Barnsley	15	10	1	4	26	15	+11	31
8	Wycombe	16	9	3	4	25	15	+10	30
9	Portsmouth	17	7	8	2	28	17	+11	29
10	Shrewsbury	17	9	2	6	25	21	+4	29
11	Morecambe	18	6	7	5	23	21	+2	25
12	Charlton	17	6	5	6	28	22	+6	23
13	Exeter	16	6	5	5	22	19	+3	23
14	Lincoln	16	3	13	0	15	11	+4	22
15	Port Vale	17	6	4	7	17	22	-5	22
16	Cambridge	16	6	3	7	15	19	-4	21
17	Fleetwood Town	17	5	5	7	16	17	-1	20
18	Bristol Rvs	16	5	5	6	22	26	-4	20
19	Burton	16	5	5	6	17	23	-6	20
20	Oxford	17	5	3	9	20	23	-3	18
21	Cheltenham	15	5	3	7	13	20	-7	18
22	Accrington	15	4	5	6	17	23	-6	17
23	Forest Green	17	4	1	12	12	29	-17	13
24	Milton Keynes Dons	17	2	4	11	11	25	-14	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	15	9	4	2	19	9	+10	31
2	Ipswich	17	8	6	3	28	19	+9	30
3	Barnsley	16	8	4	4	23	13	+10	28
4	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	27	25	+2	25
5	Bolton	18	6	5	7	23	19	+4	23
6	Wycombe	16	7	2	7	19	16	+3	23
7	Fleetwood Town	16	5	7	4	20	17	+3	22
8	Shrewsbury	16	6	4	6	16	13	+3	22
9	Derby	16	5	6	5	18	17	+1	21
10	Bristol Rvs	17	6	3	8	25	29	-4	21
11	Milton Keynes Dons	17	6	2	9	20	28	-8	20
12	Peterboro	16	6	1	9	22	23	-1	19
13	Exeter	17	5	4	8	22	24	-2	19
14	Portsmouth	15	5	4	6	16	20	-4	19
15	Lincoln	16	5	4	7	16	22	-6	19
16	Charlton	16	4	6	6	17	22	-5	18
17	Oxford	17	4	6	7	16	21	-5	18
18	Port Vale	17	5	3	9	17	27	-10	18
19	Burton	16	4	3	9	23	35	-12	15
20	Cheltenham	18	4	3	11	12	26	-14	15
21	Accrington	16	3	5	8	9	24	-15	14
22	Forest Green	17	1	7	9	14	35	-21	10
23	Cambridge	17	2	2	13	11	35	-24	8
24	Morecambe	16	1	4	11	10	32	-22	7

Accrington Forest Green

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Bristol Rvs	33	13	20	1.4	1.7	11	8	14	47	55	41
2	2	Plymouth	33	14	19	1.8	1.1	20	8	5	59	37	68
3	8	Peterboro	32	13	19	1.7	1.2	16	3	13	53	40	51
4	3	Ipswich	33	15	18	1.8	0.9	17	12	4	61	31	63
5	16	Port Vale	34	17	17	1.0	1.4	11	7	16	34	49	40
6	18	Burton	32	15	17	1.2	1.8	9	8	15	40	58	35
7	20	Morecambe	34	17	17	1.0	1.6	7	11	16	33	53	32
8	24	Forest Green	34	17	17	0.8	1.9	5	8	21	26	64	23
9	5	Derby	33	17	16	1.6	0.9	17	9	7	53	29	60
10	4	Bolton	36	21	15	1.4	0.8	18	9	9	51	28	63
11	6	Barnsley	31	16	15	1.6	0.9	18	5	8	49	28	59
12	13	Charlton	33	18	15	1.4	1.3	10	11	12	45	44	41
13	17	Oxford	34	19	15	1.1	1.3	9	9	16	36	44	36
14	23	Cambridge	33	18	15	0.8	1.6	8	5	20	26	54	29
15	7	Wycombe	32	18	14	1.4	1.0	16	5	11	44	31	53
16	9	Shrewsbury	33	19	14	1.2	1.0	15	6	12	41	34	51
17	10	Portsmouth	32	18	14	1.4	1.2	12	12	8	44	37	48
18	11	Fleetwood Town	33	19	14	1.1	1.0	10	12	11	36	34	42
19	22	Milton Keynes Dons	34	20	14	0.9	1.6	8	6	20	31	53	30
20	1	Sheffield Weds	32	19	13	1.8	0.7	21	8	3	59	22	71
21	12	Exeter	33	20	13	1.3	1.3	11	9	13	44	43	42
22	19	Cheltenham	33	20	13	0.8	1.4	9	6	18	25	46	33
23	21	Accrington	31	19	12	0.8	1.5	7	10	14	26	47	31
24	14	Lincoln	32	24	8	1.0	1.0	8	17	7	31	33	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Derby	17	7	10	2.1	0.7	12	3	2	35	12	39
2	8	Peterboro	16	6	10	1.9	1.1	10	2	4	31	17	32
3	17	Oxford	17	7	10	1.2	1.4	5	3	9	20	23	18
4	1	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	2.4	0.8	12	4	1	40	13	40
5	2	Plymouth	16	7	9	2.0	0.8	14	1	1	32	12	43
6	3	Ipswich	16	7	9	2.1	0.8	9	6	1	33	12	33
7	9	Shrewsbury	17	8	9	1.5	1.2	9	2	6	25	21	29
8	15	Bristol Rvs	16	7	9	1.4	1.6	5	5	6	22	26	20
9	24	Forest Green	17	8	9	0.7	1.7	4	1	12	12	29	13
10	6	Barnsley	15	7	8	1.7	1.0	10	1	4	26	15	31
11	10	Portsmouth	17	9	8	1.6	1.0	7	8	2	28	17	29
12	13	Charlton	17	9	8	1.6	1.3	6	5	6	28	22	23
13	16	Port Vale	17	9	8	1.0	1.3	6	4	7	17	22	22
14	20	Morecambe	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	6	7	5	23	21	25
15	4	Bolton	18	11	7	1.6	0.5	12	4	2	28	9	40
16	7	Wycombe	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	9	3	4	25	15	30
17	12	Exeter	16	9	7	1.4	1.2	6	5	5	22	19	23
18	11	Fleetwood Town	17	11	6	0.9	1.0	5	5	7	16	17	20
19	18	Burton	16	10	6	1.1	1.4	5	5	6	17	23	20
20	19	Cheltenham	15	9	6	0.9	1.3	5	3	7	13	20	18
21	21	Accrington	15	9	6	1.1	1.5	4	5	6	17	23	17
22	23	Cambridge	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	7	15	19	21
23	22	Milton Keynes Dons	17	12	5	0.6	1.5	2	4	11	11	25	10
24	14	Lincoln	16	14	2	0.9	0.7	3	13	0	15	11	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Bristol Rvs	17	6	11	1.5	1.7	6	3	8	25	29	21
2	18	Burton	16	5	11	1.4	2.2	4	3	9	23	35	15
3	2	Plymouth	17	7	10	1.6	1.5	6	7	4	27	25	25
4	3	Ipswich	17	8	9	1.6	1.1	8	6	3	28	19	30
5	8	Peterboro	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	1	9	22	23	19
6	16	Port Vale	17	8	9	1.0	1.6	5	3	9	17	27	18
7	20	Morecambe	16	7	9	0.6	2.0	1	4	11	10	32	7
8	22	Milton Keynes Dons	17	8	9	1.2	1.6	6	2	9	20	28	20
9	23	Cambridge	17	8	9	0.6	2.1	2	2	13	11	35	8
10	4	Bolton	18	10	8	1.3	1.1	6	5	7	23	19	23
11	11	Fleetwood Town	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	5	7	4	20	17	22
12	24	Forest Green	17	9	8	0.8	2.1	1	7	9	14	35	10
13	6	Barnsley	16	9	7	1.4	0.8	8	4	4	23	13	28
14	7	Wycombe	16	9	7	1.2	1.0	7	2	7	19	16	23
15	13	Charlton	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	4	6	6	17	22	18
16	19	Cheltenham	18	11	7	0.7	1.4	4	3	11	12	26	15
17	5	Derby	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	5	6	5	18	17	21
18	10	Portsmouth	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	5	4	6	16	20	19
19	12	Exeter	17	11	6	1.3	1.4	5	4	8	22	24	19
20	14	Lincoln	16	10	6	1.0	1.4	5	4	7	16	22	19
21	21	Accrington	16	10	6	0.6	1.5	3	5	8	9	24	14
22	9	Shrewsbury	16	11	5	1.0	0.8	6	4	6	16	13	22
23	17	Oxford	17	12	5	0.9	1.2	4	6	7	16	21	18
24	1	Sheffield Weds	15	11	4	1.3	0.6	9	4	2	19	9	31

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.