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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Wright

Burton 1–0 Cheltenham

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.64
Draw 3.40 fair 3.85
Away 3.60 fair 2.77
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Cheltenham
16 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 1
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (161 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawCheltenham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.3% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
1.14scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:29
Cheltenham before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
0.92scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:19
Burton all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.92
2.07 Goals conceded 1.46
3.21 Total goals 2.38
12.21 Shots 9.92
3.36 Shots on target 3.15
14.57 Shots faced 12.15
5.71 Corners 3.85
5.57 Corners against 5.15
11.14 Fouls 10.46
1.36 Yellow cards 2.38
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

14% Wins 31%
21% Draws 15%
64% Losses 54%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
86% Over 1.5 goals 62%
50% Over 2.5 goals 46%
29% Over 3.5 goals 23%
21% Over 4.5 goals 15%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 38%
7% Clean sheets 31%
43% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 15%
43% Draws 38%
29% Losses 46%
57% Over 0.5 goals 62%
29% Over 1.5 goals 23%
21% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Cheltenham all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.57points / match
0.57scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:13
Cheltenham before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.50scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:7
Burton at home away Cheltenham

Per match

0.57 Goals scored 0.50
1.86 Goals conceded 1.17
2.43 Total goals 1.67
11.57 Shots 8.17
3.00 Shots on target 2.17
13.29 Shots faced 15.00
6.00 Corners 2.17
6.57 Corners against 6.83
10.29 Fouls 9.83
1.00 Yellow cards 2.83
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

14% Wins 17%
14% Draws 33%
71% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
71% Over 1.5 goals 33%
29% Over 2.5 goals 33%
29% Over 3.5 goals 17%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 17%
0% Clean sheets 33%
71% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 0%
43% Draws 50%
29% Losses 50%
57% Over 0.5 goals 50%
14% Over 1.5 goals 17%
14% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Cheltenham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88

Cheltenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Cheltenham – Bristol Rvs 1–4 (0–4) 2.373.502.90 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Cheltenham 3–0 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.70 2.10
04.10.22 Cheltenham – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.90 2.05 1.75
01.10.22 Cheltenham – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.25 1.61
17.09.22 Accrington – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 1.80 2.00
13.09.22 Cheltenham – Cambridge 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.95 1.90
03.09.22 Port Vale – Cheltenham 2–2 (2–1) 1.903.753.75 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Cheltenham – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Exeter – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.83 2.02
16.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.30 1.95 1.90

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.801.66 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Burton – Bristol Rvs 0–4 (0–4) 2.703.252.70 2.07 1.72
30.04.22 Burton – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.72 2.07
19.04.22 Burton – Rotherham 2–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.72 1.98 1.88
12.04.22 Burton – Wigan 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.751.66 2.05 1.75

Cheltenham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Cheltenham 3–0 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.70 2.10
17.09.22 Accrington – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 1.80 2.00
03.09.22 Port Vale – Cheltenham 2–2 (2–1) 1.903.753.75 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Exeter – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.83 2.02
16.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.30 1.95 1.90
06.08.22 Barnsley – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.85
30.04.22 Cambridge – Cheltenham 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.55 1.66 2.15
18.04.22 Lincoln – Cheltenham 3–0 (3–0) 2.403.602.80 1.90 1.95
02.04.22 Accrington – Cheltenham 4–4 (2–1) 2.203.603.10 1.88 1.98
26.03.22 Sheffield Weds – Cheltenham 4–1 (1–1) 1.534.006.00 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsCheltenham wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.22E2 Cheltenham – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.252.90 2.15 1.66
27.08.21E2 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 14 11 1 2 28 14 +14 34
2 Ipswich 15 10 3 2 28 12 +16 33
3 Sheffield Weds 15 9 3 3 28 13 +15 30
4 Peterboro 14 7 1 6 26 17 +9 22
5 Portsmouth 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22
6 Barnsley 13 6 3 4 17 12 +5 21
7 Bolton 13 6 3 4 13 8 +5 21
8 Shrewsbury 13 6 3 4 14 14 0 21
9 Derby 13 6 2 5 15 12 +3 20
10 Charlton 14 4 7 3 22 17 +5 19
11 Exeter 14 5 3 6 24 20 +4 18
12 Lincoln 13 4 6 3 16 17 -1 18
13 Bristol Rvs 14 5 3 6 22 24 -2 18
14 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 17 17 0 17
15 Fleetwood Town 13 3 7 3 11 11 0 16
16 Accrington 13 4 4 5 14 19 -5 16
17 Port Vale 13 4 4 5 14 19 -5 16
18 Cambridge 14 5 1 8 15 25 -10 16
19 Oxford 12 4 2 6 13 14 -1 14
20 Cheltenham 13 4 2 7 12 19 -7 14
21 Forest Green 14 3 3 8 14 31 -17 12
22 Milton Keynes Dons 13 3 1 9 13 21 -8 10
23 Burton 14 2 3 9 16 29 -13 9
24 Morecambe 13 1 5 7 10 24 -14 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 7 7 0 0 13 2 +11 21
2 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
3 Peterboro 7 5 1 1 17 3 +14 16
4 Bolton 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16
5 Charlton 7 4 3 0 16 6 +10 15
6 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 17 8 +9 14
7 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
8 Derby 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Cambridge 7 4 0 3 9 11 -2 12
10 Wycombe 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
11 Exeter 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
12 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
13 Shrewsbury 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
14 Port Vale 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
15 Accrington 7 2 3 2 10 12 -2 9
16 Cheltenham 7 3 0 4 9 12 -3 9
17 Lincoln 6 1 5 0 7 5 +2 8
18 Bristol Rvs 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
19 Oxford 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
20 Fleetwood Town 7 1 4 2 4 5 -1 7
21 Forest Green 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
23 Burton 7 1 1 5 4 13 -9 4
24 Morecambe 6 0 2 4 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 7 4 1 2 15 12 +3 13
4 Barnsley 7 3 2 2 9 5 +4 11
5 Shrewsbury 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
6 Bristol Rvs 7 3 1 3 12 11 +1 10
7 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
8 Lincoln 7 3 1 3 9 12 -3 10
9 Fleetwood Town 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9
10 Exeter 7 2 2 3 12 10 +2 8
11 Derby 7 2 2 3 5 4 +1 8
12 Oxford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
13 Accrington 6 2 1 3 4 7 -3 7
14 Wycombe 7 2 1 4 8 12 -4 7
15 Port Vale 6 2 1 3 6 11 -5 7
16 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 0 4 7 8 -1 6
17 Peterboro 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6
18 Morecambe 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6
19 Forest Green 7 1 3 3 9 17 -8 6
20 Bolton 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5
21 Burton 7 1 2 4 12 16 -4 5
22 Cheltenham 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
23 Charlton 7 0 4 3 6 11 -5 4
24 Cambridge 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4

Burton   Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Forest Green 14 4 10 1.0 2.2 3 3 8 14 31 12
2 1 Plymouth 14 5 9 2.0 1.0 11 1 2 28 14 34
3 2 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.8 10 3 2 28 12 33
4 4 Peterboro 14 5 9 1.9 1.2 7 1 6 26 17 22
5 13 Bristol Rvs 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 5 3 6 22 24 18
6 11 Exeter 14 6 8 1.7 1.4 5 3 6 24 20 18
7 14 Wycombe 13 5 8 1.3 1.3 5 2 6 17 17 17
8 17 Port Vale 13 5 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 19 16
9 18 Cambridge 14 6 8 1.1 1.8 5 1 8 15 25 16
10 24 Morecambe 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 1 5 7 10 24 8
11 3 Sheffield Weds 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 28 13 30
12 5 Portsmouth 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22
13 22 Milton Keynes Dons 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 3 1 9 13 21 10
14 23 Burton 14 7 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 9 16 29 9
15 6 Barnsley 13 7 6 1.3 0.9 6 3 4 17 12 21
16 8 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 6 3 4 14 14 21
17 9 Derby 13 7 6 1.2 0.9 6 2 5 15 12 20
18 10 Charlton 14 8 6 1.6 1.2 4 7 3 22 17 19
19 16 Accrington 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 19 16
20 20 Cheltenham 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 2 7 12 19 14
21 19 Oxford 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 4 2 6 13 14 14
22 12 Lincoln 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 6 3 16 17 18
23 15 Fleetwood Town 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 3 7 3 11 11 16
24 7 Bolton 13 11 2 1.0 0.6 6 3 4 13 8 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 4 2 1 17 8 14
2 9 Derby 6 1 5 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
3 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
4 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
5 4 Peterboro 7 3 4 2.4 0.4 5 1 1 17 3 16
6 5 Portsmouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
7 8 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
8 11 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
9 13 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
10 16 Accrington 7 3 4 1.4 1.7 2 3 2 10 12 9
11 17 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
12 20 Cheltenham 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 3 0 4 9 12 9
13 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 0.5 2.0 0 2 4 3 12 2
14 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 7 0 0 13 2 21
15 6 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
16 10 Charlton 7 4 3 2.3 0.9 4 3 0 16 6 15
17 14 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
18 18 Cambridge 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 4 0 3 9 11 12
19 19 Oxford 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
20 22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
21 7 Bolton 7 5 2 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16
22 23 Burton 7 5 2 0.6 1.9 1 1 5 4 13 4
23 12 Lincoln 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 5 0 7 5 8
24 15 Fleetwood Town 7 6 1 0.6 0.7 1 4 2 4 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 7 1 6 2.1 1.7 4 1 2 15 12 13
2 2 Ipswich 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
3 4 Peterboro 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6
4 13 Bristol Rvs 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 1 3 12 11 10
5 14 Wycombe 7 2 5 1.1 1.7 2 1 4 8 12 7
6 18 Cambridge 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
7 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 1.3 2.4 1 3 3 9 17 6
8 23 Burton 7 2 5 1.7 2.3 1 2 4 12 16 5
9 11 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 2 2 3 12 10 8
10 17 Port Vale 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 2 1 3 6 11 7
11 22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 2 0 4 7 8 6
12 24 Morecambe 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6
13 5 Portsmouth 6 3 3 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
14 6 Barnsley 7 4 3 1.3 0.7 3 2 2 9 5 11
15 10 Charlton 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 0 4 3 6 11 4
16 12 Lincoln 7 4 3 1.3 1.7 3 1 3 9 12 10
17 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
18 8 Shrewsbury 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
19 15 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 3 1 7 6 9
20 16 Accrington 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 1 3 4 7 7
21 19 Oxford 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
22 20 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
23 9 Derby 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 2 2 3 5 4 8
24 7 Bolton 6 6 0 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40