Birmingham 2–1 Stevenage – England League One, 11 Mar 2025

Match facts

Birmingham Stevenage

10 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

8 Corners 4

12 Fouls 7

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (423 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.60

Expected goals 1.44 – 0.68

Home / Draw / Away

55% 27% 18%

BirminghamDrawStevenage

Under / Over 2.5 goals

65% 36%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

62% 38%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

12% 0

26% 1

27% 2

19% 3

10% 4

6% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 17.3% 2–0 12.5% 0–0 12%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

2.32points / match

1.65scored / match

0.65conceded / match

24 7 3

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 56:22

Stevenage before this match, all matches

1.37points / match

0.94scored / match

1.00conceded / match

13 9 13

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 33:35

Birmingham all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 0.94

0.65 Goals conceded 1.00

2.29 Total goals 1.94

13.24 Shots 10.23

4.59 Shots on target 3.37

7.53 Shots faced 9.11

5.91 Corners 5.09

3.65 Corners against 5.20

11.97 Fouls 12.74

1.74 Yellow cards 2.06

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.34

0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

71% Wins 37%

21% Draws 26%

9% Losses 37%

94% Over 0.5 goals 83%

71% Over 1.5 goals 57%

35% Over 2.5 goals 34%

21% Over 3.5 goals 11%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

44% Both teams scored 34%

53% Clean sheets 46%

9% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 23%

44% Draws 51%

12% Losses 26%

71% Over 0.5 goals 51%

38% Over 1.5 goals 17%

12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

D

2

W

1

W

1

3

L

1

W

Stevenage all matches

3

2

W

4

1

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

W

1

D

Birmingham before this match, at home

2.67points / match

1.72scored / match

0.39conceded / match

15 3

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:7

Stevenage before this match, away

1.25points / match

0.63scored / match

0.94conceded / match

5 5 6

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 10:15

Birmingham at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 0.63

0.39 Goals conceded 0.94

2.11 Total goals 1.56

15.89 Shots 9.56

5.50 Shots on target 3.25

6.00 Shots faced 10.69

6.67 Corners 4.75

2.67 Corners against 6.25

10.94 Fouls 12.00

1.72 Yellow cards 2.13

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

83% Wins 31%

17% Draws 31%

0% Losses 38%

94% Over 0.5 goals 69%

67% Over 1.5 goals 44%

28% Over 2.5 goals 25%

17% Over 3.5 goals 13%

6% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

33% Both teams scored 25%

67% Clean sheets 56%

6% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 19%

33% Draws 56%

17% Losses 25%

72% Over 0.5 goals 44%

28% Over 1.5 goals 6%

11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

2

W

2

W

D

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

2

W

1

W

1

W

Stevenage away

2

L

D

1

W

3

2

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

W

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Birmingham – Lincoln	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	3.80	6.50	2.08	1.73
04.03.25	Bolton – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.25	1.95	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69
25.02.25	Birmingham – Leyton Orient	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.50	2.10	1.67
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
15.02.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	2.10	1.70
11.02.25	Birmingham – Cambridge	4–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Birmingham – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.10	6.00	2.03	1.83
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
23.01.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.30	2.15	2.20	1.65

Stevenage all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Stevenage – Mansfield	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
04.03.25	Cambridge – Stevenage	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.50	1.50
01.03.25	Stevenage – Huddersfield	1–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.40	2.50	2.20	1.65
22.02.25	Shrewsbury – Stevenage	0–1 (0–1)	2.70	2.90	2.80	2.70	1.44
18.02.25	Stevenage – Burton	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.25	4.75	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Stevenage – Peterboro	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.70	1.98	1.88
11.02.25	Crawley Town – Stevenage	3–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.25	2.05	1.75
08.02.25	Charlton – Stevenage	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.10	3.75	2.50	1.50
01.02.25	Stevenage – Exeter	4–1 (2–1)	1.65	3.60	5.50	2.15	1.67
28.01.25	Wrexham – Stevenage	2–3 (0–2)	1.95	3.10	4.33	2.70	1.44

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Birmingham – Lincoln	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	3.80	6.50	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69
25.02.25	Birmingham – Leyton Orient	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.50	2.10	1.67
15.02.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	2.10	1.70
11.02.25	Birmingham – Cambridge	4–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Birmingham – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.10	6.00	2.03	1.83
18.01.25	Birmingham – Exeter	1–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	9.50	1.67	2.15
29.12.24	Birmingham – Blackpool	0–0 (0–0)	1.48	4.50	6.00	1.70	2.10
26.12.24	Birmingham – Burton	2–0 (1–0)	1.20	6.50	11.00	1.53	2.40
14.12.24	Birmingham – Bristol Rvs	2–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.53	2.40

Stevenage away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Cambridge – Stevenage	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.50	1.50
22.02.25	Shrewsbury – Stevenage	0–1 (0–1)	2.70	2.90	2.80	2.70	1.44
11.02.25	Crawley Town – Stevenage	3–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.25	2.05	1.75
08.02.25	Charlton – Stevenage	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.10	3.75	2.50	1.50
28.01.25	Wrexham – Stevenage	2–3 (0–2)	1.95	3.10	4.33	2.70	1.44
25.01.25	Barnsley – Stevenage	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.08	1.73
04.01.25	Lincoln – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	1.96	3.10	3.90	2.50	1.50
01.01.25	Northampton – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.40	2.00	2.35	1.57
21.12.24	Blackpool – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.65
26.10.24	Rotherham – Stevenage	2–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.25	3.75	2.25	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	34	24	7	3	56	22	+34	79
2	Wycombe	35	19	11	5	61	33	+28	68
3	Wrexham	35	20	8	7	50	28	+22	68
4	Stockport	36	17	11	8	52	34	+18	62
5	Charlton	35	17	9	9	46	31	+15	60
6	Bolton	35	18	6	11	57	51	+6	60
7	Huddersfield	36	17	7	12	47	33	+14	58
8	Reading	35	15	10	10	49	45	+4	55
9	Leyton Orient	36	16	5	15	51	37	+14	53
10	Barnsley	36	15	7	14	50	51	-1	52
11	Blackpool	35	11	15	9	52	47	+5	48
12	Stevenage	35	13	9	13	33	35	-2	48
13	Lincoln	36	12	10	14	48	45	+3	46
14	Rotherham	35	12	8	15	39	41	-2	44
15	Wigan	35	11	10	14	32	34	-2	43
16	Mansfield	35	11	8	16	41	48	-7	41
17	Northampton	36	10	11	15	36	53	-17	41
18	Exeter	34	11	7	16	37	50	-13	40
19	Peterboro	35	10	9	16	52	60	-8	39
20	Bristol Rvs	35	11	6	18	36	53	-17	39
21	Burton	36	7	12	17	36	53	-17	33
22	Crawley Town	35	7	9	19	38	65	-27	30
23	Cambridge	35	7	8	20	34	58	-24	29
24	Shrewsbury	36	7	7	22	34	60	-26	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	18	15	3	0	31	7	+24	48
2	Wrexham	19	13	4	2	33	14	+19	43
3	Charlton	18	11	5	2	25	11	+14	38
4	Stockport	18	11	4	3	29	17	+12	37
5	Reading	17	11	3	3	28	14	+14	36
6	Wycombe	17	10	5	2	24	10	+14	35
7	Bolton	18	10	3	5	34	27	+7	33
8	Leyton Orient	19	9	3	7	27	16	+11	30
9	Rotherham	17	9	3	5	25	17	+8	30
10	Bristol Rvs	17	8	4	5	25	22	+3	28
11	Stevenage	19	8	4	7	23	20	+3	28
12	Huddersfield	18	8	4	6	18	15	+3	28
13	Peterboro	18	7	5	6	32	28	+4	26
14	Lincoln	17	7	4	6	26	19	+7	25
15	Exeter	17	6	4	7	24	27	-3	22
16	Wigan	18	6	4	8	17	20	-3	22
17	Northampton	17	6	4	7	18	24	-6	22
18	Barnsley	18	5	6	7	25	29	-4	21
19	Blackpool	16	3	11	2	22	20	+2	20
20	Cambridge	17	5	4	8	20	24	-4	19
21	Mansfield	17	5	4	8	17	21	-4	19
22	Crawley Town	17	4	6	7	20	26	-6	18
23	Shrewsbury	18	5	3	10	18	28	-10	18
24	Burton	18	3	5	10	21	29	-8	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wycombe	18	9	6	3	37	23	+14	33
2	Birmingham	16	9	4	3	25	15	+10	31
3	Barnsley	18	10	1	7	25	22	+3	31
4	Huddersfield	18	9	3	6	29	18	+11	30
5	Blackpool	19	8	4	7	30	27	+3	28
6	Bolton	17	8	3	6	23	24	-1	27
7	Stockport	18	6	7	5	23	17	+6	25
8	Wrexham	16	7	4	5	17	14	+3	25
9	Leyton Orient	17	7	2	8	24	21	+3	23
10	Charlton	17	6	4	7	21	20	+1	22
11	Mansfield	18	6	4	8	24	27	-3	22
12	Wigan	17	5	6	6	15	14	+1	21
13	Lincoln	19	5	6	8	22	26	-4	21
14	Stevenage	16	5	5	6	10	15	-5	20
15	Burton	18	4	7	7	15	24	-9	19
16	Reading	18	4	7	7	21	31	-10	19
17	Northampton	19	4	7	8	18	29	-11	19
18	Exeter	17	5	3	9	13	23	-10	18
19	Rotherham	18	3	5	10	14	24	-10	14
20	Peterboro	17	3	4	10	20	32	-12	13
21	Crawley Town	18	3	3	12	18	39	-21	12
22	Bristol Rvs	18	3	2	13	11	31	-20	11
23	Shrewsbury	18	2	4	12	16	32	-16	10
24	Cambridge	18	2	4	12	14	34	-20	10

Birmingham Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Barnsley	36	11	25	1.4	1.4	15	7	14	50	51	52
2	6	Bolton	35	12	23	1.6	1.5	18	6	11	57	51	60
3	11	Blackpool	35	13	22	1.5	1.3	11	15	9	52	47	48
4	19	Peterboro	35	13	22	1.5	1.7	10	9	16	52	60	39
5	2	Wycombe	35	16	19	1.7	0.9	19	11	5	61	33	68
6	8	Reading	35	16	19	1.4	1.3	15	10	10	49	45	55
7	9	Leyton Orient	36	17	19	1.4	1.0	16	5	15	51	37	53
8	16	Mansfield	35	16	19	1.2	1.4	11	8	16	41	48	41
9	17	Northampton	36	18	18	1.0	1.5	10	11	15	36	53	41
10	22	Crawley Town	35	17	18	1.1	1.9	7	9	19	38	65	30
11	3	Wrexham	35	18	17	1.4	0.8	20	8	7	50	28	68
12	13	Lincoln	36	19	17	1.3	1.2	12	10	14	48	45	46
13	21	Burton	36	19	17	1.0	1.5	7	12	17	36	53	33
14	7	Huddersfield	36	20	16	1.3	0.9	17	7	12	47	33	58
15	18	Exeter	34	18	16	1.1	1.5	11	7	16	37	50	40
16	20	Bristol Rvs	35	19	16	1.0	1.5	11	6	18	36	53	39
17	24	Shrewsbury	36	20	16	0.9	1.7	7	7	22	34	60	28
18	5	Charlton	35	20	15	1.3	0.9	17	9	9	46	31	60
19	14	Rotherham	35	21	14	1.1	1.2	12	8	15	39	41	44
20	23	Cambridge	35	21	14	1.0	1.7	7	8	20	34	58	29
21	4	Stockport	36	23	13	1.4	0.9	17	11	8	52	34	62
22	15	Wigan	35	22	13	0.9	1.0	11	10	14	32	34	43
23	1	Birmingham	34	22	12	1.6	0.6	24	7	3	56	22	79
24	12	Stevenage	35	23	12	0.9	1.0	13	9	13	33	35	48

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Bolton	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	10	3	5	34	27	33
2	10	Barnsley	18	5	13	1.4	1.6	5	6	7	25	29	21
3	3	Wrexham	19	8	11	1.7	0.7	13	4	2	33	14	43
4	9	Leyton Orient	19	9	10	1.4	0.8	9	3	7	27	16	30
5	11	Blackpool	16	6	10	1.4	1.2	3	11	2	22	20	20
6	19	Peterboro	18	8	10	1.8	1.6	7	5	6	32	28	26
7	21	Burton	18	8	10	1.2	1.6	3	5	10	21	29	14
8	8	Reading	17	8	9	1.6	0.8	11	3	3	28	14	36
9	13	Lincoln	17	8	9	1.5	1.1	7	4	6	26	19	25
10	14	Rotherham	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	9	3	5	25	17	30
11	17	Northampton	17	8	9	1.1	1.4	6	4	7	18	24	22
12	18	Exeter	17	8	9	1.4	1.6	6	4	7	24	27	22
13	4	Stockport	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	11	4	3	29	17	37
14	12	Stevenage	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	8	4	7	23	20	28
15	15	Wigan	18	10	8	0.9	1.1	6	4	8	17	20	22
16	16	Mansfield	17	9	8	1.0	1.2	5	4	8	17	21	19
17	20	Bristol Rvs	17	9	8	1.5	1.3	8	4	5	25	22	28
18	24	Shrewsbury	18	10	8	1.0	1.6	5	3	10	18	28	18
19	5	Charlton	18	11	7	1.4	0.6	11	5	2	25	11	38
20	22	Crawley Town	17	10	7	1.2	1.5	4	6	7	20	26	18
21	2	Wycombe	17	11	6	1.4	0.6	10	5	2	24	10	35
22	1	Birmingham	18	13	5	1.7	0.4	15	3	0	31	7	48
23	7	Huddersfield	18	13	5	1.0	0.8	8	4	6	18	15	28
24	23	Cambridge	17	12	5	1.2	1.4	5	4	8	20	24	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Wycombe	18	5	13	2.1	1.3	9	6	3	37	23	33
2	10	Barnsley	18	6	12	1.4	1.2	10	1	7	25	22	31
3	11	Blackpool	19	7	12	1.6	1.4	8	4	7	30	27	28
4	19	Peterboro	17	5	12	1.2	1.9	3	4	10	20	32	13
5	7	Huddersfield	18	7	11	1.6	1.0	9	3	6	29	18	30
6	16	Mansfield	18	7	11	1.3	1.5	6	4	8	24	27	22
7	22	Crawley Town	18	7	11	1.0	2.2	3	3	12	18	39	12
8	8	Reading	18	8	10	1.2	1.7	4	7	7	21	31	19
9	6	Bolton	17	8	9	1.4	1.4	8	3	6	23	24	27
10	9	Leyton Orient	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	7	2	8	24	21	23
11	17	Northampton	19	10	9	0.9	1.5	4	7	8	18	29	19
12	23	Cambridge	18	9	9	0.8	1.9	2	4	12	14	34	10
13	5	Charlton	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	6	4	7	21	20	22
14	13	Lincoln	19	11	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	8	22	26	21
15	20	Bristol Rvs	18	10	8	0.6	1.7	3	2	13	11	31	11
16	24	Shrewsbury	18	10	8	0.9	1.8	2	4	12	16	32	10
17	1	Birmingham	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	9	4	3	25	15	31
18	18	Exeter	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	9	13	23	18
19	21	Burton	18	11	7	0.8	1.3	4	7	7	15	24	19
20	3	Wrexham	16	10	6	1.1	0.9	7	4	5	17	14	25
21	4	Stockport	18	13	5	1.3	0.9	6	7	5	23	17	25
22	14	Rotherham	18	13	5	0.8	1.3	3	5	10	14	24	14
23	15	Wigan	17	12	5	0.9	0.8	5	6	6	15	14	21
24	12	Stevenage	16	12	4	0.6	0.9	5	5	6	10	15	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.