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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Preston 1–1 Luton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.88 fair 3.35
Draw ✓ 3.00 fair 3.47
Away 2.70 fair 2.42
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.61
Over 2.5 2.38 fair 2.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Preston Luton
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 10
7 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (368 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.80
Expected goals 0.99 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
PrestonDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 13.4% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 10.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Preston before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
0.90scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 27:36
Luton before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.27scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 38:30
Preston all matches all matches Luton

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 1.27
1.20 Goals conceded 1.00
2.10 Total goals 2.27
10.93 Shots 11.67
3.50 Shots on target 3.80
12.93 Shots faced 11.77
3.97 Corners 5.93
5.33 Corners against 5.33
11.07 Fouls 12.37
2.27 Yellow cards 1.93
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

37% Wins 43%
23% Draws 33%
40% Losses 23%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
53% Over 1.5 goals 73%
40% Over 2.5 goals 37%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
13% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
37% Both teams scored 47%
40% Clean sheets 40%
43% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 43%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 17%
57% Over 0.5 goals 70%
27% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Preston all matches
Luton all matches
Preston before this match, at home
0.87points / match
0.60scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 9:20
Luton before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.20scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:14
Preston at home away Luton

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 1.20
1.33 Goals conceded 0.93
1.93 Total goals 2.13
12.47 Shots 9.20
3.53 Shots on target 3.40
11.73 Shots faced 12.20
4.13 Corners 4.27
4.80 Corners against 5.60
11.60 Fouls 13.53
1.80 Yellow cards 2.47
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 53%
27% Draws 20%
53% Losses 27%
80% Over 0.5 goals 93%
53% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
13% Over 3.5 goals 7%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 47%
53% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 33%
53% Draws 47%
27% Losses 20%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
33% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Preston at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Burnley – Preston 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Preston – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 Birmingham – Preston 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.103.20 2.63 1.50
14.01.23 Preston – Norwich 0–4 (0–3) 2.883.302.50 2.10 1.73
02.01.23 Stoke – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.20 1.67
29.12.22 West Brom – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Preston – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.67
17.12.22 Preston – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
10.12.22 Blackburn – Preston 1–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
12.11.22 Preston – Millwall 2–4 (2–2) 2.553.003.10 2.62 1.50

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Coventry – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Luton – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.67
31.01.23 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.20 2.30 1.62
21.01.23 Wigan – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Luton – West Brom 2–3 (2–1) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.67
01.01.23 Huddersfield – Luton 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 2.20 1.67
29.12.22 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Luton – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Luton – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.95 1.90

Preston at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Preston – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Preston – Norwich 0–4 (0–3) 2.883.302.50 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Preston – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.67
17.12.22 Preston – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Preston – Millwall 2–4 (2–2) 2.553.003.10 2.62 1.50
01.11.22 Preston – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61
15.10.22 Preston – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.61
05.10.22 Preston – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.302.40 2.30 1.61
17.09.22 Preston – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 2.30 1.61

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Coventry – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 Wigan – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.20 1.67
01.01.23 Huddersfield – Luton 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 2.20 1.67
29.12.22 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Blackpool – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.00 1.85
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 West Brom – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Preston winsDrawsLuton wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.08.22E1 Luton – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.72
16.03.22E1 Luton – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53
30.10.21E1 Preston – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 31 20 9 2 62 27 +35 69
2 Sheffield United 30 18 7 5 51 24 +27 61
3 Middlesbrough 31 15 6 10 50 36 +14 51
4 Luton 30 13 10 7 38 30 +8 49
5 Sunderland 31 13 9 9 46 33 +13 48
6 Watford 32 12 11 9 38 35 +3 47
7 Millwall 30 13 7 10 36 30 +6 46
8 Norwich 31 13 6 12 43 36 +7 45
9 Blackburn 30 14 3 13 32 36 -4 45
10 West Brom 30 12 8 10 39 32 +7 44
11 Coventry 31 11 9 11 33 33 0 42
12 Hull 32 11 8 13 38 47 -9 41
13 Reading 31 12 5 14 35 46 -11 41
14 Preston 30 11 7 12 27 36 -9 40
15 Bristol City 30 10 9 11 40 39 +1 39
16 Swansea 30 10 9 11 43 45 -2 39
17 QPR 32 10 9 13 33 43 -10 39
18 Birmingham 31 10 8 13 36 40 -4 38
19 Stoke 30 9 7 14 33 38 -5 34
20 Rotherham 31 7 12 12 34 42 -8 33
21 Cardiff 32 8 8 16 24 36 -12 32
22 Wigan 30 7 8 15 28 49 -21 29
23 Huddersfield 30 7 7 16 28 39 -11 28
24 Blackpool 30 6 10 14 30 45 -15 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 17 12 5 0 36 13 +23 41
2 Sheffield United 15 10 3 2 33 13 +20 33
3 Reading 15 9 3 3 24 17 +7 30
4 Middlesbrough 15 8 5 2 23 12 +11 29
5 Coventry 17 8 5 4 21 15 +6 29
6 Millwall 14 8 4 2 21 9 +12 28
7 Blackburn 14 9 1 4 20 13 +7 28
8 Watford 15 7 4 4 21 14 +7 25
9 West Brom 15 7 4 4 21 14 +7 25
10 Luton 15 5 7 3 20 16 +4 22
11 Sunderland 15 6 4 5 20 16 +4 22
12 Bristol City 16 6 4 6 20 17 +3 22
13 Norwich 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
14 Hull 16 6 3 7 18 23 -5 21
15 Rotherham 14 5 5 4 24 17 +7 20
16 Swansea 14 6 2 6 23 20 +3 20
17 Birmingham 17 5 5 7 20 20 0 20
18 QPR 16 5 4 7 18 23 -5 19
19 Huddersfield 15 5 3 7 14 15 -1 18
20 Cardiff 16 4 5 7 12 16 -4 17
21 Stoke 15 4 4 7 17 18 -1 16
22 Blackpool 15 3 5 7 16 21 -5 14
23 Preston 15 3 4 8 9 20 -11 13
24 Wigan 16 3 3 10 12 30 -18 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 26 14 +12 28
2 Sheffield United 15 8 4 3 18 11 +7 28
3 Luton 15 8 3 4 18 14 +4 27
4 Preston 15 8 3 4 18 16 +2 27
5 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 26 17 +9 26
6 Norwich 15 7 2 6 21 16 +5 23
7 Middlesbrough 16 7 1 8 27 24 +3 22
8 Watford 17 5 7 5 17 21 -4 22
9 Hull 16 5 5 6 20 24 -4 20
10 QPR 16 5 5 6 15 20 -5 20
11 West Brom 15 5 4 6 18 18 0 19
12 Swansea 16 4 7 5 20 25 -5 19
13 Birmingham 14 5 3 6 16 20 -4 18
14 Stoke 15 5 3 7 16 20 -4 18
15 Millwall 16 5 3 8 15 21 -6 18
16 Bristol City 14 4 5 5 20 22 -2 17
17 Wigan 14 4 5 5 16 19 -3 17
18 Blackburn 16 5 2 9 12 23 -11 17
19 Cardiff 16 4 3 9 12 20 -8 15
20 Blackpool 15 3 5 7 14 24 -10 14
21 Coventry 14 3 4 7 12 18 -6 13
22 Rotherham 17 2 7 8 10 25 -15 13
23 Reading 16 3 2 11 11 29 -18 11
24 Huddersfield 15 2 4 9 14 24 -10 10

Preston   Luton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 31 12 19 1.6 1.2 15 6 10 50 36 51
2 13 Reading 31 13 18 1.1 1.5 12 5 14 35 46 41
3 16 Swansea 30 12 18 1.4 1.5 10 9 11 43 45 39
4 1 Burnley 31 15 16 2.0 0.9 20 9 2 62 27 69
5 5 Sunderland 31 15 16 1.5 1.1 13 9 9 46 33 48
6 8 Norwich 31 15 16 1.4 1.2 13 6 12 43 36 45
7 12 Hull 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 11 8 13 38 47 41
8 17 QPR 32 16 16 1.0 1.3 10 9 13 33 43 39
9 20 Rotherham 31 16 15 1.1 1.4 7 12 12 34 42 33
10 9 Blackburn 30 16 14 1.1 1.2 14 3 13 32 36 45
11 15 Bristol City 30 16 14 1.3 1.3 10 9 11 40 39 39
12 18 Birmingham 31 17 14 1.2 1.3 10 8 13 36 40 38
13 22 Wigan 30 16 14 0.9 1.6 7 8 15 28 49 29
14 24 Blackpool 30 16 14 1.0 1.5 6 10 14 30 45 28
15 2 Sheffield United 30 17 13 1.7 0.8 18 7 5 51 24 61
16 19 Stoke 30 17 13 1.1 1.3 9 7 14 33 38 34
17 6 Watford 32 20 12 1.2 1.1 12 11 9 38 35 47
18 14 Preston 30 18 12 0.9 1.2 11 7 12 27 36 40
19 23 Huddersfield 30 18 12 0.9 1.3 7 7 16 28 39 28
20 4 Luton 30 19 11 1.3 1.0 13 10 7 38 30 49
21 7 Millwall 30 19 11 1.2 1.0 13 7 10 36 30 46
22 10 West Brom 30 20 10 1.3 1.1 12 8 10 39 32 44
23 11 Coventry 31 22 9 1.1 1.1 11 9 11 33 33 42
24 21 Cardiff 32 23 9 0.8 1.1 8 8 16 24 36 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 17 7 10 2.1 0.8 12 5 0 36 13 41
2 13 Reading 15 5 10 1.6 1.1 9 3 3 24 17 30
3 17 QPR 16 6 10 1.1 1.4 5 4 7 18 23 19
4 2 Sheffield United 15 6 9 2.2 0.9 10 3 2 33 13 33
5 16 Swansea 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 6 2 6 23 20 20
6 5 Sunderland 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 20 16 22
7 8 Norwich 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
8 12 Hull 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 6 3 7 18 23 21
9 18 Birmingham 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 5 5 7 20 20 20
10 20 Rotherham 14 6 8 1.7 1.2 5 5 4 24 17 20
11 3 Middlesbrough 15 8 7 1.5 0.8 8 5 2 23 12 29
12 9 Blackburn 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 9 1 4 20 13 28
13 22 Wigan 16 9 7 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 30 12
14 24 Blackpool 15 8 7 1.1 1.4 3 5 7 16 21 14
15 4 Luton 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 5 7 3 20 16 22
16 6 Watford 15 9 6 1.4 0.9 7 4 4 21 14 25
17 15 Bristol City 16 10 6 1.2 1.1 6 4 6 20 17 22
18 19 Stoke 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 17 18 16
19 7 Millwall 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 4 2 21 9 28
20 14 Preston 15 10 5 0.6 1.3 3 4 8 9 20 13
21 10 West Brom 15 11 4 1.4 0.9 7 4 4 21 14 25
22 11 Coventry 17 13 4 1.2 0.9 8 5 4 21 15 29
23 21 Cardiff 16 12 4 0.8 1.0 4 5 7 12 16 17
24 23 Huddersfield 15 11 4 0.9 1.0 5 3 7 14 15 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 16 4 12 1.7 1.5 7 1 8 27 24 22
2 16 Swansea 16 7 9 1.2 1.6 4 7 5 20 25 19
3 5 Sunderland 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 26 17 26
4 8 Norwich 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 7 2 6 21 16 23
5 12 Hull 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 5 6 20 24 20
6 13 Reading 16 8 8 0.7 1.8 3 2 11 11 29 11
7 15 Bristol City 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 4 5 5 20 22 17
8 23 Huddersfield 15 7 8 0.9 1.6 2 4 9 14 24 10
9 9 Blackburn 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 5 2 9 12 23 17
10 14 Preston 15 8 7 1.2 1.1 8 3 4 18 16 27
11 19 Stoke 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 5 3 7 16 20 18
12 20 Rotherham 17 10 7 0.6 1.5 2 7 8 10 25 13
13 22 Wigan 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 4 5 5 16 19 17
14 24 Blackpool 15 8 7 0.9 1.6 3 5 7 14 24 14
15 1 Burnley 14 8 6 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 26 14 28
16 6 Watford 17 11 6 1.0 1.2 5 7 5 17 21 22
17 7 Millwall 16 10 6 0.9 1.3 5 3 8 15 21 18
18 10 West Brom 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 6 18 18 19
19 17 QPR 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 5 5 6 15 20 20
20 18 Birmingham 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 16 20 18
21 4 Luton 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 8 3 4 18 14 27
22 11 Coventry 14 9 5 0.9 1.3 3 4 7 12 18 13
23 21 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.8 1.2 4 3 9 12 20 15
24 2 Sheffield United 15 11 4 1.2 0.7 8 4 3 18 11 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38