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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Watford 2–3 Arsenal

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2021/2022

Home 6.00 fair 3.81
Draw 4.00 fair 4.28
Away ✓ 1.57 fair 1.99
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Arsenal
13 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 5
5 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (264 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.77
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 9.6% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
0.73points / match
0.96scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 25:47
Arsenal before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.58scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 38:27
Watford all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

0.96 Goals scored 1.58
1.81 Goals conceded 1.13
2.77 Total goals 2.71
10.92 Shots 15.50
3.69 Shots on target 5.21
14.42 Shots faced 12.17
4.58 Corners 5.67
5.69 Corners against 4.79
12.69 Fouls 9.17
1.69 Yellow cards 1.46
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

19% Wins 58%
15% Draws 13%
65% Losses 29%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
65% Over 1.5 goals 75%
46% Over 2.5 goals 54%
35% Over 3.5 goals 33%
27% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 38%
12% Clean sheets 46%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 46%
46% Draws 33%
42% Losses 21%
65% Over 0.5 goals 71%
42% Over 1.5 goals 38%
12% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Arsenal all matches
Watford before this match, at home
0.54points / match
0.92scored / match
2.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:31
Arsenal before this match, away
1.45points / match
1.45scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:17
Watford at home away Arsenal

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.45
2.38 Goals conceded 1.55
3.31 Total goals 3.00
11.23 Shots 12.18
3.92 Shots on target 4.36
13.69 Shots faced 14.55
4.69 Corners 4.00
5.46 Corners against 5.64
13.00 Fouls 9.09
2.00 Yellow cards 1.09
0.54 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

15% Wins 45%
8% Draws 9%
77% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
85% Over 1.5 goals 73%
62% Over 2.5 goals 55%
46% Over 3.5 goals 45%
38% Over 4.5 goals 36%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 27%
0% Clean sheets 45%
46% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 55%
31% Draws 18%
54% Losses 27%
77% Over 0.5 goals 91%
54% Over 1.5 goals 45%
15% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Man United – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
23.02.22 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
08.02.22 West Ham – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.72 2.10
05.02.22 Burnley – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.72
21.01.22 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
01.01.22 Watford – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.72 2.10
28.12.21 Watford – West Ham 1–4 (1–2) 3.403.602.10 1.72 2.10

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.22 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–1) 1.653.805.50 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (0–0) 1.444.208.00 1.97 1.93
10.02.22 Wolves – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
23.01.22 Arsenal – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
01.01.22 Arsenal – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 5.754.751.50 1.57 2.37
26.12.21 Norwich – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.72 2.10
18.12.21 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10
15.12.21 Arsenal – West Ham 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.85 2.05
11.12.21 Arsenal – Southampton 3–0 (2–0) 1.614.005.50 1.80 2.00
06.12.21 Everton – Arsenal 2–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.06 1.84

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.22 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
21.01.22 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96
01.01.22 Watford – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.72 2.10
28.12.21 Watford – West Ham 1–4 (1–2) 3.403.602.10 1.72 2.10
04.12.21 Watford – Man City 1–3 (0–2) 12.007.001.20 1.44 2.75
01.12.21 Watford – Chelsea 1–2 (1–1) 10.005.251.30 1.72 2.10
20.11.21 Watford – Man United 4–1 (2–0) 6.504.751.45 1.66 2.20
30.10.21 Watford – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.90
16.10.21 Watford – Liverpool 0–5 (0–2) 8.505.501.33 1.57 2.37

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.22 Wolves – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
26.12.21 Norwich – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.72 2.10
18.12.21 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10
06.12.21 Everton – Arsenal 2–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.06 1.84
02.12.21 Man United – Arsenal 3–2 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.80 2.00
20.11.21 Liverpool – Arsenal 4–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.62
30.10.21 Leicester – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.502.87 1.80 2.00
02.10.21 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
18.09.21 Burnley – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 2.00 1.80
28.08.21 Man City – Arsenal 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.37

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsArsenal wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.21E0 Arsenal – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 27 21 3 3 64 17 +47 66
2 Liverpool 27 19 6 2 71 20 +51 63
3 Chelsea 26 15 8 3 53 18 +35 53
4 Man United 27 13 8 6 44 34 +10 47
5 West Ham 28 13 6 9 46 35 +11 45
6 Arsenal 24 14 3 7 38 27 +11 45
7 Tottenham 25 13 3 9 35 32 +3 42
8 Wolves 27 12 4 11 24 23 +1 40
9 Southampton 27 8 11 8 34 41 -7 35
10 Crystal Palace 28 7 12 9 39 38 +1 33
11 Aston Villa 26 10 3 13 37 37 0 33
12 Leicester 25 9 6 10 40 43 -3 33
13 Brighton 27 7 12 8 26 32 -6 33
14 Newcastle 26 6 10 10 30 46 -16 28
15 Brentford 28 7 6 15 30 45 -15 27
16 Leeds 27 5 8 14 29 61 -32 23
17 Everton 24 6 4 14 28 41 -13 22
18 Burnley 26 3 12 11 22 36 -14 21
19 Watford 26 5 4 17 25 47 -22 19
20 Norwich 27 4 5 18 16 58 -42 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 37 7 +30 36
2 Man City 13 10 1 2 36 9 +27 31
3 Arsenal 13 9 2 2 22 10 +12 29
4 West Ham 14 7 3 4 25 19 +6 24
5 Man United 14 7 3 4 21 16 +5 24
6 Chelsea 12 6 5 1 27 10 +17 23
7 Southampton 13 5 7 1 18 10 +8 22
8 Tottenham 12 7 1 4 18 15 +3 22
9 Leicester 13 6 3 4 22 18 +4 21
10 Crystal Palace 14 4 6 4 22 17 +5 18
11 Aston Villa 13 5 3 5 24 20 +4 18
12 Newcastle 14 4 6 4 20 25 -5 18
13 Wolves 13 5 2 6 10 12 -2 17
14 Everton 12 5 1 6 18 18 0 16
15 Brentford 14 4 2 8 14 19 -5 14
16 Brighton 13 3 5 5 10 16 -6 14
17 Leeds 13 3 4 6 15 25 -10 13
18 Burnley 13 2 6 5 10 16 -6 12
19 Norwich 14 2 3 9 9 28 -19 9
20 Watford 13 2 1 10 12 31 -19 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 14 11 2 1 28 8 +20 35
2 Chelsea 14 9 3 2 26 8 +18 30
3 Liverpool 13 8 3 2 34 13 +21 27
4 Man United 13 6 5 2 23 18 +5 23
5 Wolves 14 7 2 5 14 11 +3 23
6 West Ham 14 6 3 5 21 16 +5 21
7 Tottenham 13 6 2 5 17 17 0 20
8 Brighton 14 4 7 3 16 16 0 19
9 Arsenal 11 5 1 5 16 17 -1 16
10 Crystal Palace 14 3 6 5 17 21 -4 15
11 Aston Villa 13 5 0 8 13 17 -4 15
12 Brentford 14 3 4 7 16 26 -10 13
13 Southampton 14 3 4 7 16 31 -15 13
14 Watford 13 3 3 7 13 16 -3 12
15 Leicester 12 3 3 6 18 25 -7 12
16 Newcastle 12 2 4 6 10 21 -11 10
17 Leeds 14 2 4 8 14 36 -22 10
18 Burnley 13 1 6 6 12 20 -8 9
19 Norwich 13 2 2 9 7 30 -23 8
20 Everton 12 1 3 8 10 23 -13 6

Watford   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 27 8 19 2.6 0.7 19 6 2 71 20 63
2 16 Leeds 27 10 17 1.1 2.3 5 8 14 29 61 23
3 12 Leicester 25 9 16 1.6 1.7 9 6 10 40 43 33
4 20 Norwich 27 11 16 0.6 2.1 4 5 18 16 58 17
5 5 West Ham 28 13 15 1.6 1.2 13 6 9 46 35 45
6 10 Crystal Palace 28 13 15 1.4 1.4 7 12 9 39 38 33
7 11 Aston Villa 26 11 15 1.4 1.4 10 3 13 37 37 33
8 15 Brentford 28 13 15 1.1 1.6 7 6 15 30 45 27
9 1 Man City 27 13 14 2.4 0.6 21 3 3 64 17 66
10 7 Tottenham 25 11 14 1.4 1.3 13 3 9 35 32 42
11 9 Southampton 27 13 14 1.3 1.5 8 11 8 34 41 35
12 17 Everton 24 10 14 1.2 1.7 6 4 14 28 41 22
13 3 Chelsea 26 13 13 2.0 0.7 15 8 3 53 18 53
14 6 Arsenal 24 11 13 1.6 1.1 14 3 7 38 27 45
15 4 Man United 27 15 12 1.6 1.3 13 8 6 44 34 47
16 14 Newcastle 26 14 12 1.2 1.8 6 10 10 30 46 28
17 19 Watford 26 14 12 1.0 1.8 5 4 17 25 47 19
18 18 Burnley 26 16 10 0.8 1.4 3 12 11 22 36 21
19 8 Wolves 27 20 7 0.9 0.9 12 4 11 24 23 40
20 13 Brighton 27 20 7 1.0 1.2 7 12 8 26 32 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 14 5 9 2.6 0.5 11 3 0 37 7 36
2 11 Aston Villa 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 5 24 20 18
3 20 Norwich 14 5 9 0.6 2.0 2 3 9 9 28 9
4 5 West Ham 14 6 8 1.8 1.4 7 3 4 25 19 24
5 7 Tottenham 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 7 1 4 18 15 22
6 10 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 4 6 4 22 17 18
7 14 Newcastle 14 6 8 1.4 1.8 4 6 4 20 25 18
8 16 Leeds 13 5 8 1.2 1.9 3 4 6 15 25 13
9 19 Watford 13 5 8 0.9 2.4 2 1 10 12 31 7
10 1 Man City 13 6 7 2.8 0.7 10 1 2 36 9 31
11 6 Arsenal 13 6 7 1.7 0.8 9 2 2 22 10 29
12 12 Leicester 13 6 7 1.7 1.4 6 3 4 22 18 21
13 15 Brentford 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 4 2 8 14 19 14
14 17 Everton 12 5 7 1.5 1.5 5 1 6 18 18 16
15 3 Chelsea 12 6 6 2.2 0.8 6 5 1 27 10 23
16 4 Man United 14 9 5 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 16 24
17 8 Wolves 13 9 4 0.8 0.9 5 2 6 10 12 17
18 18 Burnley 13 9 4 0.8 1.2 2 6 5 10 16 12
19 9 Southampton 13 10 3 1.4 0.8 5 7 1 18 10 22
20 13 Brighton 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 3 5 5 10 16 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 14 3 11 1.1 2.2 3 4 7 16 31 13
2 2 Liverpool 13 3 10 2.6 1.0 8 3 2 34 13 27
3 12 Leicester 12 3 9 1.5 2.1 3 3 6 18 25 12
4 16 Leeds 14 5 9 1.0 2.6 2 4 8 14 36 10
5 15 Brentford 14 6 8 1.1 1.9 3 4 7 16 26 13
6 1 Man City 14 7 7 2.0 0.6 11 2 1 28 8 35
7 3 Chelsea 14 7 7 1.9 0.6 9 3 2 26 8 30
8 4 Man United 13 6 7 1.8 1.4 6 5 2 23 18 23
9 5 West Ham 14 7 7 1.5 1.1 6 3 5 21 16 21
10 10 Crystal Palace 14 7 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 5 17 21 15
11 17 Everton 12 5 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 8 10 23 6
12 20 Norwich 13 6 7 0.5 2.3 2 2 9 7 30 8
13 6 Arsenal 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 5 1 5 16 17 16
14 7 Tottenham 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 5 17 17 20
15 11 Aston Villa 13 7 6 1.0 1.3 5 0 8 13 17 15
16 18 Burnley 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 1 6 6 12 20 9
17 13 Brighton 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 4 7 3 16 16 19
18 14 Newcastle 12 8 4 0.8 1.8 2 4 6 10 21 10
19 19 Watford 13 9 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 7 13 16 12
20 8 Wolves 14 11 3 1.0 0.8 7 2 5 14 11 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51