Ceuta 1–4 Malaga – Spain Segunda Division, 16 May 2026

Match facts

Ceuta Malaga

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 8

5 Corners 1

17 Fouls 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).

Result Malaga to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.71

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.47

Home / Draw / Away

37% 25% 39%

CeutaDrawMalaga

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.6% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ceuta before this match, all matches

1.41points / match

1.21scored / match

1.51conceded / match

15 10 14

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 47:59

Malaga before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

1.74scored / match

1.28conceded / match

19 9 11

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 68:50

Ceuta all matches all matches Malaga

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.74

1.51 Goals conceded 1.28

2.72 Total goals 3.03

10.69 Shots 14.00

3.69 Shots on target 5.41

12.85 Shots faced 13.05

4.08 Corners 4.26

5.05 Corners against 4.69

13.82 Fouls 11.97

2.62 Yellow cards 2.31

0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.72

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

38% Wins 49%

26% Draws 23%

36% Losses 28%

90% Over 0.5 goals 97%

74% Over 1.5 goals 77%

56% Over 2.5 goals 62%

26% Over 3.5 goals 31%

15% Over 4.5 goals 21%

8% Over 5.5 goals 10%

56% Both teams scored 62%

26% Clean sheets 26%

28% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 38%

36% Draws 38%

31% Losses 23%

79% Over 0.5 goals 69%

41% Over 1.5 goals 33%

18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ceuta all matches

1

2

L

2

5

L

2

1

W

1

D

3

L

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

Malaga all matches

5

3

W

3

W

D

3

D

1

D

2

W

2

3

L

2

3

L

4

2

W

2

1

W

Ceuta before this match, at home

1.95points / match

1.37scored / match

1.00conceded / match

11 4 4

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:19

Malaga before this match, away

1.26points / match

1.42scored / match

1.42conceded / match

7 3 9

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:27

Ceuta at home away Malaga

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.42

1.00 Goals conceded 1.42

2.37 Total goals 2.84

11.95 Shots 12.26

4.37 Shots on target 4.05

11.05 Shots faced 14.53

4.79 Corners 4.42

4.53 Corners against 5.63

15.42 Fouls 11.47

2.79 Yellow cards 2.37

0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

58% Wins 37%

21% Draws 16%

21% Losses 47%

89% Over 0.5 goals 100%

68% Over 1.5 goals 74%

53% Over 2.5 goals 58%

16% Over 3.5 goals 26%

11% Over 4.5 goals 16%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

58% Both teams scored 58%

32% Clean sheets 21%

21% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 26%

37% Draws 42%

16% Losses 32%

74% Over 0.5 goals 68%

26% Over 1.5 goals 26%

11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ceuta at home

2

1

W

3

L

3

1

W

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

D

1

D

Malaga away

3

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

3

W

3

D

1

D

2

3

L

4

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Ceuta all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.05.26	Ceuta – Castellon	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	4.20	1.61	1.57	2.35
03.05.26	Sp Gijon – Ceuta	1–2 (1–2)	1.62	4.10	4.50	1.73	2.08
26.04.26	Ceuta – Santander	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.75	2.01	1.57	2.35
18.04.26	Zaragoza – Ceuta	2–2 (0–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.85	1.95
10.04.26	Ceuta – Sociedad B	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	4.10	1.73	2.08
05.04.26	Eibar – Ceuta	3–0 (1–0)	1.66	3.40	5.25	2.10	1.70
01.04.26	Burgos – Ceuta	1–1 (1–1)	1.79	3.00	5.25	2.40	1.53
28.03.26	Ceuta – Cadiz	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.20	3.20	2.05	1.75
21.03.26	Leganes – Ceuta	5–2 (1–1)	1.79	3.40	4.50	2.10	1.70
14.03.26	Ceuta – La Coruna	1–2 (1–1)	2.85	3.20	2.45	2.08	1.73

Malaga all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.05.26	Malaga – Sp Gijon	2–1 (0–1)	1.51	4.33	5.25	1.73	2.08
02.05.26	Eibar – Malaga	2–4 (2–1)	2.01	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
25.04.26	Malaga – Castellon	2–3 (1–1)	2.75	3.10	2.57	1.65	2.20
19.04.26	Almeria – Malaga	3–2 (0–0)	1.86	3.70	3.70	1.62	2.25
11.04.26	Malaga – Las Palmas	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.00	1.80
04.04.26	La Coruna – Malaga	1–1 (0–0)	1.86	3.60	3.70	2.08	1.73
01.04.26	Andorra – Malaga	3–3 (0–2)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.90
28.03.26	Malaga – Leganes	0–0 (0–0)	1.96	3.30	3.70	2.08	1.73
21.03.26	Cadiz – Malaga	0–3 (0–2)	2.75	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
15.03.26	Malaga – Huesca	5–3 (2–1)	1.66	3.60	5.00	2.15	1.67

Ceuta at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.05.26	Ceuta – Castellon	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	4.20	1.61	1.57	2.35
26.04.26	Ceuta – Santander	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.75	2.01	1.57	2.35
10.04.26	Ceuta – Sociedad B	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	4.10	1.73	2.08
28.03.26	Ceuta – Cadiz	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.20	3.20	2.05	1.75
14.03.26	Ceuta – La Coruna	1–2 (1–1)	2.85	3.20	2.45	2.08	1.73
25.02.26	Ceuta – Cordoba	3–2 (3–2)	2.75	3.30	2.45	1.93	1.88
20.02.26	Ceuta – Granada	2–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.10	2.85	2.25	1.62
26.01.26	Ceuta – Cultural Leonesa	3–1 (2–1)	1.96	3.40	3.75	2.08	1.73
17.01.26	Ceuta – Valladolid	0–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.10	2.82	2.20	1.65
04.01.26	Ceuta – Andorra	2–1 (1–0)	1.86	3.50	4.00	1.95	1.85

Malaga away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Eibar – Malaga	2–4 (2–1)	2.01	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
19.04.26	Almeria – Malaga	3–2 (0–0)	1.86	3.70	3.70	1.62	2.25
04.04.26	La Coruna – Malaga	1–1 (0–0)	1.86	3.60	3.70	2.08	1.73
01.04.26	Andorra – Malaga	3–3 (0–2)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.90
21.03.26	Cadiz – Malaga	0–3 (0–2)	2.75	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
28.02.26	Granada – Malaga	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.30	2.25	1.62
16.02.26	Sociedad B – Malaga	2–1 (1–1)	2.85	3.30	2.35	2.00	1.80
02.02.26	Mirandes – Malaga	2–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.20	2.32	2.15	1.67
18.01.26	Cordoba – Malaga	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.50	4.00	1.85	1.95
04.01.26	Sp Gijon – Malaga	1–3 (0–1)	1.86	3.20	4.33	2.25	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Ceuta winsDrawsMalaga wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.01.26SP2	Malaga – Ceuta	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70

Spain Segunda Division table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Santander	39	23	6	10	81	58	+23	75
2	Almeria	39	21	8	10	78	58	+20	71
3	La Coruna	39	20	11	8	60	41	+19	71
4	Malaga	39	19	9	11	68	50	+18	66
5	Castellon	40	18	12	10	67	50	+17	66
6	Las Palmas	39	18	12	9	52	37	+15	66
7	Eibar	39	18	10	11	48	36	+12	64
8	Burgos	39	17	12	10	44	33	+11	63
9	Cordoba	40	17	9	14	56	58	-2	60
10	Andorra	39	16	10	13	61	49	+12	58
11	Albacete	40	15	11	14	53	53	0	56
12	Ceuta	39	15	10	14	47	59	-12	55
13	Sp Gijon	39	15	7	17	52	51	+1	52
14	Granada	39	12	12	15	48	50	-2	48
15	Sociedad B	40	12	10	18	50	57	-7	46
16	Valladolid	39	12	10	17	43	50	-7	46
17	Leganes	39	10	12	17	42	48	-6	42
18	Cadiz	40	10	10	20	37	57	-20	40
19	Mirandes	40	9	10	21	44	67	-23	37
20	Huesca	39	9	9	21	40	61	-21	36
21	Zaragoza	39	8	11	20	33	53	-20	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	39	8	9	22	36	64	-28	33

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	19	14	2	3	50	28	+22	44
2	Eibar	20	13	4	3	35	17	+18	43
3	Malaga	20	12	6	2	41	23	+18	42
4	Santander	19	13	2	4	47	27	+20	41
5	Las Palmas	20	12	5	3	32	13	+19	41
6	Castellon	20	12	4	4	40	24	+16	40
7	Ceuta	19	11	4	4	26	19	+7	37
8	Sp Gijon	20	10	6	4	32	21	+11	36
9	Burgos	20	9	8	3	24	12	+12	35
10	La Coruna	19	10	5	4	28	19	+9	35
11	Cordoba	20	9	4	7	27	27	0	31
12	Andorra	20	8	6	6	31	23	+8	30
13	Valladolid	20	8	5	7	23	19	+4	29
14	Sociedad B	20	7	7	6	28	26	+2	28
15	Huesca	20	7	7	6	23	23	0	28
16	Albacete	20	8	4	8	27	31	-4	28
17	Granada	19	6	8	5	27	22	+5	26
18	Leganes	19	6	5	8	22	23	-1	23
19	Cadiz	20	6	2	12	18	28	-10	20
20	Mirandes	20	5	5	10	19	30	-11	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	6	9	17	26	-9	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	19	3	5	11	13	29	-16	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	La Coruna	20	10	6	4	32	22	+10	36
2	Santander	20	10	4	6	34	31	+3	34
3	Cordoba	20	8	5	7	29	31	-2	29
4	Andorra	19	8	4	7	30	26	+4	28
5	Albacete	20	7	7	6	26	22	+4	28
6	Burgos	19	8	4	7	20	21	-1	28
7	Almeria	20	7	6	7	28	30	-2	27
8	Castellon	20	6	8	6	27	26	+1	26
9	Las Palmas	19	6	7	6	20	24	-4	25
10	Malaga	19	7	3	9	27	27	0	24
11	Granada	20	6	4	10	21	28	-7	22
12	Eibar	19	5	6	8	13	19	-6	21
13	Cadiz	20	4	8	8	19	29	-10	20
14	Leganes	20	4	7	9	20	25	-5	19
15	Cultural Leonesa	20	5	4	11	23	35	-12	19
16	Sociedad B	20	5	3	12	22	31	-9	18
17	Ceuta	20	4	6	10	21	40	-19	18
18	Valladolid	19	4	5	10	20	31	-11	17
19	Zaragoza	20	4	5	11	16	27	-11	17
20	Mirandes	20	4	5	11	25	37	-12	17
21	Sp Gijon	19	5	1	13	20	30	-10	16
22	Huesca	19	2	2	15	17	38	-21	8

Ceuta Malaga

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Santander	39	11	28	2.1	1.5	23	6	10	81	58	75
2	2	Almeria	39	11	28	2.0	1.5	21	8	10	78	58	71
3	9	Cordoba	40	15	25	1.4	1.4	17	9	14	56	58	60
4	4	Malaga	39	15	24	1.7	1.3	19	9	11	68	50	66
5	19	Mirandes	40	17	23	1.1	1.7	9	10	21	44	67	37
6	12	Ceuta	39	17	22	1.2	1.5	15	10	14	47	59	55
7	10	Andorra	39	18	21	1.6	1.3	16	10	13	61	49	58
8	5	Castellon	40	20	20	1.7	1.2	18	12	10	67	50	66
9	11	Albacete	40	20	20	1.3	1.3	15	11	14	53	53	56
10	13	Sp Gijon	39	19	20	1.3	1.3	15	7	17	52	51	52
11	18	Cadiz	40	20	20	0.9	1.4	10	10	20	37	57	40
12	22	Cultural Leonesa	39	19	20	0.9	1.6	8	9	22	36	64	33
13	3	La Coruna	39	20	19	1.5	1.1	20	11	8	60	41	71
14	7	Eibar	39	21	18	1.2	0.9	18	10	11	48	36	64
15	15	Sociedad B	40	22	18	1.2	1.4	12	10	18	50	57	46
16	17	Leganes	39	21	18	1.1	1.2	10	12	17	42	48	42
17	20	Huesca	39	21	18	1.0	1.6	9	9	21	40	61	36
18	6	Las Palmas	39	22	17	1.3	0.9	18	12	9	52	37	66
19	16	Valladolid	39	22	17	1.1	1.3	12	10	17	43	50	46
20	14	Granada	39	23	16	1.2	1.3	12	12	15	48	50	48
21	8	Burgos	39	26	13	1.1	0.8	17	12	10	44	33	63
22	21	Zaragoza	39	26	13	0.8	1.4	8	11	20	33	53	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Almeria	19	2	17	2.6	1.5	14	2	3	50	28	44
2	1	Santander	19	4	15	2.5	1.4	13	2	4	47	27	41
3	4	Malaga	20	7	13	2.0	1.1	12	6	2	41	23	42
4	7	Eibar	20	7	13	1.8	0.8	13	4	3	35	17	43
5	9	Cordoba	20	9	11	1.4	1.4	9	4	7	27	27	31
6	11	Albacete	20	9	11	1.4	1.6	8	4	8	27	31	28
7	13	Sp Gijon	20	9	11	1.6	1.1	10	6	4	32	21	36
8	3	La Coruna	19	9	10	1.5	1.0	10	5	4	28	19	35
9	5	Castellon	20	10	10	2.0	1.2	12	4	4	40	24	40
10	10	Andorra	20	10	10	1.6	1.1	8	6	6	31	23	30
11	12	Ceuta	19	9	10	1.4	1.0	11	4	4	26	19	37
12	15	Sociedad B	20	10	10	1.4	1.3	7	7	6	28	26	28
13	18	Cadiz	20	10	10	0.9	1.4	6	2	12	18	28	20
14	19	Mirandes	20	10	10	0.9	1.5	5	5	10	19	30	20
15	6	Las Palmas	20	11	9	1.6	0.7	12	5	3	32	13	41
16	17	Leganes	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	6	5	8	22	23	23
17	20	Huesca	20	12	8	1.1	1.1	7	7	6	23	23	28
18	22	Cultural Leonesa	19	11	8	0.7	1.5	3	5	11	13	29	14
19	14	Granada	19	12	7	1.4	1.2	6	8	5	27	22	26
20	16	Valladolid	20	13	7	1.1	0.9	8	5	7	23	19	29
21	21	Zaragoza	19	12	7	0.9	1.4	4	6	9	17	26	18
22	8	Burgos	20	16	4	1.2	0.6	9	8	3	24	12	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Cordoba	20	6	14	1.4	1.6	8	5	7	29	31	29
2	1	Santander	20	7	13	1.7	1.6	10	4	6	34	31	34
3	19	Mirandes	20	7	13	1.2	1.9	4	5	11	25	37	17
4	12	Ceuta	20	8	12	1.1	2.0	4	6	10	21	40	18
5	22	Cultural Leonesa	20	8	12	1.1	1.8	5	4	11	23	35	19
6	2	Almeria	20	9	11	1.4	1.5	7	6	7	28	30	27
7	4	Malaga	19	8	11	1.4	1.4	7	3	9	27	27	24
8	10	Andorra	19	8	11	1.6	1.4	8	4	7	30	26	28
9	5	Castellon	20	10	10	1.4	1.3	6	8	6	27	26	26
10	16	Valladolid	19	9	10	1.1	1.6	4	5	10	20	31	17
11	17	Leganes	20	10	10	1.0	1.2	4	7	9	20	25	19
12	18	Cadiz	20	10	10	0.9	1.4	4	8	8	19	29	20
13	20	Huesca	19	9	10	0.9	2.0	2	2	15	17	38	8
14	3	La Coruna	20	11	9	1.6	1.1	10	6	4	32	22	36
15	8	Burgos	19	10	9	1.1	1.1	8	4	7	20	21	28
16	11	Albacete	20	11	9	1.3	1.1	7	7	6	26	22	28
17	13	Sp Gijon	19	10	9	1.1	1.6	5	1	13	20	30	16
18	14	Granada	20	11	9	1.1	1.4	6	4	10	21	28	22
19	6	Las Palmas	19	11	8	1.1	1.3	6	7	6	20	24	25
20	15	Sociedad B	20	12	8	1.1	1.6	5	3	12	22	31	18
21	21	Zaragoza	20	14	6	0.8	1.4	4	5	11	16	27	17
22	7	Eibar	19	14	5	0.7	1.0	5	6	8	13	19	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.