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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain Segunda Division ·

Malaga 2–1 Ceuta

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.11
Draw 3.30 fair 4.00
Away 3.50 fair 3.61
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Malaga Ceuta
18 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 6
6 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (228 league matches this season so far).
Result Malaga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
MalagaDrawCeuta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Malaga before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.45scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 29:25
Ceuta before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:24
Malaga all matches all matches Ceuta

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.20
1.25 Goals conceded 1.20
2.70 Total goals 2.40
12.60 Shots 10.80
4.85 Shots on target 3.55
13.40 Shots faced 11.45
3.95 Corners 4.35
4.45 Corners against 4.65
13.10 Fouls 13.80
2.25 Yellow cards 2.60
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

40% Wins 45%
25% Draws 25%
35% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
75% Over 1.5 goals 65%
55% Over 2.5 goals 45%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
60% Both teams scored 50%
15% Clean sheets 35%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 30%
35% Draws 35%
25% Losses 35%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Malaga all matches
Ceuta all matches
Malaga before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.90scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:11
Ceuta before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:16
Malaga at home away Ceuta

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 1.00
1.10 Goals conceded 1.60
3.00 Total goals 2.60
15.10 Shots 9.80
6.20 Shots on target 2.70
13.30 Shots faced 13.60
3.70 Corners 3.40
3.40 Corners against 5.20
14.20 Fouls 12.70
2.30 Yellow cards 2.50
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
10% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
40% Over 3.5 goals 30%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
70% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 10%
30% Draws 40%
10% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
30% Over 1.5 goals 60%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Malaga at home
Ceuta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Malaga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Sp Gijon – Malaga 1–3 (0–1) 1.863.204.33 2.25 1.62
21.12.25 Malaga – Almeria 2–1 (1–0) 3.053.202.30 2.00 1.80
14.12.25 Albacete – Malaga 1–3 (1–0) 1.913.403.90 2.00 1.80
08.12.25 Malaga – Zaragoza 1–1 (1–0) 2.013.253.75 2.25 1.62
29.11.25 Valladolid – Malaga 1–1 (1–0) 1.713.405.00 2.05 1.75
23.11.25 Malaga – Mirandes 3–2 (2–0) 1.763.504.50 2.20 1.65
17.11.25 Cultural Leonesa – Malaga 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.05 2.10 1.70
08.11.25 Malaga – Cordoba 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.203.30 2.08 1.73
02.11.25 Castellon – Malaga 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.904.50 1.75 2.05
26.10.25 Malaga – Andorra 4–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.05 2.05 1.75

Ceuta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Ceuta – Andorra 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.504.00 1.95 1.85
21.12.25 Sociedad B – Ceuta 1–3 (1–1) 2.703.052.57 2.25 1.62
14.12.25 Ceuta – Las Palmas 1–1 (0–0) 2.822.952.55 2.60 1.48
07.12.25 Granada – Ceuta 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.403.75 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Ceuta – Burgos 1–0 (1–0) 2.322.953.25 2.60 1.48
26.11.25 Ceuta – Almeria 3–2 (1–1) 3.053.402.25 1.90 1.90
23.11.25 La Coruna – Ceuta 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.004.75 1.98 1.83
16.11.25 Ceuta – Leganes 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.052.85 2.30 1.60
02.11.25 Cordoba – Ceuta 2–0 (2–0) 1.863.304.20 1.98 1.83
25.10.25 Cultural Leonesa – Ceuta 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.053.20 2.35 1.57

Malaga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Malaga – Almeria 2–1 (1–0) 3.053.202.30 2.00 1.80
08.12.25 Malaga – Zaragoza 1–1 (1–0) 2.013.253.75 2.25 1.62
23.11.25 Malaga – Mirandes 3–2 (2–0) 1.763.504.50 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Malaga – Cordoba 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.203.30 2.08 1.73
26.10.25 Malaga – Andorra 4–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.05 2.05 1.75
12.10.25 Malaga – La Coruna 3–0 (2–0) 3.253.002.30 2.25 1.62
21.09.25 Malaga – Cadiz 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.75 2.50 1.50
06.09.25 Malaga – Granada 2–2 (2–1) 1.863.204.33 2.35 1.57
24.08.25 Malaga – Sociedad B 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.70
16.08.25 Malaga – Eibar 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.003.30 2.60 1.48

Ceuta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Sociedad B – Ceuta 1–3 (1–1) 2.703.052.57 2.25 1.62
07.12.25 Granada – Ceuta 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.403.75 2.20 1.65
23.11.25 La Coruna – Ceuta 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.004.75 1.98 1.83
02.11.25 Cordoba – Ceuta 2–0 (2–0) 1.863.304.20 1.98 1.83
25.10.25 Cultural Leonesa – Ceuta 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.053.20 2.35 1.57
12.10.25 Albacete – Ceuta 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.703.90 1.83 1.98
28.09.25 Cadiz – Ceuta 0–0 (0–0) 1.683.305.25 2.25 1.62
14.09.25 Castellon – Ceuta 3–3 (2–1) 1.613.905.00 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Santander – Ceuta 4–1 (2–1) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
15.08.25 Valladolid – Ceuta 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.404.10 1.98 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Spain Segunda Division table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Santander 21 11 5 5 45 31 +14 38
2 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 26 13 +13 38
3 Almeria 21 10 6 5 40 30 +10 36
4 La Coruna 21 9 7 5 35 24 +11 34
5 Castellon 20 10 4 6 34 25 +9 34
6 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 25 23 +2 34
7 Burgos 21 9 5 7 25 20 +5 32
8 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 24 24 0 32
9 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 26 29 -3 30
10 Malaga 20 8 5 7 29 25 +4 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 25 23 +2 29
12 Leganes 21 6 8 7 23 21 +2 26
13 Valladolid 21 6 7 8 21 23 -2 25
14 Andorra 21 6 7 8 23 29 -6 25
15 Cultural Leonesa 21 7 4 10 22 30 -8 25
16 Eibar 21 6 6 9 23 26 -3 24
17 Albacete 21 6 6 9 26 34 -8 24
18 Sociedad B 21 6 5 10 28 30 -2 23
19 Huesca 20 6 5 9 19 28 -9 23
20 Granada 20 4 9 7 23 27 -4 21
21 Zaragoza 21 5 5 11 20 34 -14 20
22 Mirandes 21 4 5 12 22 35 -13 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ceuta 10 7 1 2 14 8 +6 22
2 Eibar 11 6 3 2 18 9 +9 21
3 Las Palmas 11 6 3 2 17 8 +9 21
4 Santander 11 6 2 3 25 15 +10 20
5 Almeria 10 6 2 2 23 15 +8 20
6 Castellon 10 6 2 2 22 14 +8 20
7 Cadiz 11 6 2 3 14 11 +3 20
8 Malaga 10 5 4 1 19 11 +8 19
9 Sociedad B 11 5 4 2 16 11 +5 19
10 Sp Gijon 11 5 3 3 15 14 +1 18
11 La Coruna 10 4 4 2 15 11 +4 16
12 Burgos 11 4 4 3 11 8 +3 16
13 Huesca 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
14 Cordoba 10 4 3 3 13 12 +1 15
15 Valladolid 11 3 4 4 13 11 +2 13
16 Andorra 10 3 4 3 11 11 0 13
17 Granada 10 2 5 3 13 13 0 11
18 Albacete 10 3 1 6 11 19 -8 10
19 Leganes 10 2 3 5 9 11 -2 9
20 Cultural Leonesa 10 2 3 5 6 11 -5 9
21 Mirandes 10 2 2 6 8 17 -9 8
22 Zaragoza 10 2 2 6 8 18 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 La Coruna 11 5 3 3 20 13 +7 18
2 Santander 10 5 3 2 20 16 +4 18
3 Leganes 11 4 5 2 14 10 +4 17
4 Las Palmas 10 4 5 1 9 5 +4 17
5 Almeria 11 4 4 3 17 15 +2 16
6 Burgos 10 5 1 4 14 12 +2 16
7 Cultural Leonesa 11 5 1 5 16 19 -3 16
8 Castellon 10 4 2 4 12 11 +1 14
9 Cordoba 10 3 5 2 12 11 +1 14
10 Albacete 11 3 5 3 15 15 0 14
11 Cadiz 10 3 5 2 11 12 -1 14
12 Zaragoza 11 3 3 5 12 16 -4 12
13 Sp Gijon 10 4 0 6 11 15 -4 12
14 Valladolid 10 3 3 4 8 12 -4 12
15 Andorra 11 3 3 5 12 18 -6 12
16 Granada 10 2 4 4 10 14 -4 10
17 Malaga 10 3 1 6 10 14 -4 10
18 Ceuta 10 2 4 4 10 16 -6 10
19 Mirandes 11 2 3 6 14 18 -4 9
20 Huesca 10 2 1 7 6 16 -10 7
21 Sociedad B 10 1 1 8 12 19 -7 4
22 Eibar 10 0 3 7 5 17 -12 3

Malaga   Ceuta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Santander 21 5 16 2.1 1.5 11 5 5 45 31 38
2 3 Almeria 21 6 15 1.9 1.4 10 6 5 40 30 36
3 4 La Coruna 21 9 12 1.7 1.1 9 7 5 35 24 34
4 5 Castellon 20 9 11 1.7 1.2 10 4 6 34 25 34
5 10 Malaga 20 9 11 1.4 1.2 8 5 7 29 25 29
6 14 Andorra 21 10 11 1.1 1.4 6 7 8 23 29 25
7 16 Eibar 21 10 11 1.1 1.2 6 6 9 23 26 24
8 17 Albacete 21 10 11 1.2 1.6 6 6 9 26 34 24
9 22 Mirandes 21 10 11 1.0 1.7 4 5 12 22 35 17
10 6 Cadiz 21 11 10 1.2 1.1 9 7 5 25 23 34
11 9 Sp Gijon 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 9 3 9 26 29 30
12 11 Cordoba 20 10 10 1.2 1.1 7 8 5 25 23 29
13 18 Sociedad B 21 11 10 1.3 1.4 6 5 10 28 30 23
14 8 Ceuta 20 11 9 1.2 1.2 9 5 6 24 24 32
15 12 Leganes 21 12 9 1.1 1.0 6 8 7 23 21 26
16 15 Cultural Leonesa 21 12 9 1.0 1.4 7 4 10 22 30 25
17 20 Granada 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 4 9 7 23 27 21
18 21 Zaragoza 21 12 9 1.0 1.6 5 5 11 20 34 20
19 7 Burgos 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 9 5 7 25 20 32
20 19 Huesca 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 6 5 9 19 28 23
21 2 Las Palmas 21 14 7 1.2 0.6 10 8 3 26 13 38
22 13 Valladolid 21 14 7 1.0 1.1 6 7 8 21 23 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Santander 11 2 9 2.3 1.4 6 2 3 25 15 20
2 3 Almeria 10 2 8 2.3 1.5 6 2 2 23 15 20
3 16 Eibar 11 4 7 1.6 0.8 6 3 2 18 9 21
4 4 La Coruna 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 4 2 15 11 16
5 5 Castellon 10 4 6 2.2 1.4 6 2 2 22 14 20
6 10 Malaga 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 4 1 19 11 19
7 17 Albacete 10 4 6 1.1 1.9 3 1 6 11 19 10
8 2 Las Palmas 11 6 5 1.5 0.7 6 3 2 17 8 21
9 6 Cadiz 11 6 5 1.3 1.0 6 2 3 14 11 20
10 9 Sp Gijon 11 6 5 1.4 1.3 5 3 3 15 14 18
11 11 Cordoba 10 5 5 1.3 1.2 4 3 3 13 12 15
12 14 Andorra 10 5 5 1.1 1.1 3 4 3 11 11 13
13 18 Sociedad B 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 16 11 19
14 21 Zaragoza 10 5 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 6 8 18 8
15 22 Mirandes 10 5 5 0.8 1.7 2 2 6 8 17 8
16 8 Ceuta 10 6 4 1.4 0.8 7 1 2 14 8 22
17 12 Leganes 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 2 3 5 9 11 9
18 13 Valladolid 11 7 4 1.2 1.0 3 4 4 13 11 13
19 19 Huesca 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
20 20 Granada 10 6 4 1.3 1.3 2 5 3 13 13 11
21 7 Burgos 11 9 2 1.0 0.7 4 4 3 11 8 16
22 15 Cultural Leonesa 10 8 2 0.6 1.1 2 3 5 6 11 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Santander 10 3 7 2.0 1.6 5 3 2 20 16 18
2 3 Almeria 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 4 4 3 17 15 16
3 15 Cultural Leonesa 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 5 1 5 16 19 16
4 4 La Coruna 11 5 6 1.8 1.2 5 3 3 20 13 18
5 7 Burgos 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 5 1 4 14 12 16
6 14 Andorra 11 5 6 1.1 1.6 3 3 5 12 18 12
7 22 Mirandes 11 5 6 1.3 1.6 2 3 6 14 18 9
8 5 Castellon 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 2 4 12 11 14
9 6 Cadiz 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 3 5 2 11 12 14
10 8 Ceuta 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 2 4 4 10 16 10
11 9 Sp Gijon 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 4 0 6 11 15 12
12 10 Malaga 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 3 1 6 10 14 10
13 11 Cordoba 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 3 5 2 12 11 14
14 12 Leganes 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 2 14 10 17
15 17 Albacete 11 6 5 1.4 1.4 3 5 3 15 15 14
16 18 Sociedad B 10 5 5 1.2 1.9 1 1 8 12 19 4
17 20 Granada 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 2 4 4 10 14 10
18 16 Eibar 10 6 4 0.5 1.7 0 3 7 5 17 3
19 19 Huesca 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 2 1 7 6 16 7
20 21 Zaragoza 11 7 4 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 16 12
21 13 Valladolid 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 3 3 4 8 12 12
22 2 Las Palmas 10 8 2 0.9 0.5 4 5 1 9 5 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51