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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.50 fair 2.90
Draw 4.00 fair 3.75
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.58
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Alaves Real Madrid
6 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 7
12 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 10.3% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Alaves before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
0.87scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:15
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.00scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 32:15
Alaves all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.94
1.87 Total goals 2.94
11.33 Shots 19.88
3.40 Shots on target 7.13
11.13 Shots faced 10.06
5.27 Corners 6.31
4.40 Corners against 3.13
16.33 Fouls 9.56
2.40 Yellow cards 1.81
0.47 1st-half goals scored 1.06
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

33% Wins 69%
20% Draws 19%
47% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 94%
47% Over 1.5 goals 81%
33% Over 2.5 goals 63%
13% Over 3.5 goals 31%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 44%
40% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 50%
53% Draws 44%
27% Losses 6%
60% Over 0.5 goals 63%
27% Over 1.5 goals 44%
7% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alaves all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Alaves before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.25scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:7
Real Madrid before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:10
Alaves at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 2.00
0.88 Goals conceded 1.11
2.13 Total goals 3.11
12.25 Shots 19.33
3.50 Shots on target 6.89
9.63 Shots faced 11.89
5.75 Corners 6.00
3.88 Corners against 4.00
15.75 Fouls 8.89
1.88 Yellow cards 1.11
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 56%
25% Draws 33%
25% Losses 11%
88% Over 0.5 goals 89%
63% Over 1.5 goals 78%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
13% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 56%
25% Clean sheets 44%
25% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 44%
63% Draws 44%
0% Losses 11%
63% Over 0.5 goals 67%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alaves at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Alaves all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Alaves – Sociedad 1–0 (1–0) 2.802.902.80 2.63 1.50
29.11.25 Barcelona – Alaves 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.36 3.20
22.11.25 Alaves – Celta 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.62
08.11.25 Girona – Alaves 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.30 1.62
02.11.25 Alaves – Espanol 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.003.30 2.63 1.50
26.10.25 Vallecano – Alaves 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.103.90 2.63 1.50
20.10.25 Alaves – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
05.10.25 Alaves – Elche 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Mallorca – Alaves 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.003.40 3.00 1.40
24.09.25 Getafe – Alaves 1–1 (0–0) 2.302.903.60 3.40 1.33

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Real Madrid – Celta 0–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.36 3.20
03.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Girona – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 6.505.251.40 1.40 3.00
23.11.25 Elche – Real Madrid 2–2 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.50 2.63
09.11.25 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38
01.11.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.36 3.20
26.10.25 Real Madrid – Barcelona 2–1 (2–1) 1.954.103.30 1.30 3.50
19.10.25 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.331.42 1.95 1.90
04.10.25 Real Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20

Alaves at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Alaves – Sociedad 1–0 (1–0) 2.802.902.80 2.63 1.50
22.11.25 Alaves – Celta 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.62
02.11.25 Alaves – Espanol 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.003.30 2.63 1.50
20.10.25 Alaves – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
05.10.25 Alaves – Elche 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.63 1.50
20.09.25 Alaves – Sevilla 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53
30.08.25 Alaves – Ath Madrid 1–1 (1–1) 4.753.501.80 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Alaves – Levante 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.63 1.50
24.05.25 Alaves – Osasuna 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.35 2.30 1.62
14.05.25 Alaves – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.103.70 2.38 1.57

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Girona – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 6.505.251.40 1.40 3.00
23.11.25 Elche – Real Madrid 2–2 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.50 2.63
09.11.25 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.331.42 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20
23.09.25 Levante – Real Madrid 1–4 (0–2) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
13.09.25 Sociedad – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 5.004.331.60 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Oviedo – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 9.505.501.30 1.73 2.10
18.05.25 Sevilla – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Alaves winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
6matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 5.254.101.62 1.73 2.10
24.09.24SP1 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–2 (2–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.50 2.63
14.05.24SP1 Real Madrid – Alaves 5–0 (3–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.50 2.63
21.12.23SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.53 1.75 2.05
19.02.22SP1 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–0 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
14.08.21SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 1–4 (0–0) 7.004.751.44 1.80 2.00

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 14 1 2 49 20 +29 43
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 +17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 +18 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 30 16 +14 34
5 Espanol 16 9 3 4 20 16 +4 30
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 +6 24
7 Ath Bilbao 17 7 2 8 15 22 -7 23
8 Celta 16 5 7 4 20 19 +1 22
9 Sevilla 16 6 2 8 24 24 0 20
10 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 18 -5 20
11 Elche 16 4 7 5 19 20 -1 19
12 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
13 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
14 Mallorca 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
15 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
16 Osasuna 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
17 Valencia 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
18 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
19 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 7 26 -19 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 9 9 0 0 28 5 +23 27
2 Ath Madrid 9 8 1 0 22 7 +15 25
3 Villarreal 8 7 1 0 20 4 +16 22
4 Espanol 9 6 1 2 13 10 +3 19
5 Real Madrid 7 6 0 1 14 5 +9 18
6 Elche 8 4 4 0 12 5 +7 16
7 Ath Bilbao 9 5 1 3 9 9 0 16
8 Alaves 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
9 Betis 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
10 Osasuna 7 4 1 2 11 8 +3 13
11 Mallorca 8 3 4 1 10 9 +1 13
12 Valencia 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
13 Getafe 8 3 2 3 7 6 +1 11
14 Sevilla 8 3 1 4 14 12 +2 10
15 Sociedad 8 3 1 4 12 13 -1 10
16 Girona 8 2 3 3 8 14 -6 9
17 Celta 9 1 5 3 9 12 -3 8
18 Vallecano 6 1 4 1 4 4 0 7
19 Oviedo 8 1 3 4 2 10 -8 6
20 Levante 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 9 5 3 1 18 10 +8 18
2 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 21 15 +6 16
3 Celta 7 4 2 1 11 7 +4 14
4 Villarreal 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Betis 7 2 5 0 11 8 +3 11
6 Espanol 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
7 Sevilla 8 3 1 4 10 12 -2 10
8 Vallecano 9 3 1 5 9 12 -3 10
9 Ath Madrid 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
10 Getafe 8 3 0 5 6 12 -6 9
11 Levante 9 2 2 5 10 12 -2 8
12 Ath Bilbao 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7
13 Sociedad 8 1 3 4 8 11 -3 6
14 Girona 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
15 Alaves 7 1 1 5 3 8 -5 4
16 Mallorca 8 1 1 6 8 14 -6 4
17 Oviedo 8 1 1 6 5 16 -11 4
18 Elche 8 0 3 5 7 15 -8 3
19 Valencia 8 0 3 5 5 18 -13 3
20 Osasuna 9 0 2 7 3 12 -9 2

Alaves   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 17 2 15 2.9 1.2 14 1 2 49 20 43
2 9 Sevilla 16 5 11 1.5 1.5 6 2 8 24 24 20
3 2 Real Madrid 16 6 10 2.0 0.9 11 3 2 32 15 36
4 14 Mallorca 16 7 9 1.1 1.4 4 5 7 18 23 17
5 15 Sociedad 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 4 4 8 20 24 16
6 18 Girona 16 7 9 0.9 1.9 3 6 7 15 30 15
7 3 Villarreal 15 7 8 2.1 0.9 11 2 2 31 13 35
8 20 Levante 15 7 8 1.1 1.9 2 3 10 16 28 9
9 4 Ath Madrid 17 10 7 1.8 0.9 10 4 3 30 16 34
10 5 Espanol 16 9 7 1.2 1.0 9 3 4 20 16 30
11 6 Betis 15 8 7 1.7 1.3 6 6 3 25 19 24
12 11 Elche 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 4 7 5 19 20 19
13 17 Valencia 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 3 6 7 15 25 15
14 7 Ath Bilbao 17 11 6 0.9 1.3 7 2 8 15 22 23
15 10 Getafe 16 11 5 0.8 1.1 6 2 8 13 18 20
16 12 Alaves 15 10 5 0.9 1.0 5 3 7 13 15 18
17 16 Osasuna 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 4 3 9 14 20 15
18 19 Oviedo 16 11 5 0.4 1.6 2 4 10 7 26 10
19 8 Celta 16 12 4 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 19 22
20 13 Vallecano 15 11 4 0.9 1.1 4 5 6 13 16 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 9 1 8 3.1 0.6 9 0 0 28 5 27
2 9 Sevilla 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 3 1 4 14 12 10
3 15 Sociedad 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 3 1 4 12 13 10
4 3 Villarreal 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 7 1 0 20 4 22
5 4 Ath Madrid 9 4 5 2.4 0.8 8 1 0 22 7 25
6 5 Espanol 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 6 1 2 13 10 19
7 20 Levante 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
8 2 Real Madrid 7 3 4 2.0 0.7 6 0 1 14 5 18
9 6 Betis 8 4 4 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
10 12 Alaves 8 4 4 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
11 18 Girona 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 2 3 3 8 14 9
12 7 Ath Bilbao 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 5 1 3 9 9 16
13 11 Elche 8 5 3 1.5 0.6 4 4 0 12 5 16
14 14 Mallorca 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 1 10 9 13
15 16 Osasuna 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 4 1 2 11 8 13
16 17 Valencia 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
17 19 Oviedo 8 6 2 0.2 1.2 1 3 4 2 10 6
18 8 Celta 9 8 1 1.0 1.3 1 5 3 9 12 8
19 10 Getafe 8 7 1 0.9 0.8 3 2 3 7 6 11
20 13 Vallecano 6 6 0 0.7 0.7 1 4 1 4 4 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 8 1 7 2.6 1.9 5 1 2 21 15 16
2 2 Real Madrid 9 3 6 2.0 1.1 5 3 1 18 10 18
3 14 Mallorca 8 2 6 1.0 1.8 1 1 6 8 14 4
4 9 Sevilla 8 3 5 1.2 1.5 3 1 4 10 12 10
5 17 Valencia 8 3 5 0.6 2.2 0 3 5 5 18 3
6 18 Girona 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
7 10 Getafe 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 3 0 5 6 12 9
8 11 Elche 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 3 5 7 15 3
9 13 Vallecano 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 5 9 12 10
10 3 Villarreal 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
11 6 Betis 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 2 5 0 11 8 11
12 7 Ath Bilbao 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7
13 8 Celta 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 4 2 1 11 7 14
14 15 Sociedad 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 3 4 8 11 6
15 19 Oviedo 8 5 3 0.6 2.0 1 1 6 5 16 4
16 20 Levante 9 6 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 5 10 12 8
17 4 Ath Madrid 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
18 5 Espanol 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
19 16 Osasuna 9 7 2 0.3 1.3 0 2 7 3 12 2
20 12 Alaves 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 1 1 5 3 8 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44