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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Madrid 4–3 Sevilla

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.38 fair 1.73
Draw 4.75 fair 4.23
Away 8.50 fair 5.44
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Madrid Sevilla
14 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
11 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (157 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Madrid to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.72 – 0.85
Home / Draw / Away
Ath MadridDrawSevilla
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.1% 2–0 11.3% 1–1 11.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
1.73scored / match
0.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:8
Sevilla before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
0.93scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:19
Ath Madrid all matches all matches Sevilla

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 0.93
0.53 Goals conceded 1.27
2.27 Total goals 2.20
12.20 Shots 12.47
4.73 Shots on target 4.00
9.93 Shots faced 11.27
4.93 Corners 5.47
3.33 Corners against 4.33
10.73 Fouls 11.93
1.93 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

60% Wins 33%
33% Draws 27%
7% Losses 40%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 33%
20% Over 3.5 goals 13%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
40% Both teams scored 47%
53% Clean sheets 33%
13% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 27%
40% Draws 40%
27% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
13% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid all matches
Sevilla all matches
Ath Madrid before this match, at home
2.43points / match
2.00scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:3
Sevilla before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.00scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:11
Ath Madrid at home away Sevilla

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.43 Goals conceded 1.57
2.43 Total goals 2.57
15.86 Shots 11.29
6.00 Shots on target 3.43
6.86 Shots faced 13.29
6.29 Corners 5.29
3.29 Corners against 5.14
11.86 Fouls 11.29
2.00 Yellow cards 1.57
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

71% Wins 14%
29% Draws 43%
0% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
43% Both teams scored 57%
57% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 14%
29% Draws 43%
29% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
0% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid at home
Sevilla away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Valladolid – Ath Madrid 0–5 (0–3) 6.004.201.53 2.06 1.84
23.11.24 Ath Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 2.03 1.87
10.11.24 Mallorca – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.20 2.63 1.50
03.11.24 Ath Madrid – Las Palmas 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.009.50 1.62 2.30
27.10.24 Betis – Ath Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.20 1.67
20.10.24 Ath Madrid – Leganes 3–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.02 1.88
06.10.24 Sociedad – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.202.30 2.38 1.57
29.09.24 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 1.80 2.00
26.09.24 Celta – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 3.803.701.91 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 5.003.401.80 2.20 1.67

Sevilla all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.24 Sevilla – Osasuna 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Sevilla – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.38 1.57
09.11.24 Leganes – Sevilla 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.202.55 2.40 1.53
03.11.24 Sevilla – Sociedad 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.50 1.53
25.10.24 Espanol – Sevilla 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.30 1.62
20.10.24 Barcelona – Sevilla 5–1 (3–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
06.10.24 Sevilla – Betis 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.73
29.09.24 Ath Bilbao – Sevilla 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.00 2.04 1.86
24.09.24 Sevilla – Valladolid 2–1 (1–0) 1.653.805.50 2.04 1.86
20.09.24 Alaves – Sevilla 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.103.70 2.20 1.67

Ath Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Ath Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 2.03 1.87
03.11.24 Ath Madrid – Las Palmas 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.009.50 1.62 2.30
20.10.24 Ath Madrid – Leganes 3–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.02 1.88
29.09.24 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 1.80 2.00
15.09.24 Ath Madrid – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 1.334.5011.00 1.92 1.98
28.08.24 Ath Madrid – Espanol 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.80 2.00
25.08.24 Ath Madrid – Girona 3–0 (1–0) 1.604.105.50 1.62 2.30
19.05.24 Ath Madrid – Osasuna 1–4 (0–1) 1.404.508.00 1.73 2.10
12.05.24 Ath Madrid – Celta 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 3–1 (1–1) 1.953.504.00 2.01 1.89

Sevilla away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Leganes – Sevilla 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.202.55 2.40 1.53
25.10.24 Espanol – Sevilla 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.30 1.62
20.10.24 Barcelona – Sevilla 5–1 (3–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
29.09.24 Ath Bilbao – Sevilla 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.00 2.04 1.86
20.09.24 Alaves – Sevilla 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.103.70 2.20 1.67
27.08.24 Mallorca – Sevilla 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.103.25 2.50 1.53
16.08.24 Las Palmas – Sevilla 2–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.63 2.20 1.67
19.05.24 Ath Bilbao – Sevilla 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.904.75 1.90 2.00
11.05.24 Villarreal – Sevilla 3–2 (1–2) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
28.04.24 Betis – Sevilla 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Madrid winsDrawsSevilla wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24SP1 Sevilla – Ath Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.89 2.01
23.12.23SP1 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.335.75 1.70 2.10
04.03.23SP1 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 6–1 (2–1) 1.673.605.25 2.20 1.67
01.10.22SP1 Sevilla – Ath Madrid 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.50 2.30 1.61
15.05.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.003.60 2.37 1.57
18.12.21SP1 Sevilla – Ath Madrid 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.53

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 12 2 3 50 19 +31 38
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 34 13 +21 36
3 Ath Madrid 15 9 5 1 26 8 +18 32
4 Ath Bilbao 17 9 5 3 26 15 +11 32
5 Villarreal 15 7 5 3 27 25 +2 26
6 Sociedad 16 7 3 6 16 11 +5 24
7 Osasuna 16 6 6 4 22 25 -3 24
8 Mallorca 17 7 3 7 16 20 -4 24
9 Girona 16 6 4 6 22 23 -1 22
10 Celta 16 6 3 7 25 27 -2 21
11 Betis 16 5 6 5 18 20 -2 21
12 Vallecano 15 5 4 6 15 16 -1 19
13 Sevilla 15 5 4 6 14 19 -5 19
14 Las Palmas 16 5 3 8 22 27 -5 18
15 Alaves 16 4 3 9 18 27 -9 15
16 Leganes 16 3 6 7 14 23 -9 15
17 Getafe 15 2 7 6 10 13 -3 13
18 Espanol 14 4 1 9 15 27 -12 13
19 Valencia 14 2 4 8 13 22 -9 10
20 Valladolid 16 2 3 11 11 34 -23 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 20 7 +13 21
2 Ath Bilbao 10 6 3 1 16 7 +9 21
3 Osasuna 9 5 3 1 17 12 +5 18
4 Ath Madrid 7 5 2 0 14 3 +11 17
5 Celta 9 5 2 2 15 9 +6 17
6 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 19 5 +14 15
7 Betis 8 4 3 1 12 8 +4 15
8 Girona 8 4 1 3 15 13 +2 13
9 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 7 8 -1 13
10 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 16 14 +2 12
11 Espanol 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
12 Mallorca 9 3 3 3 7 10 -3 12
13 Getafe 8 2 5 1 7 4 +3 11
14 Alaves 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11
15 Sociedad 8 3 1 4 9 9 0 10
16 Leganes 8 3 1 4 6 10 -4 10
17 Las Palmas 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
18 Valencia 7 2 2 3 10 9 +1 8
19 Vallecano 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
20 Valladolid 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 7 2 2 31 14 +17 23
2 Real Madrid 8 4 3 1 14 6 +8 15
3 Ath Madrid 8 4 3 1 12 5 +7 15
4 Sociedad 8 4 2 2 7 2 +5 14
5 Villarreal 8 4 2 2 11 11 0 14
6 Mallorca 8 4 0 4 9 10 -1 12
7 Ath Bilbao 7 3 2 2 10 8 +2 11
8 Vallecano 8 3 2 3 6 6 0 11
9 Girona 8 2 3 3 7 10 -3 9
10 Las Palmas 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
11 Sevilla 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
12 Betis 8 1 3 4 6 12 -6 6
13 Osasuna 7 1 3 3 5 13 -8 6
14 Leganes 8 0 5 3 8 13 -5 5
15 Celta 7 1 1 5 10 18 -8 4
16 Alaves 9 1 1 7 10 19 -9 4
17 Valladolid 8 1 0 7 6 22 -16 3
18 Getafe 7 0 2 5 3 9 -6 2
19 Valencia 7 0 2 5 3 13 -10 2
20 Espanol 7 0 1 6 4 17 -13 1

Ath Madrid   Sevilla

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 17 2 15 2.9 1.1 12 2 3 50 19 38
2 5 Villarreal 15 4 11 1.8 1.7 7 5 3 27 25 26
3 10 Celta 16 5 11 1.6 1.7 6 3 7 25 27 21
4 14 Las Palmas 16 6 10 1.4 1.7 5 3 8 22 27 18
5 15 Alaves 16 6 10 1.1 1.7 4 3 9 18 27 15
6 20 Valladolid 16 6 10 0.7 2.1 2 3 11 11 34 9
7 2 Real Madrid 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 11 3 2 34 13 36
8 7 Osasuna 16 7 9 1.4 1.6 6 6 4 22 25 24
9 18 Espanol 14 5 9 1.1 1.9 4 1 9 15 27 13
10 9 Girona 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 22 23 22
11 4 Ath Bilbao 17 10 7 1.5 0.9 9 5 3 26 15 32
12 8 Mallorca 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 7 3 7 16 20 24
13 12 Vallecano 15 8 7 1.0 1.1 5 4 6 15 16 19
14 19 Valencia 14 7 7 0.9 1.6 2 4 8 13 22 10
15 3 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 1.7 0.5 9 5 1 26 8 32
16 11 Betis 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 5 18 20 21
17 16 Leganes 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 7 14 23 15
18 13 Sevilla 15 10 5 0.9 1.3 5 4 6 14 19 19
19 6 Sociedad 16 12 4 1.0 0.7 7 3 6 16 11 24
20 17 Getafe 15 14 1 0.7 0.9 2 7 6 10 13 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Villarreal 7 1 6 2.3 2.0 3 3 1 16 14 12
2 7 Osasuna 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 5 3 1 17 12 18
3 9 Girona 8 2 6 1.9 1.6 4 1 3 15 13 13
4 1 Barcelona 6 1 5 3.2 0.8 5 0 1 19 5 15
5 2 Real Madrid 8 3 5 2.5 0.9 7 0 1 20 7 21
6 10 Celta 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 2 2 15 9 17
7 18 Espanol 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
8 3 Ath Madrid 7 3 4 2.0 0.4 5 2 0 14 3 17
9 11 Betis 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 4 3 1 12 8 15
10 12 Vallecano 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
11 14 Las Palmas 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
12 16 Leganes 8 4 4 0.8 1.2 3 1 4 6 10 10
13 20 Valladolid 8 4 4 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6
14 4 Ath Bilbao 10 7 3 1.6 0.7 6 3 1 16 7 21
15 6 Sociedad 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 3 1 4 9 9 10
16 8 Mallorca 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 3 3 3 7 10 12
17 15 Alaves 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11
18 19 Valencia 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 2 3 10 9 8
19 13 Sevilla 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 4 1 3 7 8 13
20 17 Getafe 8 8 0 0.9 0.5 2 5 1 7 4 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 11 1 10 2.8 1.3 7 2 2 31 14 23
2 15 Alaves 9 2 7 1.1 2.1 1 1 7 10 19 4
3 10 Celta 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 1 1 5 10 18 4
4 14 Las Palmas 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
5 20 Valladolid 8 2 6 0.8 2.8 1 0 7 6 22 3
6 5 Villarreal 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 4 2 2 11 11 14
7 2 Real Madrid 8 4 4 1.8 0.8 4 3 1 14 6 15
8 4 Ath Bilbao 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 3 2 2 10 8 11
9 8 Mallorca 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 4 0 4 9 10 12
10 18 Espanol 7 3 4 0.6 2.4 0 1 6 4 17 1
11 19 Valencia 7 3 4 0.4 1.9 0 2 5 3 13 2
12 7 Osasuna 7 4 3 0.7 1.9 1 3 3 5 13 6
13 12 Vallecano 8 5 3 0.8 0.8 3 2 3 6 6 11
14 13 Sevilla 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
15 3 Ath Madrid 8 6 2 1.5 0.6 4 3 1 12 5 15
16 9 Girona 8 6 2 0.9 1.2 2 3 3 7 10 9
17 11 Betis 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 1 3 4 6 12 6
18 16 Leganes 8 6 2 1.0 1.6 0 5 3 8 13 5
19 6 Sociedad 8 7 1 0.9 0.2 4 2 2 7 2 14
20 17 Getafe 7 6 1 0.4 1.3 0 2 5 3 9 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44