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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Valencia 3–1 Villarreal

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.04
Draw 3.50 fair 4.06
Away 3.60 fair 3.80
Under 2.5 1.86 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.04 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Valencia Villarreal
11 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).
Result Valencia to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Valencia before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.06scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:22
Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.44scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:35
Valencia all matches all matches Villarreal

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.44
1.22 Goals conceded 1.94
2.28 Total goals 3.39
9.72 Shots 11.00
3.33 Shots on target 4.17
9.78 Shots faced 16.44
3.11 Corners 4.83
5.39 Corners against 5.22
13.44 Fouls 13.00
2.22 Yellow cards 2.83
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

33% Wins 28%
28% Draws 22%
39% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
61% Over 1.5 goals 89%
44% Over 2.5 goals 72%
17% Over 3.5 goals 44%
6% Over 4.5 goals 28%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 83%
33% Clean sheets 11%
28% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 11%
44% Draws 56%
33% Losses 33%
61% Over 0.5 goals 67%
22% Over 1.5 goals 56%
0% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valencia all matches
Villarreal all matches
Valencia before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.13scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:4
Villarreal before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:14
Valencia at home away Villarreal

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded 1.75
1.63 Total goals 2.88
11.00 Shots 7.88
3.50 Shots on target 3.63
8.38 Shots faced 17.75
3.75 Corners 3.50
5.00 Corners against 6.25
13.75 Fouls 13.25
1.88 Yellow cards 3.25
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 38%
25% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 75%
63% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
38% Draws 63%
25% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 63%
25% Over 1.5 goals 63%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valencia at home
Villarreal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Valencia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.23 Vallecano – Valencia 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
16.12.23 Valencia – Barcelona 1–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.86 2.04
08.12.23 Getafe – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.602.903.10 2.88 1.40
02.12.23 Girona – Valencia 2–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.86 2.04
25.11.23 Valencia – Celta 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.08 1.73
11.11.23 Real Madrid – Valencia 5–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
05.11.23 Valencia – Granada 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.91 1.99
29.10.23 Ath Bilbao – Valencia 2–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 2.08 1.73
23.10.23 Valencia – Cadiz 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
07.10.23 Mallorca – Valencia 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.003.20 2.50 1.50

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.23 Villarreal – Celta 3–2 (2–0) 2.403.602.88 1.90 2.00
17.12.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
09.12.23 Villarreal – Sociedad 0–3 (0–3) 3.403.402.10 2.00 1.90
03.12.23 Sevilla – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Villarreal – Osasuna 3–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.88 2.02
12.11.23 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.50 2.50
05.11.23 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 2–3 (0–3) 2.803.602.40 1.84 2.06
30.10.23 Granada – Villarreal 2–3 (2–3) 3.103.502.25 1.70 2.10
22.10.23 Villarreal – Alaves 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.97 1.93
08.10.23 Villarreal – Las Palmas 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.73 2.08

Valencia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Valencia – Barcelona 1–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.86 2.04
25.11.23 Valencia – Celta 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.08 1.73
05.11.23 Valencia – Granada 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.91 1.99
23.10.23 Valencia – Cadiz 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
27.09.23 Valencia – Sociedad 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.102.80 2.50 1.53
16.09.23 Valencia – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 3.803.302.05 2.20 1.67
27.08.23 Valencia – Osasuna 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.404.00 2.20 1.67
18.08.23 Valencia – Las Palmas 1–0 (0–0) 1.573.906.00 2.10 1.73
28.05.23 Valencia – Espanol 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.753.40 1.88 2.02
21.05.23 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10

Villarreal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
03.12.23 Sevilla – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.67 2.15
12.11.23 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.50 2.50
30.10.23 Granada – Villarreal 2–3 (2–3) 3.103.502.25 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Getafe – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.102.60 2.08 1.73
24.09.23 Vallecano – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.502.63 1.73 2.10
01.09.23 Cadiz – Villarreal 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.402.15 1.89 2.01
18.08.23 Mallorca – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 2.30 1.62
28.05.23 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.67 2.20
20.05.23 Girona – Villarreal 1–2 (1–1) 2.803.752.30 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Valencia winsDrawsVillarreal wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.23SP1 Valencia – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 1.89 2.01
31.12.22SP1 Villarreal – Valencia 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.404.20 1.92 1.98
19.04.22SP1 Villarreal – Valencia 2–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.72 2.10
30.10.21SP1 Valencia – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.90 1.90

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 18 14 3 1 39 11 +28 45
2 Girona 18 14 3 1 42 21 +21 45
3 Ath Madrid 18 12 2 4 36 19 +17 38
4 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 34 21 +13 38
5 Ath Bilbao 18 10 5 3 34 19 +15 35
6 Sociedad 19 8 8 3 30 19 +11 32
7 Betis 18 6 10 2 20 18 +2 28
8 Getafe 19 6 8 5 24 25 -1 26
9 Las Palmas 18 7 4 7 15 15 0 25
10 Valencia 18 6 5 7 19 22 -3 23
11 Vallecano 19 5 8 6 18 24 -6 23
12 Osasuna 18 5 4 9 21 29 -8 19
13 Villarreal 18 5 4 9 26 35 -9 19
14 Mallorca 18 3 9 6 17 22 -5 18
15 Alaves 19 4 5 10 15 25 -10 17
16 Sevilla 18 3 7 8 23 25 -2 16
17 Cadiz 18 2 9 7 14 24 -10 15
18 Celta 18 2 7 9 18 28 -10 13
19 Granada 18 1 5 12 20 40 -20 8
20 Almeria 18 0 5 13 19 42 -23 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ath Madrid 10 9 1 0 23 11 +12 28
2 Barcelona 10 8 0 2 21 11 +10 24
3 Ath Bilbao 10 7 2 1 25 11 +14 23
4 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 21 4 +17 22
5 Girona 9 7 1 1 21 10 +11 22
6 Betis 9 5 4 0 12 4 +8 19
7 Sociedad 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19
8 Getafe 9 5 3 1 9 6 +3 18
9 Las Palmas 8 4 3 1 9 5 +4 15
10 Valencia 8 4 2 2 9 4 +5 14
11 Alaves 9 4 1 4 10 11 -1 13
12 Mallorca 9 2 6 1 8 7 +1 12
13 Cadiz 9 2 5 2 8 9 -1 11
14 Sevilla 9 2 4 3 13 13 0 10
15 Villarreal 10 3 1 6 17 21 -4 10
16 Osasuna 9 2 3 4 8 12 -4 9
17 Vallecano 9 1 5 3 9 16 -7 8
18 Celta 9 1 4 4 6 12 -6 7
19 Granada 9 1 4 4 12 19 -7 7
20 Almeria 9 0 4 5 10 18 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 10 7 2 1 18 7 +11 23
2 Girona 9 7 2 0 21 11 +10 23
3 Vallecano 10 4 3 3 9 8 +1 15
4 Barcelona 8 3 5 0 13 10 +3 14
5 Sociedad 9 3 4 2 12 8 +4 13
6 Ath Bilbao 8 3 3 2 9 8 +1 12
7 Ath Madrid 8 3 1 4 13 8 +5 10
8 Osasuna 9 3 1 5 13 17 -4 10
9 Las Palmas 10 3 1 6 6 10 -4 10
10 Villarreal 8 2 3 3 9 14 -5 9
11 Betis 9 1 6 2 8 14 -6 9
12 Valencia 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9
13 Getafe 10 1 5 4 15 19 -4 8
14 Sevilla 9 1 3 5 10 12 -2 6
15 Celta 9 1 3 5 12 16 -4 6
16 Mallorca 9 1 3 5 9 15 -6 6
17 Cadiz 9 0 4 5 6 15 -9 4
18 Alaves 10 0 4 6 5 14 -9 4
19 Granada 9 0 1 8 8 21 -13 1
20 Almeria 9 0 1 8 9 24 -15 1

Valencia   Villarreal

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Villarreal 18 5 13 1.4 1.9 5 4 9 26 35 19
2 20 Almeria 18 5 13 1.1 2.3 0 5 13 19 42 5
3 2 Girona 18 6 12 2.3 1.2 14 3 1 42 21 45
4 3 Ath Madrid 18 6 12 2.0 1.1 12 2 4 36 19 38
5 1 Real Madrid 18 8 10 2.2 0.6 14 3 1 39 11 45
6 4 Barcelona 18 8 10 1.9 1.2 11 5 2 34 21 38
7 5 Ath Bilbao 18 9 9 1.9 1.1 10 5 3 34 19 35
8 6 Sociedad 19 10 9 1.6 1.0 8 8 3 30 19 32
9 8 Getafe 19 10 9 1.3 1.3 6 8 5 24 25 26
10 16 Sevilla 18 9 9 1.3 1.4 3 7 8 23 25 16
11 19 Granada 18 9 9 1.1 2.2 1 5 12 20 40 8
12 10 Valencia 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 6 5 7 19 22 23
13 12 Osasuna 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 5 4 9 21 29 19
14 18 Celta 18 11 7 1.0 1.6 2 7 9 18 28 13
15 11 Vallecano 19 13 6 0.9 1.3 5 8 6 18 24 23
16 7 Betis 18 13 5 1.1 1.0 6 10 2 20 18 28
17 14 Mallorca 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 3 9 6 17 22 18
18 15 Alaves 19 14 5 0.8 1.3 4 5 10 15 25 17
19 17 Cadiz 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 2 9 7 14 24 15
20 9 Las Palmas 18 14 4 0.8 0.8 7 4 7 15 15 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Villarreal 10 1 9 1.7 2.1 3 1 6 17 21 10
2 3 Ath Madrid 10 2 8 2.3 1.1 9 1 0 23 11 28
3 5 Ath Bilbao 10 3 7 2.5 1.1 7 2 1 25 11 23
4 2 Girona 9 3 6 2.3 1.1 7 1 1 21 10 22
5 4 Barcelona 10 4 6 2.1 1.1 8 0 2 21 11 24
6 20 Almeria 9 3 6 1.1 2.0 0 4 5 10 18 4
7 1 Real Madrid 8 3 5 2.6 0.5 7 1 0 21 4 22
8 16 Sevilla 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 2 4 3 13 13 10
9 19 Granada 9 4 5 1.3 2.1 1 4 4 12 19 7
10 6 Sociedad 10 6 4 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19
11 11 Vallecano 9 5 4 1.0 1.8 1 5 3 9 16 8
12 17 Cadiz 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 2 8 9 11
13 7 Betis 9 7 2 1.3 0.4 5 4 0 12 4 19
14 8 Getafe 9 7 2 1.0 0.7 5 3 1 9 6 18
15 9 Las Palmas 8 6 2 1.1 0.6 4 3 1 9 5 15
16 10 Valencia 8 6 2 1.1 0.5 4 2 2 9 4 14
17 12 Osasuna 9 7 2 0.9 1.3 2 3 4 8 12 9
18 14 Mallorca 9 7 2 0.9 0.8 2 6 1 8 7 12
19 15 Alaves 9 7 2 1.1 1.2 4 1 4 10 11 13
20 18 Celta 9 7 2 0.7 1.3 1 4 4 6 12 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Getafe 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 1 5 4 15 19 8
2 20 Almeria 9 2 7 1.0 2.7 0 1 8 9 24 1
3 2 Girona 9 3 6 2.3 1.2 7 2 0 21 11 23
4 10 Valencia 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9
5 12 Osasuna 9 3 6 1.4 1.9 3 1 5 13 17 10
6 1 Real Madrid 10 5 5 1.8 0.7 7 2 1 18 7 23
7 6 Sociedad 9 4 5 1.3 0.9 3 4 2 12 8 13
8 18 Celta 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 1 3 5 12 16 6
9 3 Ath Madrid 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 3 1 4 13 8 10
10 4 Barcelona 8 4 4 1.6 1.2 3 5 0 13 10 14
11 13 Villarreal 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 2 3 3 9 14 9
12 16 Sevilla 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 1 3 5 10 12 6
13 19 Granada 9 5 4 0.9 2.3 0 1 8 8 21 1
14 7 Betis 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 1 6 2 8 14 9
15 14 Mallorca 9 6 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 5 9 15 6
16 15 Alaves 10 7 3 0.5 1.4 0 4 6 5 14 4
17 5 Ath Bilbao 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 3 3 2 9 8 12
18 9 Las Palmas 10 8 2 0.6 1.0 3 1 6 6 10 10
19 11 Vallecano 10 8 2 0.9 0.8 4 3 3 9 8 15
20 17 Cadiz 9 7 2 0.7 1.7 0 4 5 6 15 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44