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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 5–1 Valencia

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.89
Draw 5.50 fair 4.15
Away 8.50 fair 4.34
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Valencia
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 4
7 Fouls 26
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (124 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawValencia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.42points / match
1.92scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:8
Valencia before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:13
Real Madrid all matches all matches Valencia

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 1.25
0.67 Goals conceded 1.08
2.58 Total goals 2.33
17.83 Shots 10.50
7.00 Shots on target 3.83
11.92 Shots faced 8.92
6.42 Corners 3.33
3.50 Corners against 5.17
10.75 Fouls 12.92
1.83 Yellow cards 1.75
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

75% Wins 42%
17% Draws 25%
8% Losses 33%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 42%
50% Clean sheets 33%
8% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 25%
33% Losses 42%
75% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Valencia all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.60points / match
2.00scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:2
Valencia before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:10
Real Madrid at home away Valencia

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.17
0.40 Goals conceded 1.67
2.40 Total goals 2.83
21.00 Shots 9.50
8.60 Shots on target 3.67
9.60 Shots faced 11.50
7.60 Corners 3.17
2.20 Corners against 5.83
10.20 Fouls 11.17
2.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

80% Wins 17%
20% Draws 50%
0% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 83%
60% Over 2.5 goals 67%
20% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 67%
60% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 17%
20% Draws 33%
40% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 83%
0% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Valencia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
28.10.23 Barcelona – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Sevilla – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Real Madrid – Osasuna 4–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.57 2.35
30.09.23 Girona – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 3.504.001.95 1.60 2.30
27.09.23 Real Madrid – Las Palmas 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 3–1 (2–1) 2.703.402.55 2.06 1.84
17.09.23 Real Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (0–1) 1.654.005.00 1.90 2.00
02.09.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.259.50 1.94 1.96
25.08.23 Celta – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10

Valencia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Valencia – Granada 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.91 1.99
29.10.23 Ath Bilbao – Valencia 2–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 2.08 1.73
23.10.23 Valencia – Cadiz 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
07.10.23 Mallorca – Valencia 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.003.20 2.50 1.50
01.10.23 Betis – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.30 2.10 1.70
27.09.23 Valencia – Sociedad 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.102.80 2.50 1.53
23.09.23 Almeria – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.602.30 1.94 1.96
16.09.23 Valencia – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 3.803.302.05 2.20 1.67
02.09.23 Alaves – Valencia 1–0 (1–0) 2.902.882.75 2.75 1.44
27.08.23 Valencia – Osasuna 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.404.00 2.20 1.67

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
07.10.23 Real Madrid – Osasuna 4–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.57 2.35
27.09.23 Real Madrid – Las Palmas 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.44 2.75
17.09.23 Real Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (0–1) 1.654.005.00 1.90 2.00
02.09.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.259.50 1.94 1.96
04.06.23 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.62 2.30
24.05.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.62 2.30
13.05.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.96 1.94
29.04.23 Real Madrid – Almeria 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.30 3.50
22.04.23 Real Madrid – Celta 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.57 2.38

Valencia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Ath Bilbao – Valencia 2–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Mallorca – Valencia 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.003.20 2.50 1.50
01.10.23 Betis – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.30 2.10 1.70
23.09.23 Almeria – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.602.30 1.94 1.96
02.09.23 Alaves – Valencia 1–0 (1–0) 2.902.882.75 2.75 1.44
11.08.23 Sevilla – Valencia 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 2.20 1.67
04.06.23 Betis – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.602.50 1.73 2.10
25.05.23 Mallorca – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.002.40 2.75 1.44
14.05.23 Celta – Valencia 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Cadiz – Valencia 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsValencia wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10
02.02.23SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
08.01.22SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–1 (1–0) 1.375.008.00 1.57 2.37
19.09.21SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.801.90 1.72 2.10

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Girona 13 11 1 1 31 16 +15 34 LWWWWW
2 Real Madrid 12 9 2 1 23 8 +15 29 WWWDWD
3 Barcelona 12 8 3 1 24 12 +12 27 DWDWLW
4 Ath Madrid 11 8 1 2 26 11 +15 25 WWWWWL
5 Ath Bilbao 13 7 3 3 25 17 +8 24 LWLDWW
6 Sociedad 13 6 4 3 23 16 +7 22 WLWDLW
7 Betis 12 5 5 2 16 15 +1 20 DWDDWW
8 Valencia 12 5 3 4 15 13 +2 18 LLDWDW
9 Las Palmas 13 5 3 5 11 12 -1 18 WWLWWD
10 Vallecano 13 4 6 3 15 17 -2 18 DDWDDL
11 Getafe 13 3 7 3 15 17 -2 16 DDDDWD
12 Osasuna 13 4 2 7 15 21 -6 14 WLWLLD
13 Villarreal 12 3 3 6 17 21 -4 12 LDLDWL
14 Alaves 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12 DLDDLW
15 Sevilla 11 2 5 4 17 16 +1 11 WLDDDD
16 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 10 17 -7 10 DLLLDL
17 Mallorca 12 1 6 5 12 18 -6 9 DDDLDL
18 Celta 13 1 4 8 14 24 -10 7 LDLLDL
19 Granada 13 1 4 8 18 30 -12 7 DDLLLD
20 Almeria 13 0 3 10 15 35 -20 3 DLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15 WWWWWL
2 Girona 6 5 0 1 15 8 +7 15 WWWLWW
3 Ath Madrid 5 5 0 0 13 6 +7 15 WWWWW
4 Ath Bilbao 7 4 2 1 18 11 +7 14 WWDWDW
5 Betis 6 4 2 0 9 2 +7 14 DWDWWW
6 Sociedad 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14 DWWWWL
7 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13 WWWWD
8 Valencia 6 4 0 2 8 3 +5 12 WLWLWW
9 Getafe 6 3 3 0 6 3 +3 12 DWWDDW
10 Las Palmas 6 3 2 1 6 4 +2 11 DDWWLW
11 Alaves 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10 WWLLDW
12 Cadiz 6 2 3 1 7 5 +2 9 WDWDLD
13 Sevilla 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8 LLWWDD
14 Granada 7 1 3 3 11 15 -4 6 WLDDLD
15 Vallecano 6 1 3 2 8 14 -6 6 LWDDDL
16 Osasuna 7 1 2 4 6 11 -5 5 LDLWLD
17 Mallorca 5 0 4 1 3 4 -1 4 LDDDD
18 Villarreal 7 1 1 5 11 15 -4 4 LWLLDL
19 Celta 7 0 3 4 4 11 -7 3 LLDDLD
20 Almeria 7 0 2 5 10 18 -8 2 LLDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Girona 7 6 1 0 16 8 +8 19 WWWWWW
2 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16 WWLWDW
3 Vallecano 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12 WLDDWD
4 Barcelona 6 3 3 0 11 8 +3 12 DWWDDW
5 Ath Madrid 6 3 1 2 13 5 +8 10 DWLWWL
6 Ath Bilbao 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10 WDWLLW
7 Osasuna 6 3 0 3 9 10 -1 9 WWLWLL
8 Sociedad 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8 DLWLDW
9 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 6 6 0 8 WLDDW
10 Las Palmas 7 2 1 4 5 8 -3 7 LLLWWD
11 Valencia 6 1 3 2 7 10 -3 6 WLDLDD
12 Betis 6 1 3 2 7 13 -6 6 WLLDDD
13 Mallorca 7 1 2 4 9 14 -5 5 LWLDLL
14 Celta 6 1 1 4 10 13 -3 4 DWLLLL
15 Getafe 7 0 4 3 9 14 -5 4 LLDDDD
16 Sevilla 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3 LDLDD
17 Alaves 6 0 2 4 3 8 -5 2 LLLDDL
18 Granada 6 0 1 5 7 15 -8 1 LLLDLL
19 Cadiz 6 0 1 5 3 12 -9 1 LLDLLL
20 Almeria 6 0 1 5 5 17 -12 1 DLLLLL

Real Madrid   Valencia

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 20 Almeria 13 3 10 1.2 2.7 0 3 10 15 35 3 OOOOUO
2 1 Girona 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 11 1 1 31 16 34 OUOUOO
3 4 Ath Madrid 11 2 9 2.4 1.0 8 1 2 26 11 25 UOOOOO
4 5 Ath Bilbao 13 5 8 1.9 1.3 7 3 3 25 17 24 OOUOOO
5 13 Villarreal 12 4 8 1.4 1.8 3 3 6 17 21 12 OUOUOO
6 2 Real Madrid 12 5 7 1.9 0.7 9 2 1 23 8 29 UOOUOU
7 3 Barcelona 12 5 7 2.0 1.0 8 3 1 24 12 27 OUOUOU
8 6 Sociedad 13 6 7 1.8 1.2 6 4 3 23 16 22 OOUOUO
9 19 Granada 13 6 7 1.4 2.3 1 4 8 18 30 7 OOUOUU
10 8 Valencia 12 6 6 1.2 1.1 5 3 4 15 13 18 UOUUOU
11 11 Getafe 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 3 7 3 15 17 16 UOUUUU
12 12 Osasuna 13 7 6 1.2 1.6 4 2 7 15 21 14 UOUOOU
13 15 Sevilla 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 2 5 4 17 16 11 OUOUOU
14 18 Celta 13 7 6 1.1 1.8 1 4 8 14 24 7 OOOUUO
15 7 Betis 12 7 5 1.3 1.2 5 5 2 16 15 20 UOUUOU
16 10 Vallecano 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 6 3 15 17 18 OOUOUO
17 9 Las Palmas 13 9 4 0.8 0.9 5 3 5 11 12 18 OOUOOU
18 16 Cadiz 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 2 4 6 10 17 10 UOUUOU
19 17 Mallorca 12 8 4 1.0 1.5 1 6 5 12 18 9 OOUUUU
20 14 Alaves 12 10 2 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12 UUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Ath Bilbao 7 1 6 2.6 1.6 4 2 1 18 11 14 OOOOOO
2 13 Villarreal 7 1 6 1.6 2.1 1 1 5 11 15 4 OOOOUO
3 20 Almeria 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 0 2 5 10 18 2 OOOOOO
4 4 Ath Madrid 5 0 5 2.6 1.2 5 0 0 13 6 15 OOOOO
5 1 Girona 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 5 0 1 15 8 15 OUOOOU
6 10 Vallecano 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 3 2 8 14 6 OUUOOO
7 15 Sevilla 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8 OOUOOU
8 19 Granada 7 3 4 1.6 2.1 1 3 3 11 15 6 OOUOOU
9 2 Real Madrid 5 2 3 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13 OOUOU
10 3 Barcelona 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15 UOOUUO
11 6 Sociedad 7 4 3 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14 UOOOUU
12 7 Betis 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 4 2 0 9 2 14 UUUOOU
13 8 Valencia 6 4 2 1.3 0.5 4 0 2 8 3 12 UOOUUU
14 9 Las Palmas 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 1 6 4 11 UUUOUO
15 12 Osasuna 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 1 2 4 6 11 5 OUUUOU
16 16 Cadiz 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 2 3 1 7 5 9 UUOUUO
17 18 Celta 7 5 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 4 4 11 3 UUUOOU
18 11 Getafe 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 3 3 0 6 3 12 UUOUUU
19 14 Alaves 6 5 1 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10 OUUUUU
20 17 Mallorca 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 0 4 1 3 4 4 UUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Girona 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 6 1 0 16 8 19 OOOUOO
2 11 Getafe 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 0 4 3 9 14 4 OOOOUU
3 2 Real Madrid 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16 OUOOUO
4 3 Barcelona 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 3 0 11 8 12 UOOOOU
5 4 Ath Madrid 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 3 1 2 13 5 10 UOOUOO
6 6 Sociedad 6 2 4 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8 UOUOOO
7 8 Valencia 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 3 2 7 10 6 OUOOUO
8 12 Osasuna 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 3 0 3 9 10 9 UOOUOO
9 18 Celta 6 2 4 1.7 2.2 1 1 4 10 13 4 UOOOUO
10 20 Almeria 6 2 4 0.8 2.8 0 1 5 5 17 1 UOOOOU
11 7 Betis 6 3 3 1.2 2.2 1 3 2 7 13 6 OOOUUU
12 17 Mallorca 7 4 3 1.3 2.0 1 2 4 9 14 5 OUOOUU
13 19 Granada 6 3 3 1.2 2.5 0 1 5 7 15 1 OOUOUU
14 5 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10 UUUOUO
15 9 Las Palmas 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 1 4 5 8 7 UUUOOU
16 13 Villarreal 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 1 6 6 8 UOUUO
17 15 Sevilla 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3 OUUOU
18 16 Cadiz 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 1 5 3 12 1 UOUOUU
19 10 Vallecano 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12 UUUOUU
20 14 Alaves 6 5 1 0.5 1.3 0 2 4 3 8 2 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10