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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 3–1 Sevilla

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.78
Draw 4.75 fair 4.46
Away 8.50 fair 4.67
Under 2.5 2.37 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Sevilla
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 3
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (103 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.88 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawSevilla
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.80points / match
2.50scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 25:8
Sevilla before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:15
Real Madrid all matches all matches Sevilla

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.00
0.80 Goals conceded 1.50
3.30 Total goals 2.50
17.30 Shots 11.90
6.10 Shots on target 3.40
11.00 Shots faced 14.60
5.60 Corners 5.10
4.10 Corners against 5.20
9.00 Fouls 13.50
1.20 Yellow cards 4.00
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

90% Wins 20%
10% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 90%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 10%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 70%
20% Clean sheets 10%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 30%
30% Draws 40%
10% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Sevilla all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:4
Sevilla before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:7
Real Madrid at home away Sevilla

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.40
1.00 Goals conceded 1.40
3.50 Total goals 2.80
18.50 Shots 10.00
4.75 Shots on target 3.40
9.75 Shots faced 13.60
6.25 Corners 2.80
2.50 Corners against 5.20
8.75 Fouls 12.20
1.50 Yellow cards 4.80
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

75% Wins 40%
25% Draws 20%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
75% Over 2.5 goals 60%
50% Over 3.5 goals 20%
25% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 40%
50% Draws 60%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
75% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Sevilla away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.22 Elche – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 8.505.751.30 1.50 2.62
16.10.22 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.57 2.37
08.10.22 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 6.504.501.50 1.80 2.00
02.10.22 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–1 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
18.09.22 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.94 1.96
11.09.22 Real Madrid – Mallorca 4–1 (1–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.62
03.09.22 Real Madrid – Betis 2–1 (1–1) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
28.08.22 Espanol – Real Madrid 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.61 2.30
20.08.22 Celta – Real Madrid 1–4 (1–2) 4.504.201.66 1.66 2.20
14.08.22 Almeria – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.57 2.37

Sevilla all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.22 Sevilla – Valencia 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.03 1.87
15.10.22 Mallorca – Sevilla 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.002.70 2.30 1.61
08.10.22 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
01.10.22 Sevilla – Ath Madrid 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.50 2.30 1.61
18.09.22 Villarreal – Sevilla 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.97
10.09.22 Espanol – Sevilla 2–3 (1–3) 2.873.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Sevilla – Barcelona 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.601.80 1.80 2.00
27.08.22 Almeria – Sevilla 2–1 (1–1) 3.603.252.15 2.20 1.66
19.08.22 Sevilla – Valladolid 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.98 1.92
12.08.22 Osasuna – Sevilla 2–1 (1–1) 3.203.102.40 2.62 1.50

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.57 2.37
02.10.22 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–1 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
11.09.22 Real Madrid – Mallorca 4–1 (1–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.62
03.09.22 Real Madrid – Betis 2–1 (1–1) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
20.05.22 Real Madrid – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.504.33 1.40 3.00
12.05.22 Real Madrid – Levante 6–0 (4–0) 1.455.255.50 1.36 3.20
30.04.22 Real Madrid – Espanol 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.66 2.20
09.04.22 Real Madrid – Getafe 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 2.07 1.83
20.03.22 Real Madrid – Barcelona 0–4 (0–2) 2.153.603.25 1.66 2.20
05.03.22 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (2–1) 1.604.205.25 1.83 2.07

Sevilla away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Mallorca – Sevilla 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.002.70 2.30 1.61
18.09.22 Villarreal – Sevilla 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.97
10.09.22 Espanol – Sevilla 2–3 (1–3) 2.873.252.50 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Almeria – Sevilla 2–1 (1–1) 3.603.252.15 2.20 1.66
12.08.22 Osasuna – Sevilla 2–1 (1–1) 3.203.102.40 2.62 1.50
15.05.22 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.003.60 2.37 1.57
08.05.22 Villarreal – Sevilla 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
21.04.22 Levante – Sevilla 2–3 (1–2) 3.503.502.10 2.06 1.84
03.04.22 Barcelona – Sevilla 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
13.03.22 Vallecano – Sevilla 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsSevilla wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.22SP1 Sevilla – Real Madrid 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80
28.11.21SP1 Real Madrid – Sevilla 2–1 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.91 2.02

Spain La Liga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 10 9 1 0 25 8 +17 28
2 Barcelona 10 8 1 1 24 4 +20 25
3 Sociedad 11 7 1 3 16 13 +3 22
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 16 8 +8 20
5 Betis 10 6 2 2 13 6 +7 20
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 3 2 19 8 +11 18
7 Osasuna 10 5 1 4 10 10 0 16
8 Villarreal 10 4 3 3 12 6 +6 15
9 Valencia 11 4 3 4 18 13 +5 15
10 Vallecano 11 4 3 4 16 14 +2 15
11 Valladolid 11 4 2 5 11 15 -4 14
12 Mallorca 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12
13 Sevilla 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
14 Almeria 10 3 1 6 11 17 -6 10
15 Celta 10 3 1 6 11 20 -9 10
16 Espanol 10 2 3 5 12 17 -5 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9
18 Girona 10 2 2 6 14 18 -4 8
19 Cadiz 11 1 4 6 5 22 -17 7
20 Elche 10 0 3 7 6 24 -18 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Betis 5 5 0 0 10 2 +8 15
2 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 11 0 +11 13
3 Osasuna 6 4 0 2 8 6 +2 12
4 Valencia 6 3 1 2 12 6 +6 10
5 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 10 4 +6 10
6 Vallecano 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
7 Ath Bilbao 6 3 1 2 8 4 +4 10
8 Valladolid 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
9 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 6 6 0 10
10 Almeria 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
11 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
12 Ath Madrid 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
13 Girona 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
14 Celta 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
15 Getafe 6 1 2 3 6 10 -4 5
16 Mallorca 5 1 1 3 3 5 -2 4
17 Espanol 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
18 Sevilla 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 2 11 -9 3
20 Elche 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 15 4 +11 18
2 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 0 8 1 +7 13
3 Barcelona 5 4 0 1 13 4 +9 12
4 Sociedad 6 4 0 2 10 7 +3 12
5 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 11 4 +7 8
6 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 5 5 0 8
7 Mallorca 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
8 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
9 Espanol 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
10 Valencia 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
11 Betis 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
12 Vallecano 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
13 Osasuna 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
14 Getafe 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
15 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
16 Cadiz 5 1 1 3 3 11 -8 4
17 Celta 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3
18 Girona 5 0 1 4 5 9 -4 1
19 Almeria 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
20 Elche 5 0 1 4 3 14 -11 1

Real Madrid   Sevilla

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Real Madrid 10 2 8 2.5 0.8 9 1 0 25 8 28
2 2 Barcelona 10 3 7 2.4 0.4 8 1 1 24 4 25
3 9 Valencia 11 4 7 1.6 1.2 4 3 4 18 13 15
4 15 Celta 10 3 7 1.1 2.0 3 1 6 11 20 10
5 20 Elche 10 3 7 0.6 2.4 0 3 7 6 24 3
6 10 Vallecano 11 5 6 1.5 1.3 4 3 4 16 14 15
7 14 Almeria 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 3 1 6 11 17 10
8 16 Espanol 10 4 6 1.2 1.7 2 3 5 12 17 9
9 17 Getafe 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9
10 18 Girona 10 4 6 1.4 1.8 2 2 6 14 18 8
11 3 Sociedad 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 7 1 3 16 13 22
12 5 Betis 10 5 5 1.3 0.6 6 2 2 13 6 20
13 6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 5 1.9 0.8 5 3 2 19 8 18
14 11 Valladolid 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 4 2 5 11 15 14
15 19 Cadiz 11 6 5 0.5 2.0 1 4 6 5 22 7
16 4 Ath Madrid 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 2 16 8 20
17 13 Sevilla 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 2 4 4 10 15 10
18 7 Osasuna 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 5 1 4 10 10 16
19 8 Villarreal 10 7 3 1.2 0.6 4 3 3 12 6 15
20 12 Mallorca 11 8 3 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Valencia 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 1 2 12 6 10
2 14 Almeria 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
3 15 Celta 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
4 17 Getafe 6 2 4 1.0 1.7 1 2 3 6 10 5
5 1 Real Madrid 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 3 1 0 10 4 10
6 2 Barcelona 5 2 3 2.2 0.0 4 1 0 11 0 13
7 4 Ath Madrid 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
8 5 Betis 5 2 3 2.0 0.4 5 0 0 10 2 15
9 7 Osasuna 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 4 0 2 8 6 12
10 10 Vallecano 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
11 16 Espanol 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
12 18 Girona 5 2 3 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
13 19 Cadiz 6 3 3 0.3 1.8 0 3 3 2 11 3
14 3 Sociedad 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 3 1 1 6 6 10
15 6 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 1 2 8 4 10
16 11 Valladolid 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
17 20 Elche 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
18 8 Villarreal 3 2 1 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
19 12 Mallorca 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 1 3 3 5 4
20 13 Sevilla 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Real Madrid 6 1 5 2.5 0.7 6 0 0 15 4 18
2 20 Elche 5 0 5 0.6 2.8 0 1 4 3 14 1
3 2 Barcelona 5 1 4 2.6 0.8 4 0 1 13 4 12
4 3 Sociedad 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 4 0 2 10 7 12
5 6 Ath Bilbao 4 1 3 2.8 1.0 2 2 0 11 4 8
6 9 Valencia 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
7 10 Vallecano 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 1 2 3 7 9 5
8 11 Valladolid 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
9 13 Sevilla 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
10 15 Celta 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3
11 16 Espanol 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
12 18 Girona 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 4 5 9 1
13 5 Betis 5 3 2 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
14 8 Villarreal 7 5 2 0.7 0.7 2 2 3 5 5 8
15 12 Mallorca 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
16 14 Almeria 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1
17 17 Getafe 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
18 19 Cadiz 5 3 2 0.6 2.2 1 1 3 3 11 4
19 4 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 1.6 0.2 4 1 0 8 1 13
20 7 Osasuna 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44