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Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: D Dickinson

Kilmarnock 1–4 Celtic

Full time · half time 1–4 · season 2022/2023

Home 15.00 fair 6.86
Draw 7.00 fair 5.61
Away ✓ 1.20 fair 1.48
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Kilmarnock Celtic
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (191 league matches this season so far).
Result Celtic to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.03 – 2.39
Home / Draw / Away
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.6% 0–2 9.4% 1–1 8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
0.84scored / match
1.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 26:54
Celtic before this match, all matches
2.84points / match
3.16scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 98:23
Kilmarnock all matches all matches Celtic

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 3.16
1.74 Goals conceded 0.74
2.58 Total goals 3.90
11.48 Shots 18.97
2.97 Shots on target 7.29
12.84 Shots faced 6.29
4.52 Corners 7.61
5.13 Corners against 2.35
12.13 Fouls 10.42
1.90 Yellow cards 1.19
0.42 1st-half goals scored 1.42
0.97 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

23% Wins 94%
23% Draws 3%
55% Losses 3%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 97%
48% Over 2.5 goals 77%
32% Over 3.5 goals 55%
13% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 16%
48% Both teams scored 52%
16% Clean sheets 45%
42% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 65%
23% Draws 26%
52% Losses 10%
81% Over 0.5 goals 87%
32% Over 1.5 goals 52%
23% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock all matches
Celtic all matches
Kilmarnock before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:20
Celtic before this match, away
2.67points / match
3.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 48:12
Kilmarnock at home away Celtic

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 3.20
1.33 Goals conceded 0.80
2.67 Total goals 4.00
14.00 Shots 18.67
3.93 Shots on target 6.67
11.00 Shots faced 6.87
4.53 Corners 7.53
4.80 Corners against 2.60
12.73 Fouls 9.87
2.07 Yellow cards 1.13
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

47% Wins 87%
33% Draws 7%
20% Losses 7%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 93%
53% Over 2.5 goals 73%
27% Over 3.5 goals 53%
20% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
67% Both teams scored 47%
27% Clean sheets 47%
13% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 60%
27% Draws 27%
20% Losses 13%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock at home
Celtic away

Last 10 matches before this match

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.02 1.83
01.04.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
18.03.23 Kilmarnock – St Johnstone 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.30 1.62
04.03.23 Rangers – Kilmarnock 3–1 (3–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.53 2.50
25.02.23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.67
18.02.23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 2.02 1.83
04.02.23 Livingston – Kilmarnock 3–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.30 2.38 1.57
01.02.23 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.10 1.73
28.01.23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.67
18.01.23 Kilmarnock – Rangers 2–3 (1–1) 8.005.501.33 1.62 2.30

Celtic all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Celtic – Rangers 3–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.67 2.20
02.04.23 Ross County – Celtic 0–2 (0–1) 17.007.001.14 1.40 3.00
18.03.23 Celtic – Hibernian 3–1 (0–1) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.20
08.03.23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
05.03.23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5 (1–0) 13.006.001.22 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 Celtic – Aberdeen 4–0 (2–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.40 3.00
05.02.23 St Johnstone – Celtic 1–4 (1–3) 15.007.001.20 1.44 2.75
01.02.23 Celtic – Livingston 3–0 (3–0) 1.1110.0021.00 1.30 3.50
29.01.23 Dundee United – Celtic 0–2 (0–0) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.75
18.01.23 Celtic – St Mirren 4–0 (2–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.36 3.20

Kilmarnock at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
18.03.23 Kilmarnock – St Johnstone 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.67
01.02.23 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.10 1.73
18.01.23 Kilmarnock – Rangers 2–3 (1–1) 8.005.501.33 1.62 2.30
02.01.23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.20 1.67
28.12.22 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.502.30 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–0 (0–0) 3.253.302.30 2.10 1.72
04.11.22 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–3 (2–1) 2.702.903.00 2.50 1.53
22.10.22 Kilmarnock – Ross County 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.20 2.20 1.66

Celtic away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.23 Ross County – Celtic 0–2 (0–1) 17.007.001.14 1.40 3.00
05.03.23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5 (1–0) 13.006.001.22 1.57 2.38
05.02.23 St Johnstone – Celtic 1–4 (1–3) 15.007.001.20 1.44 2.75
29.01.23 Dundee United – Celtic 0–2 (0–0) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.75
02.01.23 Rangers – Celtic 2–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
28.12.22 Hibernian – Celtic 0–4 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.53 2.50
17.12.22 Aberdeen – Celtic 0–1 (0–0) 7.005.001.40 1.50 2.63
09.11.22 Motherwell – Celtic 1–2 (0–1) 11.005.751.28 1.53 2.50
30.10.22 Livingston – Celtic 0–3 (0–1) 11.006.001.25 1.61 2.30
22.10.22 Hearts – Celtic 3–4 (1–1) 9.505.501.30 1.50 2.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Kilmarnock winsDrawsCeltic wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.23SC0 Celtic – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.0812.0023.00 1.29 3.75
14.08.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–5 (0–3) 17.006.501.20 1.53 2.50

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 31 29 1 1 98 23 +75 88
2 Rangers 32 25 4 3 81 32 +49 79
3 Aberdeen 32 16 2 14 50 52 -2 50
4 Hearts 32 13 6 13 50 48 +2 45
5 St Mirren 32 12 8 12 38 47 -9 44
6 Hibernian 32 13 4 15 48 51 -3 43
7 Livingston 32 12 6 14 33 50 -17 42
8 Motherwell 32 10 6 16 43 47 -4 36
9 St Johnstone 32 9 5 18 33 53 -20 32
10 Dundee United 32 7 7 18 34 58 -24 28
11 Kilmarnock 31 7 7 17 26 54 -28 28
12 Ross County 32 7 6 19 27 46 -19 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 16 16 0 0 50 11 +39 48
2 Rangers 16 14 2 0 44 11 +33 44
3 Aberdeen 16 11 1 4 36 14 +22 34
4 Hearts 15 10 1 4 34 22 +12 31
5 St Mirren 16 9 4 3 21 14 +7 31
6 Livingston 17 8 4 5 19 20 -1 28
7 Hibernian 16 8 3 5 29 21 +8 27
8 Kilmarnock 15 7 5 3 20 20 0 26
9 Dundee United 16 5 2 9 20 29 -9 17
10 Motherwell 16 4 3 9 20 26 -6 15
11 Ross County 17 4 3 10 17 27 -10 15
12 St Johnstone 15 3 3 9 14 22 -8 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 15 13 1 1 48 12 +36 40
2 Rangers 16 11 2 3 37 21 +16 35
3 Motherwell 16 6 3 7 23 21 +2 21
4 St Johnstone 17 6 2 9 19 31 -12 20
5 Hibernian 16 5 1 10 19 30 -11 16
6 Aberdeen 16 5 1 10 14 38 -24 16
7 Hearts 17 3 5 9 16 26 -10 14
8 Livingston 15 4 2 9 14 30 -16 14
9 St Mirren 16 3 4 9 17 33 -16 13
10 Ross County 15 3 3 9 10 19 -9 12
11 Dundee United 16 2 5 9 14 29 -15 11
12 Kilmarnock 16 0 2 14 6 34 -28 2

Kilmarnock   Celtic

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 31 7 24 3.2 0.7 29 1 1 98 23 88
2 2 Rangers 32 8 24 2.5 1.0 25 4 3 81 32 79
3 3 Aberdeen 32 12 20 1.6 1.6 16 2 14 50 52 50
4 4 Hearts 32 12 20 1.6 1.5 13 6 13 50 48 45
5 6 Hibernian 32 13 19 1.5 1.6 13 4 15 48 51 43
6 8 Motherwell 32 13 19 1.3 1.5 10 6 16 43 47 36
7 10 Dundee United 32 14 18 1.1 1.8 7 7 18 34 58 28
8 7 Livingston 32 15 17 1.0 1.6 12 6 14 33 50 42
9 9 St Johnstone 32 15 17 1.0 1.7 9 5 18 33 53 32
10 5 St Mirren 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 12 8 12 38 47 44
11 11 Kilmarnock 31 16 15 0.8 1.7 7 7 17 26 54 28
12 12 Ross County 32 19 13 0.8 1.4 7 6 19 27 46 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 16 3 13 3.1 0.7 16 0 0 50 11 48
2 4 Hearts 15 3 12 2.3 1.5 10 1 4 34 22 31
3 2 Rangers 16 5 11 2.8 0.7 14 2 0 44 11 44
4 8 Motherwell 16 5 11 1.2 1.6 4 3 9 20 26 15
5 6 Hibernian 16 6 10 1.8 1.3 8 3 5 29 21 27
6 10 Dundee United 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 5 2 9 20 29 17
7 3 Aberdeen 16 7 9 2.2 0.9 11 1 4 36 14 34
8 7 Livingston 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 8 4 5 19 20 28
9 11 Kilmarnock 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 5 3 20 20 26
10 12 Ross County 17 10 7 1.0 1.6 4 3 10 17 27 15
11 5 St Mirren 16 10 6 1.3 0.9 9 4 3 21 14 31
12 9 St Johnstone 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 3 3 9 14 22 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Rangers 16 3 13 2.3 1.3 11 2 3 37 21 35
2 1 Celtic 15 4 11 3.2 0.8 13 1 1 48 12 40
3 3 Aberdeen 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 5 1 10 14 38 16
4 9 St Johnstone 17 6 11 1.1 1.8 6 2 9 19 31 20
5 5 St Mirren 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 3 4 9 17 33 13
6 6 Hibernian 16 7 9 1.2 1.9 5 1 10 19 30 16
7 7 Livingston 15 6 9 0.9 2.0 4 2 9 14 30 14
8 4 Hearts 17 9 8 0.9 1.5 3 5 9 16 26 14
9 8 Motherwell 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 3 7 23 21 21
10 10 Dundee United 16 8 8 0.9 1.8 2 5 9 14 29 11
11 11 Kilmarnock 16 9 7 0.4 2.1 0 2 14 6 34 2
12 12 Ross County 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 3 3 9 10 19 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40