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Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: D McFarlane

Hibernian 1–0 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 1.93
Draw 3.50 fair 4.47
Away 4.00 fair 3.86
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hibernian Kilmarnock
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 10
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (110 league matches this season so far).
Result Hibernian to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.90 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
HibernianDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Hibernian before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.37scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:31
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.21scored / match
1.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:35
Hibernian all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.21
1.63 Goals conceded 1.84
3.00 Total goals 3.05
13.32 Shots 12.89
4.11 Shots on target 3.68
12.84 Shots faced 13.95
5.84 Corners 5.21
5.89 Corners against 5.42
11.32 Fouls 10.26
1.74 Yellow cards 1.74
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.32
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

26% Wins 26%
32% Draws 32%
42% Losses 42%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 84%
63% Over 2.5 goals 53%
32% Over 3.5 goals 37%
16% Over 4.5 goals 21%
5% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 53%
16% Clean sheets 16%
26% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 21%
47% Draws 26%
26% Losses 53%
74% Over 0.5 goals 74%
47% Over 1.5 goals 21%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hibernian all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Hibernian before this match, at home
1.11points / match
1.56scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:14
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.09scored / match
2.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:25
Hibernian at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.09
1.56 Goals conceded 2.27
3.11 Total goals 3.36
14.44 Shots 11.36
4.00 Shots on target 3.18
11.78 Shots faced 15.36
6.67 Corners 5.55
6.11 Corners against 6.09
11.33 Fouls 10.09
2.00 Yellow cards 1.82
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

22% Wins 18%
44% Draws 27%
33% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 91%
56% Over 2.5 goals 64%
33% Over 3.5 goals 45%
11% Over 4.5 goals 27%
11% Over 5.5 goals 9%
78% Both teams scored 64%
11% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 18%
44% Draws 18%
22% Losses 64%
78% Over 0.5 goals 82%
44% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hibernian at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hibernian all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Hearts – Hibernian 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.85 2.00
21.12.24 Aberdeen – Hibernian 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.403.25 1.80 2.00
14.12.24 Hibernian – Ross County 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.206.25 1.83 2.03
07.12.24 Celtic – Hibernian 3–0 (1–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.36 3.20
30.11.24 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–3 (0–2) 2.803.302.45 1.90 1.95
26.11.24 Hibernian – Aberdeen 3–3 (1–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
23.11.24 Dundee – Hibernian 4–1 (3–1) 2.753.302.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Hibernian – St Mirren 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.404.50 2.03 1.83
03.11.24 Hibernian – Dundee United 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.504.00 1.88 1.98
30.10.24 Ross County – Hibernian 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.402.10 1.95 1.90

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 4–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.75 2.00 1.85
20.12.24 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.05 1.80
15.12.24 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
07.12.24 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.10 2.03 1.83
04.12.24 Rangers – Kilmarnock 6–0 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Kilmarnock – Dundee 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.60 1.93 1.93
23.11.24 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.35 1.98 1.88
10.11.24 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–2 (0–1) 8.505.251.30 1.50 2.63
03.11.24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 3–2 (1–2) 2.303.602.80 1.80 2.00
30.10.24 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03

Hibernian at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Hibernian – Ross County 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.206.25 1.83 2.03
26.11.24 Hibernian – Aberdeen 3–3 (1–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
09.11.24 Hibernian – St Mirren 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.404.50 2.03 1.83
03.11.24 Hibernian – Dundee United 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.504.00 1.88 1.98
27.10.24 Hibernian – Hearts 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 1.77 1.97
05.10.24 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
14.09.24 Hibernian – St Johnstone 2–0 (1–0) 1.653.905.25 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Hibernian – Dundee 2–2 (1–1) 2.103.503.30 1.73 2.10
11.08.24 Hibernian – Celtic 0–2 (0–2) 9.005.001.33 1.50 2.63
15.05.24 Hibernian – Motherwell 3–0 (2–0) 1.833.754.00 1.73 2.10

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.24 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.05 1.80
07.12.24 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.10 2.03 1.83
04.12.24 Rangers – Kilmarnock 6–0 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.35 1.98 1.88
03.11.24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 3–2 (1–2) 2.303.602.80 1.80 2.00
30.10.24 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03
26.10.24 Ross County – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 2.03 1.83
05.10.24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–3 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.10 2.20 1.67
25.08.24 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.25 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hibernian winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
7matches
2.14goals / match
29%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.09.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.55 1.95 1.90
27.01.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.05 1.75
11.11.23SC0 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.40 1.98 1.88
16.09.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.00 1.85
18.02.23SC0 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 2.02 1.83
12.11.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–0 (0–0) 3.253.302.30 2.10 1.72
03.09.22SC0 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72

Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 17 15 2 0 48 4 +44 47
2 Rangers 17 11 2 4 29 11 +18 35
3 Aberdeen 18 10 4 4 31 25 +6 34
4 Dundee United 18 7 7 4 27 20 +7 28
5 St Mirren 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27
6 Motherwell 18 8 2 8 23 31 -8 26
7 Hibernian 19 5 6 8 26 31 -5 21
8 Kilmarnock 19 5 6 8 23 35 -12 21
9 Dundee 18 5 4 9 27 33 -6 19
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 17 35 -18 18
11 Hearts 19 4 4 11 21 29 -8 16
12 St Johnstone 19 4 2 13 22 36 -14 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 9 8 1 0 22 3 +19 25
2 Celtic 8 7 1 0 25 2 +23 22
3 Aberdeen 10 7 1 2 19 11 +8 22
4 St Mirren 10 5 2 3 14 11 +3 17
5 Dundee United 9 4 3 2 14 8 +6 15
6 Motherwell 9 4 2 3 12 14 -2 14
7 Dundee 9 4 1 4 20 17 +3 13
8 Hearts 10 3 3 4 13 12 +1 12
9 Kilmarnock 8 3 3 2 11 10 +1 12
10 Ross County 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12
11 Hibernian 9 2 4 3 14 14 0 10
12 St Johnstone 9 2 0 7 10 18 -8 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 1 0 23 2 +21 25
2 Dundee United 9 3 4 2 13 12 +1 13
3 Aberdeen 8 3 3 2 12 14 -2 12
4 Motherwell 9 4 0 5 11 17 -6 12
5 Hibernian 10 3 2 5 12 17 -5 11
6 Rangers 8 3 1 4 7 8 -1 10
7 St Mirren 9 3 1 5 12 19 -7 10
8 Kilmarnock 11 2 3 6 12 25 -13 9
9 St Johnstone 10 2 2 6 12 18 -6 8
10 Dundee 9 1 3 5 7 16 -9 6
11 Ross County 9 1 3 5 5 21 -16 6
12 Hearts 9 1 1 7 8 17 -9 4

Hibernian   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 St Mirren 19 4 15 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27
2 6 Motherwell 18 4 14 1.3 1.7 8 2 8 23 31 26
3 12 St Johnstone 19 6 13 1.2 1.9 4 2 13 22 36 14
4 3 Aberdeen 18 6 12 1.7 1.4 10 4 4 31 25 34
5 7 Hibernian 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 6 8 26 31 21
6 9 Dundee 18 6 12 1.5 1.8 5 4 9 27 33 19
7 10 Ross County 19 7 12 0.9 1.8 4 6 9 17 35 18
8 1 Celtic 17 6 11 2.8 0.2 15 2 0 48 4 47
9 8 Kilmarnock 19 9 10 1.2 1.8 5 6 8 23 35 21
10 11 Hearts 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 4 11 21 29 16
11 2 Rangers 17 9 8 1.7 0.6 11 2 4 29 11 35
12 4 Dundee United 18 11 7 1.5 1.1 7 7 4 27 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Dundee 9 0 9 2.2 1.9 4 1 4 20 17 13
2 5 St Mirren 10 3 7 1.4 1.1 5 2 3 14 11 17
3 12 St Johnstone 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 0 7 10 18 6
4 1 Celtic 8 2 6 3.1 0.2 7 1 0 25 2 22
5 3 Aberdeen 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 7 1 2 19 11 22
6 6 Motherwell 9 3 6 1.3 1.6 4 2 3 12 14 14
7 10 Ross County 10 4 6 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12
8 7 Hibernian 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 2 4 3 14 14 10
9 11 Hearts 10 5 5 1.3 1.2 3 3 4 13 12 12
10 2 Rangers 9 5 4 2.4 0.3 8 1 0 22 3 25
11 4 Dundee United 9 5 4 1.6 0.9 4 3 2 14 8 15
12 8 Kilmarnock 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 3 2 11 10 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 St Mirren 9 1 8 1.3 2.1 3 1 5 12 19 10
2 6 Motherwell 9 1 8 1.2 1.9 4 0 5 11 17 12
3 7 Hibernian 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 2 5 12 17 11
4 8 Kilmarnock 11 4 7 1.1 2.3 2 3 6 12 25 9
5 3 Aberdeen 8 2 6 1.5 1.8 3 3 2 12 14 12
6 10 Ross County 9 3 6 0.6 2.3 1 3 5 5 21 6
7 12 St Johnstone 10 4 6 1.2 1.8 2 2 6 12 18 8
8 1 Celtic 9 4 5 2.6 0.2 8 1 0 23 2 25
9 11 Hearts 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 1 1 7 8 17 4
10 2 Rangers 8 4 4 0.9 1.0 3 1 4 7 8 10
11 4 Dundee United 9 6 3 1.4 1.3 3 4 2 13 12 13
12 9 Dundee 9 6 3 0.8 1.8 1 3 5 7 16 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51