Stranraer 1–1 Dumbarton
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026
Home
2.10
fair 2.26
Draw ✓
3.40
fair 4.17
Away
2.90
fair 3.15
Under 2.5 ✓
2.08
fair 2.39
Over 2.5
1.73
fair 1.72
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Stranraer
Dumbarton
14
Shots
10
4
Shots on target
2
8
Corners
1
6
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result
Stranraer to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.66
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
44%
24%
32%
StranraerDrawDumbarton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
42%
58%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
40%
60%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
19%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11%
2–1 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Stranraer
before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.32scored / match
1.35conceded / match
10
9
12
WonDrawnLost
31 played · 41:42
Dumbarton
before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.42scored / match
1.65conceded / match
9
9
13
WonDrawnLost
31 played · 44:51
Stranraer all matches
all matches Dumbarton
Per match
1.32
Goals scored
1.42
1.35
Goals conceded
1.65
2.68
Total goals
3.06
10.94
Shots
8.29
4.58
Shots on target
3.35
12.00
Shots faced
10.68
5.45
Corners
6.19
5.58
Corners against
4.68
10.32
Fouls
11.74
1.94
Yellow cards
1.74
0.77
1st-half goals scored
0.55
0.58
1st-half goals conceded
0.94
How often Full Time
32%
Wins
29%
29%
Draws
29%
39%
Losses
42%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
81%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
55%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
32%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
6%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
68%
Both teams scored
74%
13%
Clean sheets
13%
26%
Failed to score
16%
How often Half Time
29%
Wins
19%
48%
Draws
32%
23%
Losses
48%
71%
Over 0.5 goals
77%
39%
Over 1.5 goals
48%
16%
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer all matches
1
1
D
D
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
4
L
2
L
2
1
W
1
2
L
3
1
W
1
L
Dumbarton all matches
2
L
1
L
1
3
L
D
1
1
D
3
W
2
W
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
2
D
Stranraer
before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
5
5
5
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 20:20
Dumbarton
before this match, away
0.93points / match
1.33scored / match
1.93conceded / match
3
5
7
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 20:29
Stranraer at home
away Dumbarton
Per match
1.33
Goals scored
1.33
1.33
Goals conceded
1.93
2.67
Total goals
3.27
10.87
Shots
8.33
4.20
Shots on target
3.47
12.27
Shots faced
10.80
5.33
Corners
5.67
5.27
Corners against
4.33
10.73
Fouls
12.07
1.87
Yellow cards
1.40
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.47
0.40
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
20%
33%
Draws
33%
33%
Losses
47%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
87%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
7%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
13%
80%
Both teams scored
73%
7%
Clean sheets
0%
20%
Failed to score
27%
How often Half Time
27%
Wins
13%
67%
Draws
33%
7%
Losses
53%
60%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
33%
Over 1.5 goals
47%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer at home
3
1
W
1
3
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
D
2
1
W
1
2
L
2
1
W
3
1
W
Dumbarton away
1
3
L
2
L
3
4
L
1
1
D
2
L
2
L
1
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Stranraer all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.03.26 | Annan Athletic – Stranraer | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 24.03.26 | Stranraer – Clyde | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 21.03.26 | Clyde – Stranraer | 2–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 14.03.26 | Stranraer – East Kilbride | 2–1 (1–1) | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 10.03.26 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 07.03.26 | Edinburgh City – Stranraer | 4–1 (2–1) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 28.02.26 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.02.26 | Stranraer – Spartans | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 07.02.26 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 31.01.26 | Stirling – Stranraer | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Dumbarton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.03.26 | Dumbarton – Forfar | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 21.03.26 | Dumbarton – Annan Athletic | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 14.03.26 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 10.03.26 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 07.03.26 | Dumbarton – Spartans | 3–0 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 28.02.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.02.26 | Dumbarton – Clyde | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.02.26 | East Kilbride – Dumbarton | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 10.02.26 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 07.02.26 | Forfar – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Stranraer at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.03.26 | Stranraer – Clyde | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 14.03.26 | Stranraer – East Kilbride | 2–1 (1–1) | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 28.02.26 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.02.26 | Stranraer – Spartans | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 07.02.26 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.01.26 | Stranraer – Edinburgh City | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.12.25 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 06.12.25 | Stranraer – Stirling | 3–2 (3–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 15.11.25 | Stranraer – East Kilbride | 1–3 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 01.11.25 | Stranraer – Forfar | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
Dumbarton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.03.26 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 28.02.26 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 21.02.26 | East Kilbride – Dumbarton | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 10.02.26 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 07.02.26 | Forfar – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 03.01.26 | Spartans – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.12.25 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 06.12.25 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 4–3 (3–0) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 15.11.25 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 3 5
Stranraer winsDrawsDumbarton wins
11matches
2.73goals / match
45%over 2.5
55%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.03.26SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 20.12.25SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 27.09.25SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.04.24SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 05.03.24SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 24.02.24SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–1 (2–1) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 30.09.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 06.05.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 04.03.23SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 05.11.22SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 20.09.22SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 3–2 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League Two table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 44 | +21 | 57 |
| 2 | Spartans | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 34 | +17 | 56 |
| 3 | Clyde | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 34 | +14 | 44 |
| 4 | Elgin | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 46 | +1 | 42 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 39 |
| 6 | Forfar | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Edinburgh City | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Stirling | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 35 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartans | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 30 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 27 |
| 3 | Elgin | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 27 |
| 4 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 28 | +2 | 27 |
| 5 | Clyde | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Forfar | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 | Dumbarton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Stirling | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 22 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Spartans | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 20 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
| 4 | Clyde | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 20 |
| 5 | Stirling | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stranraer | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Elgin | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
| 8 | Forfar | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
Stranraer Dumbarton
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | East Kilbride | 31 | 9 | 22 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 44 | 57 |
| 2 | 9 | Edinburgh City | 31 | 10 | 21 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 59 | 36 |
| 3 | 8 | Dumbarton | 31 | 12 | 19 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 51 | 36 |
| 4 | 4 | Elgin | 31 | 14 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 42 |
| 5 | 5 | Stranraer | 31 | 14 | 17 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 42 | 39 |
| 6 | 7 | Annan Athletic | 31 | 14 | 17 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 50 | 37 |
| 7 | 10 | Stirling | 31 | 14 | 17 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | 35 |
| 8 | 2 | Spartans | 31 | 15 | 16 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 34 | 56 |
| 9 | 3 | Clyde | 31 | 15 | 16 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | 6 | Forfar | 31 | 15 | 16 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | 37 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Dumbarton | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 2 | 9 | Edinburgh City | 15 | 3 | 12 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | East Kilbride | 15 | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 27 |
| 4 | 7 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 28 | 27 |
| 5 | 3 | Clyde | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 24 |
| 6 | 4 | Elgin | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 7 | 5 | Stranraer | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | 6 | Forfar | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 9 | 10 | Stirling | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 | Spartans | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 30 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | East Kilbride | 16 | 4 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 30 |
| 2 | 2 | Spartans | 15 | 5 | 10 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | 10 | Stirling | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 20 |
| 4 | 4 | Elgin | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 5 | 5 | Stranraer | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | 6 | Forfar | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 14 |
| 7 | 9 | Edinburgh City | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | 3 | Clyde | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | 7 | Annan Athletic | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | Dumbarton | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 14 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51