Stranraer 1–1 Dumbarton
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026
Home
1.85
fair 2.38
Draw ✓
3.50
fair 4.36
Away
3.40
fair 2.86
Under 2.5 ✓
2.08
fair 2.77
Over 2.5
1.73
fair 1.56
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Stranraer
Dumbarton
10
Shots
13
3
Shots on target
3
2
Corners
10
12
Fouls
7
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (80 league matches this season so far).
Result
Stranraer to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.54
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
42%
23%
35%
StranraerDrawDumbarton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
36%
64%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
35%
65%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
4%
0
12%
1
20%
2
22%
3
18%
4
24%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.8%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Stranraer
before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.38scored / match
1.31conceded / match
6
3
7
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 22:21
Dumbarton
before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.69scored / match
1.94conceded / match
6
3
7
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 27:31
Stranraer all matches
all matches Dumbarton
Per match
1.38
Goals scored
1.69
1.31
Goals conceded
1.94
2.69
Total goals
3.63
9.63
Shots
7.13
4.00
Shots on target
3.19
13.00
Shots faced
11.50
5.19
Corners
6.25
6.56
Corners against
4.44
10.25
Fouls
12.63
2.13
Yellow cards
1.94
0.81
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.31
1st-half goals conceded
1.13
How often Full Time
38%
Wins
38%
19%
Draws
19%
44%
Losses
44%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
56%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
38%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
6%
Over 4.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
13%
63%
Both teams scored
88%
13%
Clean sheets
6%
31%
Failed to score
6%
How often Half Time
38%
Wins
31%
50%
Draws
19%
13%
Losses
50%
56%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
19%
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer all matches
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
L
3
1
W
3
1
W
D
1
3
L
4
W
3
2
W
2
1
W
Dumbarton all matches
1
1
D
1
2
L
2
2
D
1
2
L
1
3
L
2
1
W
2
L
1
4
L
3
4
L
2
W
Stranraer
before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.63conceded / match
2
2
4
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 10:13
Dumbarton
before this match, away
1.38points / match
2.00scored / match
2.25conceded / match
3
2
3
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 16:18
Stranraer at home
away Dumbarton
Per match
1.25
Goals scored
2.00
1.63
Goals conceded
2.25
2.88
Total goals
4.25
10.38
Shots
7.88
3.88
Shots on target
3.88
13.00
Shots faced
12.00
5.13
Corners
5.75
6.00
Corners against
4.38
10.13
Fouls
12.25
2.00
Yellow cards
1.50
0.63
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.25
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
38%
25%
Draws
25%
50%
Losses
38%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
88%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
38%
Over 3.5 goals
63%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
38%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
25%
75%
Both teams scored
88%
0%
Clean sheets
0%
25%
Failed to score
13%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
25%
75%
Draws
38%
0%
Losses
38%
38%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer at home
2
W
1
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
3
1
W
1
3
L
3
2
W
Dumbarton away
2
2
D
1
2
L
2
1
W
4
3
W
3
2
W
1
1
D
2
2
D
1
3
L
2
L
3
4
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Stranraer all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.12.25 | Elgin – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 06.12.25 | Stranraer – Stirling | 3–2 (3–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 22.11.25 | Spartans – Stranraer | 0–4 (0–4) | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 15.11.25 | Stranraer – East Kilbride | 1–3 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 08.11.25 | Clyde – Stranraer | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 01.11.25 | Stranraer – Forfar | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 18.10.25 | Edinburgh City – Stranraer | 1–3 (1–2) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 04.10.25 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 27.09.25 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.09.25 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
Dumbarton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.12.25 | Dumbarton – East Kilbride | 2–0 (2–0) | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 06.12.25 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 4–3 (3–0) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 22.11.25 | Dumbarton – Forfar | 1–4 (1–3) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 15.11.25 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 08.11.25 | Dumbarton – Annan Athletic | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 01.11.25 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 18.10.25 | Dumbarton – Spartans | 1–2 (1–2) | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 04.10.25 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 27.09.25 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.09.25 | East Kilbride – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Stranraer at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.25 | Stranraer – Stirling | 3–2 (3–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 15.11.25 | Stranraer – East Kilbride | 1–3 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 01.11.25 | Stranraer – Forfar | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 04.10.25 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 20.09.25 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 13.09.25 | Stranraer – Spartans | 0–2 (0–0) | 4.33 | 3.70 | 1.83 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 23.08.25 | Stranraer – Clyde | 1–1 (1–1) | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 09.08.25 | Stranraer – Edinburgh City | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 03.05.25 | Stranraer – Bonnyrigg Rose | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 19.04.25 | Stranraer – Edinburgh City | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.38 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
Dumbarton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.25 | Edinburgh City – Dumbarton | 4–3 (3–0) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 15.11.25 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Clyde – Dumbarton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 04.10.25 | Stirling – Dumbarton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 20.09.25 | East Kilbride – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 13.09.25 | Forfar – Dumbarton | 2–3 (2–1) | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 23.08.25 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 3–4 (0–2) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 09.08.25 | Spartans – Dumbarton | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 03.05.25SC2 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 19.04.25SC2 | Montrose – Dumbarton | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 2 4
Stranraer winsDrawsDumbarton wins
9matches
2.89goals / match
56%over 2.5
56%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.09.25SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.04.24SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 05.03.24SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 5–0 (4–0) | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 24.02.24SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–1 (2–1) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 30.09.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 06.05.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 04.03.23SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 05.11.22SC3 | Dumbarton – Stranraer | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 20.09.22SC3 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 3–2 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League Two table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 20 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 | Spartans | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 28 |
| 3 | Clyde | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 26 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 23 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 21 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | Elgin | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Forfar | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | Stirling | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 14 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 14 |
| 2 | Elgin | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Clyde | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Annan Athletic | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Forfar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Spartans | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Stirling | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartans | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Edinburgh City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | Clyde | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Forfar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Elgin | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Stirling | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
Stranraer Dumbarton
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Dumbarton | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 31 | 21 |
| 2 | 1 | East Kilbride | 16 | 5 | 11 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | 4 | Edinburgh City | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 23 |
| 4 | 5 | Stranraer | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 21 |
| 5 | 8 | Forfar | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | 10 | Stirling | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 14 |
| 7 | 2 | Spartans | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 28 |
| 8 | 3 | Clyde | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | 7 | Elgin | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 20 |
| 10 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 17 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Edinburgh City | 8 | 1 | 7 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | Dumbarton | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | Elgin | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 4 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | East Kilbride | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | 2 | Spartans | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | Clyde | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | Stranraer | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | Stirling | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | Forfar | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | East Kilbride | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 2 | 6 | Dumbarton | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | Forfar | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | Stranraer | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | 10 | Stirling | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | Spartans | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | 3 | Clyde | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | Edinburgh City | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | 7 | Elgin | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
