Elgin 3–0 Stranraer
Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
1.67
fair 2.05
Draw
3.70
fair 3.86
Away
4.00
fair 3.94
Under 2.5
1.95
fair 1.85
Over 2.5 ✓
1.90
fair 2.17
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Elgin
Stranraer
19
Shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
8
Corners
4
9
Fouls
9
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (170 league matches this season so far).
Result
Elgin to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.98
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
49%
26%
25%
ElginDrawStranraer
Under / Over 2.5 goals
54%
46%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
51%
50%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
20%
1
26%
2
21%
3
14%
4
11%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3%
1–0 12.2%
2–1 9.3%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Elgin
before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.32scored / match
1.15conceded / match
15
7
12
WonDrawnLost
34 played · 45:39
Stranraer
before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.00scored / match
1.12conceded / match
11
7
16
WonDrawnLost
34 played · 34:38
Elgin all matches
all matches Stranraer
Per match
1.32
Goals scored
1.00
1.15
Goals conceded
1.12
2.47
Total goals
2.12
9.44
Shots
8.09
4.03
Shots on target
3.53
9.09
Shots faced
9.71
4.44
Corners
4.71
4.85
Corners against
4.26
11.53
Fouls
10.62
1.94
Yellow cards
2.03
0.68
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.44
1st-half goals conceded
0.41
How often Full Time
44%
Wins
32%
21%
Draws
21%
35%
Losses
47%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
91%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
21%
Over 3.5 goals
12%
12%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
12%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
44%
Both teams scored
44%
32%
Clean sheets
29%
29%
Failed to score
35%
How often Half Time
32%
Wins
29%
44%
Draws
47%
24%
Losses
24%
68%
Over 0.5 goals
59%
32%
Over 1.5 goals
24%
9%
Over 2.5 goals
3%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Elgin all matches
1
2
L
2
L
1
L
2
L
2
W
2
1
W
1
W
2
L
2
L
4
W
Stranraer all matches
3
W
1
W
1
2
L
D
3
W
1
L
1
2
L
1
2
L
1
3
L
2
W
Elgin
before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.88scored / match
1.24conceded / match
10
2
5
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 32:21
Stranraer
before this match, away
1.12points / match
1.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
6
1
10
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 17:22
Elgin at home
away Stranraer
Per match
1.88
Goals scored
1.00
1.24
Goals conceded
1.29
3.12
Total goals
2.29
10.88
Shots
8.41
4.65
Shots on target
4.00
8.59
Shots faced
10.88
4.47
Corners
4.59
4.88
Corners against
5.12
11.06
Fouls
10.82
1.94
Yellow cards
2.18
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.35
0.47
1st-half goals conceded
0.53
How often Full Time
59%
Wins
35%
12%
Draws
6%
29%
Losses
59%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
82%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
29%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
24%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
24%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
47%
Both teams scored
47%
35%
Clean sheets
18%
18%
Failed to score
35%
How often Half Time
47%
Wins
24%
29%
Draws
47%
24%
Losses
29%
82%
Over 0.5 goals
59%
41%
Over 1.5 goals
24%
18%
Over 2.5 goals
6%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Elgin at home
4
2
W
2
W
1
W
3
W
1
2
L
1
L
2
L
2
W
2
L
4
W
Stranraer away
3
1
W
1
1
D
1
L
1
W
1
3
L
2
L
1
W
3
W
1
2
L
1
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Elgin all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.04.25 | Elgin – Peterhead | 4–0 (3–0) | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 12.04.25 | Edinburgh City – Elgin | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 05.04.25 | Elgin – Stirling | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.03.25 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Elgin | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 22.03.25 | Spartans – Elgin | 1–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 15.03.25 | Elgin – Clyde | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.03.25 | Elgin – Spartans | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.03.25 | Elgin – Forfar | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 01.03.25 | Peterhead – Elgin | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 22.02.25 | Elgin – Edinburgh City | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Stranraer all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.04.25 | Stranraer – Edinburgh City | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.38 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 12.04.25 | Stirling – Stranraer | 3–1 (0–1) | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 05.04.25 | Spartans – Stranraer | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 29.03.25 | Stranraer – Clyde | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 22.03.25 | Stranraer – Forfar | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 15.03.25 | East Fife – Stranraer | 0–3 (0–0) | 1.54 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.03.25 | Stranraer – Peterhead | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 04.03.25 | Stranraer – Forfar | 1–2 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.03.25 | Edinburgh City – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 22.02.25 | Stranraer – Stirling | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
Elgin at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.04.25 | Elgin – Peterhead | 4–0 (3–0) | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 05.04.25 | Elgin – Stirling | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 15.03.25 | Elgin – Clyde | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.03.25 | Elgin – Spartans | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.03.25 | Elgin – Forfar | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 22.02.25 | Elgin – Edinburgh City | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 04.02.25 | Elgin – Bonnyrigg Rose | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 01.02.25 | Elgin – East Fife | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.12.24 | Elgin – Peterhead | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 17.12.24 | Elgin – Clyde | 4–2 (3–0) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
Stranraer away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.04.25 | Stirling – Stranraer | 3–1 (0–1) | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 05.04.25 | Spartans – Stranraer | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 15.03.25 | East Fife – Stranraer | 0–3 (0–0) | 1.54 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 01.03.25 | Edinburgh City – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 08.02.25 | Clyde – Stranraer | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 28.01.25 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Stranraer | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 25.01.25 | Forfar – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 14.01.25 | Peterhead – Stranraer | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 21.12.24 | Stirling – Stranraer | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 10.12.24 | Spartans – Stranraer | 1–3 (1–2) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 3 8
Elgin winsDrawsStranraer wins
15matches
2.47goals / match
47%over 2.5
60%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.02.25SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 02.11.24SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 24.08.24SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 16.03.24SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 06.01.24SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.11.23SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 05.08.23SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 22.04.23SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 18.02.23SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 08.10.22SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 2–3 (2–2) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.87 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 20.08.22SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 30.04.22SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 12.02.22SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 20.11.21SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 31.07.21SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Scotland League Two table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peterhead | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 34 | +16 | 63 |
| 2 | East Fife | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 36 | +27 | 62 |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 44 | +9 | 55 |
| 4 | Elgin | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 39 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Spartans | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Stirling | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Clyde | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 37 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 36 |
| 10 | Forfar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 34 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Fife | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | +26 | 39 |
| 2 | Peterhead | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 39 |
| 3 | Elgin | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 21 | +11 | 32 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 22 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 | Spartans | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 30 |
| 6 | Stirling | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 28 |
| 7 | Clyde | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 | Stranraer | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 | Forfar | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edinburgh City | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 24 |
| 2 | Peterhead | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
| 3 | East Fife | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 23 |
| 4 | Elgin | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 20 |
| 5 | Stirling | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 19 |
| 6 | Stranraer | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
| 7 | Spartans | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 | Forfar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 12 |
| 10 | Clyde | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 10 |
Elgin Stranraer
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Stirling | 34 | 13 | 21 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 53 | 47 |
| 2 | 2 | East Fife | 34 | 17 | 17 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 62 |
| 3 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 34 | 17 | 17 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 61 | 36 |
| 4 | 3 | Edinburgh City | 34 | 18 | 16 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 44 | 55 |
| 5 | 8 | Clyde | 34 | 18 | 16 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 52 | 37 |
| 6 | 1 | Peterhead | 34 | 19 | 15 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 63 |
| 7 | 5 | Spartans | 34 | 19 | 15 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 49 |
| 8 | 7 | Stranraer | 34 | 20 | 14 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | 40 |
| 9 | 4 | Elgin | 34 | 21 | 13 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 39 | 52 |
| 10 | 10 | Forfar | 34 | 22 | 12 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 29 | 42 | 34 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Stirling | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | 2 | East Fife | 17 | 7 | 10 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | 1 | Peterhead | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 39 |
| 4 | 3 | Edinburgh City | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | 4 | Elgin | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 32 |
| 6 | 5 | Spartans | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 30 |
| 7 | 7 | Stranraer | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 24 |
| 9 | 8 | Clyde | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | 10 | Forfar | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Clyde | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 6 | 11 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 41 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | Stirling | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 19 |
| 4 | 5 | Spartans | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 19 |
| 5 | 7 | Stranraer | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | 2 | East Fife | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | 3 | Edinburgh City | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| 8 | 10 | Forfar | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 18 |
| 9 | 1 | Peterhead | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 10 | 4 | Elgin | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 20 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40