Stranraer 3–1 Elgin
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
2.00
fair 2.40
Draw
3.40
fair 4.19
Away
3.10
fair 2.90
Under 2.5
1.95
fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓
1.90
fair 1.69
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Stranraer
Elgin
12
Shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
2
14
Fouls
8
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).
Result
Stranraer to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.63
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
42%
24%
34%
StranraerDrawElgin
Under / Over 2.5 goals
41%
59%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
61%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
14%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
20%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9%
2–1 8.8%
1–2 7.9%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Stranraer
before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.12scored / match
1.67conceded / match
10
8
15
WonDrawnLost
33 played · 37:55
Elgin
before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
1.27scored / match
1.70conceded / match
10
7
16
WonDrawnLost
33 played · 42:56
Stranraer all matches
all matches Elgin
Per match
1.12
Goals scored
1.27
1.67
Goals conceded
1.70
2.79
Total goals
2.97
9.03
Shots
8.45
3.55
Shots on target
3.64
10.27
Shots faced
9.73
4.73
Corners
3.33
5.18
Corners against
5.64
10.85
Fouls
10.55
1.94
Yellow cards
2.06
0.64
1st-half goals scored
0.73
0.88
1st-half goals conceded
0.73
How often Full Time
30%
Wins
30%
24%
Draws
21%
45%
Losses
48%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
70%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
48%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
39%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
18%
Over 4.5 goals
15%
3%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
52%
Both teams scored
58%
21%
Clean sheets
12%
33%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
27%
Wins
30%
33%
Draws
30%
39%
Losses
39%
76%
Over 0.5 goals
82%
39%
Over 1.5 goals
45%
27%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer all matches
1
L
1
W
2
W
2
L
1
1
D
1
W
D
1
L
D
8
L
Elgin all matches
3
L
2
1
W
1
L
1
4
L
2
L
3
L
1
L
3
L
1
1
D
2
W
Stranraer
before this match, at home
1.63points / match
1.44scored / match
1.38conceded / match
7
5
4
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 23:22
Elgin
before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.38scored / match
2.00conceded / match
5
3
8
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 22:32
Stranraer at home
away Elgin
Per match
1.44
Goals scored
1.38
1.38
Goals conceded
2.00
2.81
Total goals
3.38
9.44
Shots
7.69
3.50
Shots on target
3.25
8.75
Shots faced
11.06
4.44
Corners
2.94
4.88
Corners against
5.75
10.81
Fouls
11.13
2.00
Yellow cards
2.56
0.81
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.69
1st-half goals conceded
0.69
How often Full Time
44%
Wins
31%
31%
Draws
19%
25%
Losses
50%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
44%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
19%
Over 4.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
56%
Both teams scored
63%
25%
Clean sheets
6%
25%
Failed to score
31%
How often Half Time
38%
Wins
25%
38%
Draws
44%
25%
Losses
31%
81%
Over 0.5 goals
81%
38%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stranraer at home
1
W
3
2
W
1
1
D
3
1
W
4
L
1
L
2
W
2
L
1
1
D
D
Elgin away
3
2
W
3
1
W
1
W
2
L
3
L
2
1
W
1
4
L
2
L
1
L
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Stranraer all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.04.23 | East Fife – Stranraer | 8–0 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 08.04.23 | Stranraer – Forfar | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| 01.04.23 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Stranraer | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 25.03.23 | Annan Athletic – Stranraer | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 21.03.23 | Albion Rvs – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 18.03.23 | Stranraer – Stirling | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 04.03.23 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 25.02.23 | Stranraer – East Fife | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 18.02.23 | Elgin – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 11.02.23 | Stranraer – Bonnyrigg Rose | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Elgin all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.04.23 | Elgin – Forfar | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 11.04.23 | Elgin – Stenhousemuir | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 08.04.23 | Albion Rvs – Elgin | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 04.04.23 | Stirling – Elgin | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.40 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 01.04.23 | Elgin – Stirling | 0–3 (0–2) | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.67 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 24.03.23 | East Fife – Elgin | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 11.03.23 | Annan Athletic – Elgin | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 04.03.23 | Elgin – Bonnyrigg Rose | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 25.02.23 | Dumbarton – Elgin | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 21.02.23 | Albion Rvs – Elgin | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Stranraer at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.04.23 | Stranraer – Forfar | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| 18.03.23 | Stranraer – Stirling | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 04.03.23 | Stranraer – Dumbarton | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 25.02.23 | Stranraer – East Fife | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 11.02.23 | Stranraer – Bonnyrigg Rose | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 14.01.23 | Stranraer – Albion Rvs | 0–4 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.12.22 | Stranraer – Stirling | 3–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 26.11.22 | Stranraer – Annan Athletic | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 12.11.22 | Stranraer – Stenhousemuir | 3–2 (2–1) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.77 | 2.10 |
| 29.10.22 | Stranraer – Forfar | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Elgin away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.04.23 | Albion Rvs – Elgin | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 04.04.23 | Stirling – Elgin | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.40 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.03.23 | East Fife – Elgin | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 11.03.23 | Annan Athletic – Elgin | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 25.02.23 | Dumbarton – Elgin | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 21.02.23 | Albion Rvs – Elgin | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 28.01.23 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 02.01.23 | Forfar – Elgin | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.63 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 19.11.22 | Annan Athletic – Elgin | 1–3 (0–2) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 05.11.22 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Elgin | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 2 1
Stranraer winsDrawsElgin wins
7matches
2.57goals / match
43%over 2.5
57%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.02.23SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 08.10.22SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 2–3 (2–2) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.87 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 20.08.22SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 30.04.22SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 12.02.22SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 20.11.21SC3 | Stranraer – Elgin | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 31.07.21SC3 | Elgin – Stranraer | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Scotland League Two table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 62 | 33 | +29 | 67 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 3 | Annan Athletic | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 59 | 46 | +13 | 50 |
| 4 | East Fife | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 47 |
| 5 | Forfar | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 45 |
| 6 | Stenhousemuir | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 44 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 38 |
| 8 | Elgin | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 37 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 35 |
| 10 | Albion Rvs | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 33 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 16 | +21 | 37 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 30 |
| 3 | Annan Athletic | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Stranraer | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 26 |
| 5 | Forfar | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | Stenhousemuir | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 22 |
| 7 | East Fife | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Elgin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 18 |
| 10 | Albion Rvs | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 30 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 28 |
| 3 | East Fife | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 | Forfar | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Albion Rvs | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Elgin | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | Stranraer | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 12 |
Stranraer Elgin
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Annan Athletic | 33 | 11 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 50 |
| 2 | 1 | Stirling | 33 | 13 | 20 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 62 | 33 | 67 |
| 3 | 4 | East Fife | 33 | 13 | 20 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 47 | 47 |
| 4 | 6 | Stenhousemuir | 33 | 13 | 20 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 49 | 44 |
| 5 | 8 | Elgin | 33 | 13 | 20 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 56 | 37 |
| 6 | 7 | Stranraer | 33 | 17 | 16 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 55 | 38 |
| 7 | 2 | Dumbarton | 33 | 18 | 15 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 58 |
| 8 | 10 | Albion Rvs | 33 | 18 | 15 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 45 | 33 |
| 9 | 5 | Forfar | 33 | 20 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 40 | 45 |
| 10 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 33 | 20 | 13 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 47 | 35 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Annan Athletic | 17 | 4 | 13 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | 1 | Stirling | 16 | 5 | 11 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | 4 | East Fife | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | 5 | Forfar | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 23 |
| 5 | 6 | Stenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 22 |
| 6 | 7 | Stranraer | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | 8 | Elgin | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | 2 | Dumbarton | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 30 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 18 |
| 10 | 10 | Albion Rvs | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Elgin | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 18 |
| 2 | 4 | East Fife | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | 6 | Stenhousemuir | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 4 | 1 | Stirling | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | 3 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 22 |
| 6 | 10 | Albion Rvs | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 18 |
| 7 | 2 | Dumbarton | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 28 |
| 8 | 7 | Stranraer | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 10 | 5 | Forfar | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 22 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40