Alloa 2–3 Dumbarton – Scotland League One, 29 Mar 2025

Match facts

Alloa Dumbarton

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 6

11 Fouls 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (150 league matches this season so far).

Result Alloa to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.71

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.23

Home / Draw / Away

50% 24% 27%

AlloaDrawDumbarton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

43% 57%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

23% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Alloa before this match, all matches

1.37points / match

1.47scored / match

1.30conceded / match

10 11 9

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 44:39

Dumbarton before this match, all matches

0.83points / match

1.17scored / match

1.87conceded / match

5 10 15

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 35:56

Alloa all matches all matches Dumbarton

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.17

1.30 Goals conceded 1.87

2.77 Total goals 3.03

8.13 Shots 9.57

4.43 Shots on target 3.80

9.67 Shots faced 10.33

5.37 Corners 5.43

5.37 Corners against 5.97

11.63 Fouls 10.53

2.03 Yellow cards 1.77

0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%

37% Draws 33%

30% Losses 50%

93% Over 0.5 goals 97%

73% Over 1.5 goals 90%

47% Over 2.5 goals 60%

37% Over 3.5 goals 40%

17% Over 4.5 goals 10%

7% Over 5.5 goals 7%

57% Both teams scored 70%

30% Clean sheets 7%

20% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 10%

33% Draws 53%

47% Losses 37%

73% Over 0.5 goals 73%

27% Over 1.5 goals 43%

13% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alloa all matches

1

D

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

2

W

4

3

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

3

L

1

D

Dumbarton all matches

1

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

Alloa before this match, at home

1.27points / match

1.40scored / match

1.27conceded / match

5 4 6

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:19

Dumbarton before this match, away

0.79points / match

1.00scored / match

1.79conceded / match

2 5 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:25

Alloa at home away Dumbarton

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.00

1.27 Goals conceded 1.79

2.67 Total goals 2.79

7.67 Shots 8.57

4.33 Shots on target 3.71

9.20 Shots faced 11.36

5.80 Corners 4.21

5.13 Corners against 6.57

12.33 Fouls 11.36

1.73 Yellow cards 2.00

0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

33% Wins 14%

27% Draws 36%

40% Losses 50%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 100%

53% Over 2.5 goals 50%

33% Over 3.5 goals 29%

13% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 71%

33% Clean sheets 0%

20% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 14%

33% Draws 50%

53% Losses 36%

73% Over 0.5 goals 79%

27% Over 1.5 goals 36%

7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alloa at home

1

L

5

W

2

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

Dumbarton away

3

1

W

2

L

2

D

4

L

2

1

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Alloa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Inverness C – Alloa	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	4.33	2.00	1.85
15.03.25	Queen of Sth – Alloa	3–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.60	2.87	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Alloa – Arbroath	2–3 (0–1)	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.85	2.00
01.03.25	Alloa – Cove Rangers	2–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05
22.02.25	Annan Athletic – Alloa	3–4 (1–0)	2.80	3.20	2.38	1.88	1.98
15.02.25	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.75	2.90	1.85	2.00
08.02.25	Montrose – Alloa	2–2 (1–0)	2.50	3.25	2.60	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Dumbarton – Alloa	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.25	2.25	1.65	2.20
25.01.25	Alloa – Inverness C	1–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.25	2.25	2.03	1.83
11.01.25	Alloa – Queen of Sth	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.00	1.80	2.00

Dumbarton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Dumbarton – Queen of Sth	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	1.85	1.80	2.00
15.03.25	Arbroath – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.38
08.03.25	Dumbarton – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.80	1.79	1.94
04.03.25	Dumbarton – Arbroath	1–2 (1–1)	5.25	4.10	1.57	1.67	2.15
01.03.25	Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–3)	2.63	3.40	2.35	1.65	2.20
22.02.25	Cove Rangers – Dumbarton	2–1 (1–1)	1.62	3.90	4.75	1.62	2.25
15.02.25	Dumbarton – Montrose	2–3 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	2.70	1.87	1.87
08.02.25	Annan Athletic – Dumbarton	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Dumbarton – Alloa	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.25	2.25	1.65	2.20
25.01.25	Queen of Sth – Dumbarton	3–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	3.75	1.80	2.00

Alloa at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Alloa – Arbroath	2–3 (0–1)	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.85	2.00
01.03.25	Alloa – Cove Rangers	2–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05
15.02.25	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.75	2.90	1.85	2.00
25.01.25	Alloa – Inverness C	1–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.25	2.25	2.03	1.83
11.01.25	Alloa – Queen of Sth	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.00	1.80	2.00
28.12.24	Alloa – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.40	3.10	1.95	1.90
14.12.24	Alloa – Montrose	1–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.25	2.20	1.65
03.12.24	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
02.11.24	Alloa – Annan Athletic	5–0 (3–0)	1.95	3.50	3.40	1.98	1.88
26.10.24	Alloa – Arbroath	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	3.50	1.73	2.08

Dumbarton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Arbroath – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.38
22.02.25	Cove Rangers – Dumbarton	2–1 (1–1)	1.62	3.90	4.75	1.62	2.25
08.02.25	Annan Athletic – Dumbarton	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
25.01.25	Queen of Sth – Dumbarton	3–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	3.75	1.80	2.00
04.01.25	Inverness C – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
21.12.24	Montrose – Dumbarton	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.60	3.10	1.85	2.00
07.12.24	Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton	4–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.88	1.98
03.12.24	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
09.11.24	Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.55	1.70	2.10
19.10.24	Arbroath – Dumbarton	1–3 (1–1)	1.95	3.30	3.25	1.60	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4 2

Alloa winsDrawsDumbarton wins

7matches

3.57goals / match

71%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.25SC2	Dumbarton – Alloa	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.25	2.25	1.65	2.20
03.12.24SC2	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
10.08.24SC2	Dumbarton – Alloa	3–3 (1–2)	2.55	3.30	2.38	1.83	2.03
02.04.22SC2	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–3 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.60	1.88	1.98
19.02.22SC2	Dumbarton – Alloa	1–2 (1–1)	2.60	3.20	2.37	1.85	1.95
20.11.21SC2	Alloa – Dumbarton	1–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.72	2.07
25.09.21SC2	Dumbarton – Alloa	1–1 (0–1)	2.37	3.40	2.62	1.98	1.88

Scotland League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arbroath	30	16	6	8	50	33	+17	54
2	Cove Rangers	30	14	7	9	52	34	+18	49
3	Stenhousemuir	30	14	7	9	42	30	+12	49
4	Inverness C	30	13	9	8	35	31	+4	48
5	Alloa	30	10	11	9	44	39	+5	41
6	Queen of Sth	30	11	6	13	32	37	-5	39
7	Kelty Hearts	30	9	10	11	32	32	0	37
8	Montrose	30	8	12	10	33	38	-5	36
9	Annan Athletic	30	8	6	16	31	56	-25	30
10	Dumbarton	30	5	10	15	35	56	-21	25

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Queen of Sth	15	10	2	3	24	19	+5	32
2	Arbroath	15	9	3	3	22	13	+9	30
3	Stenhousemuir	14	8	3	3	22	13	+9	27
4	Cove Rangers	15	7	4	4	21	18	+3	25
5	Inverness C	16	6	7	3	17	14	+3	25
6	Alloa	15	5	4	6	21	19	+2	19
7	Kelty Hearts	15	5	4	6	15	18	-3	19
8	Montrose	15	4	6	5	20	23	-3	18
9	Annan Athletic	14	4	4	6	13	22	-9	16
10	Dumbarton	16	3	5	8	21	31	-10	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cove Rangers	15	7	3	5	31	16	+15	24
2	Arbroath	15	7	3	5	28	20	+8	24
3	Inverness C	14	7	2	5	18	17	+1	23
4	Alloa	15	5	7	3	23	20	+3	22
5	Stenhousemuir	16	6	4	6	20	17	+3	22
6	Kelty Hearts	15	4	6	5	17	14	+3	18
7	Montrose	15	4	6	5	13	15	-2	18
8	Annan Athletic	16	4	2	10	18	34	-16	14
9	Dumbarton	14	2	5	7	14	25	-11	11
10	Queen of Sth	15	1	4	10	8	18	-10	7

Alloa Dumbarton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arbroath	30	11	19	1.7	1.1	16	6	8	50	33	54
2	2	Cove Rangers	30	12	18	1.7	1.1	14	7	9	52	34	49
3	10	Dumbarton	30	12	18	1.2	1.9	5	10	15	35	56	25
4	3	Stenhousemuir	30	15	15	1.4	1.0	14	7	9	42	30	49
5	9	Annan Athletic	30	15	15	1.0	1.9	8	6	16	31	56	30
6	5	Alloa	30	16	14	1.5	1.3	10	11	9	44	39	41
7	8	Montrose	30	16	14	1.1	1.3	8	12	10	33	38	36
8	6	Queen of Sth	30	17	13	1.1	1.2	11	6	13	32	37	39
9	4	Inverness C	30	20	10	1.2	1.0	13	9	8	35	31	48
10	7	Kelty Hearts	30	20	10	1.1	1.1	9	10	11	32	32	37

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Dumbarton	16	5	11	1.3	1.9	3	5	8	21	31	14
2	8	Montrose	15	5	10	1.3	1.5	4	6	5	20	23	18
3	1	Arbroath	15	6	9	1.5	0.9	9	3	3	22	13	30
4	2	Cove Rangers	15	7	8	1.4	1.2	7	4	4	21	18	25
5	5	Alloa	15	7	8	1.4	1.3	5	4	6	21	19	19
6	6	Queen of Sth	15	7	8	1.6	1.3	10	2	3	24	19	32
7	3	Stenhousemuir	14	7	7	1.6	0.9	8	3	3	22	13	27
8	7	Kelty Hearts	15	10	5	1.0	1.2	5	4	6	15	18	19
9	9	Annan Athletic	14	9	5	0.9	1.6	4	4	6	13	22	16
10	4	Inverness C	16	14	2	1.1	0.9	6	7	3	17	14	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arbroath	15	5	10	1.9	1.3	7	3	5	28	20	24
2	2	Cove Rangers	15	5	10	2.1	1.1	7	3	5	31	16	24
3	9	Annan Athletic	16	6	10	1.1	2.1	4	2	10	18	34	14
4	3	Stenhousemuir	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	6	4	6	20	17	22
5	4	Inverness C	14	6	8	1.3	1.2	7	2	5	18	17	23
6	10	Dumbarton	14	7	7	1.0	1.8	2	5	7	14	25	11
7	5	Alloa	15	9	6	1.5	1.3	5	7	3	23	20	22
8	6	Queen of Sth	15	10	5	0.5	1.2	1	4	10	8	18	7
9	7	Kelty Hearts	15	10	5	1.1	0.9	4	6	5	17	14	18
10	8	Montrose	15	11	4	0.9	1.0	4	6	5	13	15	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.