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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Almere City 1–4 Waalwijk

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.20 fair 2.51
Draw 3.50 fair 4.18
Away ✓ 3.25 fair 2.75
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Almere City Waalwijk
15 Shots 28
5 Shots on target 13
5 Corners 10
6 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (181 league matches this season so far).
Result Almere City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
Almere CityDrawWaalwijk
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Almere City before this match, all matches
0.53points / match
0.53scored / match
2.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 10:39
Waalwijk before this match, all matches
0.55points / match
1.10scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 22:44
Almere City all matches all matches Waalwijk

Per match

0.53 Goals scored 1.10
2.05 Goals conceded 2.20
2.58 Total goals 3.30
10.16 Shots 11.00
3.11 Shots on target 3.80
14.11 Shots faced 16.70
3.79 Corners 4.15
6.68 Corners against 7.00
10.84 Fouls 9.45
1.63 Yellow cards 1.25
0.21 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

11% Wins 10%
21% Draws 25%
68% Losses 65%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 100%
47% Over 2.5 goals 65%
26% Over 3.5 goals 35%
16% Over 4.5 goals 25%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
26% Both teams scored 65%
21% Clean sheets 10%
63% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 10%
32% Draws 35%
58% Losses 55%
68% Over 0.5 goals 90%
37% Over 1.5 goals 55%
5% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almere City all matches
Waalwijk all matches
Almere City before this match, at home
0.70points / match
0.80scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:24
Waalwijk before this match, away
0.30points / match
1.10scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:26
Almere City at home away Waalwijk

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.10
2.40 Goals conceded 2.60
3.20 Total goals 3.70
11.60 Shots 11.00
3.80 Shots on target 3.40
12.20 Shots faced 18.00
4.20 Corners 3.50
6.10 Corners against 7.00
11.00 Fouls 10.40
1.40 Yellow cards 0.80
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.70

How often Full Time

20% Wins 0%
10% Draws 30%
70% Losses 70%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 70%
40% Over 3.5 goals 50%
30% Over 4.5 goals 40%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
40% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 0%
30% Draws 20%
60% Losses 80%
70% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 70%
10% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almere City at home
Waalwijk away

Last 10 matches before this match

Almere City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Almere City – Heracles 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 2.00 1.85
12.01.25 Groningen – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 2.10 1.70
21.12.24 Almere City – Heerenveen 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.702.15 1.98 1.88
15.12.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.36 3.10
08.12.24 Almere City – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 4.753.801.70 1.80 2.00
30.11.24 NAC Breda – Almere City 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.574.006.00 1.93 1.93
10.11.24 Almere City – Feyenoord 1–4 (1–2) 11.004.751.30 1.57 2.35
03.11.24 Waalwijk – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.80 2.00
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85

Waalwijk all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Waalwijk – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.98 1.88
19.01.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.505.75 1.60 2.30
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.24 Waalwijk – Zwolle 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.67 2.15
14.12.24 For Sittard – Waalwijk 3–2 (3–1) 1.624.005.50 1.80 2.00
07.12.24 Waalwijk – Feyenoord 2–3 (1–1) 11.006.501.22 1.44 2.70
29.11.24 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.904.75 1.57 2.35
23.11.24 Heracles – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10
03.11.24 Waalwijk – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.80 2.00

Almere City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Almere City – Heracles 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 2.00 1.85
21.12.24 Almere City – Heerenveen 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.702.15 1.98 1.88
08.12.24 Almere City – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 4.753.801.70 1.80 2.00
10.11.24 Almere City – Feyenoord 1–4 (1–2) 11.004.751.30 1.57 2.35
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
22.09.24 Almere City – Twente 0–5 (0–2) 5.505.001.50 1.65 2.20
31.08.24 Almere City – Groningen 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Almere City – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (0–2) 13.008.001.17 1.33 3.40
10.08.24 Almere City – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 1.70 2.10

Waalwijk away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.505.75 1.60 2.30
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
14.12.24 For Sittard – Waalwijk 3–2 (3–1) 1.624.005.50 1.80 2.00
29.11.24 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.904.75 1.57 2.35
23.11.24 Heracles – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
26.10.24 NAC Breda – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.60 1.75 2.05
05.10.24 Utrecht – Waalwijk 3–2 (1–1) 1.384.758.00 1.50 2.50
15.09.24 Willem II – Waalwijk 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
25.08.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Waalwijk 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.75 1.62 2.25
10.08.24 PSV Eindhoven – Waalwijk 5–1 (3–0) 1.0911.0021.00 1.29 3.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Almere City winsDrawsWaalwijk wins
3matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24N1 Waalwijk – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.80 2.00
04.04.24N1 Waalwijk – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.98 1.88
07.10.23N1 Almere City – Waalwijk 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.802.75 1.57 2.35

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 16 2 3 68 23 +45 50
2 Ajax 19 14 3 2 41 17 +24 45
3 Utrecht 21 12 6 3 40 33 +7 42
4 Feyenoord 19 10 6 3 42 24 +18 36
5 Twente 19 10 4 5 39 25 +14 34
6 AZ Alkmaar 20 10 4 6 34 21 +13 34
7 Go Ahead Eagles 19 9 4 6 35 28 +7 31
8 For Sittard 21 7 5 9 29 38 -9 26
9 NAC Breda 21 8 2 11 26 36 -10 26
10 Heerenveen 21 7 4 10 23 38 -15 25
11 Nijmegen 20 7 3 10 31 28 +3 24
12 Zwolle 21 6 6 9 26 32 -6 24
13 Willem II 20 6 5 9 24 28 -4 23
14 Groningen 20 5 6 9 17 29 -12 21
15 Heracles 21 4 9 8 24 37 -13 21
16 Sparta Rotterdam 20 3 8 9 18 29 -11 17
17 Waalwijk 20 2 5 13 22 44 -22 11
18 Almere City 19 2 4 13 10 39 -29 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 9 1 0 37 7 +30 28
2 Ajax 9 8 1 0 22 6 +16 25
3 Twente 9 6 3 0 23 8 +15 21
4 Go Ahead Eagles 10 6 2 2 22 13 +9 20
5 Heerenveen 10 5 4 1 15 8 +7 19
6 NAC Breda 11 6 1 4 16 15 +1 19
7 Feyenoord 9 5 2 2 18 11 +7 17
8 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 17 20 -3 17
9 AZ Alkmaar 10 5 1 4 20 12 +8 16
10 Groningen 10 4 4 2 10 5 +5 16
11 Zwolle 11 5 1 5 17 16 +1 16
12 Nijmegen 11 4 3 4 23 14 +9 15
13 For Sittard 10 5 0 5 14 17 -3 15
14 Heracles 11 2 7 2 16 16 0 13
15 Willem II 10 3 3 4 14 11 +3 12
16 Waalwijk 10 2 2 6 11 18 -7 8
17 Almere City 10 2 1 7 8 24 -16 7
18 Sparta Rotterdam 10 0 5 5 8 17 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 11 7 4 0 23 13 +10 25
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 1 3 31 16 +15 22
3 Ajax 10 6 2 2 19 11 +8 20
4 Feyenoord 10 5 4 1 24 13 +11 19
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 5 3 2 14 9 +5 18
6 Twente 10 4 1 5 16 17 -1 13
7 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
8 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
9 For Sittard 11 2 5 4 15 21 -6 11
10 Willem II 10 3 2 5 10 17 -7 11
11 Nijmegen 9 3 0 6 8 14 -6 9
12 Zwolle 10 1 5 4 9 16 -7 8
13 Heracles 10 2 2 6 8 21 -13 8
14 NAC Breda 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
15 Heerenveen 11 2 0 9 8 30 -22 6
16 Groningen 10 1 2 7 7 24 -17 5
17 Almere City 9 0 3 6 2 15 -13 3
18 Waalwijk 10 0 3 7 11 26 -15 3

Almere City   Waalwijk

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 21 3 18 3.2 1.1 16 2 3 68 23 50
2 3 Utrecht 21 7 14 1.9 1.6 12 6 3 40 33 42
3 8 For Sittard 21 7 14 1.4 1.8 7 5 9 29 38 26
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 20 7 13 1.7 1.1 10 4 6 34 21 34
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 13 1.8 1.5 9 4 6 35 28 31
6 9 NAC Breda 21 8 13 1.2 1.7 8 2 11 26 36 26
7 17 Waalwijk 20 7 13 1.1 2.2 2 5 13 22 44 11
8 5 Twente 19 7 12 2.1 1.3 10 4 5 39 25 34
9 11 Nijmegen 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 7 3 10 31 28 24
10 2 Ajax 19 8 11 2.2 0.9 14 3 2 41 17 45
11 4 Feyenoord 19 8 11 2.2 1.3 10 6 3 42 24 36
12 10 Heerenveen 21 10 11 1.1 1.8 7 4 10 23 38 25
13 12 Zwolle 21 11 10 1.2 1.5 6 6 9 26 32 24
14 15 Heracles 21 11 10 1.1 1.8 4 9 8 24 37 21
15 18 Almere City 19 10 9 0.5 2.1 2 4 13 10 39 10
16 13 Willem II 20 12 8 1.2 1.4 6 5 9 24 28 23
17 14 Groningen 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 17 29 21
18 16 Sparta Rotterdam 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 3 8 9 18 29 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 1 9 3.7 0.7 9 1 0 37 7 28
2 8 For Sittard 10 2 8 1.4 1.7 5 0 5 14 17 15
3 11 Nijmegen 11 3 8 2.1 1.3 4 3 4 23 14 15
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 10 3 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 4 20 12 16
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 2.2 1.3 6 2 2 22 13 20
6 9 NAC Breda 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 16 15 19
7 12 Zwolle 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 5 1 5 17 16 16
8 2 Ajax 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 8 1 0 22 6 25
9 3 Utrecht 10 4 6 1.7 2.0 5 2 3 17 20 17
10 17 Waalwijk 10 4 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 6 11 18 8
11 4 Feyenoord 9 4 5 2.0 1.2 5 2 2 18 11 17
12 13 Willem II 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 4 14 11 12
13 15 Heracles 11 6 5 1.5 1.5 2 7 2 16 16 13
14 18 Almere City 10 5 5 0.8 2.4 2 1 7 8 24 7
15 5 Twente 9 5 4 2.6 0.9 6 3 0 23 8 21
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 4 0.8 1.7 0 5 5 8 17 5
17 10 Heerenveen 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 4 1 15 8 19
18 14 Groningen 10 8 2 1.0 0.5 4 4 2 10 5 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 2.8 1.5 7 1 3 31 16 22
2 3 Utrecht 11 3 8 2.1 1.2 7 4 0 23 13 25
3 5 Twente 10 2 8 1.6 1.7 4 1 5 16 17 13
4 10 Heerenveen 11 3 8 0.7 2.7 2 0 9 8 30 6
5 17 Waalwijk 10 3 7 1.1 2.6 0 3 7 11 26 3
6 4 Feyenoord 10 4 6 2.4 1.3 5 4 1 24 13 19
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 6 1.4 0.9 5 3 2 14 9 18
8 7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
9 8 For Sittard 11 5 6 1.4 1.9 2 5 4 15 21 11
10 9 NAC Breda 10 4 6 1.0 2.1 2 1 7 10 21 7
11 14 Groningen 10 4 6 0.7 2.4 1 2 7 7 24 5
12 2 Ajax 10 5 5 1.9 1.1 6 2 2 19 11 20
13 15 Heracles 10 5 5 0.8 2.1 2 2 6 8 21 8
14 11 Nijmegen 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 3 0 6 8 14 9
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
16 18 Almere City 9 5 4 0.2 1.7 0 3 6 2 15 3
17 12 Zwolle 10 7 3 0.9 1.6 1 5 4 9 16 8
18 13 Willem II 10 7 3 1.0 1.7 3 2 5 10 17 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06