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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heerenveen 2–3 Utrecht

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.63 fair 2.27
Draw 3.50 fair 4.24
Away ✓ 2.60 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.50
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heerenveen Utrecht
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 3
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Heerenveen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
HeerenveenDrawUtrecht
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.64scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 46:53
Utrecht before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.36scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 38:38
Heerenveen all matches all matches Utrecht

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.36
1.89 Goals conceded 1.36
3.54 Total goals 2.71
14.00 Shots 12.32
4.89 Shots on target 4.18
13.00 Shots faced 13.00
5.46 Corners 5.64
5.54 Corners against 4.54
9.14 Fouls 10.54
1.21 Yellow cards 1.46
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

32% Wins 36%
21% Draws 32%
46% Losses 32%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
96% Over 1.5 goals 75%
71% Over 2.5 goals 36%
46% Over 3.5 goals 29%
25% Over 4.5 goals 18%
11% Over 5.5 goals 18%
54% Both teams scored 50%
21% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 25%
32% Draws 54%
36% Losses 21%
82% Over 0.5 goals 61%
54% Over 1.5 goals 36%
18% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches
Utrecht all matches
Heerenveen before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.93scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:22
Utrecht before this match, away
1.14points / match
0.86scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:17
Heerenveen at home away Utrecht

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 0.86
1.57 Goals conceded 1.21
3.50 Total goals 2.07
15.71 Shots 10.29
5.50 Shots on target 3.00
11.71 Shots faced 14.57
6.14 Corners 4.36
4.64 Corners against 5.36
8.93 Fouls 10.07
1.50 Yellow cards 1.64
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

43% Wins 29%
21% Draws 29%
36% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
100% Over 1.5 goals 64%
79% Over 2.5 goals 29%
43% Over 3.5 goals 14%
21% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 36%
29% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
29% Draws 50%
29% Losses 21%
93% Over 0.5 goals 64%
64% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home
Utrecht away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Heerenveen – Twente 3–3 (2–3) 3.604.001.91 1.70 2.10
30.03.24 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 1.80 2.00
17.03.24 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 2–3 (1–1) 5.505.001.50 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.40 1.70 2.10
03.03.24 Heerenveen – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
25.02.24 Volendam – Heerenveen 0–4 (0–1) 4.334.201.73 1.62 2.25
17.02.24 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.73 2.08
11.02.24 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 For Sittard – Heerenveen 3–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Utrecht – Zwolle 5–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.67 2.15
31.03.24 Feyenoord – Utrecht 4–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Almere City – Utrecht 1–1 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 2.10 1.70
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
23.02.24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.24 Twente – Utrecht 0–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.25 1.83 2.03
11.02.24 Utrecht – For Sittard 4–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.75 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Utrecht – Volendam 4–2 (2–1) 1.335.009.50 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10

Heerenveen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Heerenveen – Twente 3–3 (2–3) 3.604.001.91 1.70 2.10
17.03.24 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 2–3 (1–1) 5.505.001.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Heerenveen – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
17.02.24 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.73 2.08
11.02.24 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Heerenveen – Volendam 1–2 (0–1) 1.364.758.50 1.50 2.50
01.12.23 Heerenveen – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Heerenveen – For Sittard 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98
28.10.23 Heerenveen – Heracles 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.753.75 1.65 2.20

Utrecht away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.24 Feyenoord – Utrecht 4–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.57 2.35
09.03.24 Almere City – Utrecht 1–1 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 2.10 1.70
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.24 Twente – Utrecht 0–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.25 1.83 2.03
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
14.01.24 Vitesse – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.802.25 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Utrecht 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.403.40 1.75 2.05
26.11.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 2.383.502.80 1.80 2.00
28.10.23 For Sittard – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.602.80 1.65 2.20
06.10.23 Volendam – Utrecht 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heerenveen winsDrawsUtrecht wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.23N1 Utrecht – Heerenveen 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.62 2.25
04.02.23N1 Utrecht – Heerenveen 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.95 1.90
29.10.22N1 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.88 1.98
27.02.22N1 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.70 2.10
23.10.21N1 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–1) 1.404.757.00 1.57 2.35

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 29 25 3 1 89 17 +72 78
2 Feyenoord 29 21 6 2 76 23 +53 69
3 Twente 29 18 6 5 55 28 +27 60
4 AZ Alkmaar 29 15 7 7 56 33 +23 52
5 Nijmegen 29 12 10 7 57 42 +15 46
6 Ajax 29 12 9 8 61 55 +6 45
7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 11 9 9 43 37 +6 42
8 Utrecht 28 10 9 9 38 38 0 39
9 Sparta Rotterdam 29 10 7 12 42 41 +1 37
10 For Sittard 29 9 8 12 34 51 -17 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 6 13 46 53 -7 33
12 Almere City 29 7 12 10 28 45 -17 33
13 Heracles 29 9 5 15 40 60 -20 32
14 Zwolle 29 8 7 14 38 56 -18 31
15 Waalwijk 29 6 6 17 27 47 -20 24
16 Excelsior 29 4 10 15 40 64 -24 22
17 Volendam 29 4 7 18 30 70 -40 19
18 Vitesse 29 4 5 20 22 62 -40 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 13 1 0 41 8 +33 40
2 Twente 15 12 1 2 30 14 +16 37
3 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 42 10 +32 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 9 2 3 33 12 +21 29
5 Nijmegen 14 8 3 3 31 17 +14 27
6 Ajax 14 7 5 2 32 18 +14 26
7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 7 4 4 30 17 +13 25
8 For Sittard 14 7 4 3 26 18 +8 25
9 Utrecht 14 6 5 3 26 21 +5 23
10 Heerenveen 14 6 3 5 27 22 +5 21
11 Heracles 14 6 3 5 25 28 -3 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 22 24 -2 17
13 Waalwijk 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
14 Almere City 14 3 6 5 14 22 -8 15
15 Zwolle 15 4 3 8 15 28 -13 15
16 Excelsior 14 2 7 5 18 24 -6 13
17 Volendam 15 3 2 10 14 38 -24 11
18 Vitesse 15 1 5 9 10 26 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 12 2 1 48 9 +39 38
2 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 34 13 +21 33
3 Twente 14 6 5 3 25 14 +11 23
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 23 21 +2 23
5 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 2 6 20 17 +3 20
6 Nijmegen 15 4 7 4 26 25 +1 19
7 Ajax 15 5 4 6 29 37 -8 19
8 Almere City 15 4 6 5 14 23 -9 18
9 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 5 5 13 20 -7 17
10 Zwolle 14 4 4 6 23 28 -5 16
11 Utrecht 14 4 4 6 12 17 -5 16
12 Heerenveen 14 3 3 8 19 31 -12 12
13 Heracles 15 3 2 10 15 32 -17 11
14 For Sittard 15 2 4 9 8 33 -25 10
15 Excelsior 15 2 3 10 22 40 -18 9
16 Vitesse 14 3 0 11 12 36 -24 9
17 Waalwijk 14 2 2 10 10 25 -15 8
18 Volendam 14 1 5 8 16 32 -16 8

Heerenveen   Utrecht

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Ajax 29 6 23 2.1 1.9 12 9 8 61 55 45
2 16 Excelsior 29 7 22 1.4 2.2 4 10 15 40 64 22
3 13 Heracles 29 8 21 1.4 2.1 9 5 15 40 60 32
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 29 9 20 3.1 0.6 25 3 1 89 17 78
5 2 Feyenoord 29 9 20 2.6 0.8 21 6 2 76 23 69
6 11 Heerenveen 28 8 20 1.6 1.9 9 6 13 46 53 33
7 5 Nijmegen 29 10 19 2.0 1.4 12 10 7 57 42 46
8 17 Volendam 29 10 19 1.0 2.4 4 7 18 30 70 19
9 3 Twente 29 11 18 1.9 1.0 18 6 5 55 28 60
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 29 11 18 1.9 1.1 15 7 7 56 33 52
11 10 For Sittard 29 11 18 1.2 1.8 9 8 12 34 51 35
12 14 Zwolle 29 11 18 1.3 1.9 8 7 14 38 56 31
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 29 13 16 1.4 1.4 10 7 12 42 41 37
14 18 Vitesse 29 13 16 0.8 2.1 4 5 20 22 62 17
15 15 Waalwijk 29 15 14 0.9 1.6 6 6 17 27 47 24
16 7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 16 13 1.5 1.3 11 9 9 43 37 42
17 12 Almere City 29 16 13 1.0 1.6 7 12 10 28 45 33
18 8 Utrecht 28 18 10 1.4 1.4 10 9 9 38 38 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Heerenveen 14 3 11 1.9 1.6 6 3 5 27 22 21
2 13 Heracles 14 3 11 1.8 2.0 6 3 5 25 28 21
3 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.8 0.7 11 3 1 42 10 36
4 3 Twente 15 5 10 2.0 0.9 12 1 2 30 14 37
5 6 Ajax 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 7 5 2 32 18 26
6 17 Volendam 15 5 10 0.9 2.5 3 2 10 14 38 11
7 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 5 9 2.9 0.6 13 1 0 41 8 40
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 9 2.4 0.9 9 2 3 33 12 29
9 5 Nijmegen 14 5 9 2.2 1.2 8 3 3 31 17 27
10 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 9 2.0 1.1 7 4 4 30 17 25
11 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 4 5 6 22 24 17
12 10 For Sittard 14 5 9 1.9 1.3 7 4 3 26 18 25
13 14 Zwolle 15 7 8 1.0 1.9 4 3 8 15 28 15
14 15 Waalwijk 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
15 16 Excelsior 14 6 8 1.3 1.7 2 7 5 18 24 13
16 12 Almere City 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 3 6 5 14 22 15
17 8 Utrecht 14 8 6 1.9 1.5 6 5 3 26 21 23
18 18 Vitesse 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 10 26 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Excelsior 15 1 14 1.5 2.7 2 3 10 22 40 9
2 6 Ajax 15 2 13 1.9 2.5 5 4 6 29 37 19
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 3.2 0.6 12 2 1 48 9 38
4 2 Feyenoord 14 4 10 2.4 0.9 10 3 1 34 13 33
5 5 Nijmegen 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 4 7 4 26 25 19
6 13 Heracles 15 5 10 1.0 2.1 3 2 10 15 32 11
7 14 Zwolle 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 4 6 23 28 16
8 18 Vitesse 14 4 10 0.9 2.6 3 0 11 12 36 9
9 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 6 5 4 23 21 23
10 10 For Sittard 15 6 9 0.5 2.2 2 4 9 8 33 10
11 11 Heerenveen 14 5 9 1.4 2.2 3 3 8 19 31 12
12 17 Volendam 14 5 9 1.1 2.3 1 5 8 16 32 8
13 3 Twente 14 6 8 1.8 1.0 6 5 3 25 14 23
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 6 2 6 20 17 20
15 12 Almere City 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 4 6 5 14 23 18
16 15 Waalwijk 14 8 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 10 10 25 8
17 7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 10 4 0.9 1.4 4 5 5 13 20 17
18 8 Utrecht 14 10 4 0.9 1.2 4 4 6 12 17 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06