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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Palermo 5–3 Sassuolo

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.63 fair 3.31
Draw 3.30 fair 3.83
Away 2.63 fair 2.29
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 1.92
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Palermo Sassuolo
13 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 7
9 Corners 4
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (317 league matches this season so far).
Result Sassuolo to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
PalermoDrawSassuolo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 10.8% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Palermo before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.23scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 38:32
Sassuolo before this match, all matches
2.32points / match
2.16scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 67:28
Palermo all matches all matches Sassuolo

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 2.16
1.03 Goals conceded 0.90
2.26 Total goals 3.06
15.06 Shots 13.35
4.77 Shots on target 5.39
13.06 Shots faced 12.61
5.26 Corners 4.26
5.71 Corners against 3.97
14.13 Fouls 12.35
2.19 Yellow cards 1.94
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.84
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

35% Wins 71%
29% Draws 19%
35% Losses 10%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
68% Over 1.5 goals 81%
42% Over 2.5 goals 55%
19% Over 3.5 goals 29%
3% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 16%
52% Both teams scored 58%
32% Clean sheets 42%
23% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 42%
48% Draws 45%
16% Losses 13%
71% Over 0.5 goals 74%
35% Over 1.5 goals 39%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo all matches
Sassuolo all matches
Palermo before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.13scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:13
Sassuolo before this match, away
2.07points / match
1.73scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:14
Palermo at home away Sassuolo

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.73
0.87 Goals conceded 0.93
2.00 Total goals 2.67
17.93 Shots 12.40
5.60 Shots on target 4.87
11.80 Shots faced 14.13
5.67 Corners 3.67
5.27 Corners against 3.80
14.27 Fouls 12.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.53
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
27% Draws 27%
33% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
27% Over 2.5 goals 53%
13% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
40% Both teams scored 60%
47% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 40%
47% Draws 53%
20% Losses 7%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
27% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo at home
Sassuolo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Salernitana – Palermo 1–2 (0–2) 2.553.302.70 2.15 1.67
14.03.25 Palermo – Cremonese 2–3 (0–0) 2.703.002.80 2.10 1.70
08.03.25 Sampdoria – Palermo 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.70 2.10 1.70
02.03.25 Palermo – Brescia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 1.95 1.90
23.02.25 Cosenza – Palermo 0–3 (0–1) 2.903.102.50 2.15 1.67
16.02.25 Palermo – Mantova 2–2 (1–0) 1.753.255.25 1.90 1.95
09.02.25 Spezia – Palermo 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.304.20 2.08 1.73
31.01.25 Palermo – Pisa 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.003.30 2.20 1.65
26.01.25 Reggiana – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.002.50 2.25 1.62
19.01.25 Palermo – Juve Stabia 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.33 2.15 1.67

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Sassuolo – Reggiana 5–1 (4–1) 1.623.805.25 2.03 1.83
15.03.25 Cittadella – Sassuolo 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.401.85 2.00 1.85
09.03.25 Sassuolo – Bari 1–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.25 1.98 1.88
01.03.25 Sassuolo – Pisa 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.303.90 2.15 1.67
21.02.25 Sampdoria – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.25 2.08 1.73
15.02.25 Sassuolo – Brescia 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.106.25 1.60 2.30
08.02.25 Mantova – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.601.73 1.80 2.00
01.02.25 Sassuolo – Juve Stabia 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.75 1.93 1.93
24.01.25 Spezia – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.453.003.10 2.05 1.80
19.01.25 Sassuolo – Sudtirol 5–3 (1–2) 1.504.107.00 1.88 1.98

Palermo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.25 Palermo – Cremonese 2–3 (0–0) 2.703.002.80 2.10 1.70
02.03.25 Palermo – Brescia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 1.95 1.90
16.02.25 Palermo – Mantova 2–2 (1–0) 1.753.255.25 1.90 1.95
31.01.25 Palermo – Pisa 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.003.30 2.20 1.65
19.01.25 Palermo – Juve Stabia 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.33 2.15 1.67
12.01.25 Palermo – Modena 2–0 (1–0) 2.002.904.50 2.25 1.62
26.12.24 Palermo – Bari 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.00 2.03 1.83
15.12.24 Palermo – Catanzaro 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.604.20 1.98 1.88
01.12.24 Palermo – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.40 2.25 1.62
24.11.24 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.203.50 2.08 1.73

Sassuolo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Cittadella – Sassuolo 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.401.85 2.00 1.85
21.02.25 Sampdoria – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.25 2.08 1.73
08.02.25 Mantova – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.601.73 1.80 2.00
24.01.25 Spezia – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.453.003.10 2.05 1.80
12.01.25 Salernitana – Sassuolo 1–2 (0–2) 4.203.501.85 1.85 2.00
26.12.24 Pisa – Sassuolo 3–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.38 2.00 1.85
14.12.24 Frosinone – Sassuolo 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.601.90 2.00 1.85
29.11.24 Reggiana – Sassuolo 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.701.67 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Sudtirol – Sassuolo 0–1 (0–0) 3.703.202.10 2.10 1.70
29.10.24 Juve Stabia – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.002.30 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Palermo winsDrawsSassuolo wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24I2 Sassuolo – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.67 2.15

Italy Serie B table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 31 22 6 3 67 28 +39 72
2 Pisa 32 18 7 7 52 31 +21 61
3 Spezia 31 14 13 4 45 23 +22 55
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 52 36 +16 52
5 Juve Stabia 32 13 10 9 38 36 +2 49
6 Catanzaro 31 10 16 5 41 33 +8 46
7 Cesena 32 11 10 11 41 40 +1 43
8 Palermo 31 11 9 11 38 32 +6 42
9 Modena 32 9 14 9 40 38 +2 41
10 Bari 31 8 16 7 33 30 +3 40
11 Carrarese 32 9 10 13 32 41 -9 37
12 Frosinone 32 8 13 11 32 43 -11 37
13 Mantova 32 8 12 12 38 47 -9 36
14 Cittadella 32 9 9 14 26 46 -20 36
15 Sudtirol 32 9 8 15 40 50 -10 35
16 Brescia 32 7 13 12 35 42 -7 34
17 Sampdoria 31 6 14 11 34 44 -10 32
18 Reggiana 32 7 11 14 32 43 -11 32
19 Salernitana 32 7 9 16 28 42 -14 30
20 Cosenza 32 6 12 14 27 46 -19 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 16 13 2 1 41 14 +27 41
2 Pisa 16 11 3 2 31 14 +17 36
3 Spezia 15 9 4 2 27 13 +14 31
4 Juve Stabia 16 9 3 4 22 16 +6 30
5 Catanzaro 16 7 7 2 25 13 +12 28
6 Carrarese 16 8 4 4 19 15 +4 28
7 Cesena 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
8 Modena 15 6 7 2 22 15 +7 25
9 Cremonese 16 6 6 4 24 19 +5 24
10 Bari 16 5 9 2 20 16 +4 24
11 Mantova 15 6 5 4 17 16 +1 23
12 Palermo 15 6 4 5 17 13 +4 22
13 Salernitana 16 6 4 6 20 20 0 22
14 Frosinone 17 4 8 5 18 24 -6 20
15 Reggiana 16 4 6 6 18 20 -2 18
16 Sampdoria 16 4 6 6 11 15 -4 18
17 Sudtirol 16 4 6 6 21 26 -5 18
18 Cosenza 16 4 6 6 11 18 -7 18
19 Brescia 16 3 8 5 22 23 -1 17
20 Cittadella 16 2 7 7 12 22 -10 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 15 9 4 2 26 14 +12 31
2 Cremonese 16 8 4 4 28 17 +11 28
3 Pisa 16 7 4 5 21 17 +4 25
4 Spezia 16 5 9 2 18 10 +8 24
5 Cittadella 16 7 2 7 14 24 -10 23
6 Palermo 16 5 5 6 21 19 +2 20
7 Juve Stabia 16 4 7 5 16 20 -4 19
8 Catanzaro 15 3 9 3 16 20 -4 18
9 Sudtirol 16 5 2 9 19 24 -5 17
10 Frosinone 15 4 5 6 14 19 -5 17
11 Brescia 16 4 5 7 13 19 -6 17
12 Bari 15 3 7 5 13 14 -1 16
13 Modena 17 3 7 7 18 23 -5 16
14 Cesena 16 4 4 8 17 23 -6 16
15 Sampdoria 15 2 8 5 23 29 -6 14
16 Reggiana 16 3 5 8 14 23 -9 14
17 Mantova 17 2 7 8 21 31 -10 13
18 Cosenza 16 2 6 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Carrarese 16 1 6 9 13 26 -13 9
20 Salernitana 16 1 5 10 8 22 -14 8

Palermo   Sassuolo

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Pisa 32 14 18 1.6 1.0 18 7 7 52 31 61
2 4 Cremonese 32 14 18 1.6 1.1 14 10 8 52 36 52
3 15 Sudtirol 32 14 18 1.2 1.6 9 8 15 40 50 35
4 1 Sassuolo 31 14 17 2.2 0.9 22 6 3 67 28 72
5 5 Juve Stabia 32 15 17 1.2 1.1 13 10 9 38 36 49
6 13 Mantova 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 8 12 12 38 47 36
7 12 Frosinone 32 17 15 1.0 1.3 8 13 11 32 43 37
8 6 Catanzaro 31 17 14 1.3 1.1 10 16 5 41 33 46
9 9 Modena 32 18 14 1.2 1.2 9 14 9 40 38 41
10 11 Carrarese 32 18 14 1.0 1.3 9 10 13 32 41 37
11 14 Cittadella 32 18 14 0.8 1.4 9 9 14 26 46 36
12 17 Sampdoria 31 17 14 1.1 1.4 6 14 11 34 44 32
13 7 Cesena 32 19 13 1.3 1.2 11 10 11 41 40 43
14 8 Palermo 31 18 13 1.2 1.0 11 9 11 38 32 42
15 16 Brescia 32 19 13 1.1 1.3 7 13 12 35 42 34
16 18 Reggiana 32 19 13 1.0 1.3 7 11 14 32 43 32
17 20 Cosenza 32 19 13 0.8 1.4 6 12 14 27 46 30
18 19 Salernitana 32 20 12 0.9 1.3 7 9 16 28 42 30
19 3 Spezia 31 20 11 1.5 0.7 14 13 4 45 23 55
20 10 Bari 31 22 9 1.1 1.0 8 16 7 33 30 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Pisa 16 5 11 1.9 0.9 11 3 2 31 14 36
2 15 Sudtirol 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 4 6 6 21 26 18
3 1 Sassuolo 16 7 9 2.6 0.9 13 2 1 41 14 41
4 5 Juve Stabia 16 7 9 1.4 1.0 9 3 4 22 16 30
5 12 Frosinone 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 5 18 24 20
6 3 Spezia 15 7 8 1.8 0.9 9 4 2 27 13 31
7 4 Cremonese 16 8 8 1.5 1.2 6 6 4 24 19 24
8 6 Catanzaro 16 8 8 1.6 0.8 7 7 2 25 13 28
9 18 Reggiana 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 6 18 20 18
10 19 Salernitana 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 6 4 6 20 20 22
11 9 Modena 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 6 7 2 22 15 25
12 14 Cittadella 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 2 7 7 12 22 13
13 16 Brescia 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 3 8 5 22 23 17
14 7 Cesena 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
15 11 Carrarese 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 19 15 28
16 10 Bari 16 11 5 1.2 1.0 5 9 2 20 16 24
17 13 Mantova 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 6 5 4 17 16 23
18 8 Palermo 15 11 4 1.1 0.9 6 4 5 17 13 22
19 17 Sampdoria 16 12 4 0.7 0.9 4 6 6 11 15 18
20 20 Cosenza 16 12 4 0.7 1.1 4 6 6 11 18 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Mantova 17 6 11 1.2 1.8 2 7 8 21 31 13
2 4 Cremonese 16 6 10 1.8 1.1 8 4 4 28 17 28
3 17 Sampdoria 15 5 10 1.5 1.9 2 8 5 23 29 14
4 8 Palermo 16 7 9 1.3 1.2 5 5 6 21 19 20
5 20 Cosenza 16 7 9 1.0 1.8 2 6 8 16 28 12
6 1 Sassuolo 15 7 8 1.7 0.9 9 4 2 26 14 31
7 5 Juve Stabia 16 8 8 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 20 19
8 11 Carrarese 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 1 6 9 13 26 9
9 15 Sudtirol 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 2 9 19 24 17
10 2 Pisa 16 9 7 1.3 1.1 7 4 5 21 17 25
11 7 Cesena 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 4 4 8 17 23 16
12 9 Modena 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 3 7 7 18 23 16
13 14 Cittadella 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 7 2 7 14 24 23
14 6 Catanzaro 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 3 9 3 16 20 18
15 12 Frosinone 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 5 6 14 19 17
16 16 Brescia 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 4 5 7 13 19 17
17 18 Reggiana 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 14 23 14
18 10 Bari 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 3 7 5 13 14 16
19 19 Salernitana 16 12 4 0.5 1.4 1 5 10 8 22 8
20 3 Spezia 16 13 3 1.1 0.6 5 9 2 18 10 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40