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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Palermo 1–0 Bari

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.60
Draw 3.40 fair 3.36
Away 4.00 fair 3.15
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.55
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 2.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Palermo Bari
19 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 12
12 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Palermo to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.12 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
PalermoDrawBari
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.6% 1–1 13.4% 0–0 12.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Palermo before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.00scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:17
Bari before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.11scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:17
Palermo all matches all matches Bari

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.11
0.94 Goals conceded 0.94
1.94 Total goals 2.06
15.56 Shots 13.17
4.83 Shots on target 3.67
11.83 Shots faced 14.83
5.83 Corners 4.61
5.00 Corners against 4.39
13.89 Fouls 14.33
1.89 Yellow cards 2.72
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

28% Wins 28%
33% Draws 50%
39% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 83%
61% Over 1.5 goals 72%
28% Over 2.5 goals 28%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 50%
28% Clean sheets 39%
39% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 44%
56% Draws 44%
17% Losses 11%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
39% Over 1.5 goals 28%
0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo all matches
Bari all matches
Palermo before this match, at home
1.13points / match
0.88scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:6
Bari before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:6
Palermo at home away Bari

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded 0.75
1.63 Total goals 1.75
20.50 Shots 12.00
6.13 Shots on target 3.63
9.75 Shots faced 17.50
6.00 Corners 3.25
3.75 Corners against 4.00
14.25 Fouls 13.13
2.13 Yellow cards 3.00
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
38% Draws 50%
38% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 75%
63% Over 1.5 goals 75%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 38%
38% Clean sheets 50%
38% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
50% Draws 63%
25% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo at home
Bari away

Last 10 matches before this match

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Sassuolo – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.67 2.15
15.12.24 Palermo – Catanzaro 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.604.20 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Carrarese – Palermo 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.15 1.63
01.12.24 Palermo – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.40 2.25 1.62
24.11.24 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.203.50 2.08 1.73
08.11.24 Frosinone – Palermo 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.252.45 2.05 1.75
03.11.24 Palermo – Cittadella 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.504.33 2.00 1.85
30.10.24 Mantova – Palermo 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.002.70 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Palermo – Reggiana 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.504.75 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Modena – Palermo 2–2 (0–2) 2.383.103.10 2.30 1.60

Bari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Bari – Sudtirol 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.33 2.50 1.50
13.12.24 Pisa – Bari 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.10 1.70
07.12.24 Bari – Cesena 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.15 1.63
30.11.24 Brescia – Bari 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.70 2.10 1.70
24.11.24 Bari – Cittadella 3–2 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Salernitana – Bari 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.75
02.11.24 Bari – Reggiana 2–2 (0–0) 2.053.303.70 2.15 1.67
29.10.24 Bari – Carrarese 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.204.20 2.10 1.70
25.10.24 Spezia – Bari 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.00 2.20 1.65
18.10.24 Bari – Catanzaro 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.254.50 2.15 1.67

Palermo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Palermo – Catanzaro 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.604.20 1.98 1.88
01.12.24 Palermo – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.40 2.25 1.62
24.11.24 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.203.50 2.08 1.73
03.11.24 Palermo – Cittadella 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.504.33 2.00 1.85
26.10.24 Palermo – Reggiana 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.504.75 2.05 1.75
06.10.24 Palermo – Salernitana 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Palermo – Cesena 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.10 1.70
01.09.24 Palermo – Cosenza 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.60 2.10 1.70
05.05.24 Palermo – Ascoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.70
27.04.24 Palermo – Reggiana 1–2 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93

Bari away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.24 Pisa – Bari 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.10 1.70
30.11.24 Brescia – Bari 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.70 2.10 1.70
10.11.24 Salernitana – Bari 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.75
25.10.24 Spezia – Bari 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.00 2.20 1.65
06.10.24 Cremonese – Bari 1–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 2.05 1.80
22.09.24 Frosinone – Bari 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
31.08.24 Sampdoria – Bari 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.20 1.65
23.08.24 Modena – Bari 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.50 1.50
05.05.24 Cittadella – Bari 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.003.00 2.40 1.53
27.04.24 Cosenza – Bari 4–1 (2–1) 2.103.103.80 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Palermo winsDrawsBari wins
4matches
1.50goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.24I2 Palermo – Bari 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.05 1.80
18.08.23I2 Bari – Palermo 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.15 1.67
20.01.23I2 Palermo – Bari 1–0 (0–0) 2.902.902.55 2.35 1.57
19.08.22I2 Bari – Palermo 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.253.00 2.10 1.70

Italy Serie B table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 41 18 +23 43
2 Spezia 19 10 8 1 29 11 +18 38
3 Pisa 19 11 5 3 33 19 +14 38
4 Cremonese 19 8 5 6 25 20 +5 29
5 Juve Stabia 19 7 7 5 21 22 -1 28
6 Cesena 19 7 4 8 27 26 +1 25
7 Catanzaro 19 4 12 3 23 20 +3 24
8 Bari 18 5 9 4 20 17 +3 24
9 Modena 19 5 9 5 25 24 +1 24
10 Mantova 19 5 8 6 22 24 -2 23
11 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 15 19 -4 23
12 Brescia 19 5 7 7 23 26 -3 22
13 Palermo 18 5 6 7 18 17 +1 21
14 Cosenza 19 4 9 6 18 21 -3 21
15 Reggiana 19 5 6 8 19 23 -4 21
16 Cittadella 19 5 6 8 16 29 -13 21
17 Sampdoria 18 4 7 7 22 28 -6 19
18 Frosinone 19 4 7 8 16 26 -10 19
19 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 19 28 -9 18
20 Sudtirol 19 5 2 12 19 33 -14 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Pisa 10 7 3 0 21 8 +13 24
2 Spezia 9 7 2 0 19 5 +14 23
3 Sassuolo 9 7 1 1 23 8 +15 22
4 Cesena 10 6 2 2 19 13 +6 20
5 Carrarese 9 5 3 1 9 3 +6 18
6 Mantova 9 5 3 1 12 7 +5 18
7 Modena 9 4 3 2 14 10 +4 15
8 Catanzaro 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
9 Bari 10 3 5 2 12 11 +1 14
10 Juve Stabia 9 4 2 3 10 11 -1 14
11 Brescia 10 3 4 3 17 16 +1 13
12 Salernitana 10 3 3 4 13 14 -1 12
13 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 11 12 -1 12
14 Cremonese 9 3 3 3 8 10 -2 12
15 Frosinone 10 2 5 3 10 12 -2 11
16 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 7 9 -2 11
17 Palermo 8 2 3 3 7 6 +1 9
18 Cittadella 9 1 6 2 7 8 -1 9
19 Sampdoria 8 2 3 3 6 7 -1 9
20 Sudtirol 10 2 2 6 12 20 -8 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 18 10 +8 21
2 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 17 10 +7 17
3 Spezia 10 3 6 1 10 6 +4 15
4 Pisa 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14
5 Juve Stabia 10 3 5 2 11 11 0 14
6 Palermo 10 3 3 4 11 11 0 12
7 Cittadella 10 4 0 6 9 21 -12 12
8 Bari 8 2 4 2 8 6 +2 10
9 Cosenza 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
10 Catanzaro 9 1 7 1 9 10 -1 10
11 Sampdoria 10 2 4 4 16 21 -5 10
12 Modena 10 1 6 3 11 14 -3 9
13 Reggiana 9 2 3 4 8 11 -3 9
14 Brescia 9 2 3 4 6 10 -4 9
15 Sudtirol 9 3 0 6 7 13 -6 9
16 Frosinone 9 2 2 5 6 14 -8 8
17 Salernitana 9 1 3 5 6 14 -8 6
18 Cesena 9 1 2 6 8 13 -5 5
19 Mantova 10 0 5 5 10 17 -7 5
20 Carrarese 9 1 2 6 6 16 -10 5

Palermo   Bari

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Sudtirol 19 7 12 1.0 1.7 5 2 12 19 33 17
2 3 Pisa 19 8 11 1.7 1.0 11 5 3 33 19 38
3 5 Juve Stabia 19 8 11 1.1 1.2 7 7 5 21 22 28
4 1 Sassuolo 19 9 10 2.2 0.9 13 4 2 41 18 43
5 6 Cesena 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 7 4 8 27 26 25
6 7 Catanzaro 19 10 9 1.2 1.1 4 12 3 23 20 24
7 9 Modena 19 10 9 1.3 1.3 5 9 5 25 24 24
8 16 Cittadella 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 5 6 8 16 29 21
9 17 Sampdoria 18 9 9 1.2 1.6 4 7 7 22 28 19
10 4 Cremonese 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 8 5 6 25 20 29
11 12 Brescia 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 5 7 7 23 26 22
12 18 Frosinone 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 4 7 8 16 26 19
13 19 Salernitana 19 11 8 1.0 1.5 4 6 9 19 28 18
14 2 Spezia 19 12 7 1.5 0.6 10 8 1 29 11 38
15 10 Mantova 19 12 7 1.2 1.3 5 8 6 22 24 23
16 15 Reggiana 19 12 7 1.0 1.2 5 6 8 19 23 21
17 8 Bari 18 13 5 1.1 0.9 5 9 4 20 17 24
18 11 Carrarese 18 13 5 0.8 1.1 6 5 7 15 19 23
19 13 Palermo 18 13 5 1.0 0.9 5 6 7 18 17 21
20 14 Cosenza 19 14 5 0.9 1.1 4 9 6 18 21 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Sudtirol 10 2 8 1.2 2.0 2 2 6 12 20 8
2 3 Pisa 10 3 7 2.1 0.8 7 3 0 21 8 24
3 1 Sassuolo 9 3 6 2.6 0.9 7 1 1 23 8 22
4 7 Catanzaro 10 4 6 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
5 2 Spezia 9 4 5 2.1 0.6 7 2 0 19 5 23
6 5 Juve Stabia 9 4 5 1.1 1.2 4 2 3 10 11 14
7 6 Cesena 10 5 5 1.9 1.3 6 2 2 19 13 20
8 9 Modena 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 3 2 14 10 15
9 12 Brescia 10 5 5 1.7 1.6 3 4 3 17 16 13
10 19 Salernitana 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 4 13 14 12
11 15 Reggiana 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 3 3 4 11 12 12
12 18 Frosinone 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 5 3 10 12 11
13 8 Bari 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 3 5 2 12 11 14
14 10 Mantova 9 6 3 1.3 0.8 5 3 1 12 7 18
15 16 Cittadella 9 6 3 0.8 0.9 1 6 2 7 8 9
16 4 Cremonese 9 7 2 0.9 1.1 3 3 3 8 10 12
17 17 Sampdoria 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 2 3 3 6 7 9
18 11 Carrarese 9 8 1 1.0 0.3 5 3 1 9 3 18
19 13 Palermo 8 7 1 0.9 0.8 2 3 3 7 6 9
20 14 Cosenza 10 9 1 0.7 0.9 2 5 3 7 9 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Sampdoria 10 3 7 1.6 2.1 2 4 4 16 21 10
2 4 Cremonese 10 4 6 1.7 1.0 5 2 3 17 10 17
3 5 Juve Stabia 10 4 6 1.1 1.1 3 5 2 11 11 14
4 16 Cittadella 10 4 6 0.9 2.1 4 0 6 9 21 12
5 1 Sassuolo 10 6 4 1.8 1.0 6 3 1 18 10 21
6 3 Pisa 9 5 4 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14
7 6 Cesena 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 2 6 8 13 5
8 9 Modena 10 6 4 1.1 1.4 1 6 3 11 14 9
9 10 Mantova 10 6 4 1.0 1.7 0 5 5 10 17 5
10 11 Carrarese 9 5 4 0.7 1.8 1 2 6 6 16 5
11 13 Palermo 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 4 11 11 12
12 14 Cosenza 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
13 18 Frosinone 9 5 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 5 6 14 8
14 20 Sudtirol 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 3 0 6 7 13 9
15 7 Catanzaro 9 6 3 1.0 1.1 1 7 1 9 10 10
16 12 Brescia 9 6 3 0.7 1.1 2 3 4 6 10 9
17 15 Reggiana 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 2 3 4 8 11 9
18 19 Salernitana 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 3 5 6 14 6
19 2 Spezia 10 8 2 1.0 0.6 3 6 1 10 6 15
20 8 Bari 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 2 4 2 8 6 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51