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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Parma 2–3 Roma

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 6.25 fair 4.03
Draw 4.10 fair 3.56
Away ✓ 1.53 fair 2.12
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Parma Roma
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 6
14 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (357 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.76
Expected goals 0.88 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
ParmaDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 14.6% 1–1 12.8% 0–0 11%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Parma before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
0.71scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 25:42
Roma before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.49scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 52:29
Parma all matches all matches Roma

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.49
1.20 Goals conceded 0.83
1.91 Total goals 2.31
10.80 Shots 12.94
2.74 Shots on target 4.49
14.14 Shots faced 9.91
4.00 Corners 5.03
4.77 Corners against 3.43
10.71 Fouls 14.00
1.66 Yellow cards 1.86
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

29% Wins 57%
34% Draws 11%
37% Losses 31%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 63%
29% Over 2.5 goals 37%
14% Over 3.5 goals 17%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
40% Both teams scored 34%
34% Clean sheets 46%
43% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 43%
60% Draws 40%
26% Losses 17%
51% Over 0.5 goals 66%
20% Over 1.5 goals 23%
3% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma all matches
Roma all matches
Parma before this match, at home
1.06points / match
0.76scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:22
Roma before this match, away
1.47points / match
1.24scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:19
Parma at home away Roma

Per match

0.76 Goals scored 1.24
1.29 Goals conceded 1.12
2.06 Total goals 2.35
12.29 Shots 10.47
2.94 Shots on target 3.82
13.47 Shots faced 11.71
4.41 Corners 4.41
4.06 Corners against 4.12
10.76 Fouls 15.47
1.65 Yellow cards 2.18
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

24% Wins 47%
35% Draws 6%
41% Losses 47%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
65% Over 1.5 goals 59%
29% Over 2.5 goals 41%
18% Over 3.5 goals 18%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 41%
24% Clean sheets 35%
41% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 47%
59% Draws 29%
29% Losses 24%
53% Over 0.5 goals 76%
24% Over 1.5 goals 24%
6% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Inter – Parma 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.50 2.63
25.04.26 Parma – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.30 1.62
18.04.26 Udinese – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.003.90 2.30 1.62
12.04.26 Parma – Napoli 1–1 (1–0) 6.003.801.60 2.20 1.67
04.04.26 Lazio – Parma 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.405.00 2.20 1.67
21.03.26 Parma – Cremonese 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
13.03.26 Torino – Parma 4–1 (1–1) 2.203.003.80 2.38 1.57
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
27.02.26 Parma – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.70 2.38 1.57
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.26 Roma – Fiorentina 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.205.00 1.90 1.95
25.04.26 Bologna – Roma 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.73
18.04.26 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.90 2.00 1.80
10.04.26 Roma – Pisa 3–0 (2–0) 1.335.009.00 1.83 2.03
05.04.26 Inter – Roma 5–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.25 1.91 1.91
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Como – Roma 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
08.03.26 Genoa – Roma 2–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 2.30 1.62
01.03.26 Roma – Juventus 3–3 (1–0) 2.633.102.88 2.30 1.62
22.02.26 Roma – Cremonese 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.98 1.88

Parma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Parma – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.30 1.62
12.04.26 Parma – Napoli 1–1 (1–0) 6.003.801.60 2.20 1.67
21.03.26 Parma – Cremonese 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
27.02.26 Parma – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.70 2.38 1.57
15.02.26 Parma – Verona 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
01.02.26 Parma – Juventus 1–4 (0–2) 7.504.331.45 1.91 1.91
18.01.26 Parma – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.902.553.00 2.63 1.50
07.01.26 Parma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Parma – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.30 1.62

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Bologna – Roma 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.73
05.04.26 Inter – Roma 5–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.25 1.91 1.91
15.03.26 Como – Roma 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
08.03.26 Genoa – Roma 2–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 2.30 1.62
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
02.02.26 Udinese – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.91 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Torino – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.102.15 2.20 1.67
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
03.01.26 Atalanta – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Juventus – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Parma winsDrawsRoma wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.25I1 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
16.02.25I1 Parma – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.73 2.10
22.12.24I1 Roma – Parma 5–0 (2–0) 1.534.206.25 1.62 2.30

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 36 27 4 5 85 31 +54 85
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 52 33 +19 70
3 Juventus 36 19 11 6 59 30 +29 68
4 Milan 35 19 10 6 48 29 +19 67
5 Como 36 18 11 7 60 28 +32 65
6 Roma 35 20 4 11 52 29 +23 64
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 47 32 +15 55
8 Lazio 36 13 12 11 39 37 +2 51
9 Udinese 36 14 8 14 45 46 -1 50
10 Bologna 35 14 7 14 42 41 +1 49
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 44 46 -2 49
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 41 59 -18 44
13 Parma 35 10 12 13 25 42 -17 42
14 Genoa 36 10 11 15 40 48 -8 41
15 Fiorentina 36 8 14 14 38 49 -11 38
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 36 51 -15 37
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 24 48 -24 32
18 Cremonese 36 7 10 19 30 53 -23 31
19 Verona 36 3 11 22 24 58 -34 20
20 Pisa 36 2 12 22 25 66 -41 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 2 2 49 15 +34 44
2 Napoli 17 12 4 1 30 15 +15 40
3 Roma 18 12 3 3 31 10 +21 39
4 Juventus 18 10 7 1 35 14 +21 37
5 Como 18 9 6 3 34 15 +19 33
6 Atalanta 18 9 6 3 25 14 +11 33
7 Milan 17 9 5 3 22 16 +6 32
8 Sassuolo 18 9 2 7 23 23 0 29
9 Lazio 18 7 6 5 25 24 +1 27
10 Torino 18 8 3 7 25 27 -2 27
11 Udinese 18 6 5 7 18 20 -2 23
12 Cagliari 18 6 4 8 20 22 -2 22
13 Genoa 18 6 4 8 21 24 -3 22
14 Bologna 18 6 3 9 16 20 -4 21
15 Fiorentina 18 4 8 6 20 20 0 20
16 Parma 17 4 6 7 13 22 -9 18
17 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 24 -12 17
18 Cremonese 18 3 7 8 17 25 -8 16
19 Pisa 18 2 4 12 9 23 -14 10
20 Verona 18 1 5 12 12 26 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 13 2 3 36 16 +20 41
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 26 13 +13 35
3 Como 18 9 5 4 26 13 +13 32
4 Juventus 18 9 4 5 24 16 +8 31
5 Napoli 18 9 3 6 22 18 +4 30
6 Bologna 17 8 4 5 26 21 +5 28
7 Udinese 18 8 3 7 27 26 +1 27
8 Roma 17 8 1 8 21 19 +2 25
9 Lazio 18 6 6 6 14 13 +1 24
10 Parma 18 6 6 6 12 20 -8 24
11 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 22 18 +4 22
12 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 21 23 -2 20
13 Genoa 18 4 7 7 19 24 -5 19
14 Fiorentina 18 4 6 8 18 29 -11 18
15 Torino 18 4 5 9 16 32 -16 17
16 Lecce 18 4 3 11 12 24 -12 15
17 Cagliari 18 3 6 9 16 29 -13 15
18 Cremonese 18 4 3 11 13 28 -15 15
19 Verona 18 2 6 10 12 32 -20 12
20 Pisa 18 0 8 10 16 43 -27 8

Parma   Roma

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 36 14 22 1.1 1.6 12 8 16 41 59 44
2 1 Inter 36 16 20 2.4 0.9 27 4 5 85 31 85
3 11 Sassuolo 36 16 20 1.2 1.3 14 7 15 44 46 49
4 14 Genoa 36 17 19 1.1 1.3 10 11 15 40 48 41
5 15 Fiorentina 36 17 19 1.1 1.4 8 14 14 38 49 38
6 19 Verona 36 17 19 0.7 1.6 3 11 22 24 58 20
7 2 Napoli 35 17 18 1.5 0.9 21 7 7 52 33 70
8 20 Pisa 36 18 18 0.7 1.8 2 12 22 25 66 18
9 9 Udinese 36 19 17 1.2 1.3 14 8 14 45 46 50
10 16 Cagliari 36 19 17 1.0 1.4 9 10 17 36 51 37
11 5 Como 36 20 16 1.7 0.8 18 11 7 60 28 65
12 18 Cremonese 36 20 16 0.8 1.5 7 10 19 30 53 31
13 10 Bologna 35 20 15 1.2 1.2 14 7 14 42 41 49
14 3 Juventus 36 22 14 1.6 0.8 19 11 6 59 30 68
15 4 Milan 35 21 14 1.4 0.8 19 10 6 48 29 67
16 6 Roma 35 22 13 1.5 0.8 20 4 11 52 29 64
17 7 Atalanta 35 22 13 1.3 0.9 14 13 8 47 32 55
18 17 Lecce 36 23 13 0.7 1.3 8 8 20 24 48 32
19 8 Lazio 36 25 11 1.1 1.0 13 12 11 39 37 51
20 13 Parma 35 25 10 0.7 1.2 10 12 13 25 42 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 18 6 12 2.7 0.8 14 2 2 49 15 44
2 12 Torino 18 6 12 1.4 1.5 8 3 7 25 27 27
3 2 Napoli 17 6 11 1.8 0.9 12 4 1 30 15 40
4 11 Sassuolo 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 9 2 7 23 23 29
5 14 Genoa 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 4 8 21 24 22
6 3 Juventus 18 10 8 1.9 0.8 10 7 1 35 14 37
7 4 Milan 17 9 8 1.3 0.9 9 5 3 22 16 32
8 5 Como 18 10 8 1.9 0.8 9 6 3 34 15 33
9 8 Lazio 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 25 24 27
10 15 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.1 1.1 4 8 6 20 20 20
11 17 Lecce 18 10 8 0.7 1.3 4 5 9 12 24 17
12 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 17 25 16
13 19 Verona 18 10 8 0.7 1.4 1 5 12 12 26 8
14 7 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 0.8 9 6 3 25 14 33
15 9 Udinese 18 11 7 1.0 1.1 6 5 7 18 20 23
16 6 Roma 18 12 6 1.7 0.6 12 3 3 31 10 39
17 10 Bologna 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 3 9 16 20 21
18 16 Cagliari 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 6 4 8 20 22 22
19 20 Pisa 18 12 6 0.5 1.3 2 4 12 9 23 10
20 13 Parma 17 12 5 0.8 1.3 4 6 7 13 22 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Pisa 18 6 12 0.9 2.4 0 8 10 16 43 8
2 15 Fiorentina 18 7 11 1.0 1.6 4 6 8 18 29 18
3 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 0.9 1.6 3 6 9 16 29 15
4 19 Verona 18 7 11 0.7 1.8 2 6 10 12 32 12
5 9 Udinese 18 8 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 7 27 26 27
6 11 Sassuolo 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 23 20
7 12 Torino 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 5 9 16 32 17
8 10 Bologna 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 5 26 21 28
9 14 Genoa 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 4 7 7 19 24 19
10 1 Inter 18 10 8 2.0 0.9 13 2 3 36 16 41
11 5 Como 18 10 8 1.4 0.7 9 5 4 26 13 32
12 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 11 13 28 15
13 2 Napoli 18 11 7 1.2 1.0 9 3 6 22 18 30
14 6 Roma 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 8 1 8 21 19 25
15 3 Juventus 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 9 4 5 24 16 31
16 4 Milan 18 12 6 1.4 0.7 10 5 3 26 13 35
17 7 Atalanta 17 11 6 1.3 1.1 5 7 5 22 18 22
18 13 Parma 18 13 5 0.7 1.1 6 6 6 12 20 24
19 17 Lecce 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 11 12 24 15
20 8 Lazio 18 15 3 0.8 0.7 6 6 6 14 13 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40