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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Inter 4–0 Atalanta

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.70
Draw 4.00 fair 4.58
Away 5.50 fair 5.16
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Inter Atalanta
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 1
10 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (259 league matches this season so far).
Result Inter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
InterDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Inter before this match, all matches
2.64points / match
2.52scored / match
0.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 63:12
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.84points / match
1.92scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 48:24
Inter all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

2.52 Goals scored 1.92
0.48 Goals conceded 0.96
3.00 Total goals 2.88
15.72 Shots 14.68
5.52 Shots on target 5.72
9.92 Shots faced 11.68
6.48 Corners 5.76
3.60 Corners against 4.20
11.08 Fouls 12.64
1.32 Yellow cards 2.04
1.16 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

84% Wins 56%
12% Draws 16%
4% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
84% Over 1.5 goals 84%
56% Over 2.5 goals 56%
36% Over 3.5 goals 28%
12% Over 4.5 goals 24%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 48%
64% Clean sheets 44%
0% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

72% Wins 36%
24% Draws 32%
4% Losses 32%
84% Over 0.5 goals 80%
36% Over 1.5 goals 44%
16% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inter all matches
Atalanta all matches
Inter before this match, at home
2.58points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 30:6
Atalanta before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:16
Inter at home away Atalanta

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 1.33
3.00 Total goals 2.83
18.08 Shots 11.92
6.08 Shots on target 4.17
8.83 Shots faced 12.75
8.25 Corners 4.67
2.33 Corners against 4.58
10.75 Fouls 14.08
1.00 Yellow cards 2.58
1.42 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.08 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

83% Wins 33%
8% Draws 25%
8% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
42% Over 3.5 goals 25%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 58%
67% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

92% Wins 25%
8% Draws 33%
0% Losses 42%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inter at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.73 2.08
16.02.24 Inter – Salernitana 4–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.44 2.70
10.02.24 Roma – Inter 2–4 (2–1) 4.203.501.91 2.15 1.67
04.02.24 Inter – Juventus 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.65
28.01.24 Fiorentina – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.97 1.93
13.01.24 Monza – Inter 1–5 (0–2) 7.004.001.50 1.88 2.02
06.01.24 Inter – Verona 2–1 (1–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 Genoa – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.30 1.60
23.12.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Lazio – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 2.05 1.85

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.48 2.60
11.02.24 Genoa – Atalanta 1–4 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.20 1.65
04.02.24 Atalanta – Lazio 3–1 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.15 1.67
27.01.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.73 2.08
15.01.24 Atalanta – Frosinone 5–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.25
07.01.24 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
23.12.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.70
18.12.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 4–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35

Inter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.02.24 Inter – Salernitana 4–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.44 2.70
04.02.24 Inter – Juventus 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.65
06.01.24 Inter – Verona 2–1 (1–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.65 2.20
09.12.23 Inter – Udinese 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.509.00 1.57 2.35
12.11.23 Inter – Frosinone 2–0 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Inter – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 2.03 1.87
07.10.23 Inter – Bologna 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.507.50 1.60 2.30
27.09.23 Inter – Sassuolo 1–2 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Genoa – Atalanta 1–4 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.20 1.65
07.01.24 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
23.12.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.70
04.12.23 Torino – Atalanta 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.45 2.20 1.65
12.11.23 Udinese – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 1.99 1.91
30.10.23 Empoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.751.67 1.75 2.05
08.10.23 Lazio – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.87
27.09.23 Verona – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.751.83 1.96 1.94
17.09.23 Fiorentina – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Inter winsDrawsAtalanta wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23I1 Atalanta – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.502.15 1.83 2.07
27.05.23I1 Inter – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.804.00 1.73 2.10
13.11.22I1 Atalanta – Inter 2–3 (1–1) 3.103.752.20 1.72 2.10
16.01.22I1 Atalanta – Inter 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.752.30 1.61 2.30
25.09.21I1 Inter – Atalanta 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.753.80 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 25 21 3 1 63 12 +51 66
2 Juventus 26 17 6 3 41 19 +22 57
3 Milan 26 16 5 5 50 32 +18 53
4 Bologna 26 13 9 4 39 23 +16 48
5 Atalanta 25 14 4 7 48 24 +24 46
6 Roma 26 13 5 8 48 32 +16 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 5 9 39 30 +9 41
8 Napoli 26 11 7 8 40 30 +10 40
9 Lazio 26 12 4 10 32 28 +4 40
10 Torino 26 9 9 8 25 25 0 36
11 Monza 26 9 9 8 27 30 -3 36
12 Genoa 26 8 9 9 28 31 -3 33
13 Empoli 26 6 7 13 22 40 -18 25
14 Lecce 26 5 9 12 24 43 -19 24
15 Udinese 26 3 14 9 25 40 -15 23
16 Frosinone 26 6 5 15 34 55 -21 23
17 Verona 26 4 8 14 23 36 -13 20
18 Sassuolo 26 5 5 16 32 54 -22 20
19 Cagliari 26 4 8 14 24 47 -23 20
20 Salernitana 26 2 7 17 20 53 -33 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bologna 14 11 2 1 26 7 +19 35
2 Inter 12 10 1 1 30 6 +24 31
3 Atalanta 13 10 1 2 30 8 +22 31
4 Roma 14 9 3 2 33 15 +18 30
5 Juventus 13 9 3 1 20 8 +12 30
6 Milan 13 9 2 2 22 8 +14 29
7 Fiorentina 13 8 2 3 24 13 +11 26
8 Torino 13 6 5 2 14 8 +6 23
9 Lazio 12 6 3 3 13 9 +4 21
10 Monza 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20
11 Genoa 13 5 5 3 17 16 +1 20
12 Frosinone 13 6 2 5 22 22 0 20
13 Lecce 13 5 4 4 15 21 -6 19
14 Napoli 12 5 3 4 17 16 +1 18
15 Cagliari 13 4 4 5 16 22 -6 16
16 Verona 12 3 5 4 14 16 -2 14
17 Sassuolo 13 3 3 7 17 25 -8 12
18 Udinese 13 1 8 4 16 20 -4 11
19 Empoli 13 2 4 7 9 18 -9 10
20 Salernitana 14 1 4 9 13 29 -16 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 11 2 0 33 6 +27 35
2 Juventus 13 8 3 2 21 11 +10 27
3 Milan 13 7 3 3 28 24 +4 24
4 Napoli 14 6 4 4 23 14 +9 22
5 Lazio 14 6 1 7 19 19 0 19
6 Monza 13 4 4 5 11 17 -6 16
7 Atalanta 12 4 3 5 18 16 +2 15
8 Fiorentina 13 4 3 6 15 17 -2 15
9 Empoli 13 4 3 6 13 22 -9 15
10 Roma 12 4 2 6 15 17 -2 14
11 Bologna 12 2 7 3 13 16 -3 13
12 Genoa 13 3 4 6 11 15 -4 13
13 Torino 13 3 4 6 11 17 -6 13
14 Udinese 13 2 6 5 9 20 -11 12
15 Sassuolo 13 2 2 9 15 29 -14 8
16 Verona 14 1 3 10 9 20 -11 6
17 Salernitana 12 1 3 8 7 24 -17 6
18 Lecce 13 0 5 8 9 22 -13 5
19 Cagliari 13 0 4 9 8 25 -17 4
20 Frosinone 13 0 3 10 12 33 -21 3

Inter   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 26 7 19 1.3 2.1 6 5 15 34 55 23
2 20 Salernitana 26 9 17 0.8 2.0 2 7 17 20 53 13
3 3 Milan 26 10 16 1.9 1.2 16 5 5 50 32 53
4 6 Roma 26 10 16 1.8 1.2 13 5 8 48 32 44
5 18 Sassuolo 26 10 16 1.2 2.1 5 5 16 32 54 20
6 8 Napoli 26 11 15 1.5 1.2 11 7 8 40 30 40
7 19 Cagliari 26 11 15 0.9 1.8 4 8 14 24 47 20
8 1 Inter 25 11 14 2.5 0.5 21 3 1 63 12 66
9 5 Atalanta 25 11 14 1.9 1.0 14 4 7 48 24 46
10 4 Bologna 26 14 12 1.5 0.9 13 9 4 39 23 48
11 7 Fiorentina 26 14 12 1.5 1.2 12 5 9 39 30 41
12 14 Lecce 26 14 12 0.9 1.7 5 9 12 24 43 24
13 17 Verona 26 14 12 0.9 1.4 4 8 14 23 36 20
14 2 Juventus 26 15 11 1.6 0.7 17 6 3 41 19 57
15 9 Lazio 26 15 11 1.2 1.1 12 4 10 32 28 40
16 15 Udinese 26 15 11 1.0 1.5 3 14 9 25 40 23
17 12 Genoa 26 16 10 1.1 1.2 8 9 9 28 31 33
18 13 Empoli 26 16 10 0.8 1.5 6 7 13 22 40 25
19 11 Monza 26 17 9 1.0 1.2 9 9 8 27 30 36
20 10 Torino 26 18 8 1.0 1.0 9 9 8 25 25 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 13 2 11 1.7 1.7 6 2 5 22 22 20
2 20 Salernitana 14 4 10 0.9 2.1 1 4 9 13 29 7
3 6 Roma 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 9 3 2 33 15 30
4 5 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.3 0.6 10 1 2 30 8 31
5 7 Fiorentina 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 8 2 3 24 13 26
6 8 Napoli 12 4 8 1.4 1.3 5 3 4 17 16 18
7 19 Cagliari 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 4 4 5 16 22 16
8 1 Inter 12 5 7 2.5 0.5 10 1 1 30 6 31
9 14 Lecce 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 5 4 4 15 21 19
10 15 Udinese 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 1 8 4 16 20 11
11 18 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.3 1.9 3 3 7 17 25 12
12 17 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 5 4 14 16 14
13 3 Milan 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 9 2 2 22 8 29
14 4 Bologna 14 9 5 1.9 0.5 11 2 1 26 7 35
15 12 Genoa 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 5 5 3 17 16 20
16 2 Juventus 13 9 4 1.5 0.6 9 3 1 20 8 30
17 10 Torino 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 6 5 2 14 8 23
18 11 Monza 13 9 4 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20
19 13 Empoli 13 9 4 0.7 1.4 2 4 7 9 18 10
20 9 Lazio 12 9 3 1.1 0.8 6 3 3 13 9 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 13 2 11 2.2 1.8 7 3 3 28 24 24
2 18 Sassuolo 13 4 9 1.2 2.2 2 2 9 15 29 8
3 9 Lazio 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 6 1 7 19 19 19
4 16 Frosinone 13 5 8 0.9 2.5 0 3 10 12 33 3
5 1 Inter 13 6 7 2.5 0.5 11 2 0 33 6 35
6 2 Juventus 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 8 3 2 21 11 27
7 4 Bologna 12 5 7 1.1 1.3 2 7 3 13 16 13
8 6 Roma 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 15 17 14
9 8 Napoli 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 6 4 4 23 14 22
10 19 Cagliari 13 6 7 0.6 1.9 0 4 9 8 25 4
11 20 Salernitana 12 5 7 0.6 2.0 1 3 8 7 24 6
12 5 Atalanta 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 4 3 5 18 16 15
13 13 Empoli 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 6 13 22 15
14 17 Verona 14 8 6 0.6 1.4 1 3 10 9 20 6
15 11 Monza 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 4 4 5 11 17 16
16 12 Genoa 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 6 11 15 13
17 14 Lecce 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 0 5 8 9 22 5
18 7 Fiorentina 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 15 17 15
19 10 Torino 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 3 4 6 11 17 13
20 15 Udinese 13 9 4 0.7 1.5 2 6 5 9 20 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51