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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Bayern Munich 3–2 St Pauli

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.14 fair 1.51
Draw 8.00 fair 5.22
Away 15.00 fair 6.78
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bayern Munich St Pauli
19 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
13 Fouls 4
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 2.19 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
Bayern MunichDrawSt Pauli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.6% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.38points / match
2.88scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 75:24
St Pauli before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.77scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 20:30
Bayern Munich all matches all matches St Pauli

Per match

2.88 Goals scored 0.77
0.92 Goals conceded 1.15
3.81 Total goals 1.92
18.62 Shots 10.92
7.88 Shots on target 3.12
6.19 Shots faced 11.12
6.96 Corners 4.27
2.19 Corners against 4.92
8.69 Fouls 10.46
1.54 Yellow cards 1.46
1.23 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

73% Wins 27%
19% Draws 15%
8% Losses 58%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
88% Over 1.5 goals 65%
73% Over 2.5 goals 27%
54% Over 3.5 goals 8%
42% Over 4.5 goals 0%
19% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 23%
46% Clean sheets 31%
4% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 31%
35% Draws 35%
8% Losses 35%
77% Over 0.5 goals 65%
46% Over 1.5 goals 19%
23% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bayern Munich all matches
St Pauli all matches
Bayern Munich before this match, at home
2.62points / match
3.31scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 43:12
St Pauli before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.92scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:16
Bayern Munich at home away St Pauli

Per match

3.31 Goals scored 0.92
0.92 Goals conceded 1.23
4.23 Total goals 2.15
21.23 Shots 10.54
9.08 Shots on target 3.08
5.38 Shots faced 13.08
7.31 Corners 3.92
1.77 Corners against 6.00
7.92 Fouls 11.38
1.08 Yellow cards 1.92
1.38 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

85% Wins 31%
8% Draws 8%
8% Losses 62%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 77%
85% Over 2.5 goals 31%
62% Over 3.5 goals 8%
46% Over 4.5 goals 0%
23% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 31%
54% Clean sheets 31%
0% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

69% Wins 38%
31% Draws 23%
0% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
54% Over 1.5 goals 31%
31% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bayern Munich at home
St Pauli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 1–1 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.57 2.38
08.03.25 Bayern Munich – Bochum 2–3 (2–1) 1.119.5019.00 1.29 3.75
28.02.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 4.754.201.65 1.53 2.50
23.02.25 Bayern Munich – Ein Frankfurt 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.507.50 1.33 3.40
15.02.25 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.702.25 1.67 2.20
07.02.25 Bayern Munich – Werder Bremen 3–0 (0–0) 1.1011.0017.00 1.20 4.50
01.02.25 Bayern Munich – Holstein Kiel 4–3 (2–0) 1.0517.0026.00 1.14 5.50
25.01.25 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 3–2 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.30 3.50
15.01.25 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–0 (3–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
08.03.25 Wolfsburg – St Pauli 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.505.00 1.85 1.93
01.03.25 St Pauli – Dortmund 0–2 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.80 2.00
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
15.02.25 St Pauli – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.20 1.67
09.02.25 RB Leipzig – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 St Pauli – Augsburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.20 1.67
26.01.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 3–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Heidenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.502.80 1.97 1.93
15.01.25 Bochum – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.75 2.00 1.80

Bayern Munich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Bayern Munich – Bochum 2–3 (2–1) 1.119.5019.00 1.29 3.75
23.02.25 Bayern Munich – Ein Frankfurt 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.507.50 1.33 3.40
07.02.25 Bayern Munich – Werder Bremen 3–0 (0–0) 1.1011.0017.00 1.20 4.50
01.02.25 Bayern Munich – Holstein Kiel 4–3 (2–0) 1.0517.0026.00 1.14 5.50
18.01.25 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 3–2 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.30 3.50
15.01.25 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–0 (3–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 (3–1) 1.207.5011.00 1.29 3.75
07.12.24 Bayern Munich – Heidenheim 4–2 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.25 3.75
22.11.24 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.29 3.75
02.11.24 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75

St Pauli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Wolfsburg – St Pauli 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.505.00 1.85 1.93
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
09.02.25 RB Leipzig – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
18.01.25 Heidenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.502.80 1.97 1.93
15.01.25 Bochum – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.75 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 Stuttgart – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 1.454.756.50 1.67 2.20
07.12.24 Leverkusen – St Pauli 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
24.11.24 M'gladbach – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
02.11.24 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.804.00 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Dortmund – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bayern Munich winsDrawsSt Pauli wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24D1 St Pauli – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–1) 9.007.001.25 1.40 3.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 5 2 75 24 +51 62
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 +28 59
3 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 +16 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 6 7 54 40 +14 45
5 RB Leipzig 26 11 9 6 41 33 +8 42
6 Freiburg 26 12 6 8 36 38 -2 42
7 M'gladbach 26 12 4 10 43 40 +3 40
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 8 8 49 40 +9 38
9 Augsburg 26 10 8 8 29 35 -6 38
10 Stuttgart 26 10 7 9 47 43 +4 37
11 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 +4 35
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 6 11 40 53 -13 33
13 Union Berlin 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27
14 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
17 Heidenheim 26 5 4 17 31 52 -21 19
18 Holstein Kiel 26 4 5 17 38 64 -26 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 13 11 1 1 43 12 +31 34
2 Leverkusen 14 9 3 2 32 18 +14 30
3 Freiburg 12 8 2 2 24 13 +11 26
4 RB Leipzig 13 7 4 2 24 15 +9 25
5 Dortmund 13 7 3 3 31 16 +15 24
6 Ein Frankfurt 13 7 3 3 31 20 +11 24
7 Mainz 13 6 4 3 18 12 +6 22
8 Augsburg 13 6 4 3 15 12 +3 22
9 Stuttgart 14 6 2 6 30 24 +6 20
10 M'gladbach 13 6 2 5 23 19 +4 20
11 Union Berlin 13 4 4 5 11 14 -3 16
12 Wolfsburg 13 3 6 4 23 23 0 15
13 Hoffenheim 13 3 4 6 20 28 -8 13
14 Werder Bremen 13 3 4 6 18 26 -8 13
15 St Pauli 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
16 Bochum 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
17 Holstein Kiel 13 3 2 8 18 31 -13 11
18 Heidenheim 13 3 1 9 12 24 -12 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 13 8 5 0 30 16 +14 29
2 Bayern Munich 13 8 4 1 32 12 +20 28
3 Mainz 13 7 2 4 26 16 +10 23
4 Wolfsburg 13 7 2 4 26 17 +9 23
5 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 3 4 23 20 +3 21
6 M'gladbach 13 6 2 5 20 21 -1 20
7 Werder Bremen 13 6 2 5 22 27 -5 20
8 RB Leipzig 13 4 5 4 17 18 -1 17
9 Stuttgart 12 4 5 3 17 19 -2 17
10 Augsburg 13 4 4 5 14 23 -9 16
11 Freiburg 14 4 4 6 12 25 -13 16
12 St Pauli 13 4 1 8 12 16 -4 13
13 Hoffenheim 13 3 4 6 12 20 -8 13
14 Dortmund 13 3 2 8 14 25 -11 11
15 Union Berlin 13 3 2 8 12 25 -13 11
16 Heidenheim 13 2 3 8 19 28 -9 9
17 Bochum 14 2 2 10 15 33 -18 8
18 Holstein Kiel 13 1 3 9 20 33 -13 6

Bayern Munich   St Pauli

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 26 6 20 1.5 2.5 4 5 17 38 64 17
2 1 Bayern Munich 26 7 19 2.9 0.9 19 5 2 75 24 62
3 10 Stuttgart 26 7 19 1.8 1.7 10 7 9 47 43 37
4 2 Leverkusen 27 9 18 2.3 1.3 17 8 2 62 34 59
5 4 Ein Frankfurt 26 8 18 2.1 1.5 13 6 7 54 40 45
6 12 Werder Bremen 26 8 18 1.5 2.0 9 6 11 40 53 33
7 7 M'gladbach 26 9 17 1.7 1.5 12 4 10 43 40 40
8 6 Freiburg 26 10 16 1.4 1.5 12 6 8 36 38 42
9 8 Wolfsburg 26 10 16 1.9 1.5 10 8 8 49 40 38
10 11 Dortmund 26 10 16 1.7 1.6 10 5 11 45 41 35
11 17 Heidenheim 26 11 15 1.2 2.0 5 4 17 31 52 19
12 5 RB Leipzig 26 12 14 1.6 1.3 11 9 6 41 33 42
13 14 Hoffenheim 26 12 14 1.2 1.8 6 8 12 32 48 26
14 3 Mainz 26 13 13 1.7 1.1 13 6 7 44 28 45
15 9 Augsburg 26 13 13 1.1 1.3 10 8 8 29 35 38
16 16 Bochum 27 14 13 1.0 2.0 5 5 17 28 55 20
17 13 Union Berlin 26 14 12 0.9 1.5 7 6 13 23 39 27
18 15 St Pauli 26 19 7 0.8 1.2 7 4 15 20 30 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 13 2 11 3.3 0.9 11 1 1 43 12 34
2 10 Stuttgart 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 6 2 6 30 24 20
3 2 Leverkusen 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 9 3 2 32 18 30
4 4 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 2.4 1.5 7 3 3 31 20 24
5 6 Freiburg 12 3 9 2.0 1.1 8 2 2 24 13 26
6 11 Dortmund 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 7 3 3 31 16 24
7 12 Werder Bremen 13 4 9 1.4 2.0 3 4 6 18 26 13
8 5 RB Leipzig 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 4 2 24 15 25
9 7 M'gladbach 13 5 8 1.8 1.5 6 2 5 23 19 20
10 8 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 1.8 1.8 3 6 4 23 23 15
11 14 Hoffenheim 13 5 8 1.5 2.2 3 4 6 20 28 13
12 17 Heidenheim 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 3 1 9 12 24 10
13 18 Holstein Kiel 13 5 8 1.4 2.4 3 2 8 18 31 11
14 9 Augsburg 13 7 6 1.2 0.9 6 4 3 15 12 22
15 13 Union Berlin 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 4 4 5 11 14 16
16 16 Bochum 13 8 5 1.0 1.7 3 3 7 13 22 12
17 3 Mainz 13 9 4 1.4 0.9 6 4 3 18 12 22
18 15 St Pauli 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 3 7 8 14 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 13 1 12 1.5 2.5 1 3 9 20 33 6
2 3 Mainz 13 4 9 2.0 1.2 7 2 4 26 16 23
3 4 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 23 20 21
4 7 M'gladbach 13 4 9 1.5 1.6 6 2 5 20 21 20
5 12 Werder Bremen 13 4 9 1.7 2.1 6 2 5 22 27 20
6 1 Bayern Munich 13 5 8 2.5 0.9 8 4 1 32 12 28
7 2 Leverkusen 13 5 8 2.3 1.2 8 5 0 30 16 29
8 8 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 2.0 1.3 7 2 4 26 17 23
9 10 Stuttgart 12 4 8 1.4 1.6 4 5 3 17 19 17
10 16 Bochum 14 6 8 1.1 2.4 2 2 10 15 33 8
11 6 Freiburg 14 7 7 0.9 1.8 4 4 6 12 25 16
12 9 Augsburg 13 6 7 1.1 1.8 4 4 5 14 23 16
13 11 Dortmund 13 6 7 1.1 1.9 3 2 8 14 25 11
14 13 Union Berlin 13 6 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 8 12 25 11
15 17 Heidenheim 13 6 7 1.5 2.2 2 3 8 19 28 9
16 5 RB Leipzig 13 7 6 1.3 1.4 4 5 4 17 18 17
17 14 Hoffenheim 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 20 13
18 15 St Pauli 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 1 8 12 16 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06