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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Bayern Munich 4–3 Holstein Kiel

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.05 fair 1.32
Draw 17.00 fair 7.43
Away 26.00 fair 9.04
Under 2.5 5.50 fair 4.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.14 fair 1.25

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bayern Munich Holstein Kiel
29 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 6
12 Corners 1
7 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (172 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 3.10 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
Bayern MunichDrawHolstein Kiel
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
3–1 8.1% 2–1 7.9% 3–0 6.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.53points / match
3.05scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 58:16
Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
1.47scored / match
2.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:48
Bayern Munich all matches all matches Holstein Kiel

Per match

3.05 Goals scored 1.47
0.84 Goals conceded 2.53
3.89 Total goals 4.00
19.16 Shots 10.63
8.00 Shots on target 4.32
5.26 Shots faced 16.16
6.89 Corners 3.53
2.00 Corners against 6.58
8.47 Fouls 12.58
1.53 Yellow cards 2.47
1.37 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 1.47

How often Full Time

79% Wins 16%
16% Draws 16%
5% Losses 68%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 95%
74% Over 2.5 goals 79%
53% Over 3.5 goals 63%
47% Over 4.5 goals 37%
21% Over 5.5 goals 21%
53% Both teams scored 74%
47% Clean sheets 5%
0% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 21%
26% Draws 5%
11% Losses 74%
84% Over 0.5 goals 100%
47% Over 1.5 goals 63%
26% Over 2.5 goals 32%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bayern Munich all matches
Holstein Kiel all matches
Bayern Munich before this match, at home
2.78points / match
3.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 30:6
Holstein Kiel before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.56scored / match
2.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:23
Bayern Munich at home away Holstein Kiel

Per match

3.33 Goals scored 1.56
0.67 Goals conceded 2.56
4.00 Total goals 4.11
21.44 Shots 10.78
8.56 Shots on target 4.11
4.78 Shots faced 16.89
7.22 Corners 3.56
1.78 Corners against 7.00
8.00 Fouls 12.78
1.22 Yellow cards 3.00
1.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.56

How often Full Time

89% Wins 0%
11% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
78% Over 2.5 goals 100%
56% Over 3.5 goals 78%
44% Over 4.5 goals 33%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 100%
56% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 11%
33% Draws 0%
0% Losses 89%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 56%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bayern Munich at home
Holstein Kiel away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 3–2 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.30 3.50
15.01.25 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–0 (3–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
11.01.25 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–0) 7.005.001.40 1.36 3.20
20.12.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 (3–1) 1.207.5011.00 1.29 3.75
14.12.24 Mainz – Bayern Munich 2–1 (1–0) 6.504.501.48 1.53 2.50
07.12.24 Bayern Munich – Heidenheim 4–2 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.25 3.75
30.11.24 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.101.67 1.40 3.00
22.11.24 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.29 3.75
09.11.24 St Pauli – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–1) 9.007.001.25 1.40 3.00

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Wolfsburg – Holstein Kiel 2–2 (0–1) 1.425.007.00 1.53 2.50
18.01.25 Holstein Kiel – Hoffenheim 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.402.35 1.67 2.20
14.01.25 Holstein Kiel – Dortmund 4–2 (3–0) 5.254.501.55 1.44 2.75
11.01.25 Freiburg – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 Holstein Kiel – Augsburg 5–1 (4–1) 3.003.402.35 1.97 1.93
14.12.24 M'gladbach – Holstein Kiel 4–1 (3–1) 1.444.756.50 1.50 2.63
07.12.24 Holstein Kiel – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.201.57 1.49 2.45
29.11.24 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.25 1.95 1.95
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Werder Bremen – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.334.75 1.53 2.50

Bayern Munich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 3–2 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.30 3.50
15.01.25 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–0 (3–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 (3–1) 1.207.5011.00 1.29 3.75
07.12.24 Bayern Munich – Heidenheim 4–2 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.25 3.75
22.11.24 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.29 3.75
02.11.24 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
19.10.24 Bayern Munich – Stuttgart 4–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.30 3.50
28.09.24 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 1–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.30 3.50
01.09.24 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
12.05.24 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 2–0 (2–0) 1.336.007.50 1.36 3.20

Holstein Kiel away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Wolfsburg – Holstein Kiel 2–2 (0–1) 1.425.007.00 1.53 2.50
11.01.25 Freiburg – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.57 2.38
14.12.24 M'gladbach – Holstein Kiel 4–1 (3–1) 1.444.756.50 1.50 2.63
29.11.24 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.25 1.95 1.95
09.11.24 Werder Bremen – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.334.75 1.53 2.50
26.10.24 Stuttgart – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (1–0) 1.227.509.50 1.30 3.50
05.10.24 Leverkusen – Holstein Kiel 2–2 (2–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
21.09.24 Bochum – Holstein Kiel 2–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.00 1.62 2.30
24.08.24 Hoffenheim – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.53 2.50
19.05.24D2 Hannover – Holstein Kiel 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.602.88 1.48 2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bayern Munich winsDrawsHolstein Kiel wins
1matches
7.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24D1 Holstein Kiel – Bayern Munich 1–6 (0–4) 11.007.001.22 1.29 3.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 19 15 3 1 58 16 +42 48 LWWWWW
2 Leverkusen 19 12 6 1 46 26 +20 42 WWWWWD
3 Ein Frankfurt 19 11 4 4 44 26 +18 37 LLWWWD
4 Stuttgart 19 9 5 5 36 28 +8 32 WLWWWL
5 RB Leipzig 19 9 5 5 34 29 +5 32 WLWLDD
6 Mainz 20 9 4 7 33 24 +9 31 WWLLWL
7 Werder Bremen 20 8 6 6 34 36 -2 30 WLDLDW
8 Wolfsburg 19 8 4 7 42 34 +8 28 LLWWLD
9 M'gladbach 19 8 3 8 30 29 +1 27 WWLLLW
10 Freiburg 19 8 3 8 26 36 -10 27 WLWLLL
11 Dortmund 19 7 5 7 34 33 +1 26 DWLLLD
12 Augsburg 19 7 4 8 23 34 -11 25 LLLWWW
13 St Pauli 19 6 2 11 17 21 -4 20 LWLLWW
14 Union Berlin 19 5 4 10 15 28 -13 19 LLLLWL
15 Hoffenheim 19 4 6 9 25 37 -12 18 DLLLWD
16 Heidenheim 19 4 2 13 24 40 -16 14 LLWDLL
17 Holstein Kiel 19 3 3 13 28 48 -20 12 LWLWLD
18 Bochum 19 3 3 13 18 42 -24 12 WWLWDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 30 6 +24 25 WWWWWW
2 Leverkusen 10 7 2 1 26 14 +12 23 DWWWWW
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 24 13 +11 21 WWDDLD
4 Ein Frankfurt 9 6 2 1 25 12 +13 20 WWDLWW
5 Stuttgart 10 6 2 2 24 13 +11 20 LWWLWW
6 M'gladbach 10 6 1 3 21 12 +9 19 WWDWLW
7 Freiburg 9 6 1 2 18 13 +5 19 WDWWWL
8 RB Leipzig 9 5 3 1 17 11 +6 18 WDLWWD
9 Mainz 10 5 2 3 14 10 +4 17 DWWWWW
10 Augsburg 10 5 2 3 14 12 +2 17 WDWLLW
11 Union Berlin 9 4 2 3 9 10 -1 14 DDLLLW
12 Werder Bremen 10 3 4 3 14 17 -3 13 WDWDLW
13 Wolfsburg 10 3 3 4 21 21 0 12 DWWLWD
14 Hoffenheim 10 3 2 5 18 22 -4 11 LWDLLD
15 Bochum 9 2 3 4 10 17 -7 9 LDLWWD
16 Holstein Kiel 10 3 0 7 14 25 -11 9 WLLWWL
17 St Pauli 9 2 2 5 6 10 -4 8 DLWLLW
18 Heidenheim 9 2 1 6 8 16 -8 7 DLLLWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 28 10 +18 23 WWDLWW
2 Leverkusen 9 5 4 0 20 12 +8 19 DDWWWD
3 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 19 14 +5 17 DWWLWD
4 Werder Bremen 10 5 2 3 20 19 +1 17 LLWWLD
5 Wolfsburg 9 5 1 3 21 13 +8 16 DWWLWL
6 Mainz 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14 WLWLLL
7 RB Leipzig 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14 LLWLLD
8 St Pauli 10 4 0 6 11 11 0 12 WLLWLW
9 Stuttgart 9 3 3 3 12 15 -3 12 LDDWWL
10 M'gladbach 9 2 2 5 9 17 -8 8 DDLWLL
11 Augsburg 9 2 2 5 9 22 -13 8 DLDLWW
12 Freiburg 10 2 2 6 8 23 -15 8 DLDLLL
13 Heidenheim 10 2 1 7 16 24 -8 7 LLLLDL
14 Hoffenheim 9 1 4 4 7 15 -8 7 DDLDLW
15 Dortmund 9 1 2 6 10 20 -10 5 LLDWLL
16 Union Berlin 10 1 2 7 6 18 -12 5 LLLLLL
17 Holstein Kiel 9 0 3 6 14 23 -9 3 LLLLLD
18 Bochum 10 1 0 9 8 25 -17 3 LLLWLL

Bayern Munich   Holstein Kiel

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Holstein Kiel 19 4 15 1.5 2.5 3 3 13 28 48 12 OOOOOO
2 1 Bayern Munich 19 5 14 3.1 0.8 15 3 1 58 16 48 OOUOOO
3 2 Leverkusen 19 5 14 2.4 1.4 12 6 1 46 26 42 UOOUOO
4 8 Wolfsburg 19 5 14 2.2 1.8 8 4 7 42 34 28 OOUOOO
5 10 Freiburg 19 5 14 1.4 1.9 8 3 8 26 36 27 OOOOOO
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 19 6 13 2.3 1.4 11 4 4 44 26 37 OOUOUO
7 4 Stuttgart 19 6 13 1.9 1.5 9 5 5 36 28 32 OUUOOU
8 7 Werder Bremen 20 7 13 1.7 1.8 8 6 6 34 36 30 OOOUOU
9 11 Dortmund 19 6 13 1.8 1.7 7 5 7 34 33 26 UOOOUO
10 5 RB Leipzig 19 7 12 1.8 1.5 9 5 5 34 29 32 OOOOOO
11 12 Augsburg 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 7 4 8 23 34 25 UOUUUO
12 9 M'gladbach 19 8 11 1.6 1.5 8 3 8 30 29 27 OOUOOO
13 15 Hoffenheim 19 8 11 1.3 1.9 4 6 9 25 37 18 UOUOOO
14 16 Heidenheim 19 8 11 1.3 2.1 4 2 13 24 40 14 OUUOUO
15 6 Mainz 20 10 10 1.6 1.2 9 4 7 33 24 31 OUUOUU
16 18 Bochum 19 10 9 0.9 2.2 3 3 13 18 42 12 UUUUOO
17 14 Union Berlin 19 11 8 0.8 1.5 5 4 10 15 28 19 UOUUOO
18 13 St Pauli 19 12 7 0.9 1.1 6 2 11 17 21 20 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Leverkusen 10 2 8 2.6 1.4 7 2 1 26 14 23 UOOOUO
2 8 Wolfsburg 10 2 8 2.1 2.1 3 3 4 21 21 12 UUOOOO
3 10 Freiburg 9 1 8 2.0 1.4 6 1 2 18 13 19 OUOOOO
4 1 Bayern Munich 9 2 7 3.3 0.7 8 1 0 30 6 25 OOOOOO
5 4 Stuttgart 10 3 7 2.4 1.3 6 2 2 24 13 20 OUOUOO
6 11 Dortmund 10 3 7 2.4 1.3 6 3 1 24 13 21 OOUUOO
7 15 Hoffenheim 10 3 7 1.8 2.2 3 2 5 18 22 11 UOUOUO
8 3 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 6 2.8 1.3 6 2 1 25 12 20 OUOOOU
9 5 RB Leipzig 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 5 3 1 17 11 18 OUOOOO
10 7 Werder Bremen 10 4 6 1.4 1.7 3 4 3 14 17 13 OOOOUU
11 9 M'gladbach 10 4 6 2.1 1.2 6 1 3 21 12 19 OUUOUO
12 12 Augsburg 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 5 2 3 14 12 17 OUUUUO
13 17 Holstein Kiel 10 4 6 1.4 2.5 3 0 7 14 25 9 UOUOOO
14 16 Heidenheim 9 4 5 0.9 1.8 2 1 6 8 16 7 UOOOUU
15 14 Union Berlin 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 4 2 3 9 10 14 UUOUUO
16 18 Bochum 9 5 4 1.1 1.9 2 3 4 10 17 9 OUUUUO
17 6 Mainz 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 5 2 3 14 10 17 UOUOUU
18 13 St Pauli 9 6 3 0.7 1.1 2 2 5 6 10 8 UUOUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Holstein Kiel 9 0 9 1.6 2.6 0 3 6 14 23 3 OOOOOO
2 1 Bayern Munich 10 3 7 2.8 1.0 7 2 1 28 10 23 OUUOUO
3 3 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 7 1.9 1.4 5 2 3 19 14 17 UOOOUO
4 6 Mainz 10 3 7 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14 OOOUOU
5 7 Werder Bremen 10 3 7 2.0 1.9 5 2 3 20 19 17 OUUUOO
6 2 Leverkusen 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 4 0 20 12 19 OUOUOO
7 4 Stuttgart 9 3 6 1.3 1.7 3 3 3 12 15 12 OUOOUU
8 5 RB Leipzig 10 4 6 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14 OOUOOO
9 8 Wolfsburg 9 3 6 2.3 1.4 5 1 3 21 13 16 UOOOUO
10 10 Freiburg 10 4 6 0.8 2.3 2 2 6 8 23 8 UOUOOO
11 11 Dortmund 9 3 6 1.1 2.2 1 2 6 10 20 5 OOUOOU
12 12 Augsburg 9 3 6 1.0 2.4 2 2 5 9 22 8 UOOOUU
13 16 Heidenheim 10 4 6 1.6 2.4 2 1 7 16 24 7 UOOUOO
14 9 M'gladbach 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 5 9 17 8 UUOOOO
15 18 Bochum 10 5 5 0.8 2.5 1 0 9 8 25 3 OUUUUO
16 13 St Pauli 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 4 0 6 11 11 12 UUOUUU
17 14 Union Berlin 10 6 4 0.6 1.8 1 2 7 6 18 5 OUOOUO
18 15 Hoffenheim 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 1 4 4 7 15 7 UUUUOO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10