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France Ligue 2 ·

Bastia 2–1 Caen

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.48 fair 1.66
Draw 4.33 fair 4.47
Away 5.75 fair 5.71
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bastia Caen
27 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 2
12 Corners 1
11 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result Bastia to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.85 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
BastiaDrawCaen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.1% 2–0 11.1% 1–1 10.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bastia before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.24scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 41:36
Caen before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.91scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 30:56
Bastia all matches all matches Caen

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 0.91
1.09 Goals conceded 1.70
2.33 Total goals 2.61
13.88 Shots 10.61
5.03 Shots on target 3.70
9.73 Shots faced 12.30
4.94 Corners 4.73
4.52 Corners against 4.73
13.97 Fouls 14.06
2.36 Yellow cards 2.03
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

30% Wins 15%
45% Draws 21%
24% Losses 64%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
36% Over 2.5 goals 52%
30% Over 3.5 goals 30%
9% Over 4.5 goals 6%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
48% Both teams scored 45%
36% Clean sheets 12%
30% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 6%
45% Draws 42%
24% Losses 52%
70% Over 0.5 goals 67%
30% Over 1.5 goals 24%
12% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia all matches
Caen all matches
Bastia before this match, at home
1.94points / match
1.69scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:13
Caen before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.94scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:32
Bastia at home away Caen

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 0.94
0.81 Goals conceded 2.00
2.50 Total goals 2.94
16.19 Shots 10.69
5.88 Shots on target 3.63
8.81 Shots faced 13.25
5.13 Corners 4.13
4.00 Corners against 5.81
12.44 Fouls 14.06
2.50 Yellow cards 1.88
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.13
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 13%
44% Draws 13%
6% Losses 75%
81% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 69%
44% Over 2.5 goals 69%
38% Over 3.5 goals 44%
13% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 13%
19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 6%
50% Draws 44%
13% Losses 50%
63% Over 0.5 goals 56%
38% Over 1.5 goals 19%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia at home
Caen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bastia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.25 Guingamp – Bastia 2–2 (1–1) 2.103.203.70 2.08 1.73
25.04.25 Bastia – Grenoble 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.67 2.15
19.04.25 Paris FC – Bastia 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.20 2.15 1.67
14.04.25 Bastia – Laval 5–2 (2–1) 1.623.256.00 2.20 1.65
04.04.25 Annecy – Bastia 1–1 (1–0) 3.503.002.20 2.60 1.48
28.03.25 Bastia – Dunkerque 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.103.40 2.35 1.57
15.03.25 Lorient – Bastia 4–0 (2–0) 1.673.405.00 2.25 1.62
07.03.25 Bastia – Martigues 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.007.50 2.08 1.73
28.02.25 Troyes – Bastia 2–0 (1–0) 2.702.752.90 2.50 1.50
21.02.25 Bastia – Red Star 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.50 2.10 1.70

Caen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.25 Caen – Red Star 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.55 1.85 2.00
26.04.25 Lorient – Caen 4–0 (2–0) 1.256.0013.00 1.57 2.35
18.04.25 Caen – Martigues 0–3 (0–2) 1.573.755.75 1.83 2.03
11.04.25 Rodez – Caen 2–2 (0–0) 1.903.703.70 1.70 2.10
05.04.25 Caen – Metz 2–2 (0–1) 4.103.601.80 2.03 1.83
31.03.25 Paris FC – Caen 4–2 (3–0) 1.533.606.00 1.90 1.95
14.03.25 Amiens – Caen 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.15 2.10 1.70
07.03.25 Caen – Laval 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.70 2.15 1.67
28.02.25 Clermont – Caen 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.30 2.15 1.67
22.02.25 Caen – Pau FC 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.25 2.00 1.85

Bastia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.25 Bastia – Grenoble 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.67 2.15
14.04.25 Bastia – Laval 5–2 (2–1) 1.623.256.00 2.20 1.65
28.03.25 Bastia – Dunkerque 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.103.40 2.35 1.57
07.03.25 Bastia – Martigues 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.007.50 2.08 1.73
21.02.25 Bastia – Red Star 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.50 2.10 1.70
31.01.25 Bastia – Metz 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.002.40 2.40 1.53
24.01.25 Bastia – Pau FC 1–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.10 2.08 1.73
11.01.25 Bastia – Ajaccio 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.305.75 2.70 1.44
13.12.24 Bastia – Guingamp 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.003.50 2.20 1.65
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85

Caen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.25 Lorient – Caen 4–0 (2–0) 1.256.0013.00 1.57 2.35
11.04.25 Rodez – Caen 2–2 (0–0) 1.903.703.70 1.70 2.10
31.03.25 Paris FC – Caen 4–2 (3–0) 1.533.606.00 1.90 1.95
14.03.25 Amiens – Caen 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.15 2.10 1.70
28.02.25 Clermont – Caen 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.30 2.15 1.67
17.02.25 Annecy – Caen 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.253.00 2.05 1.75
01.02.25 Troyes – Caen 3–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.30 2.00 1.85
17.01.25 Ajaccio – Caen 2–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.10 2.25 1.62
16.12.24 Dunkerque – Caen 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.40 1.95 1.90
06.12.24 Laval – Caen 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.502.75 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bastia winsDrawsCaen wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
43%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24F2 Caen – Bastia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.25 1.62
23.01.24F2 Bastia – Caen 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.003.10 2.35 1.57
02.12.23F2 Caen – Bastia 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.20 2.10 1.78
03.02.23F2 Caen – Bastia 3–1 (0–0) 2.103.003.80 2.70 1.44
26.12.22F2 Bastia – Caen 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.002.60 2.50 1.50
26.02.22F2 Caen – Bastia 2–1 (1–1) 2.372.903.00 2.50 1.50
18.09.21F2 Bastia – Caen 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.61

France Ligue 2 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 33 21 5 7 63 30 +33 68
2 Paris FC 33 20 6 7 53 33 +20 66
3 Metz 33 17 11 5 61 32 +29 62
4 Dunkerque 33 17 4 12 46 39 +7 55
5 Guingamp 33 16 4 13 54 44 +10 52
6 Laval 33 14 8 11 42 35 +7 50
7 Annecy 33 13 9 11 39 42 -3 48
8 Grenoble 33 13 7 13 42 41 +1 46
9 Bastia 33 10 15 8 41 36 +5 45
10 Amiens 33 13 4 16 38 49 -11 43
11 Ajaccio 33 12 6 15 30 40 -10 42
12 Pau FC 33 10 12 11 38 50 -12 42
13 Troyes 33 12 5 16 35 34 +1 41
14 Rodez 33 9 11 13 55 53 +2 38
15 Red Star 33 9 10 14 36 50 -14 37
16 Clermont 33 7 11 15 29 45 -16 32
17 Martigues 33 9 5 19 28 51 -23 32
18 Caen 33 5 7 21 30 56 -26 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 16 14 1 1 44 11 +33 43
2 Paris FC 16 12 2 2 32 16 +16 38
3 Dunkerque 17 12 1 4 28 14 +14 37
4 Metz 17 10 6 1 37 15 +22 36
5 Amiens 17 11 2 4 26 20 +6 35
6 Bastia 16 8 7 1 27 13 +14 31
7 Guingamp 17 9 3 5 33 19 +14 30
8 Ajaccio 17 9 3 5 22 17 +5 30
9 Grenoble 17 8 5 4 25 17 +8 29
10 Pau FC 16 8 5 3 19 16 +3 29
11 Annecy 16 8 4 4 21 15 +6 28
12 Laval 16 8 3 5 22 15 +7 27
13 Troyes 16 6 4 6 17 13 +4 22
14 Rodez 16 6 4 6 27 25 +2 22
15 Red Star 16 6 4 6 18 21 -3 22
16 Clermont 17 3 8 6 17 19 -2 17
17 Caen 17 3 5 9 15 24 -9 14
18 Martigues 17 3 3 11 13 27 -14 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 17 8 4 5 21 17 +4 28
2 Metz 16 7 5 4 24 17 +7 26
3 Lorient 17 7 4 6 19 19 0 25
4 Laval 17 6 5 6 20 20 0 23
5 Guingamp 16 7 1 8 21 25 -4 22
6 Annecy 17 5 5 7 18 27 -9 20
7 Martigues 16 6 2 8 15 24 -9 20
8 Troyes 17 6 1 10 18 21 -3 19
9 Dunkerque 16 5 3 8 18 25 -7 18
10 Grenoble 16 5 2 9 17 24 -7 17
11 Rodez 17 3 7 7 28 28 0 16
12 Red Star 17 3 6 8 18 29 -11 15
13 Clermont 16 4 3 9 12 26 -14 15
14 Bastia 17 2 8 7 14 23 -9 14
15 Pau FC 17 2 7 8 19 34 -15 13
16 Ajaccio 16 3 3 10 8 23 -15 12
17 Caen 16 2 2 12 15 32 -17 8
18 Amiens 16 2 2 12 12 29 -17 8

Bastia   Caen

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Guingamp 33 12 21 1.6 1.3 16 4 13 54 44 52
2 14 Rodez 33 12 21 1.7 1.6 9 11 13 55 53 38
3 1 Lorient 33 14 19 1.9 0.9 21 5 7 63 30 68
4 3 Metz 33 15 18 1.8 1.0 17 11 5 61 32 62
5 8 Grenoble 33 15 18 1.3 1.2 13 7 13 42 41 46
6 10 Amiens 33 15 18 1.2 1.5 13 4 16 38 49 43
7 18 Caen 33 16 17 0.9 1.7 5 7 21 30 56 22
8 2 Paris FC 33 17 16 1.6 1.0 20 6 7 53 33 66
9 13 Troyes 33 17 16 1.1 1.0 12 5 16 35 34 41
10 15 Red Star 33 17 16 1.1 1.5 9 10 14 36 50 37
11 12 Pau FC 33 18 15 1.2 1.5 10 12 11 38 50 42
12 6 Laval 33 19 14 1.3 1.1 14 8 11 42 35 50
13 11 Ajaccio 33 19 14 0.9 1.2 12 6 15 30 40 42
14 17 Martigues 33 19 14 0.8 1.5 9 5 19 28 51 32
15 4 Dunkerque 33 20 13 1.4 1.2 17 4 12 46 39 55
16 9 Bastia 33 21 12 1.2 1.1 10 15 8 41 36 45
17 7 Annecy 33 22 11 1.2 1.3 13 9 11 39 42 48
18 16 Clermont 33 22 11 0.9 1.4 7 11 15 29 45 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Guingamp 17 5 12 1.9 1.1 9 3 5 33 19 30
2 1 Lorient 16 5 11 2.8 0.7 14 1 1 44 11 43
3 10 Amiens 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 11 2 4 26 20 35
4 14 Rodez 16 6 10 1.7 1.6 6 4 6 27 25 22
5 2 Paris FC 16 7 9 2.0 1.0 12 2 2 32 16 38
6 3 Metz 17 8 9 2.2 0.9 10 6 1 37 15 36
7 8 Grenoble 17 8 9 1.5 1.0 8 5 4 25 17 29
8 11 Ajaccio 17 8 9 1.3 1.0 9 3 5 22 17 30
9 4 Dunkerque 17 9 8 1.6 0.8 12 1 4 28 14 37
10 15 Red Star 16 8 8 1.1 1.3 6 4 6 18 21 22
11 6 Laval 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 3 5 22 15 27
12 9 Bastia 16 9 7 1.7 0.8 8 7 1 27 13 31
13 13 Troyes 16 9 7 1.1 0.8 6 4 6 17 13 22
14 17 Martigues 17 10 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 11 13 27 12
15 18 Caen 17 11 6 0.9 1.4 3 5 9 15 24 14
16 12 Pau FC 16 11 5 1.2 1.0 8 5 3 19 16 29
17 7 Annecy 16 12 4 1.3 0.9 8 4 4 21 15 28
18 16 Clermont 17 13 4 1.0 1.1 3 8 6 17 19 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Rodez 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 3 7 7 28 28 16
2 18 Caen 16 5 11 0.9 2.0 2 2 12 15 32 8
3 12 Pau FC 17 7 10 1.1 2.0 2 7 8 19 34 13
4 3 Metz 16 7 9 1.5 1.1 7 5 4 24 17 26
5 5 Guingamp 16 7 9 1.3 1.6 7 1 8 21 25 22
6 8 Grenoble 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 2 9 17 24 17
7 13 Troyes 17 8 9 1.1 1.2 6 1 10 18 21 19
8 1 Lorient 17 9 8 1.1 1.1 7 4 6 19 19 25
9 10 Amiens 16 8 8 0.8 1.8 2 2 12 12 29 8
10 15 Red Star 17 9 8 1.1 1.7 3 6 8 18 29 15
11 2 Paris FC 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 8 4 5 21 17 28
12 6 Laval 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 6 5 6 20 20 23
13 7 Annecy 17 10 7 1.1 1.6 5 5 7 18 27 20
14 16 Clermont 16 9 7 0.8 1.6 4 3 9 12 26 15
15 17 Martigues 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 6 2 8 15 24 20
16 4 Dunkerque 16 11 5 1.1 1.6 5 3 8 18 25 18
17 9 Bastia 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 2 8 7 14 23 14
18 11 Ajaccio 16 11 5 0.5 1.4 3 3 10 8 23 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51