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France Ligue 2 ·

Bastia 3–1 Guingamp

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.30
Draw 3.00 fair 3.65
Away 3.50 fair 3.43
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bastia Guingamp
18 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
21 Fouls 25
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (135 league matches this season so far).
Result Bastia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
BastiaDrawGuingamp
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 12.3% 0–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bastia before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
0.87scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:13
Guingamp before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:19
Bastia all matches all matches Guingamp

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 1.67
0.87 Goals conceded 1.27
1.73 Total goals 2.93
13.27 Shots 13.40
4.47 Shots on target 5.27
10.07 Shots faced 10.53
5.20 Corners 5.00
5.13 Corners against 5.00
13.33 Fouls 12.80
2.13 Yellow cards 1.00
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

20% Wins 53%
67% Draws 7%
13% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
53% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 40%
47% Clean sheets 40%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
53% Over 0.5 goals 73%
27% Over 1.5 goals 40%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia all matches
Guingamp all matches
Bastia before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.00scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:5
Guingamp before this match, away
1.29points / match
0.86scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:11
Bastia at home away Guingamp

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.86
0.71 Goals conceded 1.57
1.71 Total goals 2.43
15.00 Shots 11.71
4.71 Shots on target 3.71
10.71 Shots faced 11.14
5.43 Corners 5.29
5.29 Corners against 5.00
11.00 Fouls 14.00
2.43 Yellow cards 1.14
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

29% Wins 43%
71% Draws 0%
0% Losses 57%
57% Over 0.5 goals 100%
43% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
57% Clean sheets 29%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 29%
71% Draws 29%
14% Losses 43%
43% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 29%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia at home
Guingamp away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bastia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24 Red Star – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.35 2.50 1.50
03.12.24 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.65 2.70 1.44
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85
08.11.24 Laval – Bastia 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.102.15 2.40 1.53
02.11.24 Caen – Bastia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.25 1.62
29.10.24 Bastia – Rodez 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.203.80 2.15 1.67
22.10.24 Pau FC – Bastia 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.25 1.62
18.10.24 Bastia – Clermont 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.003.10 2.60 1.48
27.09.24 Bastia – Annecy 2–2 (1–1) 2.302.883.25 2.60 1.48
24.09.24 Dunkerque – Bastia 2–1 (0–1) 3.103.002.40 2.40 1.53

Guingamp all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24 Martigues – Guingamp 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.101.50 1.65 2.20
22.11.24 Guingamp – Amiens 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.50 2.00 1.85
09.11.24 Lorient – Guingamp 3–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.90 1.80 2.00
02.11.24 Guingamp – Grenoble 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.33 2.05 1.75
29.10.24 Guingamp – Ajaccio 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.405.50 2.25 1.62
25.10.24 Metz – Guingamp 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.10 2.10 1.70
18.10.24 Guingamp – Pau FC 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.403.75 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Clermont – Guingamp 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.63 2.10 1.70
30.09.24 Guingamp – Caen 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.60 2.05 1.75
24.09.24 Paris FC – Guingamp 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.65

Bastia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85
29.10.24 Bastia – Rodez 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.203.80 2.15 1.67
18.10.24 Bastia – Clermont 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.003.10 2.60 1.48
27.09.24 Bastia – Annecy 2–2 (1–1) 2.302.883.25 2.60 1.48
20.09.24 Bastia – Paris FC 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.002.25 2.25 1.62
13.09.24 Bastia – Troyes 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.604.75 2.10 1.70
23.08.24 Bastia – Amiens 1–0 (0–0) 2.402.903.00 2.60 1.48
17.05.24 Bastia – Paris FC 1–1 (1–1) 3.603.901.80 1.85 2.00
03.05.24 Bastia – Amiens 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.003.25 2.35 1.57
23.04.24 Bastia – Concarneau 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.103.20 2.30 1.60

Guingamp away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24 Martigues – Guingamp 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.101.50 1.65 2.20
09.11.24 Lorient – Guingamp 3–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.90 1.80 2.00
25.10.24 Metz – Guingamp 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.10 2.10 1.70
05.10.24 Clermont – Guingamp 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.63 2.10 1.70
24.09.24 Paris FC – Guingamp 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.65
13.09.24 Rodez – Guingamp 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.202.45 2.05 1.75
23.08.24 Laval – Guingamp 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.002.25 2.60 1.48
10.05.24 Paris FC – Guingamp 2–1 (1–0) 2.383.103.00 2.08 1.73
27.04.24 Pau FC – Guingamp 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.65
13.04.24 Dunkerque – Guingamp 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.102.15 2.30 1.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bastia winsDrawsGuingamp wins
6matches
2.17goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24F2 Guingamp – Bastia 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.405.00 2.35 1.57
28.10.23F2 Bastia – Guingamp 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.202.50 2.15 1.67
18.02.23F2 Bastia – Guingamp 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.003.20 2.50 1.50
22.10.22F2 Guingamp – Bastia 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.40 2.40 1.53
16.04.22F2 Bastia – Guingamp 1–2 (0–0) 2.702.802.80 2.70 1.44
06.11.21F2 Guingamp – Bastia 2–3 (0–1) 2.253.103.25 2.25 1.61

France Ligue 2 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 15 9 4 2 24 11 +13 31
2 Lorient 15 9 3 3 28 15 +13 30
3 Metz 15 8 4 3 24 13 +11 28
4 Dunkerque 15 9 1 5 23 20 +3 28
5 Annecy 15 7 5 3 23 18 +5 26
6 Guingamp 15 8 1 6 25 19 +6 25
7 Amiens 15 7 2 6 19 18 +1 23
8 Laval 15 6 4 5 22 16 +6 22
9 Rodez 15 5 4 6 28 25 +3 19
10 Bastia 15 3 10 2 13 13 0 19
11 Pau FC 15 5 4 6 17 19 -2 19
12 Grenoble 15 5 3 7 17 17 0 18
13 Clermont 15 4 4 7 13 18 -5 16
14 Caen 15 4 3 8 17 21 -4 15
15 Ajaccio 15 4 3 8 10 16 -6 15
16 Troyes 15 4 3 8 11 19 -8 15
17 Red Star 15 4 3 8 13 27 -14 15
18 Martigues 15 2 3 10 8 30 -22 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 7 7 0 0 20 6 +14 21
2 Dunkerque 8 7 0 1 14 7 +7 21
3 Metz 8 5 3 0 16 5 +11 18
4 Annecy 7 6 0 1 13 4 +9 18
5 Amiens 7 5 2 0 11 3 +8 17
6 Guingamp 8 5 1 2 19 8 +11 16
7 Pau FC 7 4 2 1 10 4 +6 14
8 Grenoble 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14
9 Paris FC 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
10 Ajaccio 8 4 2 2 8 5 +3 14
11 Laval 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
12 Bastia 7 2 5 0 7 5 +2 11
13 Caen 8 3 2 3 10 10 0 11
14 Rodez 7 3 1 3 14 13 +1 10
15 Clermont 8 2 3 3 10 9 +1 9
16 Troyes 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8
17 Red Star 7 2 2 3 5 11 -6 8
18 Martigues 9 0 1 8 1 17 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 8 5 2 1 12 3 +9 17
2 Laval 8 3 2 3 11 7 +4 11
3 Metz 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
4 Rodez 8 2 3 3 14 12 +2 9
5 Lorient 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
6 Guingamp 7 3 0 4 6 11 -5 9
7 Bastia 8 1 5 2 6 8 -2 8
8 Annecy 8 1 5 2 10 14 -4 8
9 Martigues 6 2 2 2 7 13 -6 8
10 Dunkerque 7 2 1 4 9 13 -4 7
11 Troyes 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
12 Clermont 7 2 1 4 3 9 -6 7
13 Red Star 8 2 1 5 8 16 -8 7
14 Amiens 8 2 0 6 8 15 -7 6
15 Pau FC 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
16 Caen 7 1 1 5 7 11 -4 4
17 Grenoble 7 1 1 5 6 11 -5 4
18 Ajaccio 7 0 1 6 2 11 -9 1

Bastia   Guingamp

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Rodez 15 4 11 1.9 1.7 5 4 6 28 25 19
2 6 Guingamp 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 8 1 6 25 19 25
3 2 Lorient 15 7 8 1.9 1.0 9 3 3 28 15 30
4 7 Amiens 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 7 2 6 19 18 23
5 8 Laval 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 4 5 22 16 22
6 16 Troyes 15 7 8 0.7 1.3 4 3 8 11 19 15
7 17 Red Star 15 7 8 0.9 1.8 4 3 8 13 27 15
8 1 Paris FC 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 9 4 2 24 11 31
9 4 Dunkerque 15 8 7 1.5 1.3 9 1 5 23 20 28
10 12 Grenoble 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 5 3 7 17 17 18
11 14 Caen 15 8 7 1.1 1.4 4 3 8 17 21 15
12 5 Annecy 15 9 6 1.5 1.2 7 5 3 23 18 26
13 11 Pau FC 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 5 4 6 17 19 19
14 18 Martigues 15 9 6 0.5 2.0 2 3 10 8 30 9
15 3 Metz 15 10 5 1.6 0.9 8 4 3 24 13 28
16 10 Bastia 15 10 5 0.9 0.9 3 10 2 13 13 19
17 13 Clermont 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 7 13 18 16
18 15 Ajaccio 15 12 3 0.7 1.1 4 3 8 10 16 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Guingamp 8 2 6 2.4 1.0 5 1 2 19 8 16
2 9 Rodez 7 1 6 2.0 1.9 3 1 3 14 13 10
3 2 Lorient 7 2 5 2.9 0.9 7 0 0 20 6 21
4 1 Paris FC 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
5 4 Dunkerque 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 7 0 1 14 7 21
6 8 Laval 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
7 16 Troyes 7 3 4 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8
8 17 Red Star 7 3 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 3 5 11 8
9 7 Amiens 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 5 2 0 11 3 17
10 10 Bastia 7 4 3 1.0 0.7 2 5 0 7 5 11
11 12 Grenoble 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14
12 13 Clermont 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 2 3 3 10 9 9
13 14 Caen 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 3 2 3 10 10 11
14 18 Martigues 9 6 3 0.1 1.9 0 1 8 1 17 1
15 3 Metz 8 6 2 2.0 0.6 5 3 0 16 5 18
16 5 Annecy 7 5 2 1.9 0.6 6 0 1 13 4 18
17 11 Pau FC 7 5 2 1.4 0.6 4 2 1 10 4 14
18 15 Ajaccio 8 7 1 1.0 0.6 4 2 2 8 5 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Amiens 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 2 0 6 8 15 6
2 9 Rodez 8 3 5 1.8 1.5 2 3 3 14 12 9
3 5 Annecy 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 5 2 10 14 8
4 8 Laval 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 3 2 3 11 7 11
5 11 Pau FC 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
6 12 Grenoble 7 3 4 0.9 1.6 1 1 5 6 11 4
7 14 Caen 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 1 5 7 11 4
8 16 Troyes 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
9 17 Red Star 8 4 4 1.0 2.0 2 1 5 8 16 7
10 1 Paris FC 8 5 3 1.5 0.4 5 2 1 12 3 17
11 2 Lorient 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
12 3 Metz 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
13 4 Dunkerque 7 4 3 1.3 1.9 2 1 4 9 13 7
14 6 Guingamp 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 3 0 4 6 11 9
15 18 Martigues 6 3 3 1.2 2.2 2 2 2 7 13 8
16 10 Bastia 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 1 5 2 6 8 8
17 13 Clermont 7 5 2 0.4 1.3 2 1 4 3 9 7
18 15 Ajaccio 7 5 2 0.3 1.6 0 1 6 2 11 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38