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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Nantes 3–0 Marseille

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.33 fair 3.50
Draw 4.10 fair 4.17
Away 1.73 fair 2.11
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nantes Marseille
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
7 Corners 8
12 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.68
Home / Draw / Away
NantesDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nantes before this match, all matches
0.65points / match
0.84scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 26:51
Marseille before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.90scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 59:41
Nantes all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.90
1.65 Goals conceded 1.32
2.48 Total goals 3.23
11.06 Shots 14.94
3.23 Shots on target 5.58
13.39 Shots faced 9.90
3.61 Corners 5.29
5.55 Corners against 3.29
12.68 Fouls 12.52
2.06 Yellow cards 2.29
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

13% Wins 52%
26% Draws 16%
61% Losses 32%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 74%
45% Over 2.5 goals 61%
23% Over 3.5 goals 42%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
3% Over 5.5 goals 13%
48% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 26%
42% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 42%
45% Draws 32%
32% Losses 26%
68% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
13% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nantes all matches
Marseille all matches
Nantes before this match, at home
0.60points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:27
Marseille before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.40scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:22
Nantes at home away Marseille

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.40
1.80 Goals conceded 1.47
2.80 Total goals 2.87
11.87 Shots 14.67
3.33 Shots on target 5.07
12.27 Shots faced 10.60
3.80 Corners 4.87
4.93 Corners against 3.93
12.67 Fouls 11.93
2.00 Yellow cards 2.47
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

13% Wins 40%
20% Draws 7%
67% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 53%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 13%
53% Both teams scored 40%
13% Clean sheets 20%
33% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 33%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 27%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nantes at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nantes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Rennes – Nantes 2–1 (1–1) 1.424.757.50 1.62 2.30
22.04.26 Paris SG – Nantes 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.33 3.40
19.04.26 Nantes – Brest 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26 Auxerre – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.62
05.04.26 Metz – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Nantes – Strasbourg 2–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 2.00 1.80
07.03.26 Nantes – Angers 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.38 1.57
01.03.26 Lille – Nantes 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Nantes – Le Havre 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
13.02.26 Monaco – Nantes 3–1 (3–1) 1.484.337.00 1.53 2.50

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
18.04.26 Lorient – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00
05.04.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.753.10 1.57 2.38
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30

Nantes at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Nantes – Brest 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
22.03.26 Nantes – Strasbourg 2–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 2.00 1.80
07.03.26 Nantes – Angers 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.38 1.57
22.02.26 Nantes – Le Havre 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
07.02.26 Nantes – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.73 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Nantes – Nice 1–4 (1–3) 2.903.502.38 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Nantes – Paris FC 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.45 2.03 1.83
06.12.25 Nantes – Lens 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
23.11.25 Nantes – Lorient 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 2.03 1.83
02.11.25 Nantes – Metz 0–2 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Lorient – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
05.04.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.753.10 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–4) 5.754.001.60 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Lille – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nantes winsDrawsMarseille wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
33%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26F1 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
02.03.25F1 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
03.11.24F1 Nantes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 1.97 1.93
10.03.24F1 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
01.09.23F1 Nantes – Marseille 1–1 (1–1) 5.003.801.70 1.73 2.10
01.02.23F1 Nantes – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.94 1.96
20.08.22F1 Marseille – Nantes 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.205.50 1.83 2.07
20.04.22F1 Marseille – Nantes 3–2 (1–2) 1.614.005.50 1.97 1.93
01.12.21F1 Nantes – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 1.95 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 30 22 3 5 68 25 +43 69 LWWLWW
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 60 32 +28 63 WLWLWD
3 Lille 31 17 6 8 50 34 +16 57 WWWWDW
4 Lyon 31 17 6 8 48 32 +16 57 DLDWWW
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54 42 +12 56 LDWWWW
6 Marseille 31 16 5 10 59 41 +18 53 WLLWLD
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 54 47 +7 51 WWWLDD
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49 39 +10 46 DDWWLW
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 42 47 -5 41 WLDLWL
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 43 44 -1 38 WWLLLD
11 Brest 30 10 8 12 41 47 -6 38 WLLLDD
12 Paris FC 31 9 11 11 40 47 -7 38 DWDWWL
13 Angers 31 9 7 15 26 43 -17 34 LLDLDL
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 29 42 -13 31 DLDDDD
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 35 57 -22 30 WLLDDD
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27 42 -15 25 LWDDDL
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 26 51 -25 20 LDDDLL
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 31 70 -39 16 LDDLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lens 15 13 0 2 34 11 +23 39 WWLWWW
2 Paris SG 15 12 1 2 38 10 +28 37 WWLWLW
3 Marseille 16 10 4 2 38 19 +19 34 DWWLWD
4 Lyon 15 11 1 3 26 12 +14 34 WWDLWW
5 Monaco 16 10 2 4 33 22 +11 32 WWWWWD
6 Rennes 16 9 4 3 28 16 +12 31 WWLDWW
7 Lorient 16 8 6 2 31 23 +8 30 WDWDWL
8 Lille 15 8 4 3 23 14 +9 28 LDWDWD
9 Strasbourg 15 8 3 4 24 13 +11 27 LWDDWL
10 Brest 15 7 4 4 26 20 +6 25 LWWWLD
11 Le Havre 16 5 8 3 20 17 +3 23 WWLDDD
12 Angers 16 6 4 6 17 19 -2 22 WLLDDL
13 Toulouse 16 5 6 5 23 23 0 21 DDLWLD
14 Paris FC 15 5 4 6 22 26 -4 19 DLWWWL
15 Nice 15 4 6 5 18 26 -8 18 DDDLLD
16 Auxerre 15 4 4 7 13 15 -2 16 LDLDWD
17 Metz 15 2 4 9 14 26 -12 10 DLLLDL
18 Nantes 15 2 3 10 15 27 -12 9 LLWLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 15 10 2 3 30 15 +15 32 WWLWWW
2 Lille 16 9 2 5 27 20 +7 29 DWWWWW
3 Rennes 15 7 4 4 26 26 0 25 LLWWWW
4 Lens 15 7 3 5 26 21 +5 24 LWDLLD
5 Lyon 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23 WLLDDW
6 Strasbourg 15 5 4 6 25 26 -1 19 WLDDWW
7 Marseille 15 6 1 8 21 22 -1 19 DLLWLL
8 Paris FC 16 4 7 5 18 21 -3 19 DDDDDW
9 Monaco 15 5 4 6 21 25 -4 19 DWWWLD
10 Toulouse 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17 LLLWLL
11 Brest 15 3 4 8 15 27 -12 13 DDWLLD
12 Nice 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12 LLWLDD
13 Angers 15 3 3 9 9 24 -15 12 DLLWLL
14 Lorient 15 2 5 8 11 24 -13 11 WLDDLL
15 Nantes 16 2 5 9 11 24 -13 11 LLDDLL
16 Auxerre 16 1 6 9 14 27 -13 9 WDLDDL
17 Le Havre 15 1 5 9 9 25 -16 8 LLLLDD
18 Metz 16 1 3 12 17 44 -27 6 LLLDLD

Nantes   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Lens 30 9 21 2.0 1.1 20 3 7 60 32 63 OOOOOO
2 5 Rennes 31 10 21 1.7 1.4 16 8 7 54 42 56 OUOOOO
3 7 Monaco 31 11 20 1.7 1.5 15 6 10 54 47 51 UOOOOO
4 1 Paris SG 30 11 19 2.3 0.8 22 3 5 68 25 69 OOOOOO
5 6 Marseille 31 12 19 1.9 1.3 16 5 10 59 41 53 UOOOUU
6 8 Strasbourg 30 11 19 1.6 1.3 13 7 10 49 39 46 UUOOOO
7 18 Metz 31 12 19 1.0 2.3 3 7 21 31 70 16 OUUOOO
8 4 Lyon 31 15 16 1.5 1.0 17 6 8 48 32 57 UOUUOO
9 10 Toulouse 31 15 16 1.4 1.4 10 8 13 43 44 38 OUOOOO
10 12 Paris FC 31 15 16 1.3 1.5 9 11 11 40 47 38 UOUOOU
11 15 Nice 31 15 16 1.1 1.8 7 9 15 35 57 30 UOOUUU
12 11 Brest 30 15 15 1.4 1.6 10 8 12 41 47 38 UUOOUO
13 17 Nantes 31 17 14 0.8 1.6 4 8 19 26 51 20 OUUUOO
14 3 Lille 31 18 13 1.6 1.1 17 6 8 50 34 57 OOOOUU
15 9 Lorient 31 18 13 1.4 1.5 10 11 10 42 47 41 OUUUUO
16 16 Auxerre 31 18 13 0.9 1.4 5 10 16 27 42 25 UOUUOO
17 14 Le Havre 31 20 11 0.9 1.4 6 13 12 29 42 31 UOUUUO
18 13 Angers 31 22 9 0.8 1.4 9 7 15 26 43 34 UOUOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Paris SG 15 4 11 2.5 0.7 12 1 2 38 10 37 OOOOOO
2 6 Marseille 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 4 2 38 19 34 OOUOOU
3 7 Monaco 16 5 11 2.1 1.4 10 2 4 33 22 32 OOUUOO
4 2 Lens 15 5 10 2.3 0.7 13 0 2 34 11 39 UOOOOO
5 5 Rennes 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 4 3 28 16 31 OUOUOO
6 8 Strasbourg 15 6 9 1.6 0.9 8 3 4 24 13 27 OOUUOO
7 9 Lorient 16 7 9 1.9 1.4 8 6 2 31 23 30 UOOUUO
8 12 Paris FC 15 6 9 1.5 1.7 5 4 6 22 26 19 OOUOOU
9 4 Lyon 15 7 8 1.7 0.8 11 1 3 26 12 34 UUUOUO
10 10 Toulouse 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 6 5 23 23 21 UUUUOO
11 11 Brest 15 8 7 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 20 25 UUUUOO
12 14 Le Havre 16 9 7 1.2 1.1 5 8 3 20 17 23 OOUUUO
13 15 Nice 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 4 6 5 18 26 18 OUOOOU
14 18 Metz 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 9 14 26 10 UOUOUO
15 16 Auxerre 15 9 6 0.9 1.0 4 4 7 13 15 16 UUOUOU
16 17 Nantes 15 9 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 10 15 27 9 OUUUOU
17 3 Lille 15 10 5 1.5 0.9 8 4 3 23 14 28 OUUUOU
18 13 Angers 16 12 4 1.1 1.2 6 4 6 17 19 22 UUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Metz 16 4 12 1.1 2.8 1 3 12 17 44 6 UOOUOO
2 2 Lens 15 4 11 1.7 1.4 7 3 5 26 21 24 OOUOOO
3 5 Rennes 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 7 4 4 26 26 25 OOOOOO
4 8 Strasbourg 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 5 4 6 25 26 19 OOOUOO
5 7 Monaco 15 6 9 1.4 1.7 5 4 6 21 25 19 UOOOOO
6 15 Nice 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12 UUUOUU
7 1 Paris SG 15 7 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 3 30 15 32 UOOUOO
8 3 Lille 16 8 8 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 20 29 UUOOOU
9 4 Lyon 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23 UOOUUO
10 6 Marseille 15 7 8 1.4 1.5 6 1 8 21 22 19 OOUUOU
11 10 Toulouse 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17 UOUOOO
12 11 Brest 15 7 8 1.0 1.8 3 4 8 15 27 13 OUUUOU
13 17 Nantes 16 8 8 0.7 1.5 2 5 9 11 24 11 OUUUOO
14 12 Paris FC 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 4 7 5 18 21 19 UUUUUO
15 16 Auxerre 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 6 9 14 27 9 OOUUOO
16 13 Angers 15 10 5 0.6 1.6 3 3 9 9 24 12 UUUUOO
17 9 Lorient 15 11 4 0.7 1.6 2 5 8 11 24 11 UUOUUU
18 14 Le Havre 15 11 4 0.6 1.7 1 5 9 9 25 8 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47