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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–1 Metz

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.39
Draw 6.25 fair 6.28
Away 12.00 fair 8.08
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 3.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Metz
18 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 4
12 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 2.63 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawMetz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 2–0 9% 3–1 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.96scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 55:37
Metz before this match, all matches
0.54points / match
0.89scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 25:60
Marseille all matches all matches Metz

Per match

1.96 Goals scored 0.89
1.32 Goals conceded 2.14
3.29 Total goals 3.04
14.46 Shots 9.79
5.57 Shots on target 3.14
10.18 Shots faced 15.18
5.11 Corners 4.07
3.43 Corners against 4.93
12.57 Fouls 11.61
2.25 Yellow cards 1.68
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 1.04

How often Full Time

54% Wins 11%
14% Draws 21%
32% Losses 68%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
64% Over 2.5 goals 57%
43% Over 3.5 goals 36%
21% Over 4.5 goals 25%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 46%
29% Clean sheets 21%
21% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 7%
32% Draws 43%
25% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 68%
36% Over 1.5 goals 43%
11% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Metz all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.14points / match
2.43scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 34:17
Metz before this match, away
0.36points / match
0.86scored / match
2.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:37
Marseille at home away Metz

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 0.86
1.21 Goals conceded 2.64
3.64 Total goals 3.50
14.36 Shots 7.71
5.86 Shots on target 2.29
9.79 Shots faced 18.21
5.50 Corners 3.43
2.71 Corners against 5.93
13.07 Fouls 11.14
2.07 Yellow cards 2.00
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.21

How often Full Time

64% Wins 7%
21% Draws 14%
14% Losses 79%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
57% Over 3.5 goals 43%
21% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
57% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 14%
7% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 7%
21% Draws 36%
29% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
36% Over 1.5 goals 64%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Metz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.753.10 1.57 2.38
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30

Metz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.26 Metz – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Rennes – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.57 2.38
15.03.26 Metz – Toulouse 3–4 (2–3) 4.003.401.95 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Lens – Metz 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.50 2.63
01.03.26 Metz – Brest 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.10 1.98 1.88
21.02.26 Paris SG – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0013.00 1.25 4.00
15.02.26 Metz – Auxerre 1–3 (0–1) 2.883.002.63 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Metz – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Angers – Metz 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Marseille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38

Metz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Rennes – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.57 2.38
08.03.26 Lens – Metz 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Paris SG – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0013.00 1.25 4.00
01.02.26 Angers – Metz 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
18.01.26 Strasbourg – Metz 2–1 (2–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Lorient – Metz 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.75 1.91 1.91
07.12.25 Auxerre – Metz 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.85
23.11.25 Brest – Metz 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
02.11.25 Nantes – Metz 0–2 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
26.10.25 Lille – Metz 6–1 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsMetz wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25F1 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
09.02.24F1 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
18.08.23F1 Metz – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
13.02.22F1 Metz – Marseille 1–2 (0–1) 5.004.001.66 1.91 1.99
07.11.21F1 Marseille – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.50 1.66 2.20

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 27 20 3 4 61 23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54 27 +27 59
3 Lille 28 15 5 8 45 34 +11 50
4 Marseille 28 15 4 9 55 37 +18 49
5 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50 43 +7 49
6 Lyon 28 14 6 8 41 29 +12 48
7 Rennes 28 13 8 7 47 40 +7 47
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46 34 +12 43
9 Lorient 28 9 11 8 38 42 -4 38
10 Toulouse 28 10 7 11 39 35 +4 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37 43 -6 36
12 Paris FC 29 8 11 10 37 45 -8 35
13 Angers 28 9 6 13 24 37 -13 33
14 Le Havre 28 6 10 12 23 36 -13 28
15 Nice 28 7 6 15 33 55 -22 27
16 Auxerre 28 5 8 15 23 37 -14 23
17 Nantes 27 4 6 17 24 45 -21 18
18 Metz 28 3 6 19 25 60 -35 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 14 12 0 2 31 9 +22 36
2 Paris SG 13 11 1 1 34 8 +26 34
3 Monaco 15 10 1 4 31 20 +11 31
4 Marseille 14 9 3 2 34 17 +17 30
5 Lyon 13 9 1 3 21 10 +11 28
6 Strasbourg 14 8 3 3 24 10 +14 27
7 Lille 14 8 3 3 23 14 +9 27
8 Lorient 14 7 6 1 27 20 +7 27
9 Rennes 14 7 4 3 24 14 +10 25
10 Brest 14 7 3 4 23 17 +6 24
11 Le Havre 15 5 7 3 16 13 +3 22
12 Angers 14 6 3 5 16 15 +1 21
13 Toulouse 14 5 5 4 21 17 +4 20
14 Paris FC 14 5 4 5 22 25 -3 19
15 Nice 14 4 5 5 17 25 -8 17
16 Auxerre 14 4 3 7 13 15 -2 15
17 Metz 14 2 4 8 13 23 -10 10
18 Nantes 14 2 2 10 14 26 -12 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 14 9 2 3 27 15 +12 29
2 Lens 14 7 2 5 23 18 +5 23
3 Lille 14 7 2 5 22 20 +2 23
4 Rennes 14 6 4 4 23 26 -3 22
5 Lyon 15 5 5 5 20 19 +1 20
6 Marseille 14 6 1 7 21 20 +1 19
7 Monaco 14 5 3 6 19 23 -4 18
8 Toulouse 14 5 2 7 18 18 0 17
9 Strasbourg 14 4 4 6 22 24 -2 16
10 Paris FC 15 3 7 5 15 20 -5 16
11 Brest 14 3 3 8 14 26 -12 12
12 Angers 14 3 3 8 8 22 -14 12
13 Lorient 14 2 5 7 11 22 -11 11
14 Nantes 13 2 4 7 10 19 -9 10
15 Nice 14 3 1 10 16 30 -14 10
16 Auxerre 14 1 5 8 10 22 -12 8
17 Le Havre 13 1 3 9 7 23 -16 6
18 Metz 14 1 2 11 12 37 -25 5

Marseille   Metz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lens 28 9 19 1.9 1.0 19 2 7 54 27 59
2 4 Marseille 28 10 18 2.0 1.3 15 4 9 55 37 49
3 5 Monaco 29 11 18 1.7 1.5 15 4 10 50 43 49
4 7 Rennes 28 10 18 1.7 1.4 13 8 7 47 40 47
5 8 Strasbourg 28 11 17 1.6 1.2 12 7 9 46 34 43
6 1 Paris SG 27 11 16 2.3 0.9 20 3 4 61 23 63
7 15 Nice 28 12 16 1.2 2.0 7 6 15 33 55 27
8 18 Metz 28 12 16 0.9 2.1 3 6 19 25 60 15
9 12 Paris FC 29 14 15 1.3 1.6 8 11 10 37 45 35
10 6 Lyon 28 14 14 1.5 1.0 14 6 8 41 29 48
11 11 Brest 28 14 14 1.3 1.5 10 6 12 37 43 36
12 10 Toulouse 28 15 13 1.4 1.2 10 7 11 39 35 37
13 3 Lille 28 16 12 1.6 1.2 15 5 8 45 34 50
14 9 Lorient 28 16 12 1.4 1.5 9 11 8 38 42 38
15 17 Nantes 27 15 12 0.9 1.7 4 6 17 24 45 18
16 16 Auxerre 28 17 11 0.8 1.3 5 8 15 23 37 23
17 14 Le Havre 28 18 10 0.8 1.3 6 10 12 23 36 28
18 13 Angers 28 21 7 0.9 1.3 9 6 13 24 37 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Marseille 14 4 10 2.4 1.2 9 3 2 34 17 30
2 5 Monaco 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 10 1 4 31 20 31
3 1 Paris SG 13 4 9 2.6 0.6 11 1 1 34 8 34
4 2 Lens 14 5 9 2.2 0.6 12 0 2 31 9 36
5 12 Paris FC 14 5 9 1.6 1.8 5 4 5 22 25 19
6 7 Rennes 14 6 8 1.7 1.0 7 4 3 24 14 25
7 8 Strasbourg 14 6 8 1.7 0.7 8 3 3 24 10 27
8 9 Lorient 14 6 8 1.9 1.4 7 6 1 27 20 27
9 6 Lyon 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 9 1 3 21 10 28
10 15 Nice 14 7 7 1.2 1.8 4 5 5 17 25 17
11 10 Toulouse 14 8 6 1.5 1.2 5 5 4 21 17 20
12 11 Brest 14 8 6 1.6 1.2 7 3 4 23 17 24
13 14 Le Havre 15 9 6 1.1 0.9 5 7 3 16 13 22
14 16 Auxerre 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 4 3 7 13 15 15
15 17 Nantes 14 8 6 1.0 1.9 2 2 10 14 26 8
16 18 Metz 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 8 13 23 10
17 3 Lille 14 9 5 1.6 1.0 8 3 3 23 14 27
18 13 Angers 14 11 3 1.1 1.1 6 3 5 16 15 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lens 14 4 10 1.6 1.3 7 2 5 23 18 23
2 7 Rennes 14 4 10 1.6 1.9 6 4 4 23 26 22
3 18 Metz 14 4 10 0.9 2.6 1 2 11 12 37 5
4 8 Strasbourg 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 4 4 6 22 24 16
5 15 Nice 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 3 1 10 16 30 10
6 4 Marseille 14 6 8 1.5 1.4 6 1 7 21 20 19
7 5 Monaco 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 3 6 19 23 18
8 11 Brest 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 3 3 8 14 26 12
9 1 Paris SG 14 7 7 1.9 1.1 9 2 3 27 15 29
10 3 Lille 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 7 2 5 22 20 23
11 6 Lyon 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 5 5 20 19 20
12 10 Toulouse 14 7 7 1.3 1.3 5 2 7 18 18 17
13 12 Paris FC 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 3 7 5 15 20 16
14 17 Nantes 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 2 4 7 10 19 10
15 16 Auxerre 14 9 5 0.7 1.6 1 5 8 10 22 8
16 9 Lorient 14 10 4 0.8 1.6 2 5 7 11 22 11
17 13 Angers 14 10 4 0.6 1.6 3 3 8 8 22 12
18 14 Le Havre 13 9 4 0.5 1.8 1 3 9 7 23 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51