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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Metz 3–4 Toulouse

Full time · half time 2–3 · season 2025/2026

Home 4.00 fair 3.37
Draw 3.40 fair 3.93
Away ✓ 1.95 fair 2.23
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Metz Toulouse
17 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 4
10 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (230 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
MetzDrawToulouse
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 10.2% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Metz before this match, all matches
0.52points / match
0.88scored / match
2.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 22:56
Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.32scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 33:29
Metz all matches all matches Toulouse

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.32
2.24 Goals conceded 1.16
3.12 Total goals 2.48
9.24 Shots 13.04
2.92 Shots on target 4.48
15.00 Shots faced 10.84
4.08 Corners 4.84
4.92 Corners against 4.88
11.52 Fouls 14.36
1.68 Yellow cards 2.24
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.48
1.04 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

12% Wins 32%
16% Draws 28%
72% Losses 40%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
76% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 44%
36% Over 3.5 goals 24%
24% Over 4.5 goals 8%
12% Over 5.5 goals 8%
48% Both teams scored 40%
16% Clean sheets 32%
44% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 24%
40% Draws 36%
52% Losses 40%
72% Over 0.5 goals 68%
44% Over 1.5 goals 24%
16% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Metz all matches
Toulouse all matches
Metz before this match, at home
0.75points / match
0.83scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:19
Toulouse before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.08scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:12
Metz at home away Toulouse

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.08
1.58 Goals conceded 1.00
2.42 Total goals 2.08
10.83 Shots 10.75
3.58 Shots on target 3.83
12.08 Shots faced 12.08
4.67 Corners 4.25
4.00 Corners against 5.33
12.08 Fouls 15.08
1.42 Yellow cards 3.08
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%
25% Draws 17%
58% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
58% Over 1.5 goals 58%
42% Over 2.5 goals 42%
25% Over 3.5 goals 8%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 42%
25% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 25%
50% Draws 33%
42% Losses 42%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
17% Over 1.5 goals 25%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Metz at home
Toulouse away

Last 10 matches before this match

Metz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26 Lens – Metz 3–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.50 2.63
01.03.26 Metz – Brest 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.10 1.98 1.88
21.02.26 Paris SG – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0013.00 1.25 4.00
15.02.26 Metz – Auxerre 1–3 (0–1) 2.883.002.63 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Metz – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Angers – Metz 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
18.01.26 Strasbourg – Metz 2–1 (2–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Lorient – Metz 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.75 1.91 1.91
13.12.25 Metz – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 10.006.501.25 1.36 3.20

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 Rennes – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.70 1.88 1.98
21.02.26 Toulouse – Paris FC 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.50 2.20 1.67
15.02.26 Le Havre – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 3.403.102.30 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Angers – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.38 1.57
01.02.26 Toulouse – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.01.26 Brest – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
17.01.26 Toulouse – Nice 5–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.95
02.01.26 Toulouse – Lens 0–3 (0–0) 2.453.102.55 2.00 1.80
13.12.25 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83

Metz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Metz – Brest 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.10 1.98 1.88
15.02.26 Metz – Auxerre 1–3 (0–1) 2.883.002.63 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Metz – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Metz – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 10.006.501.25 1.36 3.20
28.11.25 Metz – Rennes 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.85 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Metz – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
29.10.25 Metz – Lens 2–0 (0–0) 6.254.501.50 1.67 2.20
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
28.09.25 Metz – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.00 1.85

Toulouse away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Rennes – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.70 1.88 1.98
15.02.26 Le Havre – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 3.403.102.30 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Angers – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.38 1.57
25.01.26 Brest – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Lorient – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Monaco – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.62 2.30
05.10.25 Lyon – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.704.00 1.80 2.00
21.09.25 Auxerre – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.70 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Metz winsDrawsToulouse wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25F1 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
14.01.24F1 Metz – Toulouse 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
01.10.23F1 Toulouse – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 2.01 1.89

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 25 18 3 4 54 22 +32 57 WWLWWL
2 Lens 26 18 2 6 49 23 +26 56 WWLDWL
3 Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 33 +20 49 LDLWWW
4 Lyon 25 14 4 7 40 27 +13 46 WWWLLD
5 Monaco 26 13 4 9 45 37 +8 43 DWWWWW
6 Rennes 25 12 7 6 42 35 +7 43 LLWWWW
7 Lille 25 12 5 8 38 32 +6 41 LDDWWD
8 Strasbourg 26 10 7 9 40 31 +9 37 LDWDDD
9 Lorient 26 9 10 7 37 40 -3 37 LWDDDW
10 Brest 26 10 6 10 34 36 -2 36 WDWWWL
11 Angers 26 9 5 12 23 32 -9 32 WLLLWL
12 Toulouse 25 8 7 10 33 29 +4 31 DLLDLL
13 Paris FC 26 6 10 10 29 41 -12 28 DLDWDD
14 Nice 26 7 6 13 32 48 -16 27 DLDLLW
15 Le Havre 25 6 8 11 20 32 -12 26 LWWLLL
16 Auxerre 26 4 7 15 19 36 -17 19 DWLDDL
17 Nantes 25 4 5 16 22 42 -20 17 LLLWLL
18 Metz 25 3 4 18 22 56 -34 13 LDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lens 13 11 0 2 26 8 +18 33 WWWWLW
2 Paris SG 12 10 1 1 31 7 +24 31 WWWWWL
3 Marseille 13 9 3 1 33 15 +18 30 WLWDWW
4 Lyon 12 9 1 2 20 8 +12 28 WWWWWD
5 Monaco 14 9 1 4 29 19 +10 28 LLWWWW
6 Lorient 13 7 5 1 26 19 +7 26 WDWWDW
7 Strasbourg 13 7 3 3 21 9 +12 24 DWLWDD
8 Rennes 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24 WWDLWW
9 Brest 13 7 3 3 20 13 +7 24 WWLWWW
10 Lille 13 7 3 3 20 14 +6 24 WLLDWD
11 Le Havre 13 5 5 3 15 12 +3 20 DWDWWL
12 Angers 13 6 2 5 16 15 +1 20 WLWWLL
13 Toulouse 13 4 5 4 20 17 +3 17 WLWDDL
14 Nice 13 4 5 4 17 21 -4 17 LDDDDL
15 Paris FC 12 3 4 5 15 22 -7 13 DLDDLW
16 Auxerre 13 3 3 7 10 15 -5 12 WLLDLD
17 Metz 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9 LLLDLL
18 Nantes 13 2 2 9 12 23 -11 8 LLLLWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 13 8 2 3 23 15 +8 26 LWWWLW
2 Lens 13 7 2 4 23 15 +8 23 WWLWDL
3 Marseille 13 6 1 6 20 18 +2 19 LWDLLW
4 Rennes 13 5 4 4 19 23 -4 19 LWLLWW
5 Lyon 13 5 3 5 20 19 +1 18 LWWWLL
6 Lille 12 5 2 5 18 18 0 17 WWLLDW
7 Monaco 12 4 3 5 16 18 -2 15 LLDDWW
8 Paris FC 14 3 6 5 14 19 -5 15 LWDDDD
9 Toulouse 12 4 2 6 13 12 +1 14 DWWLLL
10 Strasbourg 13 3 4 6 19 22 -3 13 LDWLDD
11 Brest 13 3 3 7 14 23 -9 12 LLDDWL
12 Angers 13 3 3 7 7 17 -10 12 WLDLLW
13 Lorient 13 2 5 6 11 21 -10 11 DWWLDD
14 Nice 13 3 1 9 15 27 -12 10 LLWLLW
15 Nantes 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9 LLWLLL
16 Auxerre 13 1 4 8 9 21 -12 7 LLDWDL
17 Le Havre 12 1 3 8 5 20 -15 6 LLDLLL
18 Metz 13 1 1 11 12 37 -25 4 LDLLLL

Metz   Toulouse

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Lens 26 9 17 1.9 0.9 18 2 6 49 23 56 OOOUOO
2 3 Marseille 26 10 16 2.0 1.3 15 4 7 53 33 49 OOUOUU
3 6 Rennes 25 9 16 1.7 1.4 12 7 6 42 35 43 OOOOUO
4 5 Monaco 26 11 15 1.7 1.4 13 4 9 45 37 43 UOOUOU
5 8 Strasbourg 26 11 15 1.5 1.2 10 7 9 40 31 37 OOOUUU
6 18 Metz 25 10 15 0.9 2.2 3 4 18 22 56 13 UUOOUO
7 1 Paris SG 25 11 14 2.2 0.9 18 3 4 54 22 57 OOOOUO
8 14 Nice 26 12 14 1.2 1.8 7 6 13 32 48 27 UUOUOU
9 4 Lyon 25 12 13 1.6 1.1 14 4 7 40 27 46 UUUOOU
10 13 Paris FC 26 13 13 1.1 1.6 6 10 10 29 41 28 UOUUUU
11 9 Lorient 26 14 12 1.4 1.5 9 10 7 37 40 37 UUOOUO
12 10 Brest 26 14 12 1.3 1.4 10 6 10 34 36 36 UUUUUU
13 12 Toulouse 25 14 11 1.3 1.2 8 7 10 33 29 31 UUOUUU
14 17 Nantes 25 14 11 0.9 1.7 4 5 16 22 42 17 OUOUUU
15 16 Auxerre 26 16 10 0.7 1.4 4 7 15 19 36 19 UOOOUU
16 7 Lille 25 16 9 1.5 1.3 12 5 8 38 32 41 UUUUUU
17 15 Le Havre 25 16 9 0.8 1.3 6 8 11 20 32 26 UOOUUU
18 11 Angers 26 20 6 0.9 1.2 9 5 12 23 32 32 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Marseille 13 4 9 2.5 1.2 9 3 1 33 15 30 UUOOOU
2 5 Monaco 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 9 1 4 29 19 28 OOOOUU
3 1 Paris SG 12 4 8 2.6 0.6 10 1 1 31 7 31 OOOOOO
4 2 Lens 13 5 8 2.0 0.6 11 0 2 26 8 33 UUUOOO
5 9 Lorient 13 5 8 2.0 1.5 7 5 1 26 19 26 UUOUOO
6 6 Rennes 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 3 2 23 12 24 OOUUOU
7 8 Strasbourg 13 6 7 1.6 0.7 7 3 3 21 9 24 UOOOUU
8 13 Paris FC 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 4 5 15 22 13 UOUOOU
9 4 Lyon 12 6 6 1.7 0.7 9 1 2 20 8 28 OUOUUU
10 12 Toulouse 13 7 6 1.5 1.3 4 5 4 20 17 17 UOOUUU
11 14 Nice 13 7 6 1.3 1.6 4 5 4 17 21 17 UUOUOO
12 15 Le Havre 13 7 6 1.2 0.9 5 5 3 15 12 20 UOUOOU
13 10 Brest 13 8 5 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 20 13 24 UUUUUU
14 16 Auxerre 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 3 3 7 10 15 12 OOUUOU
15 17 Nantes 13 8 5 0.9 1.8 2 2 9 12 23 8 OOOUUU
16 18 Metz 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 2 3 7 10 19 9 UOOUOU
17 7 Lille 13 9 4 1.5 1.1 7 3 3 20 14 24 UUOUUU
18 11 Angers 13 10 3 1.2 1.2 6 2 5 16 15 20 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Metz 13 3 10 0.9 2.8 1 1 11 12 37 4 OUOUOO
2 2 Lens 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 7 2 4 23 15 23 OOOOUO
3 6 Rennes 13 4 9 1.5 1.8 5 4 4 19 23 19 OUOOOO
4 8 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.5 1.7 3 4 6 19 22 13 UUOOOU
5 14 Nice 13 5 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 9 15 27 10 UOOUUU
6 3 Marseille 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 6 20 18 19 UOOOUU
7 4 Lyon 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 5 3 5 20 19 18 UOOUOO
8 10 Brest 13 6 7 1.1 1.8 3 3 7 14 23 12 OOOUUU
9 1 Paris SG 13 7 6 1.8 1.2 8 2 3 23 15 26 UOUOOU
10 5 Monaco 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 4 3 5 16 18 15 UUUUOO
11 13 Paris FC 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 3 6 5 14 19 15 OOUUUU
12 17 Nantes 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 2 3 7 10 19 9 OOUOOU
13 7 Lille 12 7 5 1.5 1.5 5 2 5 18 18 17 UOOUUU
14 12 Toulouse 12 7 5 1.1 1.0 4 2 6 13 12 14 OOUUOU
15 16 Auxerre 13 8 5 0.7 1.6 1 4 8 9 21 7 UUUOOU
16 9 Lorient 13 9 4 0.8 1.6 2 5 6 11 21 11 UOUUOU
17 11 Angers 13 10 3 0.5 1.3 3 3 7 7 17 12 UOUUUU
18 15 Le Havre 12 9 3 0.4 1.7 1 3 8 5 20 6 OUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47