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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.85 fair 1.87
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.38
Away 4.50 fair 4.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Paris FC
23 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 2
12 Corners 3
13 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (200 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawParis FC
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.45scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:26
Paris FC before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.18scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:39
Toulouse all matches all matches Paris FC

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.18
1.18 Goals conceded 1.77
2.64 Total goals 2.95
12.82 Shots 11.36
4.45 Shots on target 3.59
11.18 Shots faced 11.82
4.73 Corners 4.18
5.05 Corners against 4.86
14.45 Fouls 11.55
2.27 Yellow cards 1.95
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

36% Wins 23%
27% Draws 32%
36% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 86%
64% Over 1.5 goals 73%
50% Over 2.5 goals 59%
27% Over 3.5 goals 32%
9% Over 4.5 goals 27%
9% Over 5.5 goals 14%
41% Both teams scored 59%
36% Clean sheets 23%
32% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 14%
41% Draws 41%
32% Losses 45%
64% Over 0.5 goals 77%
27% Over 1.5 goals 45%
5% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Paris FC all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.73scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:15
Paris FC before this match, away
1.09points / match
1.09scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:17
Toulouse at home away Paris FC

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.09
1.36 Goals conceded 1.55
3.09 Total goals 2.64
14.73 Shots 9.64
4.91 Shots on target 3.36
10.09 Shots faced 12.91
4.91 Corners 3.00
4.82 Corners against 5.82
13.64 Fouls 11.00
1.45 Yellow cards 1.73
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 27%
27% Losses 45%
82% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
55% Over 2.5 goals 55%
45% Over 3.5 goals 18%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
18% Over 5.5 goals 18%
36% Both teams scored 64%
45% Clean sheets 27%
36% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 18%
45% Draws 45%
27% Losses 36%
55% Over 0.5 goals 73%
27% Over 1.5 goals 36%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Paris FC away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Le Havre – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 3.403.102.30 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Angers – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.38 1.57
01.02.26 Toulouse – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.01.26 Brest – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
17.01.26 Toulouse – Nice 5–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.95
02.01.26 Toulouse – Lens 0–3 (0–0) 2.453.102.55 2.00 1.80
13.12.25 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83
06.12.25 Toulouse – Strasbourg 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Toulouse – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.80

Paris FC all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.26 Paris FC – Lens 0–5 (0–2) 4.003.601.85 1.85 2.00
08.02.26 Auxerre – Paris FC 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.20 1.67
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Paris FC – Angers 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.404.75 2.00 1.80
18.01.26 Nantes – Paris FC 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.45 2.03 1.83
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.12.25 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83
07.12.25 Le Havre – Paris FC 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.03 1.83
29.11.25 Paris FC – Auxerre 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
23.11.25 Lille – Paris FC 4–2 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 1.67 2.20

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Toulouse – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
17.01.26 Toulouse – Nice 5–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.95
02.01.26 Toulouse – Lens 0–3 (0–0) 2.453.102.55 2.00 1.80
06.12.25 Toulouse – Strasbourg 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 Toulouse – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.80
02.11.25 Toulouse – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.75 2.00 1.85
29.10.25 Toulouse – Rennes 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.93
19.10.25 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
27.09.25 Toulouse – Nantes 2–2 (0–1) 1.703.505.50 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 3–6 (1–4) 8.505.251.33 1.57 2.38

Paris FC away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Auxerre – Paris FC 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Nantes – Paris FC 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.45 2.03 1.83
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
07.12.25 Le Havre – Paris FC 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.03 1.83
23.11.25 Lille – Paris FC 4–2 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Monaco – Paris FC 0–1 (0–0) 1.674.334.33 1.44 2.75
19.10.25 Lens – Paris FC 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.754.00 1.67 2.20
28.09.25 Nice – Paris FC 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.62 2.30
14.09.25 Brest – Paris FC 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
23.08.25 Marseille – Paris FC 5–2 (2–1) 1.385.007.50 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsParis FC wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
100%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25F1 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83
02.04.22F2 Toulouse – Paris FC 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.254.50 1.95 1.90
23.10.21F2 Paris FC – Toulouse 2–2 (2–0) 3.253.202.30 2.05 1.75

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lens 23 17 1 5 44 20 +24 52 WLWWWL
2 Paris SG 22 16 3 3 49 19 +30 51 WWWWWL
3 Lyon 22 14 3 5 36 20 +16 45 WWWWWW
4 Marseille 23 12 4 7 48 31 +17 40 WWDLDL
5 Lille 22 10 4 8 35 31 +4 34 LLLLDD
6 Monaco 23 10 4 9 38 36 +2 34 LDWDWW
7 Rennes 22 9 7 6 34 35 -1 34 WDLLLW
8 Strasbourg 22 9 4 9 36 29 +7 31 DWWLLD
9 Lorient 22 8 7 7 29 33 -4 31 DWWWLW
10 Toulouse 22 8 6 8 32 26 +6 30 LWWDLL
11 Brest 23 8 6 9 31 34 -3 30 LLDWDW
12 Angers 22 8 5 9 22 27 -5 29 LLDWWL
13 Le Havre 22 6 8 8 20 27 -7 26 WDDLWW
14 Nice 22 6 5 11 27 40 -13 23 DLWDDL
15 Paris FC 22 5 7 10 26 39 -13 22 LWDDDL
16 Auxerre 22 4 5 13 17 30 -13 17 LLLDDW
17 Nantes 22 3 5 14 20 40 -20 14 WLLLLL
18 Metz 22 3 4 15 22 49 -27 13 DLLLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lens 12 10 0 2 23 8 +15 30 WWWWWL
2 Paris SG 10 9 1 0 27 4 +23 28 WWWWWW
3 Lyon 11 9 0 2 19 7 +12 27 LWWWWW
4 Marseille 11 7 3 1 29 13 +16 24 WDWLWD
5 Monaco 12 7 1 4 25 19 +6 22 LWLLWW
6 Lorient 11 6 4 1 22 16 +6 22 DWWDWW
7 Rennes 11 6 3 2 22 12 +10 21 WWWDLW
8 Brest 12 6 3 3 18 13 +5 21 WWWLWW
9 Lille 11 6 2 3 18 13 +5 20 WWWLLD
10 Angers 11 6 2 3 16 12 +4 20 WLWLWW
11 Le Havre 12 5 5 2 15 11 +4 20 LDWDWW
12 Strasbourg 10 6 1 3 17 7 +10 19 WWLDWL
13 Toulouse 11 4 4 3 19 15 +4 16 DLWLWD
14 Nice 11 4 4 3 14 14 0 16 WLLDDD
15 Auxerre 11 3 2 6 10 12 -2 11 LDWLLD
16 Paris FC 11 2 4 5 14 22 -8 10 LDLDDL
17 Metz 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9 WLLLDL
18 Nantes 11 1 2 8 10 22 -12 5 LDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 12 7 2 3 22 15 +7 23 WLWWWL
2 Lens 11 7 1 3 21 12 +9 22 WWWWLW
3 Lyon 11 5 3 3 17 13 +4 18 DDLWWW
4 Marseille 12 5 1 6 19 18 +1 16 WLWDLL
5 Toulouse 11 4 2 5 13 11 +2 14 DDWWLL
6 Lille 11 4 2 5 17 18 -1 14 LWWLLD
7 Rennes 11 3 4 4 12 23 -11 13 WWLWLL
8 Strasbourg 12 3 3 6 19 22 -3 12 LLDWLD
9 Monaco 11 3 3 5 13 17 -4 12 LLLDDW
10 Paris FC 11 3 3 5 12 17 -5 12 WLDLWD
11 Brest 11 2 3 6 13 21 -8 9 LWLLDD
12 Nantes 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9 DLLWLL
13 Angers 11 2 3 6 6 15 -9 9 LWWLDL
14 Lorient 11 2 3 6 7 17 -10 9 LDDWWL
15 Nice 11 2 1 8 13 26 -13 7 LLLLWL
16 Auxerre 11 1 3 7 7 18 -11 6 LDLLDW
17 Le Havre 10 1 3 6 5 16 -11 6 WDLLDL
18 Metz 11 1 1 9 12 31 -19 4 WLLDLL

Toulouse   Paris FC

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Lens 23 8 15 1.9 0.9 17 1 5 44 20 52 UOUOOO
2 4 Marseille 23 8 15 2.1 1.3 12 4 7 48 31 40 OOOOOU
3 6 Monaco 23 9 14 1.7 1.6 10 4 9 38 36 34 OUOUOO
4 7 Rennes 22 8 14 1.5 1.6 9 7 6 34 35 34 UUUOOO
5 8 Strasbourg 22 8 14 1.6 1.3 9 4 9 36 29 31 UOOOOO
6 15 Paris FC 22 9 13 1.2 1.8 5 7 10 26 39 22 OOUOUO
7 18 Metz 22 9 13 1.0 2.2 3 4 15 22 49 13 UOOUUO
8 2 Paris SG 22 10 12 2.2 0.9 16 3 3 49 19 51 OOUOOO
9 11 Brest 23 11 12 1.3 1.5 8 6 9 31 34 30 OUOUUU
10 14 Nice 22 10 12 1.2 1.8 6 5 11 27 40 23 UOOOUU
11 3 Lyon 22 11 11 1.6 0.9 14 3 5 36 20 45 OOOUUU
12 10 Toulouse 22 11 11 1.5 1.2 8 6 8 32 26 30 OOUUUO
13 17 Nantes 22 11 11 0.9 1.8 3 5 14 20 40 14 UOOOUO
14 5 Lille 22 13 9 1.6 1.4 10 4 8 35 31 34 UOOUUU
15 9 Lorient 22 13 9 1.3 1.5 8 7 7 29 33 31 UOUOUU
16 13 Le Havre 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 6 8 8 20 27 26 OUUUOO
17 16 Auxerre 22 14 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 13 17 30 17 UUUUUO
18 12 Angers 22 16 6 1.0 1.2 8 5 9 22 27 29 OOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Monaco 12 3 9 2.1 1.6 7 1 4 25 19 22 OUOOOO
2 4 Marseille 11 3 8 2.6 1.2 7 3 1 29 13 24 OOUUOO
3 1 Lens 12 5 7 1.9 0.7 10 0 2 23 8 30 UUUUOO
4 7 Rennes 11 4 7 2.0 1.1 6 3 2 22 12 21 OOOUUO
5 15 Paris FC 11 4 7 1.3 2.0 2 4 5 14 22 10 UUOUOO
6 2 Paris SG 10 4 6 2.7 0.4 9 1 0 27 4 28 UOOOOO
7 3 Lyon 11 5 6 1.7 0.6 9 0 2 19 7 27 OOUOUU
8 8 Strasbourg 10 4 6 1.7 0.7 6 1 3 17 7 19 OUOUOO
9 9 Lorient 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 6 4 1 22 16 22 UOUUOU
10 10 Toulouse 11 5 6 1.7 1.4 4 4 3 19 15 16 UUUOOU
11 13 Le Havre 12 6 6 1.2 0.9 5 5 2 15 11 20 UUOUOO
12 11 Brest 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 6 3 3 18 13 21 OUUUUU
13 17 Nantes 11 6 5 0.9 2.0 1 2 8 10 22 5 UUOOOU
14 18 Metz 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9 OUOOUO
15 5 Lille 11 7 4 1.6 1.2 6 2 3 18 13 20 UOUUOU
16 14 Nice 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 4 3 14 14 16 UOUUOU
17 16 Auxerre 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 6 10 12 11 UUOOUU
18 12 Angers 11 8 3 1.5 1.1 6 2 3 16 12 20 UOOOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Lens 11 3 8 1.9 1.1 7 1 3 21 12 22 OOOOOO
2 8 Strasbourg 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 3 6 19 22 12 UUUOOO
3 14 Nice 11 3 8 1.2 2.4 2 1 8 13 26 7 OOUOOU
4 18 Metz 11 3 8 1.1 2.8 1 1 9 12 31 4 UOOUOU
5 4 Marseille 12 5 7 1.6 1.5 5 1 6 19 18 16 OUOOOU
6 7 Rennes 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 3 4 4 12 23 13 UUOUOO
7 11 Brest 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 3 6 13 21 9 OOOOOU
8 2 Paris SG 12 6 6 1.8 1.2 7 2 3 22 15 23 OUOUOO
9 15 Paris FC 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 17 12 UOUOOU
10 17 Nantes 11 5 6 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9 UOOUOO
11 3 Lyon 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 17 13 18 UUUOOU
12 5 Lille 11 6 5 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 17 18 14 UUOOUU
13 6 Monaco 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 17 12 OUUUUO
14 10 Toulouse 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 4 2 5 13 11 14 UOOUUO
15 16 Auxerre 11 7 4 0.6 1.6 1 3 7 7 18 6 UUUUUO
16 9 Lorient 11 8 3 0.6 1.5 2 3 6 7 17 9 OUUOUU
17 12 Angers 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 3 6 6 15 9 UUUOUU
18 13 Le Havre 10 7 3 0.5 1.6 1 3 6 5 16 6 UUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10