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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 1–3 Nice

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.70 fair 1.70
Draw 4.50 fair 5.03
Away ✓ 4.10 fair 4.71
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 3.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Nice
32 Shots 7
13 Shots on target 3
17 Corners 0
9 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (270 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 2.24 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawNice
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 8.5% 2–0 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.60points / match
2.77scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 83:28
Nice before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.87scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 56:38
Paris SG all matches all matches Nice

Per match

2.77 Goals scored 1.87
0.93 Goals conceded 1.27
3.70 Total goals 3.13
18.13 Shots 14.73
8.27 Shots on target 5.83
9.40 Shots faced 12.90
6.27 Corners 5.17
3.27 Corners against 5.23
8.50 Fouls 11.30
1.00 Yellow cards 1.83
1.17 1st-half goals scored 1.10
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

80% Wins 47%
20% Draws 30%
0% Losses 23%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 93%
70% Over 2.5 goals 60%
53% Over 3.5 goals 33%
37% Over 4.5 goals 17%
20% Over 5.5 goals 7%
77% Both teams scored 73%
23% Clean sheets 20%
3% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 57%
30% Draws 27%
10% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
40% Over 1.5 goals 37%
13% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Nice all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.73points / match
2.73scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 41:12
Nice before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:23
Paris SG at home away Nice

Per match

2.73 Goals scored 1.67
0.80 Goals conceded 1.53
3.53 Total goals 3.20
19.60 Shots 13.53
8.27 Shots on target 5.33
8.67 Shots faced 14.33
6.60 Corners 4.47
2.93 Corners against 5.40
8.27 Fouls 11.27
1.00 Yellow cards 2.07
1.33 1st-half goals scored 1.07
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

87% Wins 33%
13% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 87%
73% Over 2.5 goals 67%
53% Over 3.5 goals 47%
27% Over 4.5 goals 20%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
73% Both teams scored 80%
27% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 60%
33% Draws 27%
0% Losses 13%
87% Over 0.5 goals 87%
53% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Nice away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.25 Nantes – Paris SG 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.501.40 1.44 2.75
19.04.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 2–1 (1–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
05.04.25 Paris SG – Angers 1–0 (0–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.25 4.00
29.03.25 St Etienne – Paris SG 1–6 (1–1) 17.008.501.14 1.22 4.33
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
08.03.25 Rennes – Paris SG 1–4 (0–1) 4.753.901.70 1.67 2.20
01.03.25 Paris SG – Lille 4–1 (4–0) 1.404.757.50 1.50 2.63
23.02.25 Lyon – Paris SG 2–3 (0–0) 4.204.331.70 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
07.02.25 Paris SG – Monaco 4–1 (1–1) 1.385.506.50 1.30 3.50

Nice all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.25 Nice – Angers 2–1 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.73 2.10
12.04.25 Strasbourg – Nice 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 1.85 2.05
04.04.25 Nice – Nantes 1–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.73 2.10
29.03.25 Monaco – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.903.75 1.62 2.30
14.03.25 Nice – Auxerre 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.906.00 1.73 2.10
09.03.25 Nice – Lyon 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.703.50 1.62 2.30
01.03.25 St Etienne – Nice 1–3 (1–1) 5.004.001.67 1.62 2.30
23.02.25 Nice – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
16.02.25 Le Havre – Nice 1–3 (1–2) 5.004.001.62 1.80 1.98
08.02.25 Nice – Lens 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 1.91 1.99

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 2–1 (1–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
05.04.25 Paris SG – Angers 1–0 (0–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
01.03.25 Paris SG – Lille 4–1 (4–0) 1.404.757.50 1.50 2.63
07.02.25 Paris SG – Monaco 4–1 (1–1) 1.385.506.50 1.30 3.50
25.01.25 Paris SG – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 1.276.509.00 1.44 2.75
12.01.25 Paris SG – St Etienne 2–1 (2–0) 1.099.5023.00 1.25 4.00
15.12.24 Paris SG – Lyon 3–1 (2–1) 1.406.005.75 1.29 3.75
30.11.24 Paris SG – Nantes 1–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
22.11.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63

Nice away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Strasbourg – Nice 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 1.85 2.05
29.03.25 Monaco – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.903.75 1.62 2.30
01.03.25 St Etienne – Nice 1–3 (1–1) 5.004.001.67 1.62 2.30
16.02.25 Le Havre – Nice 1–3 (1–2) 5.004.001.62 1.80 1.98
02.02.25 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 1.95 1.95
17.01.25 Lille – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.99 1.91
11.01.25 Reims – Nice 2–4 (1–2) 2.603.502.60 1.80 2.00
15.12.24 Montpellier – Nice 2–2 (1–2) 2.903.602.30 1.73 2.10
01.12.24 Lyon – Nice 4–1 (3–1) 1.913.803.70 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Brest – Nice 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.252.75 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsNice wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
43%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24F1 Nice – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
15.05.24F1 Nice – Paris SG 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.602.63 1.57 2.38
15.09.23F1 Paris SG – Nice 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
08.04.23F1 Nice – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.67 2.20
01.10.22F1 Paris SG – Nice 2–1 (1–0) 1.168.5013.00 1.33 3.40
05.03.22F1 Nice – Paris SG 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.66 2.20
01.12.21F1 Paris SG – Nice 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.53 2.50

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 30 24 6 0 83 28 +55 78
2 Marseille 30 17 4 9 62 42 +20 55
3 Monaco 30 16 6 8 57 35 +22 54
4 Lille 30 15 8 7 47 32 +15 53
5 Nice 30 14 9 7 56 38 +18 51
6 Lyon 30 15 6 9 58 41 +17 51
7 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 48 37 +11 51
8 Lens 30 13 6 11 35 33 +2 45
9 Brest 30 13 5 12 48 49 -1 44
10 Rennes 30 12 2 16 45 40 +5 38
11 Auxerre 30 10 8 12 41 45 -4 38
12 Toulouse 30 9 7 14 38 39 -1 34
13 Reims 30 8 8 14 32 42 -10 32
14 Nantes 30 7 10 13 35 50 -15 31
15 Angers 30 8 6 16 29 48 -19 30
16 Le Havre 30 8 3 19 33 64 -31 27
17 St Etienne 30 7 6 17 33 68 -35 27
18 Montpellier 30 4 3 23 22 71 -49 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 41 12 +29 41
2 Monaco 16 11 3 2 36 16 +20 36
3 Lille 15 10 3 2 28 16 +12 33
4 Nice 15 9 4 2 31 15 +16 31
5 Lyon 14 9 2 3 30 18 +12 29
6 Strasbourg 14 8 5 1 26 15 +11 29
7 Marseille 15 8 4 3 33 20 +13 28
8 Brest 15 8 3 4 28 21 +7 27
9 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 22 14 +8 26
10 Rennes 16 8 1 7 23 17 +6 25
11 St Etienne 15 6 3 6 21 27 -6 21
12 Lens 15 6 2 7 15 18 -3 20
13 Nantes 14 4 5 5 16 17 -1 17
14 Toulouse 15 4 4 7 17 20 -3 16
15 Reims 16 4 4 8 17 23 -6 16
16 Angers 15 4 2 9 16 30 -14 14
17 Montpellier 15 3 3 9 16 37 -21 12
18 Le Havre 15 3 1 11 13 37 -24 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 11 4 0 42 16 +26 37
2 Marseille 15 9 0 6 29 22 +7 27
3 Lens 15 7 4 4 20 15 +5 25
4 Lyon 16 6 4 6 28 23 +5 22
5 Strasbourg 16 6 4 6 22 22 0 22
6 Lille 15 5 5 5 19 16 +3 20
7 Nice 15 5 5 5 25 23 +2 20
8 Monaco 14 5 3 6 21 19 +2 18
9 Toulouse 15 5 3 7 21 19 +2 18
10 Le Havre 15 5 2 8 20 27 -7 17
11 Brest 15 5 2 8 20 28 -8 17
12 Reims 14 4 4 6 15 19 -4 16
13 Angers 15 4 4 7 13 18 -5 16
14 Nantes 16 3 5 8 19 33 -14 14
15 Rennes 14 4 1 9 22 23 -1 13
16 Auxerre 15 3 3 9 19 31 -12 12
17 St Etienne 15 1 3 11 12 41 -29 6
18 Montpellier 15 1 0 14 6 34 -28 3

Paris SG   Nice

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 30 9 21 2.8 0.9 24 6 0 83 28 78
2 2 Marseille 30 10 20 2.1 1.4 17 4 9 62 42 55
3 3 Monaco 30 10 20 1.9 1.2 16 6 8 57 35 54
4 6 Lyon 30 10 20 1.9 1.4 15 6 9 58 41 51
5 9 Brest 30 11 19 1.6 1.6 13 5 12 48 49 44
6 5 Nice 30 12 18 1.9 1.3 14 9 7 56 38 51
7 11 Auxerre 30 12 18 1.4 1.5 10 8 12 41 45 38
8 16 Le Havre 30 12 18 1.1 2.1 8 3 19 33 64 27
9 10 Rennes 30 13 17 1.5 1.3 12 2 16 45 40 38
10 18 Montpellier 30 13 17 0.7 2.4 4 3 23 22 71 15
11 4 Lille 30 14 16 1.6 1.1 15 8 7 47 32 53
12 7 Strasbourg 30 14 16 1.6 1.2 14 9 7 48 37 51
13 17 St Etienne 30 14 16 1.1 2.3 7 6 17 33 68 27
14 12 Toulouse 30 15 15 1.3 1.3 9 7 14 38 39 34
15 13 Reims 30 16 14 1.1 1.4 8 8 14 32 42 32
16 14 Nantes 30 16 14 1.2 1.7 7 10 13 35 50 31
17 15 Angers 30 20 10 1.0 1.6 8 6 16 29 48 30
18 8 Lens 30 21 9 1.2 1.1 13 6 11 35 33 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 15 4 11 2.7 0.8 13 2 0 41 12 41
2 16 Le Havre 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 3 1 11 13 37 10
3 18 Montpellier 15 4 11 1.1 2.5 3 3 9 16 37 12
4 3 Monaco 16 6 10 2.2 1.0 11 3 2 36 16 36
5 2 Marseille 15 6 9 2.2 1.3 8 4 3 33 20 28
6 4 Lille 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 10 3 2 28 16 33
7 6 Lyon 14 5 9 2.1 1.3 9 2 3 30 18 29
8 7 Strasbourg 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 1 26 15 29
9 9 Brest 15 6 9 1.9 1.4 8 3 4 28 21 27
10 11 Auxerre 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 7 5 3 22 14 26
11 5 Nice 15 7 8 2.1 1.0 9 4 2 31 15 31
12 10 Rennes 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 8 1 7 23 17 25
13 12 Toulouse 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 17 20 16
14 15 Angers 15 8 7 1.1 2.0 4 2 9 16 30 14
15 17 St Etienne 15 8 7 1.4 1.8 6 3 6 21 27 21
16 13 Reims 16 10 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 8 17 23 16
17 14 Nantes 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 4 5 5 16 17 17
18 8 Lens 15 11 4 1.0 1.2 6 2 7 15 18 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Marseille 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 9 0 6 29 22 27
2 6 Lyon 16 5 11 1.8 1.4 6 4 6 28 23 22
3 1 Paris SG 15 5 10 2.8 1.1 11 4 0 42 16 37
4 3 Monaco 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 5 3 6 21 19 18
5 5 Nice 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 5 5 5 25 23 20
6 9 Brest 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 2 8 20 28 17
7 10 Rennes 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 4 1 9 22 23 13
8 11 Auxerre 15 6 9 1.3 2.1 3 3 9 19 31 12
9 14 Nantes 16 7 9 1.2 2.1 3 5 8 19 33 14
10 17 St Etienne 15 6 9 0.8 2.7 1 3 11 12 41 6
11 12 Toulouse 15 7 8 1.4 1.3 5 3 7 21 19 18
12 13 Reims 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 4 4 6 15 19 16
13 4 Lille 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 5 5 5 19 16 20
14 7 Strasbourg 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 22 22 22
15 16 Le Havre 15 8 7 1.3 1.8 5 2 8 20 27 17
16 18 Montpellier 15 9 6 0.4 2.3 1 0 14 6 34 3
17 8 Lens 15 10 5 1.3 1.0 7 4 4 20 15 25
18 15 Angers 15 12 3 0.9 1.2 4 4 7 13 18 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51