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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 3–1 Lyon

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.87
Draw 6.00 fair 4.53
Away 5.75 fair 4.11
Under 2.5 3.75 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.29 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Lyon
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 3
7 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (134 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawLyon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.64scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 37:11
Lyon before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.86scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:17
Paris SG all matches all matches Lyon

Per match

2.64 Goals scored 1.86
0.79 Goals conceded 1.21
3.43 Total goals 3.07
19.00 Shots 13.64
8.71 Shots on target 6.14
8.71 Shots faced 12.71
7.64 Corners 6.07
3.36 Corners against 4.50
7.93 Fouls 11.21
1.21 Yellow cards 1.57
1.29 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

71% Wins 50%
29% Draws 29%
0% Losses 21%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
64% Over 2.5 goals 57%
50% Over 3.5 goals 36%
29% Over 4.5 goals 21%
21% Over 5.5 goals 7%
64% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 36%
7% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 50%
21% Draws 36%
14% Losses 14%
93% Over 0.5 goals 79%
43% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Lyon all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.71points / match
3.00scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 21:5
Lyon before this match, away
1.71points / match
1.57scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:6
Paris SG at home away Lyon

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.57
0.71 Goals conceded 0.86
3.71 Total goals 2.43
20.29 Shots 12.43
8.86 Shots on target 4.86
9.86 Shots faced 12.71
7.57 Corners 6.14
3.43 Corners against 4.14
7.43 Fouls 12.14
1.14 Yellow cards 1.43
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

86% Wins 43%
14% Draws 43%
0% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 57%
57% Over 3.5 goals 14%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
29% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 43%
0% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 43%
29% Draws 29%
0% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Lyon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24 Auxerre – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 9.005.751.30 1.36 3.20
30.11.24 Paris SG – Nantes 1–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
22.11.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
09.11.24 Angers – Paris SG 2–4 (0–4) 12.006.251.22 1.40 3.00
02.11.24 Paris SG – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.25 1.53 2.50
27.10.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Paris SG – Strasbourg 4–2 (1–0) 1.275.7510.00 1.33 3.20
06.10.24 Nice – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
27.09.24 Paris SG – Rennes 3–1 (1–0) 1.385.257.50 1.57 2.38
21.09.24 Reims – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50

Lyon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Angers – Lyon 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.62 2.30
01.12.24 Lyon – Nice 4–1 (3–1) 1.913.803.70 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Reims – Lyon 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.752.35 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Lyon – St Etienne 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
01.11.24 Lille – Lyon 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.753.10 1.62 2.30
27.10.24 Lyon – Auxerre 2–2 (1–0) 1.485.005.50 1.44 2.75
20.10.24 Le Havre – Lyon 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.73 2.10
06.10.24 Lyon – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.402.88 1.84 2.06
22.09.24 Lyon – Marseille 2–3 (0–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Paris SG – Nantes 1–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
22.11.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
02.11.24 Paris SG – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.25 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Paris SG – Strasbourg 4–2 (1–0) 1.275.7510.00 1.33 3.20
27.09.24 Paris SG – Rennes 3–1 (1–0) 1.385.257.50 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 (1–1) 1.276.0010.00 1.44 2.75
23.08.24 Paris SG – Montpellier 6–0 (2–0) 1.257.0010.00 1.33 3.40
12.05.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 1–3 (1–1) 1.406.005.75 1.40 3.00
27.04.24 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.757.50 1.62 2.30
21.04.24 Paris SG – Lyon 4–1 (4–1) 1.445.256.00 1.44 2.75

Lyon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Angers – Lyon 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Reims – Lyon 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.752.35 1.57 2.38
01.11.24 Lille – Lyon 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.753.10 1.62 2.30
20.10.24 Le Havre – Lyon 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.402.88 1.84 2.06
15.09.24 Lens – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.10
18.08.24 Rennes – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 2.353.502.90 1.80 2.00
12.05.24 Clermont – Lyon 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.501.55 1.44 2.75
06.05.24 Lille – Lyon 3–4 (2–0) 1.913.803.80 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Paris SG – Lyon 4–1 (4–1) 1.445.256.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsLyon wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
50%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.24F1 Paris SG – Lyon 4–1 (4–1) 1.445.256.00 1.44 2.75
03.09.23F1 Lyon – Paris SG 1–4 (0–4) 6.004.751.50 1.44 2.75
02.04.23F1 Paris SG – Lyon 0–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
18.09.22F1 Lyon – Paris SG 0–1 (0–1) 4.504.751.61 1.36 3.20
09.01.22F1 Lyon – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 3.604.201.83 1.50 2.62
19.09.21F1 Paris SG – Lyon 2–1 (0–0) 1.305.759.00 1.40 3.00

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 14 10 4 0 37 11 +26 34
2 Marseille 15 9 3 3 32 18 +14 30
3 Monaco 15 9 3 3 24 12 +12 30
4 Lille 15 7 6 2 25 15 +10 27
5 Lyon 14 7 4 3 26 17 +9 25
6 Nice 15 6 6 3 28 19 +9 24
7 Lens 15 6 6 3 19 14 +5 24
8 Auxerre 15 6 3 6 23 23 0 21
9 Toulouse 15 6 3 6 17 17 0 21
10 Reims 15 5 5 5 20 18 +2 20
11 Brest 15 6 1 8 24 27 -3 19
12 Rennes 15 5 2 8 20 20 0 17
13 Strasbourg 15 4 5 6 25 27 -2 17
14 Nantes 15 3 5 7 17 24 -7 14
15 Angers 15 3 4 8 14 26 -12 13
16 St Etienne 15 4 1 10 12 34 -22 13
17 Le Havre 15 4 0 11 11 29 -18 12
18 Montpellier 15 2 3 10 15 38 -23 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 21 5 +16 19
2 Auxerre 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
3 Monaco 8 5 2 1 12 6 +6 17
4 Rennes 8 5 1 2 16 5 +11 16
5 Brest 8 5 1 2 17 9 +8 16
6 Nice 7 4 3 0 18 7 +11 15
7 Lille 7 4 2 1 13 9 +4 14
8 Toulouse 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
9 Lyon 7 4 1 2 15 11 +4 13
10 Strasbourg 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
11 St Etienne 7 4 0 3 7 7 0 12
12 Lens 7 3 2 2 8 7 +1 11
13 Marseille 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
14 Reims 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
15 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 12 19 -7 9
16 Nantes 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
17 Le Havre 8 2 0 6 5 19 -14 6
18 Angers 7 1 1 5 9 18 -9 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Marseille 8 7 0 1 23 7 +16 21
2 Paris SG 7 4 3 0 16 6 +10 15
3 Lille 8 3 4 1 12 6 +6 13
4 Monaco 7 4 1 2 12 6 +6 13
5 Lens 8 3 4 1 11 7 +4 13
6 Lyon 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12
7 Reims 7 3 2 2 11 7 +4 11
8 Nice 8 2 3 3 10 12 -2 9
9 Angers 8 2 3 3 5 8 -3 9
10 Toulouse 7 2 1 4 7 10 -3 7
11 Le Havre 7 2 0 5 6 10 -4 6
12 Nantes 8 1 3 4 9 15 -6 6
13 Strasbourg 8 1 2 5 14 19 -5 5
14 Auxerre 7 1 1 5 9 16 -7 4
15 Brest 7 1 0 6 7 18 -11 3
16 Rennes 7 0 1 6 4 15 -11 1
17 St Etienne 8 0 1 7 5 27 -22 1
18 Montpellier 7 0 0 7 3 19 -16 0

Paris SG   Lyon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Auxerre 15 4 11 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 23 23 21
2 18 Montpellier 15 4 11 1.0 2.5 2 3 10 15 38 9
3 2 Marseille 15 5 10 2.1 1.2 9 3 3 32 18 30
4 11 Brest 15 5 10 1.6 1.8 6 1 8 24 27 19
5 13 Strasbourg 15 5 10 1.7 1.8 4 5 6 25 27 17
6 1 Paris SG 14 5 9 2.6 0.8 10 4 0 37 11 34
7 6 Nice 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 6 6 3 28 19 24
8 3 Monaco 15 7 8 1.6 0.8 9 3 3 24 12 30
9 5 Lyon 14 6 8 1.9 1.2 7 4 3 26 17 25
10 10 Reims 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 5 5 20 18 20
11 12 Rennes 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 5 2 8 20 20 17
12 17 Le Havre 15 7 8 0.7 1.9 4 0 11 11 29 12
13 4 Lille 15 8 7 1.7 1.0 7 6 2 25 15 27
14 14 Nantes 15 8 7 1.1 1.6 3 5 7 17 24 14
15 16 St Etienne 15 8 7 0.8 2.3 4 1 10 12 34 13
16 9 Toulouse 15 9 6 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 17 17 21
17 15 Angers 15 10 5 0.9 1.7 3 4 8 14 26 13
18 7 Lens 15 11 4 1.3 0.9 6 6 3 19 14 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Montpellier 8 1 7 1.5 2.4 2 3 3 12 19 9
2 8 Auxerre 8 2 6 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
3 17 Le Havre 8 2 6 0.6 2.4 2 0 6 5 19 6
4 1 Paris SG 7 2 5 3.0 0.7 6 1 0 21 5 19
5 6 Nice 7 2 5 2.6 1.0 4 3 0 18 7 15
6 15 Angers 7 2 5 1.3 2.6 1 1 5 9 18 4
7 2 Marseille 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
8 4 Lille 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 4 2 1 13 9 14
9 5 Lyon 7 3 4 2.1 1.6 4 1 2 15 11 13
10 11 Brest 8 4 4 2.1 1.1 5 1 2 17 9 16
11 12 Rennes 8 4 4 2.0 0.6 5 1 2 16 5 16
12 13 Strasbourg 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
13 3 Monaco 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 2 1 12 6 17
14 9 Toulouse 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
15 10 Reims 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
16 14 Nantes 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
17 7 Lens 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 3 2 2 8 7 11
18 16 St Etienne 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 4 0 3 7 7 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Marseille 8 2 6 2.9 0.9 7 0 1 23 7 21
2 11 Brest 7 1 6 1.0 2.6 1 0 6 7 18 3
3 13 Strasbourg 8 2 6 1.8 2.4 1 2 5 14 19 5
4 16 St Etienne 8 2 6 0.6 3.4 0 1 7 5 27 1
5 3 Monaco 7 2 5 1.7 0.9 4 1 2 12 6 13
6 8 Auxerre 7 2 5 1.3 2.3 1 1 5 9 16 4
7 10 Reims 7 2 5 1.6 1.0 3 2 2 11 7 11
8 1 Paris SG 7 3 4 2.3 0.9 4 3 0 16 6 15
9 5 Lyon 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12
10 6 Nice 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 2 3 3 10 12 9
11 12 Rennes 7 3 4 0.6 2.1 0 1 6 4 15 1
12 14 Nantes 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 1 3 4 9 15 6
13 18 Montpellier 7 3 4 0.4 2.7 0 0 7 3 19 0
14 4 Lille 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 3 4 1 12 6 13
15 9 Toulouse 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 4 7 10 7
16 7 Lens 8 6 2 1.4 0.9 3 4 1 11 7 13
17 17 Le Havre 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 2 0 5 6 10 6
18 15 Angers 8 8 0 0.6 1.0 2 3 3 5 8 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51