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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 2–3 Marseille

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.80 fair 3.25
Draw 3.75 fair 4.29
Away ✓ 1.91 fair 2.17
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.55
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Marseille
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 10
8 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (239 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.75
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 7.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.70scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 39:39
Marseille before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
1.96scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 45:20
Toulouse all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.96
1.70 Goals conceded 0.87
3.39 Total goals 2.83
11.87 Shots 14.57
4.91 Shots on target 5.17
14.43 Shots faced 11.39
4.96 Corners 5.65
5.26 Corners against 4.35
12.48 Fouls 14.04
1.70 Yellow cards 1.91
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

39% Wins 65%
22% Draws 17%
39% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
96% Over 1.5 goals 83%
70% Over 2.5 goals 52%
39% Over 3.5 goals 26%
22% Over 4.5 goals 13%
9% Over 5.5 goals 4%
65% Both teams scored 57%
17% Clean sheets 35%
17% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 43%
30% Draws 39%
26% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 78%
39% Over 1.5 goals 39%
22% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Marseille all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
1.83points / match
1.92scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:17
Marseille before this match, away
2.36points / match
2.00scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 22:7
Toulouse at home away Marseille

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 2.00
1.42 Goals conceded 0.64
3.33 Total goals 2.64
13.25 Shots 13.73
5.83 Shots on target 5.18
14.08 Shots faced 12.45
4.92 Corners 4.45
5.83 Corners against 5.09
12.83 Fouls 13.91
2.00 Yellow cards 1.82
1.17 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

50% Wins 73%
33% Draws 18%
17% Losses 9%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 91%
58% Over 2.5 goals 45%
50% Over 3.5 goals 18%
25% Over 4.5 goals 9%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 36%
17% Clean sheets 55%
17% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 64%
25% Draws 27%
17% Losses 9%
83% Over 0.5 goals 82%
42% Over 1.5 goals 27%
33% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.23 Toulouse – Rennes 3–1 (3–0) 3.203.302.30 1.80 2.00
04.02.23 Paris SG – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.75
01.02.23 Toulouse – Troyes 4–1 (2–1) 1.734.004.33 1.67 2.20
29.01.23 Strasbourg – Toulouse 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.10 1.73 2.10
15.01.23 Toulouse – Brest 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
11.01.23 Auxerre – Toulouse 0–5 (0–3) 2.753.302.60 1.90 2.00
01.01.23 Toulouse – Ajaccio 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.04 1.86
29.12.22 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
12.11.22 Rennes – Toulouse 2–1 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.61 2.30
06.11.22 Toulouse – Monaco 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.37

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Clermont – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.503.501.70 2.02 1.88
05.02.23 Marseille – Nice 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 2.00 1.90
01.02.23 Nantes – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.94 1.96
28.01.23 Marseille – Monaco 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
14.01.23 Marseille – Lorient 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.62 2.30
11.01.23 Troyes – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
02.01.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
29.12.22 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
13.11.22 Monaco – Marseille 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.66 2.20
06.11.22 Marseille – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.72 2.10

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.23 Toulouse – Rennes 3–1 (3–0) 3.203.302.30 1.80 2.00
01.02.23 Toulouse – Troyes 4–1 (2–1) 1.734.004.33 1.67 2.20
15.01.23 Toulouse – Brest 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
01.01.23 Toulouse – Ajaccio 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.04 1.86
06.11.22 Toulouse – Monaco 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.37
23.10.22 Toulouse – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.84 2.06
16.10.22 Toulouse – Angers 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.804.00 1.72 2.10
02.10.22 Toulouse – Montpellier 4–2 (3–1) 1.853.803.75 1.72 2.10
11.09.22 Toulouse – Reims 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.86 2.04
31.08.22 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.33 3.40

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Clermont – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.503.501.70 2.02 1.88
01.02.23 Nantes – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.94 1.96
11.01.23 Troyes – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
02.01.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Monaco – Marseille 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.66 2.20
29.10.22 Strasbourg – Marseille 2–2 (0–2) 2.903.502.37 1.89 2.01
16.10.22 Paris SG – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
30.09.22 Angers – Marseille 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.801.72 1.80 2.00
03.09.22 Auxerre – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.66 1.72 2.10
28.08.22 Nice – Marseille 0–3 (0–3) 2.703.502.55 1.99 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsMarseille wins
1matches
7.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.22F1 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30

France Ligue 1 table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 24 18 3 3 59 23 +36 57 LDWWLW
2 Monaco 24 15 5 4 53 31 +22 50 WDWWWW
3 Marseille 23 15 4 4 45 20 +25 49 WWDWLW
4 Lens 24 14 7 3 38 19 +19 49 WDLDLW
5 Rennes 24 13 4 7 44 28 +16 43 WLWLLW
6 Lille 24 12 5 7 43 31 +12 41 WLDWWL
7 Lorient 24 11 6 7 38 35 +3 39 LWLDLW
8 Nice 24 10 8 6 30 21 +9 38 DWWWWD
9 Lyon 24 10 5 9 36 27 +9 35 LWDWWL
10 Reims 24 7 13 4 30 26 +4 34 DDWDWD
11 Toulouse 23 9 5 9 39 39 0 32 WDWWLW
12 Clermont 24 8 6 10 24 33 -9 30 WDDLLL
13 Nantes 24 6 10 8 25 29 -4 28 WDLWWL
14 Montpellier 24 8 2 14 35 45 -10 26 LWLLWW
15 Strasbourg 24 4 9 11 29 42 -13 21 WLLWLW
16 Brest 24 4 8 12 25 40 -15 20 DWDDLL
17 Troyes 24 4 7 13 33 53 -20 19 LDLLLL
18 Auxerre 24 4 6 14 21 48 -27 18 LLLDDW
19 Ajaccio 24 5 3 16 18 45 -27 18 LLWLLL
20 Angers 24 2 4 18 20 50 -30 10 LLLDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Rennes 13 11 0 2 30 10 +20 33 WWWWLW
2 Lens 12 11 0 1 25 9 +16 33 WWWWLW
3 Paris SG 12 10 2 0 30 13 +17 32 WWWDWW
4 Lille 12 7 3 2 23 17 +6 24 DWDWDW
5 Monaco 12 7 2 3 29 19 +10 23 WLWWWW
6 Marseille 12 7 2 3 23 13 +10 23 LWWWDL
7 Toulouse 12 6 4 2 23 17 +6 22 DLWDWW
8 Lyon 12 6 3 3 19 10 +9 21 WDLLDW
9 Lorient 12 6 3 3 19 14 +5 21 LLDWDW
10 Nice 12 5 4 3 16 10 +6 19 WDWWWD
11 Reims 11 5 4 2 18 13 +5 19 WWWDWW
12 Nantes 11 4 5 2 13 11 +2 17 DDWDLW
13 Clermont 12 4 2 6 10 20 -10 14 DLWDLL
14 Montpellier 12 4 1 7 16 21 -5 13 LDLLLW
15 Auxerre 12 3 4 5 11 20 -9 13 WLLLDW
16 Strasbourg 13 2 6 5 16 21 -5 12 DLDLWW
17 Brest 12 2 5 5 13 20 -7 11 WLDWDL
18 Troyes 12 1 7 4 12 18 -6 10 DDLDLL
19 Ajaccio 11 2 1 8 7 18 -11 7 LWWLLL
20 Angers 12 1 2 9 13 25 -12 5 LLLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Monaco 12 8 3 1 24 12 +12 27 WWDDWW
2 Marseille 11 8 2 1 22 7 +15 26 DWWWWW
3 Paris SG 12 8 1 3 29 10 +19 25 WWLLWL
4 Nice 12 5 4 3 14 11 +3 19 WDLDWW
5 Lorient 12 5 3 4 19 21 -2 18 DDWLLL
6 Lille 12 5 2 5 20 14 +6 17 LWDLWL
7 Lens 12 3 7 2 13 10 +3 16 WDDDDL
8 Clermont 12 4 4 4 14 13 +1 16 DLWWDL
9 Reims 13 2 9 2 12 13 -1 15 DDWDDD
10 Lyon 12 4 2 6 17 17 0 14 LWDWWL
11 Montpellier 12 4 1 7 19 24 -5 13 DWLWLW
12 Nantes 13 2 5 6 12 18 -6 11 LDWDWL
13 Ajaccio 13 3 2 8 11 27 -16 11 DLLWLL
14 Rennes 11 2 4 5 14 18 -4 10 WDLLLL
15 Toulouse 11 3 1 7 16 22 -6 10 LLLWWL
16 Strasbourg 11 2 3 6 13 21 -8 9 DLLWLL
17 Brest 12 2 3 7 12 20 -8 9 WLLDDL
18 Troyes 12 3 0 9 21 35 -14 9 LLWLLL
19 Auxerre 12 1 2 9 10 28 -18 5 DLLLLD
20 Angers 12 1 2 9 7 25 -18 5 LLLLDL

Toulouse   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Rennes 24 7 17 1.8 1.2 13 4 7 44 28 43 UOOOOU
2 7 Lorient 24 7 17 1.6 1.5 11 6 7 38 35 39 OOOUUO
3 1 Paris SG 24 8 16 2.5 1.0 18 3 3 59 23 57 UUOOOO
4 11 Toulouse 23 7 16 1.7 1.7 9 5 9 39 39 32 OUOOOO
5 17 Troyes 24 8 16 1.4 2.2 4 7 13 33 53 19 OUOOOU
6 20 Angers 24 8 16 0.8 2.1 2 4 18 20 50 10 OOOUUO
7 14 Montpellier 24 9 15 1.5 1.9 8 2 14 35 45 26 OUOUOU
8 15 Strasbourg 24 9 15 1.2 1.8 4 9 11 29 42 21 OOOUUO
9 2 Monaco 24 10 14 2.2 1.3 15 5 4 53 31 50 OUOUOO
10 6 Lille 24 11 13 1.8 1.3 12 5 7 43 31 41 OUUOUO
11 9 Lyon 24 11 13 1.5 1.1 10 5 9 36 27 35 OUUOOO
12 18 Auxerre 24 11 13 0.9 2.0 4 6 14 21 48 18 UUOUUO
13 3 Marseille 23 11 12 2.0 0.9 15 4 4 45 20 49 UOUUOU
14 16 Brest 24 12 12 1.0 1.7 4 8 12 25 40 20 UOUUOO
15 19 Ajaccio 24 12 12 0.8 1.9 5 3 16 18 45 18 OUOUOO
16 4 Lens 24 13 11 1.6 0.8 14 7 3 38 19 49 UUUUOO
17 12 Clermont 24 14 10 1.0 1.4 8 6 10 24 33 30 OUUUUU
18 13 Nantes 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 6 10 8 25 29 28 OUUUUO
19 8 Nice 24 15 9 1.2 0.9 10 8 6 30 21 38 UUUOOU
20 10 Reims 24 15 9 1.2 1.1 7 13 4 30 26 34 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Rennes 13 3 10 2.3 0.8 11 0 2 30 10 33 OOUOOU
2 20 Angers 12 2 10 1.1 2.1 1 2 9 13 25 5 OOOOOU
3 7 Lorient 12 3 9 1.6 1.2 6 3 3 19 14 21 OUOOUO
4 14 Montpellier 12 3 9 1.3 1.8 4 1 7 16 21 13 OUOOOO
5 2 Monaco 12 4 8 2.4 1.6 7 2 3 29 19 23 UOUOOO
6 15 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 2 6 5 16 21 12 UOOOUO
7 1 Paris SG 12 5 7 2.5 1.1 10 2 0 30 13 32 OOUUOO
8 3 Marseille 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 7 2 3 23 13 23 UUOOUO
9 4 Lens 12 5 7 2.1 0.8 11 0 1 25 9 33 OOOUUO
10 11 Toulouse 12 5 7 1.9 1.4 6 4 2 23 17 22 OUUUOO
11 6 Lille 12 6 6 1.9 1.4 7 3 2 23 17 24 UUUOUU
12 9 Lyon 12 6 6 1.6 0.8 6 3 3 19 10 21 UUUOUO
13 10 Reims 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 4 2 18 13 19 OUOUOO
14 16 Brest 12 6 6 1.1 1.7 2 5 5 13 20 11 OOUOUO
15 12 Clermont 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 6 10 20 14 UUOUUU
16 17 Troyes 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 1 7 4 12 18 10 UUUUOU
17 18 Auxerre 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 3 4 5 11 20 13 UOOUUO
18 8 Nice 12 8 4 1.3 0.8 5 4 3 16 10 19 UUOUOU
19 13 Nantes 11 7 4 1.2 1.0 4 5 2 13 11 17 UOUUUU
20 19 Ajaccio 11 7 4 0.6 1.6 2 1 8 7 18 7 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Troyes 12 1 11 1.8 2.9 3 0 9 21 35 9 OOOOOO
2 1 Paris SG 12 3 9 2.4 0.8 8 1 3 29 10 25 OOOUOO
3 11 Toulouse 11 2 9 1.5 2.0 3 1 7 16 22 10 OOOOOO
4 7 Lorient 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 5 3 4 19 21 18 OUOOOU
5 18 Auxerre 12 4 8 0.8 2.3 1 2 9 10 28 5 UOUUOU
6 19 Ajaccio 13 5 8 0.8 2.1 3 2 8 11 27 11 OUOOOO
7 5 Rennes 11 4 7 1.3 1.6 2 4 5 14 18 10 OUOOOO
8 6 Lille 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 5 2 5 20 14 17 UUUUOO
9 9 Lyon 12 5 7 1.4 1.4 4 2 6 17 17 14 UOUUOO
10 15 Strasbourg 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 3 6 13 21 9 OOOOOU
11 2 Monaco 12 6 6 2.0 1.0 8 3 1 24 12 27 UOOUUO
12 13 Nantes 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 5 6 12 18 11 UUOUUO
13 14 Montpellier 12 6 6 1.6 2.0 4 1 7 19 24 13 UUOUUU
14 16 Brest 12 6 6 1.0 1.7 2 3 7 12 20 9 OUUUUO
15 20 Angers 12 6 6 0.6 2.1 1 2 9 7 25 5 UUUOUO
16 3 Marseille 11 6 5 2.0 0.6 8 2 1 22 7 26 OOOUUU
17 8 Nice 12 7 5 1.2 0.9 5 4 3 14 11 19 OUOUUO
18 12 Clermont 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 4 4 4 14 13 16 UOUOUU
19 4 Lens 12 8 4 1.1 0.8 3 7 2 13 10 16 OUOUUO
20 10 Reims 13 10 3 0.9 1.0 2 9 2 12 13 15 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10