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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 4–1 Lyon

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.63
Draw 5.25 fair 4.98
Away 6.00 fair 5.42
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Lyon
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 10
9 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (266 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 2.15 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawLyon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.2% 2–0 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.32scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 65:24
Lyon before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.31scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 38:45
Paris SG all matches all matches Lyon

Per match

2.32 Goals scored 1.31
0.86 Goals conceded 1.55
3.18 Total goals 2.86
15.04 Shots 13.10
5.96 Shots on target 5.10
12.11 Shots faced 13.72
5.79 Corners 4.83
4.64 Corners against 4.48
10.57 Fouls 12.66
1.57 Yellow cards 1.79
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

64% Wins 41%
32% Draws 17%
4% Losses 41%
89% Over 0.5 goals 93%
89% Over 1.5 goals 72%
61% Over 2.5 goals 55%
43% Over 3.5 goals 31%
18% Over 4.5 goals 24%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
61% Both teams scored 52%
39% Clean sheets 31%
11% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 21%
39% Draws 41%
7% Losses 38%
71% Over 0.5 goals 66%
39% Over 1.5 goals 34%
21% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Lyon all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.07points / match
2.43scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 34:15
Lyon before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.29scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:19
Paris SG at home away Lyon

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 1.29
1.07 Goals conceded 1.36
3.50 Total goals 2.64
15.79 Shots 12.14
5.93 Shots on target 4.71
8.07 Shots faced 13.79
6.36 Corners 4.50
3.64 Corners against 4.71
9.86 Fouls 12.14
1.50 Yellow cards 1.57
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

57% Wins 50%
36% Draws 7%
7% Losses 43%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 71%
79% Over 2.5 goals 57%
57% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 29%
7% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 7%
29% Draws 57%
14% Losses 36%
86% Over 0.5 goals 57%
50% Over 1.5 goals 21%
21% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Lyon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Paris SG – Clermont 1–1 (0–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.33 3.40
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
17.03.24 Montpellier – Paris SG 2–6 (2–2) 6.004.501.50 1.50 2.50
10.03.24 Paris SG – Reims 2–2 (2–2) 1.405.007.00 1.48 2.60
01.03.24 Monaco – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.53 2.40
25.02.24 Paris SG – Rennes 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.757.00 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 Nantes – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Paris SG – Lille 3–1 (2–1) 1.624.205.25 1.70 2.10
02.02.24 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.60 2.30
28.01.24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 (2–0) 1.365.507.50 1.53 2.40

Lyon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Lyon – Brest 4–3 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.80
07.04.24 Nantes – Lyon 1–3 (1–0) 3.303.252.25 2.08 1.73
30.03.24 Lyon – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.75 2.05
15.03.24 Toulouse – Lyon 2–3 (0–1) 2.883.202.60 2.08 1.82
09.03.24 Lorient – Lyon 0–2 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.90
03.03.24 Lyon – Lens 0–3 (0–1) 2.553.402.75 1.99 1.91
23.02.24 Metz – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 4.003.401.91 2.20 1.65
16.02.24 Lyon – Nice 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Montpellier – Lyon 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.402.38 2.06 1.84
04.02.24 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Paris SG – Clermont 1–1 (0–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.33 3.40
10.03.24 Paris SG – Reims 2–2 (2–2) 1.405.007.00 1.48 2.60
25.02.24 Paris SG – Rennes 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.757.00 1.60 2.30
10.02.24 Paris SG – Lille 3–1 (2–1) 1.624.205.25 1.70 2.10
28.01.24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 (2–0) 1.365.507.50 1.53 2.40
20.12.23 Paris SG – Metz 3–1 (0–0) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Paris SG – Nantes 2–1 (1–0) 1.207.5012.00 1.40 2.88
24.11.23 Paris SG – Monaco 5–2 (2–1) 1.454.756.50 1.36 3.10
03.11.23 Paris SG – Montpellier 3–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.10
21.10.23 Paris SG – Strasbourg 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70

Lyon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24 Nantes – Lyon 1–3 (1–0) 3.303.252.25 2.08 1.73
15.03.24 Toulouse – Lyon 2–3 (0–1) 2.883.202.60 2.08 1.82
09.03.24 Lorient – Lyon 0–2 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.90
23.02.24 Metz – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 4.003.401.91 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Montpellier – Lyon 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.402.38 2.06 1.84
14.01.24 Le Havre – Lyon 3–1 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.08 1.73
15.12.23 Monaco – Lyon 0–1 (0–0) 1.704.204.33 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 Lens – Lyon 3–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
12.11.23 Rennes – Lyon 0–1 (0–0) 1.734.204.33 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsLyon wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.23F1 Lyon – Paris SG 1–4 (0–4) 6.004.751.50 1.44 2.75
02.04.23F1 Paris SG – Lyon 0–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
18.09.22F1 Lyon – Paris SG 0–1 (0–1) 4.504.751.61 1.36 3.20
09.01.22F1 Lyon – Paris SG 1–1 (1–0) 3.604.201.83 1.50 2.62
19.09.21F1 Paris SG – Lyon 2–1 (0–0) 1.305.759.00 1.40 3.00

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 28 18 9 1 65 24 +41 63
2 Monaco 29 16 7 6 55 38 +17 55
3 Brest 30 15 8 7 44 29 +15 53
4 Lille 29 14 10 5 43 25 +18 52
5 Nice 29 13 8 8 31 22 +9 47
6 Lens 30 13 7 10 39 32 +7 46
7 Rennes 30 11 9 10 44 36 +8 42
8 Lyon 29 12 5 12 38 45 -7 41
9 Marseille 29 10 10 9 43 35 +8 40
10 Reims 30 11 7 12 37 41 -4 40
11 Toulouse 30 9 10 11 36 39 -3 37
12 Montpellier 30 9 10 11 38 42 -4 37
13 Strasbourg 30 9 9 12 33 41 -8 36
14 Nantes 30 9 4 17 28 48 -20 31
15 Metz 30 8 5 17 31 49 -18 29
16 Le Havre 30 6 10 14 27 38 -11 28
17 Lorient 29 6 8 15 35 55 -20 26
18 Clermont 30 4 10 16 21 49 -28 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lille 15 11 3 1 29 8 +21 36
2 Paris SG 14 8 5 1 34 15 +19 29
3 Marseille 14 8 5 1 24 9 +15 29
4 Brest 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29
5 Nice 15 8 4 3 19 9 +10 28
6 Lens 15 8 3 4 23 16 +7 27
7 Rennes 15 7 3 5 29 20 +9 24
8 Monaco 14 7 3 4 21 13 +8 24
9 Strasbourg 15 6 3 6 19 19 0 21
10 Reims 15 6 3 6 16 17 -1 21
11 Lyon 15 5 4 6 20 26 -6 19
12 Montpellier 15 3 8 4 19 20 -1 17
13 Le Havre 15 5 2 8 14 16 -2 17
14 Toulouse 15 3 7 5 20 20 0 16
15 Lorient 14 3 4 7 19 24 -5 13
16 Metz 14 3 3 8 14 20 -6 12
17 Nantes 16 3 3 10 16 28 -12 12
18 Clermont 15 2 5 8 10 25 -15 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 14 10 4 0 31 9 +22 34
2 Monaco 15 9 4 2 34 25 +9 31
3 Brest 15 7 3 5 20 16 +4 24
4 Lyon 14 7 1 6 18 19 -1 22
5 Toulouse 15 6 3 6 16 19 -3 21
6 Montpellier 15 6 2 7 19 22 -3 20
7 Lens 15 5 4 6 16 16 0 19
8 Nice 14 5 4 5 12 13 -1 19
9 Reims 15 5 4 6 21 24 -3 19
10 Nantes 14 6 1 7 12 20 -8 19
11 Rennes 15 4 6 5 15 16 -1 18
12 Metz 16 5 2 9 17 29 -12 17
13 Lille 14 3 7 4 14 17 -3 16
14 Strasbourg 15 3 6 6 14 22 -8 15
15 Lorient 15 3 4 8 16 31 -15 13
16 Marseille 15 2 5 8 19 26 -7 11
17 Le Havre 15 1 8 6 13 22 -9 11
18 Clermont 15 2 5 8 11 24 -13 11

Paris SG   Lyon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Monaco 29 11 18 1.9 1.3 16 7 6 55 38 55
2 17 Lorient 29 11 18 1.2 1.9 6 8 15 35 55 26
3 1 Paris SG 28 11 17 2.3 0.9 18 9 1 65 24 63
4 10 Reims 30 13 17 1.2 1.4 11 7 12 37 41 40
5 11 Toulouse 30 13 17 1.2 1.3 9 10 11 36 39 37
6 7 Rennes 30 14 16 1.5 1.2 11 9 10 44 36 42
7 8 Lyon 29 13 16 1.3 1.6 12 5 12 38 45 41
8 12 Montpellier 30 14 16 1.3 1.4 9 10 11 38 42 37
9 13 Strasbourg 30 14 16 1.1 1.4 9 9 12 33 41 36
10 15 Metz 30 15 15 1.0 1.6 8 5 17 31 49 29
11 14 Nantes 30 16 14 0.9 1.6 9 4 17 28 48 31
12 16 Le Havre 30 16 14 0.9 1.3 6 10 14 27 38 28
13 18 Clermont 30 16 14 0.7 1.6 4 10 16 21 49 22
14 6 Lens 30 17 13 1.3 1.1 13 7 10 39 32 46
15 9 Marseille 29 16 13 1.5 1.2 10 10 9 43 35 40
16 4 Lille 29 17 12 1.5 0.9 14 10 5 43 25 52
17 3 Brest 30 19 11 1.5 1.0 15 8 7 44 29 53
18 5 Nice 29 20 9 1.1 0.8 13 8 8 31 22 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 14 3 11 2.4 1.1 8 5 1 34 15 29
2 7 Rennes 15 4 11 1.9 1.3 7 3 5 29 20 24
3 11 Toulouse 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 3 7 5 20 20 16
4 13 Strasbourg 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 6 3 6 19 19 21
5 8 Lyon 15 7 8 1.3 1.7 5 4 6 20 26 19
6 12 Montpellier 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 3 8 4 19 20 17
7 17 Lorient 14 6 8 1.4 1.7 3 4 7 19 24 13
8 2 Monaco 14 7 7 1.5 0.9 7 3 4 21 13 24
9 4 Lille 15 8 7 1.9 0.5 11 3 1 29 8 36
10 10 Reims 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 17 21
11 14 Nantes 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 3 10 16 28 12
12 15 Metz 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 3 8 14 20 12
13 6 Lens 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 8 3 4 23 16 27
14 9 Marseille 14 8 6 1.7 0.6 8 5 1 24 9 29
15 16 Le Havre 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 14 16 17
16 18 Clermont 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 2 5 8 10 25 11
17 3 Brest 15 10 5 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29
18 5 Nice 15 10 5 1.3 0.6 8 4 3 19 9 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Monaco 15 4 11 2.3 1.7 9 4 2 34 25 31
2 10 Reims 15 5 10 1.4 1.6 5 4 6 21 24 19
3 17 Lorient 15 5 10 1.1 2.1 3 4 8 16 31 13
4 8 Lyon 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 7 1 6 18 19 22
5 11 Toulouse 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 6 3 6 16 19 21
6 12 Montpellier 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 22 20
7 15 Metz 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 5 2 9 17 29 17
8 16 Le Havre 15 7 8 0.9 1.5 1 8 6 13 22 11
9 18 Clermont 15 7 8 0.7 1.6 2 5 8 11 24 11
10 6 Lens 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 6 16 16 19
11 9 Marseille 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 2 5 8 19 26 11
12 13 Strasbourg 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 3 6 6 14 22 15
13 14 Nantes 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 6 1 7 12 20 19
14 1 Paris SG 14 8 6 2.2 0.6 10 4 0 31 9 34
15 3 Brest 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 20 16 24
16 4 Lille 14 9 5 1.0 1.2 3 7 4 14 17 16
17 7 Rennes 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 4 6 5 15 16 18
18 5 Nice 14 10 4 0.9 0.9 5 4 5 12 13 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51