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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: K Friend

Arsenal 1–0 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 2.35
Draw 4.75 fair 4.08
Away 8.50 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.37 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Watford
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 2
6 Fouls 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (106 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.20scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:13
Watford before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:18
Arsenal all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.20
1.30 Goals conceded 1.80
2.50 Total goals 3.00
14.00 Shots 10.60
4.60 Shots on target 3.90
14.90 Shots faced 15.10
5.30 Corners 4.00
6.30 Corners against 6.50
9.40 Fouls 13.50
1.30 Yellow cards 2.20
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
20% Draws 10%
30% Losses 60%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
30% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 10%
20% Draws 30%
30% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Watford all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:6
Watford before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:7
Arsenal at home away Watford

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.60
1.20 Goals conceded 1.40
3.00 Total goals 3.00
17.40 Shots 11.20
6.40 Shots on target 4.00
12.20 Shots faced 15.00
6.80 Corners 4.20
4.80 Corners against 6.00
11.00 Fouls 12.60
1.80 Yellow cards 2.00
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

60% Wins 40%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 0%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 5 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Leicester – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.502.87 1.80 2.00
22.10.21 Arsenal – Aston Villa 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.754.20 1.72 2.10
18.10.21 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.97 1.93
02.10.21 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
26.09.21 Arsenal – Tottenham 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.80
18.09.21 Burnley – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 2.00 1.80
11.09.21 Arsenal – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.606.00 1.72 2.10
28.08.21 Man City – Arsenal 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.37
22.08.21 Arsenal – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72
13.08.21 Brentford – Arsenal 2–0 (1–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.72

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Watford – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.90
23.10.21 Everton – Watford 2–5 (1–1) 1.653.805.50 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Watford – Liverpool 0–5 (0–2) 8.505.501.33 1.57 2.37
02.10.21 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20
25.09.21 Watford – Newcastle 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
18.09.21 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
11.09.21 Watford – Wolves 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.61
29.08.21 Tottenham – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
21.08.21 Brighton – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.505.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.21 Watford – Aston Villa 3–2 (2–0) 3.103.202.37 2.00 1.80

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.21 Arsenal – Aston Villa 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.754.20 1.72 2.10
18.10.21 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.97 1.93
26.09.21 Arsenal – Tottenham 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.80
11.09.21 Arsenal – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.606.00 1.72 2.10
22.08.21 Arsenal – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.21 Everton – Watford 2–5 (1–1) 1.653.805.50 2.00 1.80
02.10.21 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20
18.09.21 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
29.08.21 Tottenham – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
21.08.21 Brighton – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.505.75 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 11 8 2 1 27 4 +23 26
2 Man City 11 7 2 2 22 6 +16 23
3 Liverpool 10 6 4 0 29 8 +21 22
4 West Ham 10 6 2 2 20 11 +9 20
5 Man United 11 5 2 4 19 17 +2 17
6 Brighton 11 4 5 2 12 12 0 17
7 Arsenal 10 5 2 3 12 13 -1 17
8 Wolves 11 5 1 5 11 12 -1 16
9 Crystal Palace 11 3 6 2 15 14 +1 15
10 Tottenham 10 5 0 5 9 16 -7 15
11 Everton 10 4 2 4 16 16 0 14
12 Leicester 10 4 2 4 15 17 -2 14
13 Southampton 11 3 5 3 10 12 -2 14
14 Brentford 11 3 3 5 13 14 -1 12
15 Aston Villa 11 3 1 7 14 20 -6 10
16 Watford 10 3 1 6 12 18 -6 10
17 Leeds 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
18 Burnley 11 1 5 5 11 17 -6 8
19 Newcastle 11 0 5 6 12 24 -12 5
20 Norwich 11 1 2 8 5 26 -21 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 17 3 +14 13
2 Man City 5 3 1 1 12 2 +10 10
3 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 0 9 4 +5 10
4 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
5 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 10 5 +5 9
6 Everton 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
7 Southampton 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
8 Tottenham 5 3 0 2 4 7 -3 9
9 Brighton 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8
10 West Ham 5 2 1 2 9 7 +2 7
11 Aston Villa 5 2 1 2 9 8 +1 7
12 Leicester 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
13 Man United 6 2 1 3 10 11 -1 7
14 Wolves 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
15 Burnley 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5
16 Leeds 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
17 Brentford 6 1 1 4 7 9 -2 4
18 Watford 5 1 1 3 4 11 -7 4
19 Newcastle 5 0 2 3 7 13 -6 2
20 Norwich 5 0 1 4 3 10 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 5 4 1 0 19 3 +16 13
2 Chelsea 5 4 1 0 10 1 +9 13
3 West Ham 5 4 1 0 11 4 +7 13
4 Man City 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
5 Man United 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
6 Wolves 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
7 Brighton 5 2 3 0 6 4 +2 9
8 Brentford 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
9 Leicester 5 2 1 2 8 10 -2 7
10 Arsenal 5 2 1 2 3 7 -4 7
11 Watford 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
12 Tottenham 5 2 0 3 5 9 -4 6
13 Everton 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5
14 Southampton 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5
16 Leeds 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
17 Norwich 6 1 1 4 2 16 -14 4
18 Burnley 6 0 3 3 6 12 -6 3
19 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 5 11 -6 3
20 Aston Villa 6 1 0 5 5 12 -7 3

Arsenal   Watford

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Liverpool 10 2 8 2.9 0.8 6 4 0 29 8 22
2 4 West Ham 10 3 7 2.0 1.1 6 2 2 20 11 20
3 12 Leicester 10 3 7 1.5 1.7 4 2 4 15 17 14
4 15 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.3 1.8 3 1 7 14 20 10
5 20 Norwich 11 4 7 0.5 2.4 1 2 8 5 26 5
6 1 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.5 0.4 8 2 1 27 4 26
7 5 Man United 11 5 6 1.7 1.5 5 2 4 19 17 17
8 9 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 3 6 2 15 14 15
9 10 Tottenham 10 4 6 0.9 1.6 5 0 5 9 16 15
10 11 Everton 10 4 6 1.6 1.6 4 2 4 16 16 14
11 19 Newcastle 11 5 6 1.1 2.2 0 5 6 12 24 5
12 14 Brentford 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 5 13 14 12
13 17 Leeds 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
14 18 Burnley 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 1 5 5 11 17 8
15 2 Man City 11 7 4 2.0 0.5 7 2 2 22 6 23
16 6 Brighton 11 7 4 1.1 1.1 4 5 2 12 12 17
17 7 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 5 2 3 12 13 17
18 13 Southampton 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 5 3 10 12 14
19 16 Watford 10 6 4 1.2 1.8 3 1 6 12 18 10
20 8 Wolves 11 8 3 1.0 1.1 5 1 5 11 12 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.8 0.5 4 1 1 17 3 13
2 4 West Ham 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 1 2 9 7 7
3 19 Newcastle 5 1 4 1.4 2.6 0 2 3 7 13 2
4 20 Norwich 5 1 4 0.6 2.0 0 1 4 3 10 1
5 3 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 3 0 10 5 9
6 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.7 1.8 2 1 3 10 11 7
7 7 Arsenal 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
8 10 Tottenham 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 3 0 2 4 7 9
9 11 Everton 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
10 14 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 1 1 4 7 9 4
11 15 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 2 1 2 9 8 7
12 17 Leeds 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
13 2 Man City 5 3 2 2.4 0.4 3 1 1 12 2 10
14 6 Brighton 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8
15 8 Wolves 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
16 9 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.5 0.7 2 4 0 9 4 10
17 12 Leicester 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
18 16 Watford 5 3 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 3 4 11 4
19 18 Burnley 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5
20 13 Southampton 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Liverpool 5 0 5 3.8 0.6 4 1 0 19 3 13
2 12 Leicester 5 0 5 1.6 2.0 2 1 2 8 10 7
3 9 Crystal Palace 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5
4 15 Aston Villa 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 0 5 5 12 3
5 4 West Ham 5 2 3 2.2 0.8 4 1 0 11 4 13
6 5 Man United 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
7 10 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 2 0 3 5 9 6
8 11 Everton 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5
9 13 Southampton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
10 18 Burnley 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 3 6 12 3
11 20 Norwich 6 3 3 0.3 2.7 1 1 4 2 16 4
12 1 Chelsea 5 3 2 2.0 0.2 4 1 0 10 1 13
13 2 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
14 6 Brighton 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 3 0 6 4 9
15 14 Brentford 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
16 16 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
17 17 Leeds 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
18 19 Newcastle 6 4 2 0.8 1.8 0 3 3 5 11 3
19 7 Arsenal 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 2 1 2 3 7 7
20 8 Wolves 6 5 1 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06