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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Leicester 4–2 Watford

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.61 fair 2.44
Draw 4.00 fair 4.13
Away 5.50 fair 2.87
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leicester Watford
18 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 6
5 Fouls 19
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (125 league matches this season so far).
Result Leicester to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
LeicesterDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Leicester before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.33scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:21
Watford before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:20
Leicester all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.75 Goals conceded 1.67
3.08 Total goals 3.00
11.25 Shots 11.08
4.50 Shots on target 3.92
15.33 Shots faced 14.50
5.00 Corners 4.25
6.08 Corners against 6.00
8.17 Fouls 13.42
1.42 Yellow cards 2.17
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
25% Draws 8%
42% Losses 58%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 42%
33% Over 3.5 goals 42%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
67% Both teams scored 42%
8% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 58%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 17%
33% Draws 33%
42% Losses 50%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
58% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester all matches
Watford all matches
Leicester before this match, at home
1.17points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:10
Watford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:8
Leicester at home away Watford

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.33
1.67 Goals conceded 1.33
2.83 Total goals 2.67
13.17 Shots 10.50
5.50 Shots on target 3.50
15.67 Shots faced 14.83
5.33 Corners 3.83
5.00 Corners against 5.67
8.00 Fouls 13.67
1.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.17 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
17% Draws 0%
50% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 17%
33% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 0%
33% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 6 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.11.21 Leicester – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 4.753.751.75 2.03 1.87
07.11.21 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.502.45 1.66 2.20
30.10.21 Leicester – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.502.87 1.80 2.00
24.10.21 Brentford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 2.623.302.70 1.90 1.90
16.10.21 Leicester – Man United 4–2 (1–1) 3.503.602.05 1.72 2.10
03.10.21 Crystal Palace – Leicester 2–2 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.80
25.09.21 Leicester – Burnley 2–2 (1–2) 1.574.006.00 1.90 1.90
19.09.21 Brighton – Leicester 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.72
11.09.21 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.001.57 1.72 2.10
28.08.21 Norwich – Leicester 1–2 (1–1) 4.503.501.85 1.80 2.00

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.11.21 Watford – Man United 4–1 (2–0) 6.504.751.45 1.66 2.20
07.11.21 Arsenal – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.57 2.37
30.10.21 Watford – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.90
23.10.21 Everton – Watford 2–5 (1–1) 1.653.805.50 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Watford – Liverpool 0–5 (0–2) 8.505.501.33 1.57 2.37
02.10.21 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20
25.09.21 Watford – Newcastle 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
18.09.21 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
11.09.21 Watford – Wolves 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.61
29.08.21 Tottenham – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00

Leicester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.11.21 Leicester – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 4.753.751.75 2.03 1.87
30.10.21 Leicester – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.502.87 1.80 2.00
16.10.21 Leicester – Man United 4–2 (1–1) 3.503.602.05 1.72 2.10
25.09.21 Leicester – Burnley 2–2 (1–2) 1.574.006.00 1.90 1.90
11.09.21 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.001.57 1.72 2.10
14.08.21 Leicester – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.805.25 2.09 1.84

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.21 Arsenal – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.57 2.37
23.10.21 Everton – Watford 2–5 (1–1) 1.653.805.50 2.00 1.80
02.10.21 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20
18.09.21 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
29.08.21 Tottenham – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
21.08.21 Brighton – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.703.505.75 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 12 9 2 1 30 4 +26 29
2 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 39 11 +28 28
3 Man City 12 8 2 2 25 6 +19 26
4 West Ham 12 7 2 3 23 14 +9 23
5 Arsenal 13 7 2 4 15 17 -2 23
6 Wolves 13 6 2 5 12 12 0 20
7 Tottenham 12 6 1 5 11 17 -6 19
8 Brighton 13 4 6 3 12 14 -2 18
9 Man United 12 5 2 5 20 21 -1 17
10 Crystal Palace 13 3 7 3 19 19 0 16
11 Aston Villa 13 5 1 7 18 21 -3 16
12 Everton 12 4 3 5 16 19 -3 15
13 Leicester 12 4 3 5 16 21 -5 15
14 Southampton 13 3 5 5 11 18 -7 14
15 Brentford 12 3 4 5 16 17 -1 13
16 Watford 12 4 1 7 16 20 -4 13
17 Leeds 13 2 6 5 12 20 -8 12
18 Burnley 12 1 6 5 14 20 -6 9
19 Norwich 13 2 3 8 7 27 -20 9
20 Newcastle 13 0 6 7 15 29 -14 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 12 6 +6 16
2 Liverpool 7 4 3 0 18 5 +13 15
3 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 17 3 +14 13
4 Man City 6 4 1 1 15 2 +13 13
5 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 6 8 -2 12
6 Crystal Palace 7 2 4 1 10 6 +4 10
7 West Ham 6 3 1 2 12 9 +3 10
8 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 11 8 +3 10
9 Everton 6 3 1 2 10 8 +2 10
10 Southampton 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
11 Wolves 6 3 0 3 5 6 -1 9
12 Brighton 7 2 3 2 6 8 -2 9
13 Man United 6 2 1 3 10 11 -1 7
14 Leicester 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
15 Watford 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
16 Burnley 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
17 Leeds 6 1 3 2 6 9 -3 6
18 Norwich 7 1 2 4 5 11 -6 5
19 Brentford 6 1 1 4 7 9 -2 4
20 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 10 16 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 5 1 0 13 1 +12 16
2 Liverpool 6 4 1 1 21 6 +15 13
3 West Ham 6 4 1 1 11 5 +6 13
4 Man City 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
5 Wolves 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
6 Man United 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
7 Brentford 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
8 Brighton 6 2 3 1 6 6 0 9
9 Leicester 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
10 Tottenham 6 2 1 3 5 9 -4 7
11 Arsenal 6 2 1 3 3 11 -8 7
12 Watford 6 2 0 4 8 8 0 6
13 Crystal Palace 6 1 3 2 9 13 -4 6
14 Leeds 7 1 3 3 6 11 -5 6
15 Aston Villa 7 2 0 5 7 13 -6 6
16 Everton 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
17 Southampton 7 1 2 4 6 14 -8 5
18 Norwich 6 1 1 4 2 16 -14 4
19 Burnley 6 0 3 3 6 12 -6 3
20 Newcastle 7 0 3 4 5 13 -8 3

Leicester   Watford

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 13 2 11 3.0 0.8 8 4 1 39 11 28
2 4 West Ham 12 4 8 1.9 1.2 7 2 3 23 14 23
3 10 Crystal Palace 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 3 7 3 19 19 16
4 11 Aston Villa 13 5 8 1.4 1.6 5 1 7 18 21 16
5 13 Leicester 12 4 8 1.3 1.8 4 3 5 16 21 15
6 19 Norwich 13 5 8 0.5 2.1 2 3 8 7 27 9
7 1 Chelsea 12 5 7 2.5 0.3 9 2 1 30 4 29
8 7 Tottenham 12 5 7 0.9 1.4 6 1 5 11 17 19
9 9 Man United 12 5 7 1.7 1.8 5 2 5 20 21 17
10 12 Everton 12 5 7 1.3 1.6 4 3 5 16 19 15
11 20 Newcastle 13 6 7 1.2 2.2 0 6 7 15 29 6
12 14 Southampton 13 7 6 0.8 1.4 3 5 5 11 18 14
13 15 Brentford 12 6 6 1.3 1.4 3 4 5 16 17 13
14 17 Leeds 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 5 12 20 12
15 18 Burnley 12 6 6 1.2 1.7 1 6 5 14 20 9
16 3 Man City 12 7 5 2.1 0.5 8 2 2 25 6 26
17 5 Arsenal 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 7 2 4 15 17 23
18 16 Watford 12 7 5 1.3 1.7 4 1 7 16 20 13
19 8 Brighton 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 4 6 3 12 14 18
20 6 Wolves 13 10 3 0.9 0.9 6 2 5 12 12 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 7 2 5 2.6 0.7 4 3 0 18 5 15
2 4 West Ham 6 1 5 2.0 1.5 3 1 2 12 9 10
3 19 Norwich 7 2 5 0.7 1.6 1 2 4 5 11 5
4 20 Newcastle 6 1 5 1.7 2.7 0 3 3 10 16 3
5 1 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.8 0.5 4 1 1 17 3 13
6 7 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.0 1.3 4 0 2 6 8 12
7 3 Man City 6 3 3 2.5 0.3 4 1 1 15 2 13
8 5 Arsenal 7 4 3 1.7 0.9 5 1 1 12 6 16
9 9 Man United 6 3 3 1.7 1.8 2 1 3 10 11 7
10 10 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 2 4 1 10 6 10
11 11 Aston Villa 6 3 3 1.8 1.3 3 1 2 11 8 10
12 12 Everton 6 3 3 1.7 1.3 3 1 2 10 8 10
13 13 Leicester 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 1 3 7 10 7
14 15 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 1 1 4 7 9 4
15 16 Watford 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
16 17 Leeds 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 3 2 6 9 6
17 18 Burnley 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
18 6 Wolves 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 3 5 6 9
19 8 Brighton 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 2 3 2 6 8 9
20 14 Southampton 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 6 0 6 3.5 1.0 4 1 1 21 6 13
2 10 Crystal Palace 6 1 5 1.5 2.2 1 3 2 9 13 6
3 11 Aston Villa 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 2 0 5 7 13 6
4 13 Leicester 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
5 14 Southampton 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 2 4 6 14 5
6 9 Man United 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
7 12 Everton 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
8 1 Chelsea 6 3 3 2.2 0.2 5 1 0 13 1 16
9 4 West Ham 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 4 1 1 11 5 13
10 7 Tottenham 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 2 1 3 5 9 7
11 15 Brentford 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
12 17 Leeds 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 3 6 11 6
13 18 Burnley 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 3 6 12 3
14 19 Norwich 6 3 3 0.3 2.7 1 1 4 2 16 4
15 3 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
16 5 Arsenal 6 4 2 0.5 1.8 2 1 3 3 11 7
17 8 Brighton 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 1 6 6 9
18 16 Watford 6 4 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 4 8 8 6
19 20 Newcastle 7 5 2 0.7 1.9 0 3 4 5 13 3
20 6 Wolves 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51