Hartlepool 3–1 Carlisle – England National League, 25 Feb 2026

Match facts

Hartlepool Carlisle

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (394 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.31

Home / Draw / Away

36% 26% 37%

HartlepoolDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 0–1 9.7% 1–0 9.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hartlepool before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.18scored / match

1.09conceded / match

12 12 9

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 39:36

Carlisle before this match, all matches

2.06points / match

1.85scored / match

1.15conceded / match

21 5 7

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 61:38

Hartlepool all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.85

1.09 Goals conceded 1.15

2.27 Total goals 3.00

1.45 Yellow cards 1.94

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.91

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

36% Wins 64%

36% Draws 15%

27% Losses 21%

85% Over 0.5 goals 100%

70% Over 1.5 goals 85%

36% Over 2.5 goals 58%

18% Over 3.5 goals 30%

9% Over 4.5 goals 18%

6% Over 5.5 goals 9%

45% Both teams scored 48%

39% Clean sheets 36%

30% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 45%

45% Draws 27%

30% Losses 27%

64% Over 0.5 goals 79%

21% Over 1.5 goals 42%

3% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool all matches

1

2

L

2

1

W

4

L

1

W

2

1

W

D

3

L

1

D

2

3

L

4

3

W

Carlisle all matches

3

W

1

W

2

W

3

D

3

L

3

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

3

1

W

3

W

Hartlepool before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.19scored / match

0.94conceded / match

6 6 4

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:15

Carlisle before this match, away

1.93points / match

1.47scored / match

1.20conceded / match

9 2 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:18

Hartlepool at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.47

0.94 Goals conceded 1.20

2.13 Total goals 2.67

1.56 Yellow cards 2.53

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.73

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

38% Wins 60%

38% Draws 13%

25% Losses 27%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

81% Over 1.5 goals 73%

38% Over 2.5 goals 53%

6% Over 3.5 goals 20%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

50% Both teams scored 47%

38% Clean sheets 33%

25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 40%

38% Draws 27%

25% Losses 33%

69% Over 0.5 goals 73%

13% Over 1.5 goals 40%

0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool at home

1

2

L

2

W

1

D

1

D

3

1

W

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

3

L

Carlisle away

5

L

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

3

W

3

D

1

L

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Hartlepool all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Solihull – Hartlepool	3–4 (2–2)	2.15	3.40	3.00	1.75	2.05
11.02.26	York – Hartlepool	3–2 (1–1)	1.30	4.75	8.50	1.50	2.50
07.02.26	Tamworth – Hartlepool	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.35	2.00	1.80
31.01.26	Hartlepool – Aldershot	0–3 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	3.50	1.57	2.35
24.01.26	Brackley Town – Hartlepool	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.63	1.95	1.85
20.01.26	Hartlepool – Gateshead	2–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.00	5.50	1.53	2.40
17.01.26	Hartlepool – Altrincham	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.70	1.90	1.90
10.01.26	Woking – Hartlepool	4–0 (2–0)	2.40	3.30	2.63	1.83	1.98
30.12.25	Rochdale – Hartlepool	1–2 (0–2)	1.53	3.80	5.75	1.70	2.10
26.12.25	Hartlepool – Scunthorpe	1–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.00	1.73	2.08

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Carlisle – Yeovil	3–0 (3–0)	1.55	4.00	5.25	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Forest Green – Carlisle	1–3 (0–3)	1.80	3.70	3.90	1.67	2.15
10.02.26	Carlisle – Scunthorpe	3–2 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.75	2.05
07.02.26	Rochdale – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	4.33	1.90	1.90
31.01.26	Carlisle – Altrincham	3–1 (3–0)	1.55	3.90	5.25	1.67	2.15
21.01.26	Carlisle – York	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.15	1.67	2.15
17.01.26	Solihull – Carlisle	3–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.40	2.15	1.67	2.15
03.01.26	Carlisle – Wealdstone	2–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.20	6.00	1.50	2.50
30.12.25	Carlisle – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.42	4.75	6.00	1.44	2.70
26.12.25	Gateshead – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	5.00	4.33	1.53	1.48	2.60

Hartlepool at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Hartlepool – Aldershot	0–3 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	3.50	1.57	2.35
20.01.26	Hartlepool – Gateshead	2–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.00	5.50	1.53	2.40
17.01.26	Hartlepool – Altrincham	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.70	1.90	1.90
26.12.25	Hartlepool – Scunthorpe	1–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.00	1.73	2.08
06.12.25	Hartlepool – Yeovil	0–2 (0–1)	1.73	3.40	4.50	1.95	1.85
29.11.25	Hartlepool – Truro	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	4.33	1.88	1.93
15.11.25	Hartlepool – Wealdstone	1–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.60	3.25	1.57	2.35
04.11.25	Hartlepool – Morecambe	1–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.90	3.70	1.48	2.60
25.10.25	Hartlepool – Solihull	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.10	4.00	1.65	2.20
04.10.25	Hartlepool – York	1–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.70	1.91	1.70	2.10

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Forest Green – Carlisle	1–3 (0–3)	1.80	3.70	3.90	1.67	2.15
07.02.26	Rochdale – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	4.33	1.90	1.90
17.01.26	Solihull – Carlisle	3–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.40	2.15	1.67	2.15
26.12.25	Gateshead – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	5.00	4.33	1.53	1.48	2.60
21.12.25	Boreham Wood – Carlisle	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.60	3.25	1.62	2.25
22.11.25	Boston Utd – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	4.75	3.50	1.67	1.80	2.00
08.11.25	Southend – Carlisle	1–2 (1–2)	2.10	3.60	2.90	1.83	1.98
25.10.25	Yeovil – Carlisle	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	1.90	1.93	1.88
04.10.25	Scunthorpe – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.50	2.45	1.83	1.98
23.09.25	York – Carlisle	5–0 (3–0)	1.91	3.60	3.30	1.73	2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 3

Hartlepool winsDrawsCarlisle wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

80%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.10.25EC	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.75	4.00	1.73	2.08
24.01.23E3	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88
08.10.22E3	Hartlepool – Carlisle	1–3 (1–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.10	1.70
18.01.22E3	Carlisle – Hartlepool	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.65
28.08.21E3	Hartlepool – Carlisle	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.25	2.87	2.25	1.61

England National League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	York	34	24	8	2	91	32	+59	80	WWWWWW
2	Rochdale	33	25	4	4	63	23	+40	79	WWDDWD
3	Carlisle	33	21	5	7	61	38	+23	68	LWLWWW
4	Boreham Wood	33	19	7	7	63	39	+24	64	LLWDDW
5	Scunthorpe	33	17	9	7	59	47	+12	60	WLLDLL
6	Forest Green	35	16	11	8	58	42	+16	59	WLLLDL
7	Southend	31	15	7	9	52	29	+23	52	DLLWWL
8	Halifax	35	15	7	13	53	51	+2	52	LDWLLD
9	Hartlepool	33	12	12	9	39	36	+3	48	WDLDLW
10	Boston Utd	35	11	10	14	46	51	-5	43	WWWWDW
11	Solihull	33	11	9	13	55	51	+4	42	LWLLDL
12	Tamworth	33	11	9	13	42	52	-10	42	LDDDDW
13	Aldershot	32	11	6	15	58	60	-2	39	WWWDWW
14	Wealdstone	32	10	9	13	39	53	-14	39	WDLLLW
15	Woking	31	10	8	13	41	38	+3	38	WLLWLL
16	Altrincham	34	11	4	19	39	54	-15	37	LDLWWL
17	Brackley Town	32	9	9	14	28	42	-14	36	DDDWLL
18	Eastleigh	33	9	9	15	41	57	-16	36	LLDWDL
19	Sutton	32	8	11	13	44	51	-7	35	WDLDWW
20	Yeovil	32	10	5	17	32	45	-13	35	LWLDLL
21	Braintree Town	33	7	9	17	23	47	-24	30	LLWDDL
22	Morecambe	33	6	8	19	42	70	-28	26	LDLDLW
23	Gateshead	31	7	4	20	35	70	-35	25	LLLLWW
24	Truro	32	6	6	20	30	56	-26	24	DLWLLL

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Rochdale	17	14	1	2	36	10	+26	43	WWWWDW
2	York	18	12	4	2	56	19	+37	40	DDWWWW
3	Carlisle	18	12	3	3	39	20	+19	39	WWLWWW
4	Forest Green	18	10	5	3	33	20	+13	35	DWDWLL
5	Boreham Wood	17	11	2	4	28	18	+10	35	WWLLWD
6	Scunthorpe	16	10	3	3	30	20	+10	33	WWWWLL
7	Halifax	17	9	5	3	32	19	+13	32	WWWWLD
8	Altrincham	18	9	1	8	26	26	0	28	LWDLWW
9	Southend	14	8	3	3	26	10	+16	27	LWWWWL
10	Sutton	18	6	7	5	31	26	+5	25	LDDDWW
11	Wealdstone	15	7	4	4	20	21	-1	25	WDLWLW
12	Hartlepool	16	6	6	4	19	15	+4	24	WLLWWL
13	Tamworth	17	6	5	6	22	19	+3	23	LWLDDW
14	Solihull	18	6	4	8	38	33	+5	22	WDLLLL
15	Brackley Town	16	6	4	6	13	18	-5	22	LWWDDL
16	Braintree Town	17	5	6	6	13	13	0	21	DLDLWD
17	Aldershot	15	6	2	7	30	30	0	20	LWWLWW
18	Yeovil	16	5	4	7	17	23	-6	19	WLDWDL
19	Truro	16	5	3	8	21	20	+1	18	WWDDLL
20	Eastleigh	15	4	5	6	21	28	-7	17	LDLLDD
21	Morecambe	17	4	4	9	24	34	-10	16	LDLLDW
22	Boston Utd	17	4	4	9	15	25	-10	16	LLDWWD
23	Woking	14	3	6	5	19	15	+4	15	DDWLLW
24	Gateshead	14	1	2	11	11	32	-21	5	LLLLLL

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	York	16	12	4	0	35	13	+22	40	WWWWWW
2	Rochdale	16	11	3	2	27	13	+14	36	WWWWDD
3	Boreham Wood	16	8	5	3	35	21	+14	29	WWLLDW
4	Carlisle	15	9	2	4	22	18	+4	29	WLWDLW
5	Boston Utd	18	7	6	5	31	26	+5	27	DDLWWW
6	Scunthorpe	17	7	6	4	29	27	+2	27	WDWLDL
7	Southend	17	7	4	6	26	19	+7	25	WDDLLW
8	Forest Green	17	6	6	5	25	22	+3	24	LDLLLD
9	Hartlepool	17	6	6	5	20	21	-1	24	WLDDLW
10	Woking	17	7	2	8	22	23	-1	23	DLLWLL
11	Solihull	15	5	5	5	17	18	-1	20	LDLWWD
12	Halifax	18	6	2	10	21	32	-11	20	WLWLDL
13	Gateshead	17	6	2	9	24	38	-14	20	LLLLWW
14	Aldershot	17	5	4	8	28	30	-2	19	WDWWDW
15	Eastleigh	18	5	4	9	20	29	-9	19	DWLLWL
16	Tamworth	16	5	4	7	20	33	-13	19	LLLDDD
17	Yeovil	16	5	1	10	15	22	-7	16	WLLWLL
18	Brackley Town	16	3	5	8	15	24	-9	14	LWDDWL
19	Wealdstone	17	3	5	9	19	32	-13	14	DLLDLL
20	Sutton	14	2	4	8	13	25	-12	10	DWLLWL
21	Morecambe	16	2	4	10	18	36	-18	10	LWLLDL
22	Altrincham	16	2	3	11	13	28	-15	9	LLLDLL
23	Braintree Town	16	2	3	11	10	34	-24	9	LWLLDL
24	Truro	16	1	3	12	9	36	-27	6	LLDLWL

Hartlepool Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	1	York	34	8	26	2.7	0.9	24	8	2	91	32	80	UOOOOO
2	13	Aldershot	32	8	24	1.8	1.9	11	6	15	58	60	39	OOOUOO
3	8	Halifax	35	12	23	1.5	1.5	15	7	13	53	51	52	OUUOOO
4	23	Gateshead	31	8	23	1.1	2.3	7	4	20	35	70	25	UOUOOO
5	4	Boreham Wood	33	11	22	1.9	1.2	19	7	7	63	39	64	OOOOUU
6	22	Morecambe	33	11	22	1.3	2.1	6	8	19	42	70	26	UUOOOO
7	16	Altrincham	34	13	21	1.1	1.6	11	4	19	39	54	37	OUUUOO
8	5	Scunthorpe	33	13	20	1.8	1.4	17	9	7	59	47	60	UOOUOO
9	3	Carlisle	33	14	19	1.8	1.2	21	5	7	61	38	68	OOUOOO
10	10	Boston Utd	35	16	19	1.3	1.5	11	10	14	46	51	43	OUUOUO
11	2	Rochdale	33	15	18	1.9	0.7	25	4	4	63	23	79	UOUUOO
12	6	Forest Green	35	17	18	1.7	1.2	16	11	8	58	42	59	OOOOUO
13	12	Tamworth	33	15	18	1.3	1.6	11	9	13	42	52	42	UUOUUO
14	18	Eastleigh	33	15	18	1.2	1.7	9	9	15	41	57	36	OOOOOO
15	19	Sutton	32	14	18	1.4	1.6	8	11	13	44	51	35	UUUUOO
16	11	Solihull	33	16	17	1.7	1.5	11	9	13	55	51	42	UUUOUO
17	14	Wealdstone	32	15	17	1.2	1.7	10	9	13	39	53	39	UOUOOO
18	7	Southend	31	15	16	1.7	0.9	15	7	9	52	29	52	OOUOOU
19	24	Truro	32	16	16	0.9	1.8	6	6	20	30	56	24	OUOUUO
20	15	Woking	31	17	14	1.3	1.2	10	8	13	41	38	38	OUOUOO
21	20	Yeovil	32	18	14	1.0	1.4	10	5	17	32	45	35	OUOUOO
22	21	Braintree Town	33	20	13	0.7	1.4	7	9	17	23	47	30	OOOUUO
23	9	Hartlepool	33	21	12	1.2	1.1	12	12	9	39	36	48	OUOUOO
24	17	Brackley Town	32	20	12	0.9	1.3	9	9	14	28	42	36	UUUOOO

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	1	York	18	2	16	3.1	1.1	12	4	2	56	19	40	OUOOOO
2	13	Aldershot	15	2	13	2.0	2.0	6	2	7	30	30	20	OOOOOO
3	22	Morecambe	17	4	13	1.4	2.0	4	4	9	24	34	16	OOUOOO
4	11	Solihull	18	6	12	2.1	1.8	6	4	8	38	33	22	OOUUOO
5	16	Altrincham	18	6	12	1.4	1.4	9	1	8	26	26	28	OOUUUO
6	3	Carlisle	18	7	11	2.2	1.1	12	3	3	39	20	39	UUOOOO
7	8	Halifax	17	6	11	1.9	1.1	9	5	3	32	19	32	OOUUOO
8	19	Sutton	18	7	11	1.7	1.4	6	7	5	31	26	25	OUUUOO
9	2	Rochdale	17	7	10	2.1	0.6	14	1	2	36	10	43	OOUOUO
10	4	Boreham Wood	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	11	2	4	28	18	35	UOOOOU
11	23	Gateshead	14	4	10	0.8	2.3	1	2	11	11	32	5	UOOOUO
12	5	Scunthorpe	16	7	9	1.9	1.2	10	3	3	30	20	33	OUOUOO
13	6	Forest Green	18	9	9	1.8	1.1	10	5	3	33	20	35	UOUOOO
14	18	Eastleigh	15	6	9	1.4	1.9	4	5	6	21	28	17	UUOOOO
15	10	Boston Utd	17	9	8	0.9	1.5	4	4	9	15	25	16	OOOUUU
16	14	Wealdstone	15	7	8	1.3	1.4	7	4	4	20	21	25	UUOUOO
17	20	Yeovil	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	17	23	19	OUUOUO
18	24	Truro	16	9	7	1.3	1.2	5	3	8	21	20	18	UUUOUO
19	7	Southend	14	8	6	1.9	0.7	8	3	3	26	10	27	OOUOOU
20	9	Hartlepool	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	6	4	19	15	24	OUOUOO
21	12	Tamworth	17	11	6	1.3	1.1	6	5	6	22	19	23	UOUUUO
22	21	Braintree Town	17	11	6	0.8	0.8	5	6	6	13	13	21	UUUOOU
23	15	Woking	14	9	5	1.4	1.1	3	6	5	19	15	15	UUUOUO
24	17	Brackley Town	16	11	5	0.8	1.1	6	4	6	13	18	22	UUOUUO

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	23	Gateshead	17	4	13	1.4	2.2	6	2	9	24	38	20	UOOUOO
2	4	Boreham Wood	16	4	12	2.2	1.3	8	5	3	35	21	29	OOOOOU
3	8	Halifax	18	6	12	1.2	1.8	6	2	10	21	32	20	UOOOUO
4	12	Tamworth	16	4	12	1.2	2.1	5	4	7	20	33	19	OOOUOU
5	5	Scunthorpe	17	6	11	1.7	1.6	7	6	4	29	27	27	OOOOUO
6	10	Boston Utd	18	7	11	1.7	1.4	7	6	5	31	26	27	OUOOOO
7	13	Aldershot	17	6	11	1.6	1.8	5	4	8	28	30	19	UUOOUO
8	1	York	16	6	10	2.2	0.8	12	4	0	35	13	40	OOOUOO
9	7	Southend	17	7	10	1.5	1.1	7	4	6	26	19	25	UUOOUO
10	6	Forest Green	17	8	9	1.5	1.3	6	6	5	25	22	24	UUOOOU
11	14	Wealdstone	17	8	9	1.1	1.9	3	5	9	19	32	14	OOUOUO
12	15	Woking	17	8	9	1.3	1.4	7	2	8	22	23	23	UUOUOO
13	16	Altrincham	16	7	9	0.8	1.8	2	3	11	13	28	9	OOUUOO
14	18	Eastleigh	18	9	9	1.1	1.6	5	4	9	20	29	19	UOOOOO
15	22	Morecambe	16	7	9	1.1	2.2	2	4	10	18	36	10	UUUUUO
16	24	Truro	16	7	9	0.6	2.2	1	3	12	9	36	6	OOUUOU
17	2	Rochdale	16	8	8	1.7	0.8	11	3	2	27	13	36	OOUUUO
18	3	Carlisle	15	7	8	1.5	1.2	9	2	4	22	18	29	OUOOUO
19	17	Brackley Town	16	9	7	0.9	1.5	3	5	8	15	24	14	UOOUOO
20	19	Sutton	14	7	7	0.9	1.8	2	4	8	13	25	10	OOOUUU
21	20	Yeovil	16	9	7	0.9	1.4	5	1	10	15	22	16	UUOUOO
22	21	Braintree Town	16	9	7	0.6	2.1	2	3	11	10	34	9	OUOOUO
23	9	Hartlepool	17	11	6	1.2	1.2	6	6	5	20	21	24	OOUUOO
24	11	Solihull	15	10	5	1.1	1.2	5	5	5	17	18	20	OUOOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.